IU Indianapolis
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.4 325
Results Rating -12.1 339
Consistency 0.14 135
Pace 81.6 3
Improvement +4.7 28

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 262 C- C- C+ F D+
Defense D- 346 F+ F B F F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 322 C+ 61% 106 -2.3 267
2 Pt. Jumpers 46% 88 C+ 39% 126 +1.2 113
Three Pointers 44% 120 D 31% 289 -0.2 186
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.7 277 C -0.7 196
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 213
Second Chance D+ 27.6% 259 C+ 1.05 142 C- 0.29 223
Turnovers C+ 16.1% 135
Freethrows F 0.18 365 C 72% 202 F 0.13 365
Total Offense D+ -3.6 262

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B 56% 63 B 8.2% 44
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 45% 9 C- 6.0% 255
Three Pointers B 90% 53 C+ 0.7% 146
Total B+ 65% 31 B 4.4% 54

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% 5 D- 65% 336 +8.4 364
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 350 C+ 37% 113 -2.7 10
Three Pointers 38% 259 D- 38% 333 +0.9 226
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ +1.5 362 D- +4.9 345
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.15 354
Second Chance F+ 36.4% 351 F+ 1.18 351 F 0.43 361
Turnovers B 19.2% 48
Freethrows F 0.40 359 D 75% 304 F 0.30 359
Total Defense D- -6.8 346

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 189 D 7.8% 310
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 34% 313 C 5.4% 138
Three Pointers C- 85% 226 D- 0.0% 351
Total C- 58% 236 D+ 4.5% 269

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 74 15.7 5
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 138 0.28 365
Consistency 0.13 241 0.10 26
Improvement +1.1 133 +3.6 35

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 336 325 312
Results Rating Rank 349 336 322
Conference Record 3 - 17 4 - 16 5 - 15
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Oakland (Home) - 25.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 73 - 10
Quad 43 - 146 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 33 @Ohio St. L 102 - 118 1% -13  1% 0 - 1 C +2 A +14 A B+ B F -10 F D- A
 Thu, Nov 6 221 LIU Brooklyn L 90 - 94 35% +1  53% 0 - 2 D -10 D -4 D B- B- D -5 F F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 75 @Butler L 80 - 112 4% -14  7% 0 - 3 F -21 F -10 D- F+ D+ D+ -4 C+ F A
 Fri, Nov 14 249 @Eastern Michigan W 90 - 83 21% +3  69% 1 - 3 B- +5 B +6 A A+ F C- -2 A- F D+
 Tue, Nov 18 268 @Charleston Southern L 91 - 103 24% -13  14% 1 - 4 F+ -15 C +1 D+ C+ A+ F -14 F F B
 Fri, Nov 21 312 Alabama St. L 80 - 101 46% -9  6% 1 - 5 F -30 F+ -8 B F F F -20 F F+ C+
 Sun, Nov 23 351 @Air Force L 85 - 98 51% -2  39% 1 - 6 F -24 D+ -3 D- B+ D+ F -19 F F D
 Sat, Nov 29 280 Morehead St. W 85 - 80 47% +2  60% 2 - 6 C- -5 F+ -10 B F D+ B +4 B- B A+
 Wed, Dec 3 254 @Detroit Mercy L 78 - 92 21% -10  9% 2 - 7 0 - 1 F+ -16 C- -1 C- C C F -15 C F D-
 Sat, Dec 6 192 Youngstown St. L 55 - 78 30% -13  0% 2 - 8 0 - 2 F -28 F -19 F F C+ F+ -10 F F A
 Thu, Dec 11 229 Green Bay L 75 - 85 36% -1  47% 2 - 9 0 - 3 F+ -17 F -10 F B- B- D -6 D D- B+
 Mon, Dec 22 62 @Grand Canyon L 78 - 91 3% -8  2% 2 - 10 C -1 B +7 B+ A+ D+ D- -7 F F B+
 Mon, Dec 29 315 @Cleveland St. L 86 - 99 35% -10  2% 2 - 11 0 - 4 F -20 D -5 F C B F -14 F+ F C-
 Thu, Jan 1 199 @Northern Kentucky L 72 - 81 15% +3  64% 2 - 12 0 - 5 D -8 D+ -3 D+ B D+ D -5 F D D+
 Sun, Jan 4 164 Wright St. L 77 - 81 25% -5  10% 2 - 13 0 - 6 D+ -7 C+ +2 C+ C+ C+ F+ -9 D F A+
 Fri, Jan 9 229 @Green Bay L 59 - 75 18% -9  21% 2 - 14 0 - 7 F+ -17 F -22 F F B- B+ +5 C D+ A+
 Sun, Jan 11 274 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 83 - 95 25% +0  56% 2 - 15 0 - 8 F+ -15 B- +5 C D+ B+ F -21 F F B-
 Thu, Jan 15 170 Robert Morris W 96 - 93 OT 25% -2  23% 3 - 15 1 - 8 C -1 B +7 A- F A+ D- -8 F F+ A
 Sat, Jan 17 254 Detroit Mercy L 77 - 80 41% +1  53% 3 - 16 1 - 9 D -11 F+ -9 D B D- C- -2 C+ C- B
 Wed, Jan 21 171 @Oakland W 103 - 85 12% +8  84% 4 - 16 2 - 9 A +20 A+ +23 A+ A B- C- -3 B- F C
 Wed, Jan 28 170 @Robert Morris L 58 - 74 12% -5  10% 4 - 17 2 - 10 D- -14 D- -7 C- F+ C- F+ -9 F+ F B
 Fri, Jan 30 192 @Youngstown St. L 76 - 85 14% +1  63% 4 - 18 2 - 11 D+ -8 C- -1 D+ A- C- D -6 F B A-
 Sat, Feb 7 315 Cleveland St. W 82 - 74 58% +13  98% 5 - 18 3 - 11 C- -5 F -11 C F D B+ +6 B- B+ B-
 Tue, Feb 10 274 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 88 - 92 46% +2  58% 5 - 19 3 - 12 D- -13 C- -2 D+ D- A+ F -11 B- F B-
 Thu, Feb 12 199 Northern Kentucky L 81 - 84 31% +6  81% 5 - 20 3 - 13 D -8 C+ +3 C+ D A F -11 F C- A-
 Sun, Feb 15 258 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 78 - 83 22% -6  20% 5 - 21 3 - 14 D+ -7 D+ -4 D D- B C- -3 F A D-
 Thu, Feb 19 164 @Wright St. L 73 - 85 12% -4  11% 5 - 22 3 - 15 D -9 D+ -4 C F A D -5 F A A-
 Wed, Feb 25 171 Oakland L 86 - 93 25%
 Sat, Feb 28 258 Purdue Fort Wayne L 83 - 85 43%
Totals 6 - 23 4 - 16 -10 D+ -4 D C D+ D- -7 D C F



