Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -0.5 170
Results Rating +0.1 157
Consistency 0.15 149
Pace 63.8 309
Improvement +4.2 42

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 146 C B C- F+ C-
Defense C- 211 C B- C- F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 251 D+ 55% 264 -2.6 278
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 191 C 38% 191 +0.2 163
Three Pointers 42% 150 B 37% 73 +2.5 92
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.3 226 C +0.4 164
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 172
Second Chance B 35.2% 51 B- 1.09 87 B 0.39 48
Turnovers C- 17.9% 264
Freethrows F+ 0.24 348 D 68% 304 F+ 0.16 356
Total Offense C +0.8 146

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B+ 61% 23 D 13.2% 308
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 34% 60 D+ 6.5% 278
Three Pointers B 91% 41 D+ 1.3% 289
Total A- 67% 20 D 6.7% 296

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 51 C 58% 188 +3.2 286
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 211 C+ 37% 124 -0.7 128
Three Pointers 37% 293 C 34% 209 -1.8 106
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 265 C +0.1 181
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 198
Second Chance C+ 29.6% 153 B- 0.96 73 B- 0.28 98
Turnovers C- 16.1% 221
Freethrows F+ 0.38 347 D- 76% 349 F 0.29 357
Total Defense C- -1.3 211

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 157 D- 5.4% 352
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 30% 268 C- 3.7% 250
Three Pointers C+ 82% 117 C+ 1.3% 93
Total C+ 54% 147 D 3.6% 329

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.5 294 17.4 200
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 359 0.16 154
Consistency 0.11 101 0.11 74
Improvement +2.2 87 +1.9 76

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 191 167 143
Results Rating Rank 186 162 111
Conference Record 12 - 8 13 - 7 13 - 7
Conference Finish 3 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21% 22% 17%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.5
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 16% 21% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round21% 22% 17%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Detroit Mercy (Home) - 75.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 39 - 49 - 5
Quad 411 - 620 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 28 @Iowa L 69 - 101 5% -21  0% 0 - 1 D- -14 C+ +3 A+ A+ F F -17 F F B-
 Thu, Nov 6 194 @Drake W 81 - 79 OT 44% +2  64% 1 - 1 C+ +3 C -0 B- B F B- +3 A+ B F+
