Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.1 194
Expected Predictive Rating -1.0 179
Pace 64.0 307
Improvement +0.9 143

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 164 C B C- F+ C-
Defense C- 240 C- C+ C- F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 256 D+ 54% 284 -3.0 287
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 157 C- 37% 194 +0.2 167
Three Pointers 43% 153 B- 36% 94 +2.1 109
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.3 233 C -0.4 183
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 199
Second Chance B 35.2% 56 C+ 1.08 101 B 0.38 56
Turnovers C- 18.0% 258
Freethrows F+ 0.24 344 D 68% 316 F+ 0.16 352
Total Offense C -0.1 164

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 47 C 58% 194 -3.3 296
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 214 C 38% 159 +0.6 142
Three Pointers 37% 300 C- 35% 232 +1.6 117
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 267 C- +0.6 210
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 222
Second Chance C+ 29.7% 151 C+ 0.99 115 C+ 0.29 123
Turnovers C- 16.0% 235
Freethrows F+ 0.38 347 D- 76% 335 F 0.29 355
Total Defense C- -2.0 240

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 291 17.4 202
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 359 0.17 168
Improvement +0.4 #155 +0.5 #157

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12% 14% 11%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 98% 100% 95%
Conference Champion 3% 5% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round12% 14% 11%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Oakland (Home) - 51.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 37 - 47 - 6
Quad 411 - 618 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 25 @Iowa L 69 - 101 4% -21  0% 0 - 1 D- -13 C+ +3 A A+ F F -16 F F C+
 Thu, Nov 6 182 @Drake W 81 - 79 OT 36% +2  64% 1 - 1 C+ +4 C -0 B- B- F B- +4 A+ B D-
 Thu, Nov 20 136 @St. Bonaventure L 61 - 75 26% -7  0% 1 - 2 D -9 F -13 F C+ F+ B- +4 C+ B+ B+
 Sun, Nov 23 189 @Monmouth L 70 - 71 OT 37% +1  43% 1 - 3 C +0 C- -2 D- B B- C+ +2 B+ D- D+
 Wed, Nov 26 128 Illinois-Chicago W 88 - 74 46% +13  97% 2 - 3 B+ +13 A+ +17 B+ A+ C C- -3 C+ D C
 Fri, Nov 28 288 Southern Utah W 61 - 54 78% +11  95% 3 - 3 C- -3 F -13 F B- D+ A +11 A+ C A-
 Sun, Nov 30 331 Stetson W 80 - 62 86% +12  95% 4 - 3 C+ +4 B+ +9 A- A A- C- -2 B C F
 Thu, Dec 4 234 @Green Bay W 80 - 78 46% -1  50% 5 - 3 1 - 0 C +1 C+ +3 C+ C+ D C- -2 F A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 269 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72 - 74 54% +1  44% 5 - 4 1 - 1 D+ -5 D- -7 F D- B C+ +2 D+ A+ F+
 Sat, Dec 13 165 Toledo W 75 - 70 55% -6  28% 6 - 4 C +2 D+ -3 D D A+ B +5 A+ B+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 196 Youngstown St. W 80 - 77 OT 62% -3  18% 7 - 4 2 - 1 C- -2 B- +5 C- B A D- -7 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 355 @St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 70 81% +2  58% 8 - 4 C- -2 B +5 B F C D -7 D+ F F
