Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#240
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#267
Pace67.5#211
Improvement+0.3#28

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#279
First Shot-1.4#219
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#294
Layup/Dunks+0.5#155
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#48
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#224
Freethrows-3.4#343
Improvement+0.2#41

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#187
First Shot-0.9#192
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#169
Layups/Dunks+4.0#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#321
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#281
Freethrows-0.4#206
Improvement+0.1#104
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 7.0% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 34.9% 53.8% 27.8%
.500 or above in Conference 70.3% 78.1% 67.4%
Conference Champion 6.4% 8.8% 5.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Four2.3% 2.5% 2.2%
First Round3.8% 5.8% 3.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Home) - 27.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 73 - 9
Quad 410 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 21   @ Ohio St. L 53-91 3%     0 - 1 -20.5 -16.4 -4.1
  Nov 19, 2022 95   @ Dayton L 51-60 13%     0 - 2 -0.9 -8.7 +6.7
  Nov 25, 2022 209   Mercer L 66-72 43%     0 - 3 -8.1 -12.3 +4.5
  Nov 26, 2022 315   Evansville L 53-54 69%     0 - 4 -9.9 -13.2 +3.2
  Nov 27, 2022 139   South Alabama L 70-84 28%     0 - 5 -11.8 +4.0 -16.6
  Dec 01, 2022 212   @ Wright St. W 80-59 33%     1 - 5 1 - 0 +21.7 +10.1 +12.3
  Dec 03, 2022 228   @ Northern Kentucky L 56-60 37%     1 - 6 1 - 1 -4.4 -8.3 +3.4
  Dec 07, 2022 266   @ Central Michigan W 71-66 42%     2 - 6 +3.1 -5.5 +8.3
  Dec 10, 2022 91   Marshall L 71-77 27%    
  Dec 18, 2022 237   @ Mount St. Mary's L 65-68 38%    
  Dec 21, 2022 332   St. Francis (PA) W 74-64 82%    
  Dec 29, 2022 184   Purdue Fort Wayne W 67-66 51%    
  Dec 31, 2022 181   Cleveland St. W 64-63 50%    
  Jan 05, 2023 138   @ Youngstown St. L 68-77 20%    
  Jan 09, 2023 359   IUPUI W 75-59 92%    
  Jan 12, 2023 312   @ Oakland W 74-72 56%    
  Jan 14, 2023 179   @ Detroit Mercy L 68-74 29%    
  Jan 19, 2023 235   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 69-72 38%    
  Jan 21, 2023 361   @ Green Bay W 70-60 82%    
  Jan 27, 2023 179   Detroit Mercy L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 29, 2023 312   Oakland W 77-69 76%    
  Feb 02, 2023 228   Northern Kentucky W 63-61 59%    
  Feb 04, 2023 212   Wright St. W 72-71 55%    
  Feb 10, 2023 181   @ Cleveland St. L 61-67 29%    
  Feb 12, 2023 184   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 64-70 31%    
  Feb 16, 2023 361   Green Bay W 73-57 92%    
  Feb 18, 2023 235   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 21, 2023 138   Youngstown St. L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 23, 2023 359   @ IUPUI W 72-62 81%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 2.2 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.7 2.1 0.4 0.0 8.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 5.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.1 3.5 0.3 0.0 12.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.7 6.3 4.6 0.5 0.0 13.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 6.1 5.5 0.9 0.0 14.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.3 5.7 5.3 1.2 0.0 15.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 4.7 3.8 1.0 0.0 13.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.6 5.2 8.5 11.9 14.3 15.2 13.8 11.2 7.8 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 94.6% 0.8    0.7 0.1 0.0
16-4 80.3% 1.8    1.2 0.5 0.0
15-5 48.2% 2.2    0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0
14-6 14.6% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.4% 6.4 3.1 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 32.5% 32.5% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.8% 26.8% 26.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-4 2.2% 17.1% 17.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.9
15-5 4.6% 14.7% 14.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 4.0
14-6 7.8% 10.4% 10.4% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.5 7.0
13-7 11.2% 7.6% 7.6% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 10.4
12-8 13.8% 4.9% 4.9% 15.9 0.1 0.6 13.1
11-9 15.2% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5 14.7
10-10 14.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 13.9
9-11 11.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 11.7
8-12 8.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.4
7-13 5.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.2
6-14 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
5-15 1.0% 1.0
4-16 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.2 95.1 0.0%