Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#235
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#204
Pace73.7#69
Improvement-0.1#222

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#237
First Shot-1.0#208
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#246
Layup/Dunks+1.8#114
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#170
Freethrows-0.4#206
Improvement+0.1#86

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#221
First Shot+1.1#145
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#317
Layups/Dunks-0.9#223
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#68
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#167
Freethrows+0.2#176
Improvement-0.2#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 6.6% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 61.9% 78.2% 54.0%
.500 or above in Conference 71.3% 78.2% 68.0%
Conference Champion 7.5% 10.2% 6.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Four1.2% 1.0% 1.4%
First Round4.4% 6.1% 3.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Away) - 32.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 412 - 514 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 3   @ Purdue L 53-84 2%     0 - 1 -8.6 -14.9 +8.3
  Nov 20, 2022 31   @ Iowa St. L 53-68 5%     0 - 2 +0.1 -9.1 +9.4
  Nov 23, 2022 282   St. Thomas L 72-76 71%     0 - 3 -13.3 -10.1 -3.1
  Nov 26, 2022 174   UC Davis W 87-85 49%     1 - 3 -1.3 +3.1 -4.6
  Nov 27, 2022 231   Boston University W 67-46 61%     2 - 3 +14.5 -3.4 +19.4
  Nov 28, 2022 256   Southeast Missouri St. W 84-68 65%     3 - 3 +8.4 -0.9 +7.6
  Dec 01, 2022 361   @ Green Bay W 81-67 83%     4 - 3 1 - 0 +0.2 +2.7 -2.4
  Dec 03, 2022 359   IUPUI W 74-61 93%     5 - 3 2 - 0 -6.7 -4.0 -1.8
  Dec 06, 2022 134   @ Chattanooga L 76-88 19%     5 - 4 -6.5 +4.7 -11.2
  Dec 22, 2022 203   @ Rhode Island L 66-71 33%    
  Dec 29, 2022 312   @ Oakland W 78-76 57%    
  Dec 31, 2022 179   @ Detroit Mercy L 73-79 30%    
  Jan 05, 2023 181   @ Cleveland St. L 64-70 30%    
  Jan 07, 2023 184   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 69-74 31%    
  Jan 12, 2023 228   Northern Kentucky W 67-64 60%    
  Jan 14, 2023 212   Wright St. W 77-75 56%    
  Jan 19, 2023 240   Robert Morris W 72-69 62%    
  Jan 21, 2023 138   Youngstown St. L 75-78 40%    
  Jan 26, 2023 212   @ Wright St. L 74-78 34%    
  Jan 28, 2023 228   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-67 38%    
  Feb 02, 2023 359   @ IUPUI W 76-66 82%    
  Feb 06, 2023 361   Green Bay W 77-61 93%    
  Feb 09, 2023 179   Detroit Mercy W 76-75 50%    
  Feb 11, 2023 312   Oakland W 81-73 77%    
  Feb 16, 2023 138   @ Youngstown St. L 72-81 21%    
  Feb 18, 2023 240   @ Robert Morris L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 23, 2023 184   Purdue Fort Wayne W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 25, 2023 181   Cleveland St. W 68-67 51%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 2.4 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.9 2.4 0.7 0.1 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.2 5.3 2.7 0.4 0.0 10.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 6.0 3.3 0.4 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.6 6.2 4.6 0.5 0.0 13.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.6 5.3 0.8 0.0 13.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.5 5.0 1.2 0.0 13.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.7 3.9 1.0 0.0 13.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.4 5.1 8.2 11.5 13.4 14.8 13.8 11.4 8.2 5.2 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-3 95.7% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
16-4 74.5% 2.1    1.4 0.6 0.1
15-5 46.0% 2.4    0.9 1.1 0.4 0.0
14-6 13.7% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.5% 7.5 4.1 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 36.2% 36.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.4% 26.3% 26.3% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.3% 21.1% 21.1% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
16-4 2.8% 17.8% 17.8% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.3
15-5 5.2% 12.8% 12.8% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 4.6
14-6 8.2% 9.8% 9.8% 15.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 7.4
13-7 11.4% 6.5% 6.5% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 10.6
12-8 13.8% 5.3% 5.3% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 13.1
11-9 14.8% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 14.3
10-10 13.4% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.0
9-11 11.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.3
8-12 8.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.1
7-13 5.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 5.0
6-14 2.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.4
5-15 1.1% 1.1
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.2 94.9 0.0%