 Mon, Dec 29 205 Northern Kentucky L 77 - 79 63% +1  45% 8 - 5 2 - 2 D+ -8 C- -2 C- A D+ D -5 D- A- C
 Fri, Jan 2 260 @Detroit Mercy W 85 - 77 52% +0  39% 9 - 5 3 - 2 B- +5 A- +9 D+ A+ F D+ -4 F D A-
 Sun, Jan 4 149 @Oakland L 73 - 96 29% -14  1% 9 - 6 3 - 3 F -19 D+ -2 C- C- C+ F -17 D+ F F
 Sun, Jan 11 253 Purdue Fort Wayne L 74 - 79 72% -5  6% 9 - 7 3 - 4 D- -13 C +1 C+ F+ B+ F -14 F F B+
 Thu, Jan 15 327 @IU Indianapolis L 93 - 96 OT 70% +2  65% 9 - 8 3 - 5 D -11 C +2 B- C+ F+ F -12 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 205 @Northern Kentucky W 92 - 89 OT 40% +3  71% 10 - 8 4 - 5 C+ +3 C +1 C- B+ C+ C+ +2 C+ B+ C-
 Thu, Jan 22 269 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 88 - 76 75% +7  82% 11 - 8 5 - 5 C+ +3 B +7 A+ A+ F D+ -4 F A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 234 Green Bay L 67 - 71 68% -5  11% 11 - 9 5 - 6 D -11 D- -7 C- C- D D+ -5 C F C
 Wed, Jan 28 327 IU Indianapolis W 74 - 58 86% +5  80% 12 - 9 6 - 6 C+ +2 C+ +3 C B- C- B- +2 C A C
 Sat, Jan 31 253 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 71 - 83 50% -5  12% 12 - 10 6 - 7 D- -14 D -6 D- A+ D- D- -8 F+ B+ F+
 Wed, Feb 4 154 Wright St. W 72 - 66 53% +5  73% 13 - 10 7 - 7 C+ +3 D -5 B- D+ B- B+ +8 A B+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 196 @Youngstown St. W 72 - 66 39% +2  60% 14 - 10 8 - 7 B- +7 C+ +3 D- A+ D+ B +4 C- A C-
 Thu, Feb 12 306 @Cleveland St. W 85 - 68 63% +10  78% 15 - 10 9 - 7 B+ +11 A +12 B B+ B C+ +1 B- A- F
 Sun, Feb 15 149 Oakland W 79 - 78 52%
 Sun, Feb 22 154 @Wright St. L 70 - 75 31%
 Wed, Feb 25 260 Detroit Mercy W 78 - 71 73%
 Sat, Feb 28 306 Cleveland St. W 82 - 73 81%
Totals 17 - 12 11 - 9 -2 F +0 A C C- C- -2 B- D F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ C- B- C 36% 22% 43% C- C B C+ B C- F+ D F+ C- C C C- C- 44% 19% 37% D+ C- C+ C+ C+ C- F+ D- F
1.08 54% 37% 36% 0 0 1.01 35% 1.1 .38 18% .24 68% .16 1.11 58% 38% 35% +1 +1 1.04 30% 1.0 .29 16% .38 76% .18
Nov
4		 Iowa C+ A+ F A+ A+ 19% 24% 57% F+ A A+ A A+ F A+ F B F F A+ F F+ 57% 10% 33% F F F D- F C+ F D- F
1.00 86% 11% 48% +10 -2 1.19 45% 1.2 .52 33% .48 55% .26 1.47 79% 25% 43% +15 +3 1.38 45% 1.2 .55 16% .76 82% .62
Nov
6		 Drake C B B- B- B- 36% 22% 41% C+ B- A- D+ B- F F A+ F B- B A+ A- A+ 42% 20% 38% D A+ D- A+ B D- F F F
1.09 67% 38% 38% +5 0 1.12 39% 0.9 .33 23% .14 100% .14 1.06 52% 18% 29% -9 0 0.84 30% 0.8 .24 11% .48 78% .38
Nov
20		 St. Bonaventure F F B F F 47% 14% 39% B+ F B- D+ C+ F+ D- A+ C B- D+ A+ B B+ 56% 10% 33% F C+ F+ A+ B+ B+ D F+ D-
0.89 33% 43% 25% -16 +2 0.73 33% 1.0 .33 22% .24 92% .22 1.09 63% 20% 31% 0 +3 1.06 42% 0.7 .28 20% .31 82% .26
Nov
23		 Monmouth C- C- A+ F D+ 29% 36% 36% F D- A C- B B- F F F C+ A D+ B+ B 30% 33% 37% A- B+ D- C- D- D+ F D F
1.02 56% 55% 20% -2 -3 0.93 42% 0.9 .37 17% .14 25% .04 1.03 43% 40% 29% -6 -2 0.85 36% 1.1 .39 16% .54 77% .42
Nov
