Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.3 #197
Expected Predictive Rating +0.1 #163
Pace 65.1 #295
Improvement -0.5 #213

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #181 C- F B+ C D
Defense #221 C- F C+ D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #298 1.05 #298 -4.7 #318
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #90 0.81 #106 +2.4 #67
Three Pointers 41% #178 1.03 #161 +0.5 #159
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #221 -1.7 #224
Freethrows 14.1 #321 68% #287 9.6 #327
Second Chance 36.2% #44 1.08 #134 0.39 #56
Turnovers 17.4% #226
Total Offense -0.6 #181

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #50 1.19 #208 -3.8 #300
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #244 0.69 #112 +1.4 #89
Three Pointers 38% #265 1.05 #233 +0.9 #158
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #225 -1.5 #222
Freethrows 24.5 #359 72% #171 17.7 #358
Second Chance 30.2% #158 0.98 #111 0.30 #130
Turnovers 15.4% #261
Total Defense -1.7 #221

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.8% #291 1.5% #301
Shot Type Make Effect -1.4% #198 1.5% #210
Possession Length 18.4 #293 17.2 #187
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #340 0.17 #159
Improvement +0.9 #109 -1.3 #277
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.8% 11.3% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.8
.500 or above 88.7% 94.3% 82.0%
.500 or above in Conference 77.2% 86.3% 66.6%
Conference Champion 7.9% 11.3% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round9.8% 11.2% 8.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Detroit Mercy (Away) - 54.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 64 - 8
Quad 414 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 19 @Iowa L 69-101 3%     -21.5   0 - 1 -12.4 +6.7 -19.7
  Thu, Nov 6 149 @Drake W 81-79 OT 28%     2.3   1 - 1 +5.6 +4.9 +0.6
  Thu, Nov 20 116 @St. Bonaventure L 61-75 20%     -4.4   1 - 2 -7.5 -8.6 +0.9
  Sun, Nov 23 236 @Monmouth L 70-71 OT 46%     1.4   1 - 3 -2.3 -2.0 -0.3
  Wed, Nov 26 199 Illinois-Chicago W 88-74 63%     12.8   2 - 3 +8.4 +15.2 -6.2
  Fri, Nov 28 328 Southern Utah W 61-54 85%     11.0   3 - 3 -6.4 -11.8 +6.0
  Sun, Nov 30 350 Stetson W 80-62 89%     11.8   4 - 3 +2.2 +11.3 -6.5
  Thu, Dec 4 287 @Green Bay W 80-78 55%     -1.3   5 - 3 1 - 0 -1.7 +5.7 -7.3
  Sat, Dec 6 195 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-74 38%     1.1   5 - 4 1 - 1 -1.2 -2.5 +1.3
  Sat, Dec 13 173 Toledo W 75-70 57%     -6.2   6 - 4 +0.9 -1.5 +2.5
  Wed, Dec 17 183 Youngstown St. W 80-77 OT 58%     -3.1   7 - 4 2 - 1 -1.4 +10.2 -11.4
  Sat, Dec 20 361 @St. Francis (PA) W 79-70 83%     1.9   8 - 4 -3.6 +8.7 -11.4
  Mon, Dec 29 200 Northern Kentucky L 77-79 63%     0.6   8 - 5 2 - 2 -7.7 +0.7 -8.4
  Fri, Jan 2 275 @Detroit Mercy W 72-71 54%    
  Sun, Jan 4 143 @Oakland L 76-82 28%    
  Sun, Jan 11 217 Purdue Fort Wayne W 77-73 65%    
  Thu, Jan 15 356 @IU Indianapolis W 88-79 80%    
  Sat, Jan 17 200 @Northern Kentucky L 72-75 41%    
  Thu, Jan 22 195 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-72 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 287 Green Bay W 75-68 75%    
  Wed, Jan 28 356 IU Indianapolis W 91-76 92%    
  Sat, Jan 31 217 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-76 44%    
  Wed, Feb 4 141 Wright St. L 70-71 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 183 @Youngstown St. L 68-72 35%    
  Thu, Feb 12 325 @Cleveland St. W 79-74 66%    
  Sun, Feb 15 143 Oakland L 78-79 49%    
  Sun, Feb 22 141 @Wright St. L 67-73 29%    
  Wed, Feb 25 275 Detroit Mercy W 75-68 74%    
  Sat, Feb 28 325 Cleveland St. W 82-71 84%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 2.0 3.1 1.8 0.4 0.1 7.9 1st
2nd 0.7 3.8 4.8 1.7 0.3 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.5 6.3 2.2 0.2 13.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 4.2 7.4 2.8 0.1 14.9 4th
5th 0.3 3.2 7.0 3.4 0.3 14.2 5th
6th 0.3 2.1 6.4 4.0 0.4 0.0 13.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 4.9 3.6 0.6 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.9 2.5 0.5 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.3 4.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.5 3.4 7.0 10.3 14.3 16.3 16.4 13.6 9.2 4.9 2.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-4 85.3% 1.8    1.3 0.4 0.0
15-5 61.9% 3.1    1.3 1.3 0.4
14-6 22.1% 2.0    0.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.2% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.9% 7.9 3.6 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.1% 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 27.3% 27.3% 13.3 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-4 2.1% 30.3% 30.3% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.5
15-5 4.9% 21.9% 21.9% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 3.9
14-6 9.2% 19.2% 19.2% 14.3 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.0 7.4
13-7 13.6% 13.6% 13.6% 14.6 0.0 0.7 1.0 0.1 11.8
12-8 16.4% 11.5% 11.5% 14.9 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.3 14.5
11-9 16.3% 7.8% 7.8% 15.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 15.0
10-10 14.3% 4.6% 4.6% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 13.6
9-11 10.3% 2.7% 2.7% 15.8 0.1 0.2 10.0
8-12 7.0% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.8
7-13 3.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3
6-14 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.5
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.8% 9.8% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.8 3.2 4.5 1.3 90.2 0.0%