Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#166
Expected Predictive Rating-1.2#204
Pace65.1#280
Improvement-1.2#268

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#186
First Shot+0.5#166
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#241
Layup/Dunks+4.3#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#307
Freethrows+1.0#112
Improvement-0.4#227

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#158
First Shot-1.4#227
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#76
Layups/Dunks+6.4#17
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.0#353
Freethrows+1.0#127
Improvement-0.8#255
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.1% 19.6% 12.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 77.7% 84.5% 64.3%
.500 or above in Conference 86.9% 91.9% 77.0%
Conference Champion 23.6% 29.9% 11.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 1.4%
First Four1.0% 0.7% 1.6%
First Round16.6% 19.1% 11.7%
Second Round1.2% 1.4% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Home) - 66.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 32 - 43 - 8
Quad 415 - 518 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 20   @ BYU L 59-69 6%     0 - 1 +7.4 -0.2 +6.6
  Nov 13, 2021 76   Ohio L 56-67 35%     0 - 2 -7.1 -13.7 +5.9
  Nov 20, 2021 284   Canisius W 80-70 81%     1 - 2 +0.5 +1.9 -1.4
  Nov 22, 2021 307   Coppin St. W 65-62 85%     2 - 2 -8.1 -14.0 +5.7
  Dec 02, 2021 197   Northern Kentucky W 68-63 66%    
  Dec 04, 2021 205   Wright St. W 74-69 68%    
  Dec 13, 2021 32   @ Oklahoma St. L 60-75 9%    
  Dec 18, 2021 5   @ Duke L 60-81 2%    
  Dec 21, 2021 137   @ Kent St. L 64-69 32%    
  Dec 30, 2021 336   @ IUPUI W 66-57 79%    
  Jan 01, 2022 252   @ Illinois-Chicago W 68-66 56%    
  Jan 05, 2022 274   Purdue Fort Wayne W 76-67 80%    
  Jan 07, 2022 290   @ Robert Morris W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 09, 2022 279   @ Youngstown St. W 70-67 62%    
  Jan 13, 2022 124   Oakland W 68-67 50%    
  Jan 15, 2022 231   Detroit Mercy W 74-68 72%    
  Jan 21, 2022 279   Youngstown St. W 73-64 80%    
  Jan 23, 2022 290   Robert Morris W 76-66 81%    
  Jan 28, 2022 205   @ Wright St. L 71-72 45%    
  Jan 30, 2022 197   @ Northern Kentucky L 65-66 44%    
  Feb 04, 2022 301   Green Bay W 73-62 83%    
  Feb 06, 2022 264   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 71-62 77%    
  Feb 10, 2022 252   Illinois-Chicago W 71-63 76%    
  Feb 12, 2022 336   IUPUI W 69-54 91%    
  Feb 14, 2022 274   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 73-70 62%    
  Feb 18, 2022 264   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 68-65 59%    
  Feb 20, 2022 301   @ Green Bay W 70-65 65%    
  Feb 24, 2022 231   @ Detroit Mercy W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 26, 2022 124   @ Oakland L 64-70 29%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 14 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 2.9 4.9 5.6 5.3 2.8 0.9 0.3 23.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.0 6.0 5.1 2.2 0.6 0.0 21.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.2 4.9 4.8 2.6 0.5 0.1 15.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.0 4.7 3.8 1.1 0.2 12.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 3.4 2.3 0.7 0.1 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 2.7 1.6 0.5 0.0 6.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.1 0.3 3.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.0 0.4 2.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 1.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.3 3.5 5.0 6.0 7.5 10.1 11.5 11.7 11.7 10.5 7.9 5.9 2.9 0.9 0.3 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
21-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9
20-2 99.2% 2.8    2.6 0.2
19-3 89.7% 5.3    4.4 0.8
18-4 71.0% 5.6    4.0 1.5 0.1
17-5 46.4% 4.9    2.6 1.9 0.4
16-6 25.0% 2.9    1.2 1.2 0.5 0.0
15-7 6.3% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 23.6% 23.6 16.2 6.0 1.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.3% 42.5% 42.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
21-1 0.9% 55.7% 55.7% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4
20-2 2.9% 40.9% 40.9% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 1.7
19-3 5.9% 36.7% 36.7% 13.8 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.0 3.7
18-4 7.9% 30.0% 30.0% 14.1 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.6 0.0 5.6
17-5 10.5% 26.0% 26.0% 14.5 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.1 7.8
16-6 11.7% 20.1% 20.1% 14.9 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.4 9.4
15-7 11.7% 17.1% 17.1% 15.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.7 9.7
14-8 11.5% 13.3% 13.3% 15.5 0.1 0.6 0.8 10.0
13-9 10.1% 10.2% 10.2% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 9.0
12-10 7.5% 8.7% 8.7% 15.9 0.1 0.6 6.8
11-11 6.0% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 5.6
10-12 5.0% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.2 4.8
9-13 3.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.5
8-14 2.3% 2.3
7-15 1.2% 1.2
6-16 0.7% 0.7
5-17 0.3% 0.3
4-18 0.2% 0.2
3-19 0.0% 0.0
2-20 0.0% 0.0
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 17.1% 17.1% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.9 5.8 3.9 82.9 0.0%