IU Indianapolis
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -14.1 #356
Expected Predictive Rating -13.6 #340
Pace 90.1 #1
Improvement -3.2 #337

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #309 C F C C+ C-
Defense #361 F F F B- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #326 1.28 #66 -1.8 #243
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #186 0.77 #157 +0.0 #177
Three Pointers 48% #51 0.89 #298 +0.8 #154
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #205 -1.1 #204
Freethrows 12.5 #350 68% #300 8.5 #351
Second Chance 26.9% #277 1.16 #65 0.31 #186
Turnovers 16.1% #144
Total Offense -5.3 #309

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #27 1.40 #360 -9.4 #364
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #293 0.77 #210 +1.3 #94
Three Pointers 38% #262 1.08 #270 +0.3 #180
1st FG Attempt 1.17 #355 -7.8 #355
Freethrows 22.0 #344 78% #349 17.1 #355
Second Chance 37.7% #352 1.24 #343 0.47 #362
Turnovers 18.4% #84
Total Defense -8.8 #361

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.8% #243 2.1% #330
Shot Type Make Effect -1.5% #199 13% #347
Possession Length 14.9 #25 15.5 #11
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #92 0.32 #365
Improvement -1.8 #302 -1.5 #286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 84.7% 68.9% 86.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Away) - 9.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 91 - 13
Quad 43 - 135 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 30 @Ohio St. L 102-118 1%     -12.5   0 - 1 +1.4 +17.2 -12.9
  Thu, Nov 6 202 LIU Brooklyn L 90-94 22%     0.7   0 - 2 -9.9 -3.2 -5.9
  Sat, Nov 8 50 @Butler L 80-112 1%     -13.5   0 - 3 -18.2 -5.2 -5.8
  Fri, Nov 14 207 @Eastern Michigan W 90-83 10%     3.2   1 - 3 +6.9 +8.4 -2.3
  Tue, Nov 18 221 @Charleston Southern L 91-103 11%     -13.0   1 - 4 -12.6 +4.6 -15.4
  Fri, Nov 21 294 Alabama St. L 80-101 26%     -9.5   1 - 5 -28.5 -8.4 -17.5
  Sun, Nov 23 324 @Air Force L 85-98 24%     -2.2   1 - 6 -19.8 +2.1 -20.4
  Sat, Nov 29 306 Morehead St. W 85-80 40%     2.1   2 - 6 -6.4 -4.4 -2.8
  Wed, Dec 3 275 @Detroit Mercy L 78-92 16%     -9.7   2 - 7 0 - 1 -17.4 +2.2 -19.4
  Sat, Dec 6 183 Youngstown St. L 55-78 18%     -13.1   2 - 8 0 - 2 -27.4 -15.5 -13.0
  Thu, Dec 11 287 Green Bay L 75-85 33%     -1.2   2 - 9 0 - 3 -19.7 -8.3 -11.0
  Mon, Dec 22 89 @Grand Canyon L 78-91 2%     -8.2   2 - 10 -3.5 +6.4 -9.0
  Mon, Dec 29 325 @Cleveland St. L 86-99 25%     -9.6   2 - 11 0 - 4 -19.9 -0.3 -18.5
  Thu, Jan 1 200 @Northern Kentucky L 81-95 9%    
  Sun, Jan 4 141 Wright St. L 77-89 13%    
  Fri, Jan 9 287 @Green Bay L 79-89 17%    
  Sun, Jan 11 195 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 80-95 8%    
  Thu, Jan 15 197 Robert Morris L 79-88 20%    
  Sat, Jan 17 275 Detroit Mercy L 83-88 33%    
  Wed, Jan 21 143 @Oakland L 85-103 5%    
  Sun, Jan 25 217 Purdue Fort Wayne L 85-93 23%    
  Wed, Jan 28 197 @Robert Morris L 76-91 8%    
  Fri, Jan 30 183 @Youngstown St. L 75-91 8%    
  Sat, Feb 7 325 Cleveland St. L 90-91 46%    
  Thu, Feb 12 200 Northern Kentucky L 84-92 22%    
  Sun, Feb 15 217 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 82-96 11%    
  Thu, Feb 19 141 @Wright St. L 74-92 5%    
  Wed, Feb 25 143 Oakland L 88-100 14%    
  Sat, Feb 28 195 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 83-92 21%    
Projected Record 5 - 24 3 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.1 3.6 9th
10th 0.2 2.1 5.2 6.4 4.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 20.3 10th
11th 8.2 19.4 22.4 15.5 6.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 74.8 11th
Total 8.2 19.7 24.5 20.8 13.5 7.5 3.4 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0% 0.0
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11 0.2% 0.2
8-12 0.6% 0.6
7-13 1.6% 1.6
6-14 3.4% 3.4
5-15 7.5% 7.5
4-16 13.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.5
3-17 20.8% 20.8
2-18 24.5% 24.5
1-19 19.7% 19.7
0-20 8.2% 8.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 7.5%