Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#259
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#267
Pace68.1#207
Improvement-1.5#276

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#316
First Shot-8.1#354
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#49
Layup/Dunks-1.8#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#35
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.3#358
Freethrows-0.1#189
Improvement-0.7#239

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#176
First Shot-0.4#185
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#177
Layups/Dunks-1.1#210
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#48
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#147
Freethrows-2.2#306
Improvement-0.8#253
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.7% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 22.7% 32.2% 14.1%
.500 or above in Conference 39.2% 52.0% 27.6%
Conference Champion 1.9% 3.1% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 8.6% 3.6% 13.1%
First Four1.0% 1.0% 1.1%
First Round2.6% 3.2% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Away) - 47.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 410 - 712 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 16   @ Michigan L 53-101 2%     0 - 1 -29.9 -13.1 -13.7
  Nov 09, 2024 59   @ Kansas St. L 64-77 6%     0 - 2 -0.6 -1.8 +1.0
  Nov 12, 2024 247   @ Valparaiso W 75-67 35%     1 - 2 +6.5 +1.8 +4.9
  Nov 16, 2024 299   Eastern Michigan W 71-63 68%     2 - 2 -2.3 -2.5 +0.7
  Nov 19, 2024 112   @ Minnesota L 47-58 13%     2 - 3 -4.5 -17.6 +12.3
  Nov 23, 2024 110   Kent St. L 52-68 28%     2 - 4 -15.4 -14.0 -2.6
  Nov 26, 2024 347   NJIT W 56-53 82%     3 - 4 -12.3 -19.4 +7.3
  Nov 29, 2024 266   Morehead St. L 69-71 63%     3 - 5 -10.9 -6.6 -4.4
  Dec 05, 2024 172   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-79 23%     3 - 6 0 - 1 -9.8 -1.4 -9.4
  Dec 07, 2024 310   @ Green Bay L 73-74 47%    
  Dec 19, 2024 144   Oakland L 63-66 37%    
  Dec 29, 2024 136   Wright St. L 70-74 36%    
  Jan 04, 2025 356   IU Indianapolis W 75-64 84%    
  Jan 08, 2025 275   @ Robert Morris L 66-68 42%    
  Jan 11, 2025 229   @ Youngstown St. L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 15, 2025 216   Northern Kentucky W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 19, 2025 356   @ IU Indianapolis W 72-67 67%    
  Jan 22, 2025 298   Detroit Mercy W 71-66 67%    
  Jan 25, 2025 310   Green Bay W 76-71 69%    
  Jan 30, 2025 150   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 68-77 21%    
  Feb 05, 2025 216   @ Northern Kentucky L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 08, 2025 172   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 12, 2025 275   Robert Morris W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 16, 2025 229   Youngstown St. W 67-66 54%    
  Feb 21, 2025 298   @ Detroit Mercy L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 23, 2025 144   @ Oakland L 60-69 20%    
  Feb 27, 2025 136   @ Wright St. L 67-77 19%    
  Mar 01, 2025 150   Purdue Fort Wayne L 71-74 40%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 1.4 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.1 0.7 0.1 5.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 3.1 3.2 0.9 0.1 8.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 4.1 4.3 1.3 0.1 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.6 5.5 1.7 0.1 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 5.0 5.7 2.1 0.2 14.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.5 5.2 5.7 2.0 0.2 0.0 14.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.6 4.4 1.5 0.2 13.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.2 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.9 3.7 6.3 9.1 11.9 13.6 13.6 12.7 10.1 7.3 4.7 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 95.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 81.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 52.8% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1
14-6 18.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
13-7 3.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 15.7% 15.7% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.5% 18.5% 18.5% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-5 1.2% 15.9% 15.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-6 2.6% 12.5% 12.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.3
13-7 4.7% 10.1% 10.1% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 4.2
12-8 7.3% 6.1% 6.1% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 6.8
11-9 10.1% 5.6% 5.6% 15.7 0.2 0.4 9.5
10-10 12.7% 3.2% 3.2% 15.8 0.1 0.3 12.3
9-11 13.6% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 13.3
8-12 13.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.5
7-13 11.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.8
6-14 9.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.0
5-15 6.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.3
4-16 3.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.7
3-17 1.9% 1.9
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.8 96.9 0.0%