 Thu, Nov 20 142 @St. Bonaventure L 61 - 75 33% -7  0% 1 - 2 D -10 F -14 F C+ F B +4 C+ B B+
 Sun, Nov 23 198 @Monmouth L 70 - 71 OT 45% +1  43% 1 - 3 C -0 C- -2 D- B B- C+ +2 B+ D- D+
 Wed, Nov 26 108 Illinois-Chicago W 88 - 74 45% +13  97% 2 - 3 A- +15 A+ +18 B+ A+ C C- -3 B- D C
 Fri, Nov 28 277 Southern Utah W 61 - 54 80% +11  95% 3 - 3 C- -2 F -14 F B- D A+ +12 A+ C A-
 Sun, Nov 30 326 Stetson W 80 - 62 89% +12  95% 4 - 3 C+ +4 B+ +8 A- A A- C -1 B+ C F
 Thu, Dec 4 229 @Green Bay W 80 - 78 51% -1  50% 5 - 3 1 - 0 C +1 B- +4 B- C+ D C- -3 F A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 274 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72 - 74 61% +1  44% 5 - 4 1 - 1 D+ -5 D- -8 F D- B B- +2 C- A+ F+
 Sat, Dec 13 159 Toledo W 75 - 70 60% -6  28% 6 - 4 C+ +2 D+ -3 D D- A B+ +5 A+ B+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 192 Youngstown St. W 80 - 77 OT 67% -3  18% 7 - 4 2 - 1 C- -2 B +6 C B A- D- -8 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 356 @St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 70 86% +2  58% 8 - 4 C- -3 B- +5 B F C- D- -7 C- F F
 Mon, Dec 29 199 Northern Kentucky L 77 - 79 67% +1  45% 8 - 5 2 - 2 D+ -7 C- -1 C- A D+ D -6 F+ A- C
 Fri, Jan 2 254 @Detroit Mercy W 85 - 77 56% +0  39% 9 - 5 3 - 2 B- +6 A- +10 D+ A+ F D+ -4 F D A
 Sun, Jan 4 171 @Oakland L 73 - 96 39% -14  1% 9 - 6 3 - 3 F -21 D+ -3 C- D+ C+ F -18 D+ F F
 Sun, Jan 11 258 Purdue Fort Wayne L 74 - 79 77% -5  6% 9 - 7 3 - 4 D- -13 C +1 C D- B F -14 F F B+
 Thu, Jan 15 325 @IU Indianapolis L 93 - 96 OT 75% +2  65% 9 - 8 3 - 5 D -10 C+ +2 B- B- F+ F -12 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 199 @Northern Kentucky W 92 - 89 OT 45% +3  71% 10 - 8 4 - 5 C+ +4 C+ +2 C- A- C+ C+ +1 C+ B+ C-
 Thu, Jan 22 274 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 88 - 76 80% +7  82% 11 - 8 5 - 5 C+ +3 B +6 A+ A+ F D+ -4 F A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 229 Green Bay L 67 - 71 73% -5  11% 11 - 9 5 - 6 D -11 D- -6 C- C- D D -5 C F C
 Wed, Jan 28 325 IU Indianapolis W 74 - 58 88% +5  80% 12 - 9 6 - 6 C+ +3 C+ +3 C B C- B- +2 C A C+
 Sat, Jan 31 258 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 71 - 83 57% -5  12% 12 - 10 6 - 7 D- -14 D -6 F+ A+ F+ F+ -9 D- B F+
 Wed, Feb 4 164 Wright St. W 72 - 66 61% +5  73% 13 - 10 7 - 7 C+ +3 D -5 C+ D+ C+ A- +8 A B D
 Sat, Feb 7 192 @Youngstown St. W 72 - 66 44% +2  60% 14 - 10 8 - 7 B- +7 B- +4 D A+ D+ B +4 C- A C-
 Thu, Feb 12 315 @Cleveland St. W 85 - 68 72% +10  78% 15 - 10 9 - 7 B +10 A- +11 C+ B+ B C+ +2 B A- F
 Sun, Feb 15 171 Oakland W 93 - 69 62% +7  78% 16 - 10 10 - 7 A +20 A+ +18 A+ A+ C- B +4 B A+ C+
