Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.9#328
Expected Predictive Rating-13.5#343
Pace73.6#68
Improvement-1.7#286

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#236
First Shot-0.8#190
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#279
Layup/Dunks-3.8#309
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#331
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#33
Freethrows+0.2#165
Improvement-2.2#328

Defense
Total Defense-7.4#354
First Shot-8.0#362
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#146
Layups/Dunks-3.9#311
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#223
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#325
Freethrows+0.3#152
Improvement+0.5#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 0.7% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 5.3% 9.9% 2.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.5% 15.5% 33.5%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Home) - 38.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 91 - 14
Quad 46 - 97 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 274 @Loyola Chicago L 88-91 25%     0 - 1 -6.0 +9.0 -14.9
  Mon, Nov 10 61 @Northwestern L 63-110 3%     0 - 2 -35.0 -8.1 -24.5
  Sat, Nov 15 123 Kent St. L 95-102 13%     0 - 3 -4.5 +14.6 -18.6
  Sun, Nov 16 259 Radford W 87-82 33%     1 - 3 -0.4 -2.0 +0.9
  Wed, Nov 19 215 Valparaiso L 75-90 37%     1 - 4 -21.6 +1.4 -23.1
  Sat, Nov 22 123 @Kent St. L 71-91 8%     1 - 5 -14.5 -7.7 -4.7
  Fri, Nov 28 47 @Missouri L 59-86 2%     1 - 6 -13.0 -10.2 -2.6
  Wed, Dec 3 199 @Northern Kentucky L 80-95 16%     1 - 7 0 - 1 -14.3 +6.0 -19.9
  Sat, Dec 6 296 Detroit Mercy L 59-71 51%     1 - 8 0 - 2 -22.2 -12.9 -10.6
  Wed, Dec 17 114 @UAB L 77-101 7%     1 - 9 -17.6 +2.0 -18.3
  Sun, Dec 21 222 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 80-83 39%    
  Mon, Dec 29 356 IU Indianapolis W 95-88 75%    
  Sun, Jan 4 217 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 78-87 19%    
  Fri, Jan 9 135 @Oakland L 79-94 9%    
  Sun, Jan 11 296 @Detroit Mercy L 75-81 30%    
  Thu, Jan 15 264 Green Bay L 76-77 46%    
  Sat, Jan 17 164 Youngstown St. L 73-79 28%    
  Wed, Jan 21 153 @Wright St. L 71-84 11%    
  Fri, Jan 30 264 @Green Bay L 73-80 25%    
  Sun, Feb 1 222 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 77-86 21%    
  Wed, Feb 4 135 Oakland L 82-91 22%    
  Sat, Feb 7 356 @IU Indianapolis W 92-91 54%    
  Thu, Feb 12 183 Robert Morris L 74-79 32%    
  Sun, Feb 15 153 Wright St. L 74-81 25%    
  Wed, Feb 18 164 @Youngstown St. L 70-82 13%    
  Sun, Feb 22 217 Purdue Fort Wayne L 81-84 38%    
  Wed, Feb 25 199 Northern Kentucky L 77-82 34%    
  Sat, Feb 28 183 @Robert Morris L 71-82 16%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 1.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.3 0.3 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.2 0.5 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.6 3.9 1.1 0.1 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.1 6.8 5.7 1.7 0.2 19.8 9th
10th 0.1 2.2 7.4 11.5 11.4 6.3 1.9 0.2 41.1 10th
11th 0.6 2.8 5.1 4.9 2.9 0.8 0.1 17.2 11th
Total 0.6 3.0 7.3 12.4 15.6 16.6 14.5 11.7 8.2 4.9 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0%
15-5 57.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 26.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 4.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 3.8% 3.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1
13-7 0.2% 7.6% 7.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-8 0.7% 9.3% 9.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6
11-9 1.5% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.1 1.5
10-10 2.8% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 2.7
9-11 4.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 4.8
8-12 8.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.1
7-13 11.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.6
6-14 14.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.5
5-15 16.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.5
4-16 15.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.6
3-17 12.4% 12.4
2-18 7.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.3
1-19 3.0% 3.0
0-20 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%