Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
172 Merrimack 23.2%   16   21 - 10 17 - 3 -1.0      -1.2 193 +0.2 161 61.3 347 +1.0 145 +4.0 1
196 Marist 15.5%   17 - 11 12 - 8 -2.2      -6.5 333 +4.4 62 65.4 262 -3.3 221 -4.1 4
206 Siena 19.1%   20 - 11 13 - 7 -2.5      -1.2 196 -1.3 215 63.5 315 -2.4 206 -3.0 3
214 Quinnipiac 12.0%   18 - 12 12 - 8 -3.1      -3.8 273 +0.8 146 74.2 42 -2.0 195 -4.3 5
229 St. Peter's 13.9%   16 - 11 14 - 6 -3.8      -3.6 263 -0.2 177 64.1 299 -2.6 209 -0.9 2
243 Iona 4.6%   18 - 13 10 - 10 -4.5      -3.8 271 -0.7 198 72.1 87 -3.3 223 -7.1 8
263 Fairfield 4.2%   18 - 12 11 - 9 -5.8      -2.0 227 -3.8 284 67.6 206 -3.6 229 -5.2 6
272 Mount St. Mary's 5.8%   14 - 16 11 - 9 -6.1      -6.4 330 +0.3 160 68.8 172 -5.9 256 -5.5 7
287 Sacred Heart 1.2%   12 - 18 9 - 11 -7.2      -1.2 197 -6.0 329 71.3 105 -8.0 292 -8.0 9
325 Manhattan 0.4%   11 - 19 8 - 12 -10.5      -2.6 242 -7.9 354 69.5 149 -9.4 315 -9.1 10
332 Niagara 0.0%   7 - 22 5 - 15 -11.6      -6.0 323 -5.5 321 58.7 365 -13.2 346 -12.8 12
340 Canisius 0.0%   9 - 21 5 - 15 -12.2      -9.0 353 -3.1 268 62.1 338 -11.1 333 -12.7 11
356 Rider 0.0%   3 - 25 3 - 17 -15.2      -8.4 347 -6.8 344 64.7 279 -18.7 359 -16.0 13


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Fri, Feb 27 340 Canisius 67 172 Merrimack 62   
Fri, Feb 27 332 Niagara 78 214 Quinnipiac 76   
Fri, Feb 27 272 Mount St. Mary's 69 287 Sacred Heart 77   
Fri, Feb 27 263 Fairfield 72 206 Siena 58   
Fri, Feb 27 243 Iona 80 356 Rider 58   
Fri, Feb 27 325 Manhattan 65 229 St. Peter's 75   
Sun, Mar 1 196 Marist 56 229 St. Peter's 63   
Sun, Mar 1 340 Canisius 63 214 Quinnipiac 67   
Sun, Mar 1 243 Iona 69 325 Manhattan 65   
Sun, Mar 1 172 Merrimack 73 332 Niagara 66   
Sun, Mar 1 356 Rider 61 206 Siena 76   
Sun, Mar 1 263 Fairfield 47 272 Mount St. Mary's 69   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Mar 5 243 Iona 80 287 Sacred Heart 77 60%   
Thu, Mar 5 263 Fairfield 80 325 Manhattan 75 68%   
Sat, Mar 7 196 Marist 68 214 Quinnipiac 67 53%   
Sat, Mar 7 272 Mount St. Mary's 67 206 Siena 70 64%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Merrimack 1.0 100.0
St. Peter's 2.0 100.0
Siena 3.0 100.0
Marist 4.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 4.0 100.0
Fairfield 6.0 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 6.0 100.0
Iona 8.0 100.0
Sacred Heart 9.0 100.0
Manhattan 10.0 100.0
Canisius 11.0 100.0
Niagara 11.0 100.0
Rider 13.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Merrimack 17 - 3 21 - 10 100.0
St. Peter's 14 - 6 16 - 11 100.0
Siena 13 - 7 21 - 11 100.0
Marist 12 - 8 18 - 11 100.0
Quinnipiac 12 - 8 18 - 13 100.0
Fairfield 11 - 9 19 - 12 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 11 - 9 14 - 17 100.0
Iona 10 - 10 19 - 13 100.0
Sacred Heart 9 - 11 12 - 19 100.0
Manhattan 8 - 12 11 - 20 100.0
Canisius 5 - 15 9 - 21 100.0
Niagara 5 - 15 7 - 22 100.0
Rider 3 - 17 3 - 25 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Merrimack 100.0% 100.0
St. Peter's
Siena
Marist
Quinnipiac
Fairfield
Mount St. Mary's
Iona
Sacred Heart
Manhattan
Canisius
Niagara
Rider


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Merrimack 23.2% 23.2% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.5 8.0 13.6 1.1 76.8 0.0%
Marist 15.5% 15.5% 0.0% 0.1 2.9 10.3 2.3 84.5 0.0%
Siena 19.1% 19.1% 0.0% 0.1 3.7 12.8 2.5 80.9 0.0%
Quinnipiac 12.0% 12.0% 0.0% 0.0 1.8 7.9 2.3 88.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 13.9% 13.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 7.1 6.2 86.1 0.0%
Iona 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 0.2 2.5 1.9 95.4 0.0%
Fairfield 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.8 2.4 95.8 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 0.1 5.7 94.2 0.0%
Sacred Heart 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 1.2 98.8 0.0%
Manhattan 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4 99.6 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.7% 1.0 4.3 95.7
2nd Round 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Merrimack 23.2% 0.0% 23.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 15.5% 0.1% 15.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 19.1% 0.1% 19.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 12.0% 0.1% 11.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 13.9% 1.2% 13.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iona 4.6% 0.3% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 4.2% 0.5% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 5.8% 4.4% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%