 Sun, Feb 22 164 @Wright St. W 81 - 68 38% +8  96% 17 - 10 11 - 7 A- +16 B+ +8 B+ C+ B A- +8 C+ A+ A-
 Wed, Feb 25 254 Detroit Mercy W 78 - 71 76%
 Sat, Feb 28 315 Cleveland St. W 86 - 74 87%
Totals 19 - 10 13 - 7 -1 C +1 C- C C- C- -1 B D F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ C B C 36% 37% 42% C- C B B- B C- F+ D F+ C- C C+ C C 44% 19% 37% D+ C C+ B- B- C- F+ D- F
1.10 55% 38% 37% 0 0 1.02 35% 1.1 .39 18% .24 68% .16 1.10 58% 37% 34% 0 +1 1.03 30% 1.0 .28 16% .38 76% .18
Nov
4		 Iowa C+ A+ F A+ A+ 19% 24% 57% F+ A+ A+ A- A+ F A+ F B F F A+ F F 57% 10% 33% F F F F+ F B- F D- F
1.00 86% 11% 48% +10 -2 1.19 45% 1.2 .52 33% .48 55% .26 1.47 79% 25% 43% +15 +3 1.38 45% 1.2 .55 16% .76 82% .62
Nov
6		 Drake C B+ B- B- B- 36% 22% 41% C+ B- A- D+ B F F A+ F B- B A+ A- A+ 42% 20% 38% D A+ D- A+ B F+ F F F
1.09 67% 38% 38% +5 0 1.12 39% 0.9 .33 23% .14 100% .14 1.06 52% 18% 29% -10 0 0.84 30% 0.8 .24 11% .48 78% .38
Nov
20		 St. Bonaventure F F B F F 47% 14% 39% B+ F B- D+ C+ F D A+ C B D+ A+ B B+ 56% 10% 33% F C+ F A+ B B+ D F+ F+
0.89 33% 43% 25% -16 +2 0.73 33% 1.0 .33 22% .24 92% .22 1.09 63% 20% 31% -1 +3 1.06 42% 0.7 .28 20% .31 82% .26
Nov
23		 Monmouth C- C- A+ F D+ 29% 36% 36% F D- A D B B- F F F C+ A D+ B+ B+ 30% 33% 37% A- B+ D- D D- D+ F D F
1.02 56% 55% 20% -2 -3 0.93 42% 0.9 .37 17% .14 25% .04 1.03 43% 40% 29% -7 -2 0.85 36% 1.1 .39 16% .54 77% .42
Nov
26		 Illinois-Chicago A+ B F A B+ 43% 10% 47% B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ C C A- B- C- A+ F F+ A- 60% 10% 31% F B- F B+ D C F A+ F
1.30 62% 0% 39% +1 +2 1.08 48% 1.4 .70 21% .30 81% .24 1.09 40% 50% 38% -8 +3 0.93 47% 0.9 .42 18% .59 58% .34
Nov
28		 Southern Utah F F A+ F F 27% 31% 41% F F C+ B B- D D F F A+ C A+ A+ A+ 47% 22% 31% C- A+ B+ F+ C A- F+ A D+
0.94 43% 56% 19% -8 -2 0.82 33% 1.1 .36 15% .22 50% .11 0.84 57% 10% 21% -13 0 0.78 25% 1.1 .28 23% .32 63% .20
Nov
30		 Stetson B+ D- A+ A+ A 27% 25% 48% F+ A- B- A+ A A- C- F F C A F A+ B 24% 35% 41% A+ B+ A- F C F F D- F
1.31 54% 58% 48% +14 -1 1.27 36% 1.5 .54 11% .26 43% .11 1.02 45% 56% 21% -5 -3 0.87 20% 1.3 .26 13% .38 75% .28
Dec
4		 Green Bay B- A+ A- C B+ 25% 38% 38% F B- A F C+ D D+ F D- C- C- F C+ F 50% 16% 34% D F A A+ A+ C F D- F
1.18 77% 45% 35% +8 -3 1.11 41% 0.9 .38 16% .32 67% .21 1.15 59% 86% 33% +8 +1 1.20 16% 0.5 .08 16% .55 81% .44
Dec
6		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D- F+ D- C- F 42% 29% 29% D- F D F+ D- B D+ A+ B B- C- A C+ C 37% 14% 49% F+ C- A- A+ A+ F+ F D F
1.01 50% 33% 33% -5 -1 0.90 26% 1.0 .26 14% .31 89% .28 1.04 58% 29% 32% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.6 .15 11% .44 71% .32