26		 Illinois-Chicago A+ B F A- B 43% 10% 47% B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ C C- A- C+ C- A+ F F+ B+ 60% 10% 31% F C+ F B+ D C F A+ F
1.30 62% 0% 39% +1 +2 1.08 48% 1.4 .70 21% .30 81% .24 1.09 40% 50% 38% -7 +3 0.93 47% 0.9 .42 18% .59 58% .34
Nov
28		 Southern Utah F F A+ F F 27% 31% 41% F F C+ B- B- D+ D+ F F+ A C+ A+ A+ A+ 47% 22% 31% C- A+ B D- C A- F A D
0.94 43% 56% 19% -8 -2 0.82 33% 1.1 .36 15% .22 50% .11 0.84 57% 10% 21% -12 0 0.78 25% 1.1 .28 23% .32 63% .20
Nov
30		 Stetson B+ F+ A+ A+ A 27% 25% 48% F+ A- B- A+ A A- C- F F C- A F A+ B- 24% 35% 41% A+ B B+ F C F F F+ F
1.31 54% 58% 48% +14 -1 1.27 36% 1.5 .54 11% .26 43% .11 1.02 45% 56% 21% -5 -3 0.87 20% 1.3 .26 13% .38 75% .28
Dec
4		 Green Bay C+ A+ B+ C B+ 25% 38% 38% F C+ A F C+ D C- F+ D C- C- F C+ F 50% 16% 34% D F A A+ A+ C F F+ F
1.18 77% 45% 35% +8 -3 1.11 41% 0.9 .38 16% .32 67% .21 1.15 59% 86% 33% +8 +1 1.20 16% 0.5 .08 16% .55 81% .44
Dec
6		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D- F+ D C- F+ 42% 29% 29% D- F D F+ D- B D+ A+ B C+ C- A C+ C 37% 14% 49% F D+ A- A+ A+ F+ F D F
1.01 50% 33% 33% -5 -1 0.90 26% 1.0 .26 14% .31 89% .28 1.04 58% 29% 32% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.6 .15 11% .44 71% .32
Dec
13		 Toledo D+ B D+ F+ D+ 42% 23% 35% D D C+ F D A+ A+ F A+ B A A+ C- A+ 43% 35% 22% B A+ B+ B- B+ F F F F
1.09 65% 36% 29% 0 0 1.02 36% 0.7 .26 13% .47 64% .30 1.02 45% 22% 36% -10 -2 0.78 24% 0.9 .21 10% .49 87% .42
Dec
17		 Youngstown St. B- F A A+ C- 46% 21% 33% B- C- A+ F B A C+ C+ C+ D- F F F F 35% 5% 59% D- F F+ D- F A+ F D- F
1.19 42% 45% 47% 0 0 1.04 50% 0.8 .38 15% .37 76% .28 1.15 77% 100% 45% +20 +2 1.46 37% 1.1 .42 33% .49 77% .38
Dec
20		 St. Francis (PA) B D F A+ B 42% 11% 47% B- B F F F C A B- A D D A+ F+ D 31% 24% 45% C D+ C+ F F F A- A+ A+
1.24 58% 20% 52% +11 +1 1.27 24% 1.0 .24 19% .44 74% .33 1.10 63% 17% 39% 0 -1 1.00 25% 1.7 .42 11% .18 50% .09
Dec
29		 Northern Kentucky C- C- A+ D C- 31% 21% 48% D C- B A A D+ F F F D F+ C- A+ D- 58% 17% 25% F+ D- A+ F+ A- C F D+ F
1.09 56% 55% 32% +2 -1 1.04 39% 1.3 .53 21% .25 50% .13 1.12 68% 38% 25% +2 +2 1.10 18% 1.2 .21 17% .46 74% .34
Jan
2		 Detroit Mercy A- D+ F C+ D 51% 13% 36% B D+ A+ B A+ F A+ A+ A+ D+ B- D+ F F 41% 37% 22% D F C F+ D A- F C- F
1.24 54% 17% 35% -4 +2 0.98 48% 1.2 .58 19% .58 88% .51 1.13 53% 41% 60% +7 -2 1.13 32% 1.1 .35 21% .48 77% .37
Jan
4		 Oakland D+ A+ D- D- C 33% 33% 33% F+ C- C- C C- C+ B+ D+ B F C- F A+ D- 35% 31% 33% A+ D+ F+ D F F F F F
1.07 76% 35% 29% +3 -2 1.04 32% 0.9 .30 15% .29 71% .21 1.41 59% 73% 19% +4 -2 1.06 37% 1.2 .44 9% .59 89% .53
Jan
11		 Purdue Fort Wayne C C- B- B C 42% 9% 49% B- C+ B- F F+ B+ F F+ F F B- F F F 28% 23% 49% A F D- F F B+ F C+ F+
1.15 59% 40% 38% +4 +2 1.13 38% 0.7 .27 17% .19 70% .13 1.23 54% 64% 43% +12 -1 1.23 27% 1.4 .38 19% .32 71% .23
Jan
15		 IU Indianapolis C F+ A+ A+ B- 44% 12% 44% C B- C B- C+ F+ B+ B- B+ F C+ C- F F 46% 27% 27% C- F D- A+ A+ F F D F
1.18 52% 50% 48% +8 +2 1.21 37% 1.3 .48 23% .44 78% .35 1.22 58% 40% 53% +8 0 1.18 33% 0.5 .15 10% .49 74% .37
