IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Robert Morris
Horizon
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.7	#207
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.4	#137
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.7	#222

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.0	#201

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.4%	20.5%	11.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.9	13.2	14.2

.500 or above	60.9%	86.9%	60.0%
.500 or above in Conference	63.7%	82.3%	63.1%
Conference Champion	10.5%	23.0%	10.0%
Last Place in Conference	3.3%	1.1%	3.3%

First Four	1.0%	0.5%	1.0%
First Round	11.5%	20.5%	11.2%
Second Round	0.5%	2.0%	0.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Iowa (Away) - 3.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	3 - 5	3 - 7
Quad 4	12 - 5	14 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	32	@ Iowa	L	66-86	3%
Nov 06, 2025	114	@ Drake	L	57-66	20%
Nov 25, 2025	211	@ Monmouth	L	70-73	40%
Nov 26, 2025	154	Illinois-Chicago	W	74-73	50%
Nov 28, 2025	268	Southern Utah	W	75-69	71%
Nov 30, 2025	350	Stetson	W	79-67	86%
Dec 04, 2025	314	@ Green Bay	W	75-72	60%
Dec 06, 2025	214	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	71-74	41%
Dec 17, 2025	179	Youngstown St.	W	74-72	56%
Dec 29, 2025	266	Northern Kentucky	W	72-66	69%
Jan 02, 2026	309	@ Detroit Mercy	W	72-69	59%
Jan 04, 2026	197	@ Oakland	L	66-70	38%
Jan 11, 2026	192	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	76-74	57%
Jan 15, 2026	359	@ IU Indianapolis	W	74-65	77%
Jan 17, 2026	266	@ Northern Kentucky	L	68-69	49%
Jan 22, 2026	214	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	74-71	62%
Jan 24, 2026	314	Green Bay	W	78-69	77%
Jan 28, 2026	359	IU Indianapolis	W	77-62	89%
Jan 31, 2026	192	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	73-77	38%
Feb 04, 2026	191	Wright St.	W	74-72	57%
Feb 07, 2026	179	@ Youngstown St.	L	71-75	36%
Feb 12, 2026	232	@ Cleveland St.	L	67-69	44%
Feb 15, 2026	197	Oakland	W	69-67	58%
Feb 22, 2026	191	@ Wright St.	L	71-75	38%
Feb 28, 2026	232	Cleveland St.	W	70-66	63%
Projected Record						13 - 12	11 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	1.3	2.5	3.0	2.2	1.1	0.3			10.5	1st
2nd												0.0	0.5	2.4	3.9	2.8	1.2	0.2	0.0				11.1	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.8	3.0	4.4	2.4	0.5	0.0						11.2	3rd
4th										0.1	0.8	3.7	4.7	2.2	0.4	0.0							11.9	4th
5th									0.1	0.8	3.7	4.9	2.0	0.2	0.0								11.7	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	0.9	3.6	4.6	1.8	0.2										11.3	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	1.0	3.2	3.9	1.5	0.1											9.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.2	3.0	3.2	1.2	0.1												8.9	8th
9th				0.0	0.4	1.2	2.5	2.3	0.7	0.1													7.2	9th
10th		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.6	1.1	0.3	0.1														4.7	10th
11th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0															1.8	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	1.9	3.3	4.9	6.8	8.2	9.6	10.8	11.3	10.5	9.5	8.0	5.8	4.2	2.3	1.1	0.3				Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3
18-2	99.2%	1.1		1.0	0.1
17-3	92.1%	2.2		1.7	0.4	0.0
16-4	70.9%	3.0		1.9	1.0	0.1
15-5	42.5%	2.5		1.2	0.9	0.3	0.0
14-6	16.2%	1.3		0.3	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-7	2.5%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	10.5%	10.5		6.4	3.0	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.3%		65.7%	61.8%	3.9%	11.4									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.1		10.3%
18-2	1.1%		48.3%	48.3%		12.2												0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.5
17-3	2.3%		44.0%	44.0%		12.7												0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0		1.3
16-4	4.2%		34.3%	34.3%		13.3												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.1		2.7
15-5	5.8%		30.2%	30.2%		13.9												0.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.3	0.0	4.0
14-6	8.0%		22.2%	22.2%		14.6													0.1	0.3	0.7	0.6	0.2	6.2
13-7	9.5%		16.5%	16.5%		15.6													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.3	7.9
12-8	10.5%		11.9%	11.9%		16.5														0.0	0.3	0.6	0.4	9.2
11-9	11.3%		7.8%	7.8%		17.7														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.4	10.4
10-10	10.8%		4.6%	4.6%		18.0															0.0	0.2	0.3	10.3
9-11	9.6%		2.9%	2.9%		17.8																0.1	0.2	9.3
8-12	8.2%		1.6%	1.6%		17.9															0.0	0.0	0.1	8.0
7-13	6.8%		1.0%	1.0%		15.9																0.0	0.1	6.7
6-14	4.9%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	4.8
5-15	3.3%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.3
4-16	1.9%																							1.9
3-17	1.1%																							1.1
2-18	0.4%																							0.4
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		11.4%	11.4%	0.0%	14.9									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	1.1	2.1	3.0	3.2	2.2	88.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	8.0								97.6		2.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	100.0%	11.0											100.0
Lose Out	0.0%