Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.8 #208
Expected Predictive Rating -1.9 #197
Pace 64.0 #307
Improvement -1.1 #236

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #161 C B D+ D C-
Defense #261 C- C+ C- F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #241 1.06 #297 -3.1 #289
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #146 0.76 #159 +0.6 #147
Three Pointers 42% #166 1.10 #62 +2.1 #109
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #182 -0.3 #185
Freethrows 0.26 #308 70% #264 0.18 #315
Second Chance 35.9% #44 1.07 #138 0.38 #59
Turnovers 17.7% #265
Total Offense -0.1 #161

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #46 1.17 #194 -3.4 #291
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #204 0.79 #244 +0.0 #186
Three Pointers 36% #297 1.08 #270 +1.2 #137
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #255 -2.1 #255
Freethrows 0.39 #358 74% #296 0.29 #360
Second Chance 30.4% #170 1.01 #122 0.31 #143
Turnovers 15.8% #218
Total Defense -2.7 #261

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.7% #235 1.0% #261
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.1% #176 3.2% #242
Possession Length 18.5 #293 17.5 #215
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 #351 0.16 #138
Improvement +0.5 #151 -1.6 #279

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.0% 10.0% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 88.7% 96.9% 82.7%
.500 or above in Conference 67.3% 84.6% 54.7%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.3% 0.1% 0.5%
First Round7.8% 10.0% 6.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Away) - 42.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 35 - 56 - 8
Quad 412 - 617 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 24 @Iowa L 69 - 101 3% -21  0 - 1 -13 +7 A+ A+ F -21 F F C
 Thu, Nov 6 150 @Drake W 81 - 79 OT 27% +2  1 - 1 +5 +5 B B F +0 A B- F+
 Thu, Nov 20 141 @St. Bonaventure L 61 - 75 25% -4  1 - 2 -10 -11 F C F +1 C- B+ A
 Sun, Nov 23 199 @Monmouth L 70 - 71 OT 37% +1  1 - 3 -0 +1 D B B- -1 B D D+
 Wed, Nov 26 137 Illinois-Chicago W 88 - 74 45% +13  2 - 3 +12 +18 B+ A+ C -6 C+ C- C
 Fri, Nov 28 293 Southern Utah W 61 - 54 76% +11  3 - 3 -3 -11 F C+ D +8 A C A
 Sun, Nov 30 325 Stetson W 80 - 62 83% +12  4 - 3 +5 +12 A- A+ A- -5 B C- F
 Thu, Dec 4 251 @Green Bay W 80 - 78 48% -1  5 - 3 1 - 0 -0 +5 C+ C+ D- -5 F A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 6 248 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72 - 74 46% +1  5 - 4 1 - 1 -4 -3 D- D- B- -0 D+ A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 163 Toledo W 75 - 70 52% -6  6 - 4 +2 -1 D- D A+ +3 A+ B+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 224 Youngstown St. W 80 - 77 OT 64% -3  7 - 4 2 - 1 -4 +8 C B A- -11 F D- A+
 Sat, Dec 20 353 @St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 70 78% +2  8 - 4 -2 +9 B+ F C- -10 D+ F F
 Mon, Dec 29 191 Northern Kentucky L 77 - 79 59% +1  8 - 5 2 - 2 -7 -0 D+ A+ D+ -7 D- A C
 Fri, Jan 2 278 @Detroit Mercy W 85 - 77 53% +0  9 - 5 3 - 2 +4 +11 D+ A+ F -6 F D+ A
 Sun, Jan 4 132 @Oakland L 73 - 96 24% -14  9 - 6 3 - 3 -18 +0 C- C- C -19 C F+ F
 Sun, Jan 11 225 Purdue Fort Wayne L 74 - 79 64% -5  9 - 7 3 - 4 -12 +5 C+ D- B -17 F F A-
 Thu, Jan 15 340 @IU Indianapolis L 93 - 96 OT 71% +2  9 - 8 3 - 5 -11 +4 C+ C+ F -15 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 191 @Northern Kentucky W 92 - 89 OT 36% +3  10 - 8 4 - 5 +4 +3 D+ B+ C +0 C B+ C
 Thu, Jan 22 248 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 88 - 76 69% +7  11 - 8 5 - 5 +4 +11 A+ A+ F -6 F A+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 251 Green Bay L 67 - 71 70% -5  11 - 9 5 - 6 -12 -5 D C- F+ -8 C F C
 Wed, Jan 28 340 IU Indianapolis W 74 - 58 86% +5  12 - 9 6 - 6 +2 +5 C B- C- -1 C A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 31 225 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 72 - 74 42%
 Wed, Feb 4 147 Wright St. L 72 - 73 48%
 Sat, Feb 7 224 @Youngstown St. L 71 - 73 41%
 Thu, Feb 12 311 @Cleveland St. W 79 - 76 60%
 Sun, Feb 15 132 Oakland L 79 - 80 45%
 Sun, Feb 22 147 @Wright St. L 69 - 76 27%
 Wed, Feb 25 278 Detroit Mercy W 79 - 72 73%
 Sat, Feb 28 311 Cleveland St. W 82 - 73 80%
Totals 16 - 13 10 - 10 -3 +0 C B D+ -3 C- C+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.4 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.5 4.7 7.8 2.8 0.1 15.9 3rd
4th 0.1 4.5 11.3 4.5 0.2 20.6 4th
5th 0.0 2.2 12.0 6.0 0.4 20.6 5th
6th 0.4 8.1 7.7 0.7 0.0 16.9 6th
7th 0.0 3.1 7.7 1.2 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.5 4.7 1.6 0.0 6.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 1.7 0.1 3.2 9th
10th 0.3 0.8 0.1 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.3 2.7 9.9 19.8 25.9 22.7 13.4 4.5 0.7 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 30.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.7% 23.4% 23.4% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5
13-7 4.5% 18.9% 18.9% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 3.7
12-8 13.4% 13.0% 13.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.1 11.7
11-9 22.7% 10.4% 10.4% 14.8 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.3 20.4
10-10 25.9% 6.6% 6.6% 15.1 0.2 1.1 0.4 24.2
9-11 19.8% 4.2% 4.2% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 19.0
8-12 9.9% 2.1% 2.1% 15.8 0.0 0.2 9.7
7-13 2.7% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.6
6-14 0.3% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 14.8 92.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 13.3 9.1 48.5 42.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 0.2%