Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#264
Expected Predictive Rating-13.0#328
Pace67.2#233
Improvement-2.5#337

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#271
First Shot-0.6#189
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#323
Layup/Dunks-3.0#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#62
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#163
Freethrows+0.0#183
Improvement-0.6#246

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#251
First Shot-1.7#237
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#218
Layups/Dunks-1.3#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#189
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#285
Freethrows+2.3#52
Improvement-1.9#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 4.4% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 15.8% 21.1% 6.5%
.500 or above in Conference 45.8% 55.5% 29.1%
Conference Champion 2.6% 3.9% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 6.5% 4.2% 10.4%
First Four1.9% 2.3% 1.3%
First Round2.8% 3.6% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Home) - 63.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 62 - 10
Quad 410 - 1012 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 330   @ North Dakota W 75-60 59%     1 - 0 +7.1 -5.9 +12.5
  Nov 13, 2021 160   Eastern Kentucky L 71-77 38%     1 - 1 -8.5 -7.1 -1.3
  Nov 18, 2021 14   @ Florida L 45-81 2%     1 - 2 -17.5 -17.7 -0.1
  Nov 23, 2021 224   Bowling Green L 68-82 39%     1 - 3 -16.8 -5.1 -12.3
  Nov 24, 2021 121   Yale L 56-69 21%     1 - 4 -10.1 -9.2 -2.5
  Nov 28, 2021 315   Alcorn St. L 57-61 72%     1 - 5 -15.8 -18.1 +2.2
  Dec 02, 2021 279   Youngstown St. W 72-68 63%    
  Dec 04, 2021 290   Robert Morris W 74-70 68%    
  Dec 10, 2021 75   @ Colorado L 60-76 8%    
  Dec 13, 2021 78   Rhode Island L 63-72 19%    
  Dec 30, 2021 205   @ Wright St. L 69-76 28%    
  Jan 01, 2022 197   @ Northern Kentucky L 63-70 27%    
  Jan 05, 2022 301   @ Green Bay L 67-68 46%    
  Jan 07, 2022 231   @ Detroit Mercy L 70-75 32%    
  Jan 09, 2022 124   @ Oakland L 63-74 15%    
  Jan 13, 2022 252   Illinois-Chicago W 69-67 58%    
  Jan 15, 2022 336   IUPUI W 68-58 80%    
  Jan 20, 2022 124   Oakland L 66-71 33%    
  Jan 22, 2022 231   Detroit Mercy W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 27, 2022 290   @ Robert Morris L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 29, 2022 279   @ Youngstown St. L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 04, 2022 274   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 06, 2022 166   @ Cleveland St. L 62-71 23%    
  Feb 09, 2022 197   Northern Kentucky L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 11, 2022 205   Wright St. L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 13, 2022 301   Green Bay W 70-65 68%    
  Feb 18, 2022 166   Cleveland St. L 65-68 41%    
  Feb 20, 2022 274   Purdue Fort Wayne W 75-71 61%    
  Feb 24, 2022 336   @ IUPUI W 65-61 62%    
  Feb 26, 2022 252   @ Illinois-Chicago L 66-70 37%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 10 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 2.6 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.7 2.0 0.7 0.0 9.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.4 2.1 0.5 10.3 5th
6th 0.4 2.6 4.5 3.0 0.4 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.0 2.9 0.6 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.6 2.4 4.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.5 2.8 0.6 0.0 11.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 3.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.7 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 2.8 2.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 8.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 3.5 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.8 4.5 6.4 8.1 9.9 10.7 11.2 11.0 10.4 8.2 6.0 4.3 3.0 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
19-3 94.7% 0.4    0.4 0.0
18-4 66.1% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
17-5 41.6% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.0
16-6 19.4% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
15-7 5.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0
20-2 0.1% 19.3% 19.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1
19-3 0.5% 33.0% 33.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3
18-4 0.9% 22.3% 22.3% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.7
17-5 1.5% 14.9% 14.9% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.3
16-6 3.0% 10.3% 10.3% 15.6 0.1 0.2 2.7
15-7 4.3% 7.7% 7.7% 15.8 0.1 0.3 4.0
14-8 6.0% 10.9% 10.9% 15.9 0.1 0.6 5.4
13-9 8.2% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.6 7.6
12-10 10.4% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.4 10.0
11-11 11.0% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 10.8
10-12 11.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 11.0
9-13 10.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.6
8-14 9.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.9
7-15 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.1
6-16 6.4% 6.4
5-17 4.5% 4.5
4-18 1.8% 1.8
3-19 1.1% 1.1
2-20 0.4% 0.4
1-21 0.1% 0.1
0-22
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.7 96.6 0.0%