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C+ C+ D C 33% 46% 44% D+ C- D+ C+ C- C+ F C F D- D- C+ D- D- 48% 14% 38% F+ F+ F+ F+ F B F D F
1.04 61% 39% 31% -1 -1 0.99 28% 1.1 .29 16% .18 72% .13 1.18 65% 37% 38% +5 +1 1.15 36% 1.2 .43 19% .40 75% .13
Nov
3		 Ohio St. A A+ A+ D A+ 21% 27% 52% C- A C A+ B+ B C- D+ C- F F F F F 43% 15% 41% F F F B D- A F D+ F
1.19 71% 67% 29% +7 -2 1.12 29% 1.3 .38 15% .27 70% .19 1.37 85% 57% 42% +20 +1 1.43 46% 1.0 .46 20% .77 79% .61
Nov
6		 LIU Brooklyn D D- A+ F D- 45% 15% 39% C+ D D+ A+ B- B- F A D- D F A F F 56% 25% 18% D F D- F F A+ F+ A+ C+
1.04 50% 50% 27% -6 +1 0.92 31% 1.3 .40 16% .25 78% .19 1.09 77% 29% 40% +10 +1 1.24 39% 1.2 .48 27% .35 50% .17
Nov
8		 Butler F C F F F+ 48% 23% 29% C+ D- C F F+ D+ C- B C D+ F C+ A+ C+ 52% 13% 35% D C+ F F F A F B F
0.89 58% 25% 25% -7 0 0.88 28% 0.6 .16 19% .20 73% .15 1.24 74% 38% 19% 0 +2 1.07 56% 1.3 .73 19% .59 67% .40
Nov
14		 Eastern Michigan B B D- A+ A 48% 16% 36% B A C A+ A+ F F B F C- B A+ B- A- 33% 28% 39% C+ A- F D- F D+ F+ D+ F+
1.15 63% 33% 45% +7 +1 1.20 29% 1.7 .48 23% .21 77% .17 1.06 53% 25% 32% -7 -1 0.86 40% 1.1 .44 17% .32 76% .24
Nov
18		 Charleston Southern C A- F F D+ 38% 23% 39% C+ D+ D A+ C+ A+ F F F F F F D+ F 33% 7% 60% C F D F F B F A- F
1.10 65% 25% 26% -5 0 0.91 24% 1.3 .33 5% .26 60% .15 1.25 78% 75% 36% +11 +1 1.27 33% 1.5 .48 21% .46 60% .28
Nov
21		 Alabama St. F+ D F+ A+ B+ 19% 12% 69% D B F F F F F F F F F+ F F F 50% 13% 38% F F B- F F+ C+ F F F
1.00 55% 29% 44% +9 0 1.19 23% 0.9 .20 22% .13 50% .06 1.26 64% 71% 43% +12 +2 1.30 28% 1.3 .34 19% .37 83% .31
Nov
23		 Air Force D+ B- F F+ F+ 37% 17% 46% B- D- C A+ B+ D+ D B- D+ F F F F F 53% 5% 42% F F D+ F F D B- F D
1.08 64% 30% 30% -2 0 0.98 30% 1.3 .40 16% .27 72% .20 1.24 69% 67% 43% +13 +3 1.35 26% 1.4 .37 19% .27 82% .22
Nov
29		 Morehead St. F+ A+ F C B 29% 11% 60% C- B F C+ F D+ F A- F B D- A+ A B 47% 22% 31% F+ B- D A+ B A+ F D- F
1.04 83% 29% 34% +6 +1 1.16 18% 1.0 .18 16% .13 78% .10 0.98 65% 18% 27% -4 0 0.94 38% 0.7 .26 27% .54 78% .42
Dec
3		 Detroit Mercy C- B- B- D- C- 32% 17% 51% D+ C- C+ D C C F F F F C+ A+ F B- 45% 25% 30% F C F F F D- F F F
1.10 63% 40% 30% -1 0 1.00 34% 1.0 .34 14% .20 58% .11 1.29 54% 15% 44% -3 0 0.96 41% 1.7 .71 13% .39 88% .34
Dec
6		 Youngstown St. F C D F F 33% 28% 39% D- F C- F F C+ C D- C- F+ F+ B- F F 50% 13% 37% D- F F B F A F A+ D+
