Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.1 #271
Expected Predictive Rating -6.5 #270
Pace 69.9 #148
Improvement -2.8 #304

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #229 D+ C+ B- D- D+
Defense #290 D+ D+ C- C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #286 1.08 #274 -3.6 #302
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #98 0.82 #77 +2.3 #69
Three Pointers 41% #188 0.91 #313 -2.2 #261
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #290 -3.6 #289
Freethrows 0.26 #309 67% #337 0.18 #335
Second Chance 31.9% #145 1.04 #151 0.33 #125
Turnovers 15.2% #77
Total Offense -2.2 #229

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #26 1.21 #253 -4.9 #335
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #259 0.79 #240 +0.7 #133
Three Pointers 37% #287 1.04 #214 +1.6 #115
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #266 -2.6 #267
Freethrows 0.33 #246 73% #244 0.24 #257
Second Chance 30.2% #166 1.16 #330 0.35 #275
Turnovers 16.4% #216
Total Defense -3.9 #290

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.5% #289 1.6% #312
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.6% #281 3.5% #247
Possession Length 16.5 #99 17.9 #282
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #81 0.22 #329
Improvement -3.0 #326 +0.2 #174

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.6% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 4.5% 13.8% 1.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.5% 2.1% 8.2%
First Four1.7% 1.9% 1.6%
First Round1.2% 1.7% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Away) - 27.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 32 - 73 - 13
Quad 49 - 711 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 247 Hampton W 90 - 86 57% +6  1 - 0 -4 +5 D B A+ -9 F+ C B+
 Sat, Nov 8 199 @Wofford L 76 - 86 26% -12  1 - 1 -9 -4 D- F+ A -5 C+ F B-
 Mon, Nov 10 294 Arkansas Little Rock W 92 - 72 67% +7  2 - 1 +9 +15 B A+ A- -5 D+ D- B-
 Wed, Nov 12 34 @Indiana L 70 - 101 3% -13  2 - 2 -14 +4 A- C F+ -17 F F F+
 Fri, Nov 14 19 @Texas Tech L 63 - 80 2% -4  2 - 3 +4 +4 C- A+ D -2 A F C-
 Sat, Nov 22 98 @Wichita St. L 58 - 75 10% -1  2 - 4 -9 -8 F C+ C -2 C A+ D
 Sat, Nov 29 63 @Akron L 81 - 105 6% -13  2 - 5 -12 +4 F+ B+ B -14 F B B+
 Sat, Dec 6 214 Robert Morris W 74 - 72 50% -1  3 - 5 1 - 0 -4 -4 D+ F A+ -0 B+ A F+
 Sun, Dec 14 192 Indiana St. L 68 - 70 46% -1  3 - 6 -7 -2 F A A+ -5 F+ D B+
 Fri, Dec 19 188 South Dakota St. W 88 - 87 34% +1  4 - 6 -1 +15 B A- B- -16 D- F D-
 Sun, Dec 21 290 @Cleveland St. W 81 - 71 43% -0  5 - 6 2 - 0 +6 +8 D C+ A+ -2 A- C F
 Mon, Dec 29 239 Purdue Fort Wayne W 77 - 55 56% +19  6 - 6 3 - 0 +14 +3 F+ A+ D- +12 A- A+ D+
 Tue, Dec 30 38 @Wisconsin L 60 - 80 3% -14  6 - 7 -3 -10 F C- F +8 B- A+ C
 Thu, Jan 1 148 @Wright St. L 70 - 76 18% -7  6 - 8 3 - 1 -2 +3 D C A+ -6 B+ D- F+
 Mon, Jan 5 249 @Green Bay L 76 - 79 35% -8  6 - 9 3 - 2 -5 +6 A+ F+ D- -11 F B D-
 Fri, Jan 9 201 Northern Kentucky L 67 - 85 48% -13  6 - 10 3 - 3 -24 -2 F+ C A+ -23 C+ F D-
 Sun, Jan 11 338 IU Indianapolis W 95 - 83 78% -0  7 - 10 4 - 3 -2 +14 A- A+ B -16 D C D-
 Thu, Jan 15 143 Oakland L 60 - 73 34% -9  7 - 11 4 - 4 -15 -21 F C D+ +7 A+ F+ A+
 Sun, Jan 18 239 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 82 - 100 33% -9  7 - 12 4 - 5 -20 +5 C+ F B -24 F F F
 Thu, Jan 22 214 @Robert Morris L 76 - 88 28% -7  7 - 13 4 - 6 -12 +2 B F B -14 F F A-
 Sat, Jan 24 197 @Youngstown St. W 65 - 64 26% -1  8 - 13 5 - 6 +2 -5 D- C B +7 B+ A A-
 Fri, Jan 30 148 Wright St. L 69 - 76 36% -5  8 - 14 5 - 7 -9 -9 D- D+ B+ -0 B- D- B
 Sun, Feb 1 290 Cleveland St. L 88 - 90 66% -4  8 - 15 5 - 8 -12 +6 C+ B C+ -18 F F D
 Wed, Feb 4 261 Detroit Mercy L 63 - 76 60% -8  8 - 16 5 - 9 -22 -10 F+ D D+ -13 F F C+
 Sat, Feb 7 201 @Northern Kentucky L 75 - 82 27%
 Tue, Feb 10 338 @IU Indianapolis W 85 - 83 57%
 Sun, Feb 15 249 Green Bay W 76 - 74 57%
 Fri, Feb 20 261 @Detroit Mercy L 77 - 80 38%
 Sun, Feb 22 143 @Oakland L 77 - 87 17%
 Wed, Feb 25 197 Youngstown St. L 75 - 76 47%
Totals 10 - 20 7 - 13 -6 -2 D+ C+ B- -4 D+ D+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 0.3 1.5 4th
5th 0.9 1.7 0.1 2.7 5th
6th 0.2 4.6 0.9 0.0 5.7 6th
7th 0.0 2.0 6.2 0.1 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 10.0 2.8 13.9 8th
9th 1.3 10.7 12.1 0.2 24.3 9th
10th 3.3 16.8 18.7 2.7 0.0 41.4 10th
11th 1.0 0.8 0.0 1.8 11th
Total 4.3 18.9 30.5 27.0 14.9 4.0 0.5 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.5% 9.4% 9.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.5
10-10 4.0% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.2 3.8
9-11 14.9% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.5 14.5
8-12 27.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.5 26.5
7-13 30.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.5 29.9
6-14 18.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 18.7
5-15 4.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.2
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 16.0 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.7%