Jan
17		 Northern Kentucky C D- F B D 44% 7% 48% A- C- C A+ B+ C+ A+ C- A C+ D A+ A+ B- 48% 10% 41% F+ C+ B B B+ C- F C- F
1.09 50% 25% 38% -1 +2 1.04 34% 1.4 .47 19% .45 68% .31 1.06 64% 17% 25% -5 +2 0.97 26% 0.9 .24 17% .53 73% .38
Jan
22		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee B B+ D A+ A+ 49% 14% 37% B- A+ A B- A+ F A+ F A D+ C B+ F F 33% 22% 44% C F A+ A+ A+ C- F+ B- D
1.25 67% 33% 56% +16 +2 1.37 41% 1.3 .52 23% .50 63% .31 1.08 56% 33% 46% +6 -1 1.13 22% 0.8 .17 14% .33 65% .22
Jan
24		 Green Bay D- D+ F A- C- 30% 15% 54% C+ C- C D+ C- D F F F D+ D D+ A C 47% 15% 38% D C C F F C A+ D+ A
1.08 57% 14% 40% +1 0 1.04 30% 1.1 .32 16% .23 58% .13 1.15 64% 43% 28% 0 +1 1.04 24% 1.9 .45 16% .25 77% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 IU Indianapolis C+ F+ D+ A+ C 46% 13% 41% C C A D- B- C- F A+ F B- B C+ D- C 39% 22% 39% C- C B+ A+ A C A- A+ A
1.24 52% 33% 47% +5 +1 1.15 47% 1.1 .50 20% .17 88% .15 0.97 53% 36% 37% -1 0 1.00 23% 0.8 .17 17% .10 60% .06
Jan
31		 Purdue Fort Wayne D B+ F F F 43% 8% 49% B D- C A+ A+ D- F F F D- B- A- F F+ 46% 13% 40% D- F+ A C+ B+ F+ F F F
1.02 68% 25% 24% -4 +2 0.98 34% 1.6 .56 23% .17 44% .07 1.19 54% 29% 48% +5 +1 1.15 14% 1.0 .14 11% .32 95% .31
Feb
4		 Wright St. D C F A+ B- 41% 22% 37% C- B- F A+ D+ B- F F F B+ A A+ B+ A+ 55% 12% 33% F A D A+ B+ D+ D- B+ D+
1.05 59% 25% 45% +4 0 1.09 18% 1.5 .27 16% .21 58% .12 0.96 46% 17% 29% -11 +2 0.84 35% 0.8 .27 15% .38 68% .26
Feb
7		 Youngstown St. C+ C F+ D D- 38% 23% 40% C- D- A A+ A+ D+ F A+ F B F A+ A C 50% 6% 44% F C- A A- A C- A+ D A
1.12 61% 27% 32% -3 0 0.96 42% 1.5 .65 20% .14 86% .12 1.02 72% 0% 27% 0 +3 1.08 23% 0.9 .20 19% .15 75% .11
Feb
12		 Cleveland St. A A+ C- A- B+ 22% 20% 59% D- B A- C B+ B D- F F+ C+ D F+ A- B- 29% 20% 51% B B- A+ C A- F D- F+ F
1.35 82% 40% 40% +11 -1 1.22 45% 1.1 .48 13% .24 69% .16 1.08 62% 44% 30% 0 -1 1.00 17% 1.0 .17 13% .40 82% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 2.6 2.8 1st
2nd 0.1 4.7 5.4 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 9.6 24.2 2.5 36.5 3rd
4th 2.0 19.0 6.0 27.1 4th
5th 0.0 6.3 7.3 0.2 13.8 5th
6th 0.5 5.3 0.7 6.5 6th
7th 1.2 1.4 0.0 2.6 7th
8th 0.5 0.0 0.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 2.3 15.1 36.8 35.3 10.6 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 24.7% 2.6    0.2 0.8 1.3 0.3 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 10.6% 18.6% 18.6% 13.8 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.2 8.6
12-8 35.3% 14.7% 14.7% 14.6 0.2 2.0 2.9 0.2 30.1
11-9 36.8% 11.2% 11.2% 15.0 0.0 0.8 2.6 0.7 32.7
10-10 15.1% 7.0% 7.0% 15.2 0.1 0.7 0.3 14.0
9-11 2.3% 4.4% 4.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.2
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 12.4% 12.4% 0.0% 14.7 87.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.0% 100.0% 13.8 1.0 24.1 64.2 10.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.2%
Lose Out 0.9%