0.82 60% 31% 17% -12 -1 0.76 30% 0.5 .16 18% .35 68% .24 1.17 70% 33% 41% +9 +2 1.24 45% 0.9 .41 24% .35 61% .22
Dec
11		 Green Bay F D- C- F F 28% 26% 46% D- F F+ A+ B- B- A- B- A- D C D F F+ 36% 20% 43% B- D D+ F+ D- B+ F F F
1.03 53% 36% 24% -9 -1 0.81 23% 1.8 .40 12% .41 77% .31 1.16 56% 44% 42% +6 0 1.14 26% 1.3 .32 19% .53 84% .44
Dec
22		 Grand Canyon B A+ A D A 13% 35% 52% F B+ B A+ A+ D+ F+ F F D- C+ F F F 54% 17% 29% F+ F F F+ F B+ F F F
1.04 86% 47% 29% +3 -4 1.00 30% 1.7 .52 20% .25 60% .15 1.21 58% 50% 43% +6 +2 1.17 43% 1.3 .54 20% .50 87% .43
Dec
29		 Cleveland St. D A+ C F F 31% 17% 53% D+ F D+ B+ C B B- F C- F F D- A- F+ 44% 15% 42% D- F+ F F F C- F F F
1.13 89% 40% 16% -4 0 0.93 33% 1.2 .40 13% .33 68% .23 1.30 81% 43% 30% +8 +1 1.21 34% 1.3 .45 17% .56 86% .48
Jan
1		 Northern Kentucky D+ A+ B D+ C+ 15% 31% 54% F D+ C A B D+ F A+ F D B+ A+ F F 42% 8% 50% D- F B- F D D+ F A+ D-
1.02 75% 44% 32% +3 -3 1.02 33% 1.3 .43 21% .11 100% .11 1.15 50% 0% 50% +5 +2 1.17 27% 1.3 .36 16% .42 60% .25
Jan
4		 Wright St. C+ F A+ A+ B 35% 33% 33% F C+ B D C+ C+ F F F F+ B F F C 62% 5% 32% F D F+ F F A+ F F+ F
1.15 42% 56% 44% +5 -2 1.09 35% 0.9 .32 16% .20 64% .12 1.21 52% 50% 42% +1 +4 1.11 38% 2.2 .83 25% .50 80% .40
Jan
9		 Green Bay F F F+ F F 25% 23% 52% D F F D+ F B- F D- F B+ C- D+ B C+ 49% 16% 36% D C D- B- D+ A+ F D- F
0.82 47% 29% 23% -14 -1 0.72 21% 1.1 .23 12% .16 70% .11 1.04 59% 43% 31% 0 +1 1.04 29% 1.0 .29 22% .46 81% .37
Jan
11		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee B- C- A+ D C- 48% 14% 38% B- C C- C- D+ B+ F A+ D F F F C F 53% 6% 41% F F F F F B- F B F
1.20 57% 63% 32% +2 +2 1.09 28% 1.1 .31 13% .23 93% .22 1.37 78% 67% 33% +12 +3 1.31 48% 1.4 .66 17% .44 64% .28
Jan
15		 Robert Morris B C B- A+ A 46% 27% 27% D+ A- B- F F A+ A+ C- A+ D- B- F F F 44% 12% 44% F F C- F F+ A F F F
1.22 58% 40% 53% +8 0 1.18 33% 0.5 .15 10% .49 74% .37 1.18 52% 50% 48% +8 +2 1.21 37% 1.3 .48 23% .44 78% .35
Jan
17		 Detroit Mercy F+ B- A+ F D- 42% 11% 47% B- D C+ B+ B D- F D+ F C- D+ A+ B B 44% 24% 32% F C+ D B- C- B F F F
1.03 63% 50% 22% -5 +2 0.95 34% 1.2 .42 17% .16 70% .11 1.07 59% 25% 31% -4 0 0.94 36% 0.8 .31 19% .49 87% .43
Jan
21		 Oakland A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 25% 42% 33% F A+ A+ C+ A B- F F+ F C- A+ A+ F B+ 49% 8% 43% F B- D F F C F A+ F
