Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#181
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#149
Pace61.9#339
Improvement+0.2#60

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#216
First Shot-3.2#277
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#72
Layup/Dunks+3.0#83
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#82
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#318
Freethrows-3.3#342
Improvement+0.0#172

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#164
First Shot+3.5#72
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#333
Layups/Dunks+0.6#167
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#124
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#60
Freethrows-1.8#281
Improvement+0.2#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.9% 18.5% 12.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 87.9% 96.0% 85.5%
.500 or above in Conference 92.7% 95.7% 91.8%
Conference Champion 23.0% 29.3% 21.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.3% 0.8% 1.5%
First Round13.3% 18.2% 11.8%
Second Round0.6% 1.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kent St. (Home) - 22.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 8
Quad 415 - 318 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 82   @ Cincinnati L 58-69 16%     0 - 1 -1.2 -3.9 +1.4
  Nov 12, 2022 161   @ Ohio L 70-81 34%     0 - 2 -7.8 +4.2 -13.1
  Nov 16, 2022 289   @ Canisius W 58-57 OT 61%     1 - 2 -2.9 -17.0 +14.2
  Nov 18, 2022 337   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 67-58 89%     2 - 2 -5.6 -9.0 +3.6
  Nov 23, 2022 352   Chicago St. W 77-63 92%     3 - 2 -2.6 +4.0 -4.5
  Nov 26, 2022 316   @ Western Michigan W 71-49 68%     4 - 2 +16.1 +3.5 +15.8
  Dec 01, 2022 312   Oakland W 80-64 84%     5 - 2 1 - 0 +4.4 +1.4 +3.9
  Dec 03, 2022 179   Detroit Mercy W 92-77 61%     6 - 2 2 - 0 +11.2 +9.7 +1.0
  Dec 07, 2022 120   @ St. Bonaventure L 42-61 25%     6 - 3 -12.8 -20.8 +5.4
  Dec 10, 2022 48   Kent St. L 61-69 23%    
  Dec 18, 2022 111   @ Loyola Marymount L 62-70 23%    
  Dec 29, 2022 138   @ Youngstown St. L 67-73 28%    
  Dec 31, 2022 240   @ Robert Morris L 63-64 50%    
  Jan 05, 2023 235   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 07, 2023 361   Green Bay W 72-53 96%    
  Jan 14, 2023 359   @ IUPUI W 71-58 88%    
  Jan 16, 2023 184   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 63-66 40%    
  Jan 19, 2023 228   @ Northern Kentucky L 59-60 48%    
  Jan 21, 2023 212   @ Wright St. L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 27, 2023 184   Purdue Fort Wayne W 66-63 62%    
  Jan 29, 2023 359   IUPUI W 74-55 95%    
  Feb 02, 2023 179   @ Detroit Mercy L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 04, 2023 312   @ Oakland W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 10, 2023 240   Robert Morris W 67-61 71%    
  Feb 12, 2023 138   Youngstown St. L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 17, 2023 212   Wright St. W 71-67 65%    
  Feb 19, 2023 228   Northern Kentucky W 62-57 69%    
  Feb 23, 2023 361   @ Green Bay W 69-56 88%    
  Feb 25, 2023 235   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-68 49%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 13 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 2.1 5.5 6.9 5.1 2.4 0.8 0.1 23.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 3.0 7.4 6.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 19.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.4 7.4 5.1 1.0 0.1 16.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 5.9 4.6 0.7 0.0 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.5 4.2 0.6 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.7 0.8 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 2.6 0.7 0.0 5.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.4 0.5 0.0 3.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 4.1 7.0 10.5 13.5 15.7 15.3 12.7 9.2 5.3 2.4 0.8 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8
18-2 99.8% 2.4    2.3 0.1
17-3 94.9% 5.1    4.3 0.8 0.0
16-4 74.8% 6.9    4.4 2.2 0.2
15-5 43.3% 5.5    2.1 2.5 0.8 0.1
14-6 13.6% 2.1    0.3 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0
13-7 1.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 23.0% 23.0 14.3 6.4 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 54.4% 52.9% 1.5% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.1%
19-1 0.8% 46.0% 46.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4
18-2 2.4% 39.0% 39.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5
17-3 5.3% 30.9% 30.9% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.0 3.7
16-4 9.2% 24.5% 24.5% 14.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.1 6.9
15-5 12.7% 19.1% 19.1% 14.7 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.3 10.3
14-6 15.3% 15.3% 15.3% 15.1 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.7 12.9
13-7 15.7% 11.5% 11.5% 15.4 0.2 0.9 0.8 13.9
12-8 13.5% 7.6% 7.6% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 12.5
11-9 10.5% 5.3% 5.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 10.0
10-10 7.0% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 6.7
9-11 4.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 4.0
8-12 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 2.0
7-13 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8
6-14 0.3% 0.3
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 13.9% 13.9% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.8 5.4 3.4 86.1 0.0%