Dec
13		 Toledo D+ B C- F+ D+ 42% 23% 35% D+ D C+ F D- A A+ F A+ B+ A A+ C- A+ 43% 35% 22% B A+ B+ B B+ F F F F
1.09 65% 36% 29% 0 0 1.02 36% 0.7 .26 13% .47 64% .30 1.02 45% 22% 36% -10 -2 0.78 24% 0.9 .21 10% .49 87% .42
Dec
17		 Youngstown St. B F A A+ C- 46% 21% 33% C+ C A+ F B A- B- B- B- D- F F F F 35% 5% 59% D- F F D- F A+ F F+ F
1.19 42% 45% 47% 0 0 1.04 50% 0.8 .38 15% .37 76% .28 1.15 77% 100% 45% +20 +2 1.46 37% 1.1 .42 33% .49 77% .38
Dec
20		 St. Francis (PA) B- D F A+ B 42% 11% 47% B- B F F+ F C- A C+ A D- D A+ F+ D+ 31% 24% 45% C C- B- F F F A A+ A+
1.24 58% 20% 52% +11 +2 1.27 24% 1.0 .24 19% .44 74% .33 1.10 63% 17% 39% 0 -1 1.00 25% 1.7 .42 11% .18 50% .09
Dec
29		 Northern Kentucky C- C- A+ D C 31% 21% 48% D C- B+ A A D+ F F F D F+ C- A+ D- 58% 17% 25% D- F+ A+ F A- C F D F
1.09 56% 55% 32% +1 -1 1.04 39% 1.3 .53 21% .25 50% .13 1.12 68% 38% 25% +2 +2 1.10 18% 1.2 .21 17% .46 74% .34
Jan
2		 Detroit Mercy A- D+ F C+ D 51% 13% 36% B D+ A+ B A+ F A+ A+ A+ D+ B- D+ F F 41% 37% 22% D+ F C F D A F C F
1.24 54% 17% 35% -4 +2 0.98 48% 1.2 .58 19% .58 88% .51 1.13 53% 41% 60% +7 -2 1.13 32% 1.1 .35 21% .48 77% .37
Jan
4		 Oakland D+ A+ D- D- C 33% 33% 33% F+ C- D+ D+ D+ C+ B+ D+ B F C- F A+ D- 35% 31% 33% A+ D+ F+ D F F F F F
1.07 76% 35% 29% +3 -2 1.04 32% 0.9 .30 15% .29 71% .21 1.41 59% 73% 19% +4 -2 1.06 37% 1.2 .44 9% .59 89% .53
Jan
11		 Purdue Fort Wayne C C- B- B C 42% 9% 49% B- C B- F D- B F D- F F B- F F F 28% 23% 49% A F F+ F F B+ F C- F+
1.15 59% 40% 38% +4 +2 1.13 38% 0.7 .27 17% .19 70% .13 1.23 54% 64% 43% +12 -1 1.23 27% 1.4 .38 19% .32 71% .23
Jan
15		 IU Indianapolis C+ F+ A+ A+ B- 44% 12% 44% C B- C B B- F+ B B B+ F C+ C- F F 46% 27% 27% D+ F F+ A+ A+ F F D+ F
1.18 52% 50% 48% +8 +2 1.21 37% 1.3 .48 23% .44 78% .35 1.22 58% 40% 53% +8 0 1.18 33% 0.5 .15 10% .49 74% .37
Jan
17		 Northern Kentucky C+ D- F B+ D+ 44% 7% 48% A- C- C+ A+ A- C+ A+ D+ A C+ D A+ A+ B- 48% 10% 41% F+ C+ B B B+ C- F D+ F
1.09 50% 25% 38% -1 +2 1.04 34% 1.4 .47 19% .45 68% .31 1.06 64% 17% 25% -5 +2 0.97 26% 0.9 .24 17% .53 73% .38
Jan
22		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee B B+ D- A+ A+ 49% 14% 37% B- A+ A B A+ F A+ F A D+ C B F F 33% 22% 44% C F A+ A+ A+ D+ F+ B- D
1.25 67% 33% 56% +16 +2 1.37 41% 1.3 .52 23% .50 63% .31 1.08 56% 33% 46% +6 -1 1.13 22% 0.8 .17 14% .33 65% .22
Jan
24		 Green Bay D- D+ F A- C- 30% 15% 54% C+ C- C- D+ C- D F F F D D- D+ A C+ 47% 15% 38% D C C F F C A+ C- A