1.44 80% 64% 50% +24 -4 1.43 48% 1.0 .48 14% .05 67% .03 1.19 42% 0% 43% -5 +2 0.96 34% 1.5 .53 14% .49 63% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Robert Morris D- D C- B C- 39% 22% 39% D+ C- D- F F+ C- F F F F+ B- B F D- 46% 13% 41% F F+ F C+ F B A- F C+
0.97 53% 36% 37% -1 0 1.00 23% 0.8 .17 17% .10 60% .06 1.24 52% 33% 47% +5 +2 1.15 47% 1.1 .50 20% .17 88% .15
Jan
30		 Youngstown St. C- D+ F A- D+ 39% 24% 37% C- D+ D- A+ A- C- F A+ F D F F F F 35% 7% 58% D F C A- B A- F F F
1.04 57% 23% 40% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.7 .43 19% .17 90% .15 1.16 73% 67% 40% +13 +2 1.30 29% 0.9 .25 23% .52 86% .44
Feb
7		 Cleveland St. F C- F A+ C- 46% 13% 41% B C F F F D C- F D- B+ F F A+ B+ 34% 6% 60% F B- C A+ B+ B- D B- D+
1.09 62% 29% 43% +6 +2 1.18 24% 0.8 .18 17% .29 67% .19 0.99 72% 67% 25% -2 +2 1.02 26% 0.7 .18 20% .37 73% .27
Feb
10		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee C- A+ F C+ C- 38% 21% 41% D D+ D- D+ D- A+ D- C+ D F D A+ A+ B+ 50% 17% 33% F B- F F F B- F F F
1.14 74% 8% 36% +1 0 1.03 24% 1.1 .26 9% .28 75% .21 1.19 61% 25% 20% -8 +1 0.89 39% 1.6 .61 17% .64 76% .48
Feb
12		 Northern Kentucky C+ D+ A+ B+ C+ 52% 24% 24% C C+ A- F D A F A+ D F F A+ F F 47% 16% 38% D+ F F A- C- A- F A F
1.15 54% 54% 38% +3 +1 1.09 42% 0.7 .31 16% .25 80% .20 1.19 71% 14% 47% +10 +1 1.24 38% 0.8 .32 21% .54 63% .34
Feb
15		 Purdue Fort Wayne D+ A- D- D D+ 29% 17% 53% D D C- F D- B D A+ C- C- C- B- F F+ 70% 11% 19% F F B- A+ A D- F A+ D-
1.04 71% 30% 32% +1 0 1.03 33% 0.8 .28 17% .23 86% .19 1.11 61% 33% 50% +6 +4 1.20 18% 0.6 .11 12% .45 47% .21
Feb
19		 Wright St. D+ A A F C+ 38% 29% 33% D C F F F A F+ A- D- D D F F F 54% 24% 22% D+ F F+ A+ A A- F F F
1.02 71% 50% 22% +3 -1 1.05 17% 0.8 .13 13% .22 79% .18 1.19 64% 55% 40% +9 +1 1.22 37% 0.6 .22 21% .48 85% .41



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 43.3 45.7 11.0 100.0 11th
Total 43.3 45.7 11.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 11.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.9
4-16 45.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 45.6
3-17 43.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 43.3
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 99.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%
Lose Out 32.0%