Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
170 Merrimack 56.1%   15   23 - 10 17 - 3 -0.6      -1.7 214 +1.1 136 61.1 349 +1.4 134 +3.8 1
201 Siena 43.9%   22 - 11 13 - 7 -2.2      -1.2 195 -1.0 205 63.1 323 -2.0 197 -3.2 3
202 Marist 0.0%   18 - 12 12 - 8 -2.2      -6.6 334 +4.5 60 65.8 253 -3.3 225 -4.2 4
214 Quinnipiac 0.0%   18 - 13 12 - 8 -3.1      -3.6 265 +0.4 153 74.5 35 -2.6 209 -4.4 5
242 St. Peter's 0.0%   16 - 12 14 - 6 -4.7      -4.2 282 -0.6 194 64.1 299 -3.4 227 -0.9 2
250 Iona 0.0%   18 - 14 10 - 10 -5.1      -3.7 270 -1.5 221 72.0 84 -4.0 232 -7.3 8
258 Fairfield 0.0%   20 - 13 11 - 9 -5.4      -2.5 239 -2.9 260 67.5 205 -3.6 229 -5.4 6
273 Mount St. Mary's 0.0%   14 - 17 11 - 9 -6.3      -6.7 335 +0.3 159 68.6 173 -6.3 262 -5.7 7
286 Sacred Heart 0.0%   13 - 19 9 - 11 -7.3      -1.1 193 -6.2 334 70.6 118 -7.7 292 -8.1 9
329 Manhattan 0.0%   11 - 20 8 - 12 -10.9      -3.3 259 -7.6 350 69.5 149 -9.8 319 -9.3 10
334 Niagara 0.0%   7 - 22 5 - 15 -11.7      -6.1 320 -5.6 322 58.8 365 -13.3 344 -13.0 12
339 Canisius 0.0%   9 - 21 5 - 15 -12.4      -9.1 353 -3.3 272 62.2 337 -11.3 334 -12.9 11
356 Rider 0.0%   3 - 25 3 - 17 -15.4      -8.4 346 -7.0 345 64.8 279 -18.9 360 -16.2 13


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Mar 5 250 Iona 80 286 Sacred Heart 91   
Thu, Mar 5 258 Fairfield 71 329 Manhattan 60   
Fri, Mar 6 258 Fairfield 74 242 St. Peter's 55   
Fri, Mar 6 170 Merrimack 70 286 Sacred Heart 48   
Sat, Mar 7 202 Marist 77 214 Quinnipiac 75   
Sat, Mar 7 273 Mount St. Mary's 58 201 Siena 63   
Sun, Mar 8 202 Marist 57 170 Merrimack 58   
Sun, Mar 8 258 Fairfield 61 201 Siena 76   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Tue, Mar 10 170 Merrimack 67 201 Siena 65 56%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Merrimack 1.0 100.0
St. Peter's 2.0 100.0
Siena 3.0 100.0
Marist 4.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 4.0 100.0
Fairfield 6.0 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 6.0 100.0
Iona 8.0 100.0
Sacred Heart 9.0 100.0
Manhattan 10.0 100.0
Canisius 11.0 100.0
Niagara 11.0 100.0
Rider 13.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Merrimack 17 - 3 24 - 10 100.0
St. Peter's 14 - 6 16 - 12 100.0
Siena 13 - 7 22 - 12 100.0
Marist 12 - 8 18 - 12 100.0
Quinnipiac 12 - 8 18 - 13 100.0
Fairfield 11 - 9 20 - 13 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 11 - 9 14 - 17 100.0
Iona 10 - 10 18 - 14 100.0
Sacred Heart 9 - 11 13 - 19 100.0
Manhattan 8 - 12 11 - 20 100.0
Canisius 5 - 15 9 - 21 100.0
Niagara 5 - 15 7 - 22 100.0
Rider 3 - 17 3 - 25 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Merrimack 100.0% 100.0
St. Peter's
Siena
Marist
Quinnipiac
Fairfield
Mount St. Mary's
Iona
Sacred Heart
Manhattan
Canisius
Niagara
Rider


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Merrimack 56.1% 56.1% 0.0% 15   0.0 1.2 20.0 32.3 2.6 43.9 0.0%
Siena 43.9% 43.9% 0.0% 0.0 4.0 25.6 14.3 56.1 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Iona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 98.9% 1.0 1.1 98.9
2nd Round 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Merrimack 56.1% 0.1% 56.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 43.9% 2.7% 42.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%