1.08 57% 14% 40% +1 0 1.04 30% 1.1 .32 16% .23 58% .13 1.15 64% 43% 28% 0 +1 1.04 24% 1.9 .45 16% .25 77% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 IU Indianapolis C+ F+ D+ A+ C 46% 13% 41% C C A D B C- F A+ F B- B+ C+ D- C 39% 22% 39% D+ C B+ A+ A C+ A A+ A
1.24 52% 33% 47% +5 +2 1.15 47% 1.1 .50 20% .17 88% .15 0.97 53% 36% 37% -1 0 1.00 23% 0.8 .17 17% .10 60% .06
Jan
31		 Purdue Fort Wayne D B+ F F F 43% 8% 49% B F+ C A+ A+ F+ F F F F+ B- A- F D- 46% 13% 40% D D- A C- B F+ F F F
1.02 68% 25% 24% -4 +2 0.98 34% 1.6 .56 23% .17 44% .07 1.19 54% 29% 48% +5 +1 1.15 14% 1.0 .14 11% .32 95% .31
Feb
4		 Wright St. D C F A+ B- 41% 22% 37% C C+ F A+ D+ C+ F F F A- A A+ B+ A+ 55% 12% 33% F A D A+ B D D- B+ D+
1.05 59% 25% 45% +4 0 1.09 18% 1.5 .27 16% .21 58% .12 0.96 46% 17% 29% -11 +2 0.84 35% 0.8 .27 15% .38 68% .26
Feb
7		 Youngstown St. B- C+ F D D 38% 23% 40% C- D A A+ A+ D+ F A+ F B F A+ A C 50% 6% 44% F C- A- A- A C- A+ D A
1.12 61% 27% 32% -3 0 0.96 42% 1.5 .65 20% .14 86% .12 1.02 72% 0% 27% 0 +3 1.08 23% 0.9 .20 19% .15 75% .11
Feb
12		 Cleveland St. A- A+ C A- B 22% 20% 59% D- C+ A- C B+ B F+ F+ F C+ D+ F+ A- B 29% 20% 51% B- B A+ C+ A- F F F+ F
1.35 82% 40% 40% +11 -1 1.22 45% 1.1 .48 13% .24 69% .16 1.08 62% 44% 30% 0 -1 1.00 17% 1.0 .17 13% .40 82% .33
Feb
15		 Oakland A+ A+ A- A A+ 38% 11% 51% B+ A+ A A+ A+ C- D- F F B A- D B B+ 56% 16% 29% F B C- A+ A+ C+ F F F
1.41 80% 50% 41% +15 +1 1.34 44% 1.3 .56 17% .18 40% .07 1.04 48% 43% 31% -6 +2 0.93 32% 0.6 .19 15% .43 83% .36
Feb
22		 Wright St. B+ B- B A+ A- 42% 26% 32% D+ B+ D A+ C+ B C A+ A- A- F A+ B- C+ 41% 27% 33% B- C+ B A+ A+ A- C F D-
1.20 62% 46% 44% +8 0 1.18 25% 1.3 .33 15% .30 94% .28 1.01 70% 23% 31% 0 -1 1.00 27% 0.7 .18 21% .32 88% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 15.8 15.8 1st
2nd 7.9 50.3 58.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 22.7 22.8 3rd
4th 1.2 1.2 4th
5th 1.6 1.6 5th
6th 0.5 0.5 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 3.3 30.6 66.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 23.9% 15.8    6.8 9.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total 15.8% 15.8 6.8 9.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 66.1% 22.5% 22.5% 13.9 0.1 4.0 8.8 2.0 0.0 51.2
12-8 30.6% 17.7% 17.7% 14.5 0.2 2.5 2.6 0.1 25.2
11-9 3.3% 12.8% 12.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 2.9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 20.7% 20.7% 0.0% 14.0 79.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 14.9% 100.0% 13.9 0.9 26.5 59.0 13.6 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 11.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 18.4%
Lose Out 1.1%