Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.1#168
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#158
Pace64.0#316
Improvement-1.5#297

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#175
First Shot-2.7#256
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#61
Layup/Dunks+4.2#50
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.4#361
Freethrows-0.5#204
Improvement-0.7#246

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#185
First Shot-1.5#224
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#129
Layups/Dunks-5.2#337
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#62
Freethrows+0.8#136
Improvement-0.8#264
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.0% 20.2% 15.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 14.7
.500 or above 93.6% 96.9% 89.2%
.500 or above in Conference 91.7% 93.8% 88.8%
Conference Champion 25.3% 28.9% 20.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Four0.7% 0.6% 0.9%
First Round17.7% 19.9% 14.7%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Away) - 57.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 43 - 6
Quad 419 - 622 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 306 Bryant W 82-66 82%     1 - 0 +5.1 +10.2 -4.3
  Fri, Nov 7 250 @Brown W 62-46 54%     2 - 0 +14.0 -5.0 +19.8
  Wed, Nov 12 119 @St. Bonaventure L 66-75 25%     2 - 1 -2.9 +2.7 -6.5
  Mon, Nov 17 191 Colgate L 69-72 65%     2 - 2 -8.0 -0.9 -7.4
  Fri, Nov 21 313 Albany W 73-63 83%     3 - 2 -1.2 +6.7 -6.3
  Mon, Nov 24 332 @Holy Cross W 73-69 71%     4 - 2 -2.7 +2.0 -4.3
  Fri, Nov 28 261 Longwood W 70-63 67%     5 - 2 +1.4 -3.1 +4.8
  Sat, Nov 29 269 @American W 73-71 57%    
  Sun, Nov 30 326 Maine W 68-60 77%    
  Fri, Dec 5 333 Niagara W 72-60 87%    
  Sun, Dec 7 346 Canisius W 73-60 90%    
  Wed, Dec 17 169 @Vermont L 69-72 40%    
  Mon, Dec 22 21 @Indiana L 61-80 4%    
  Fri, Jan 2 166 @Iona L 74-77 39%    
  Sun, Jan 4 342 @Rider W 72-65 74%    
  Fri, Jan 9 264 Merrimack W 71-63 76%    
  Sun, Jan 11 297 @Mount St. Mary's W 71-68 62%    
  Wed, Jan 14 258 Sacred Heart W 79-72 74%    
  Sat, Jan 17 315 @Manhattan W 77-73 65%    
  Mon, Jan 19 287 Fairfield W 77-68 79%    
  Thu, Jan 22 150 Marist W 64-62 57%    
  Fri, Jan 30 333 @Niagara W 69-63 70%    
  Sun, Feb 1 346 @Canisius W 70-63 75%    
  Thu, Feb 5 166 Iona W 77-74 60%    
  Sat, Feb 7 293 @St. Peter's W 68-65 61%    
  Fri, Feb 13 189 Quinnipiac W 75-71 63%    
  Sun, Feb 15 150 @Marist L 61-65 36%    
  Fri, Feb 20 264 @Merrimack W 68-66 56%    
  Sun, Feb 22 293 St. Peter's W 71-62 79%    
  Fri, Feb 27 287 @Fairfield W 74-71 60%    
  Sun, Mar 1 342 Rider W 75-62 87%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.1 6.7 6.5 4.2 2.0 0.4 25.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.6 6.4 4.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 19.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.3 5.5 2.3 0.5 0.0 15.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 4.6 4.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.3 3.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.8 0.8 0.0 6.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.2 0.8 0.1 4.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.6 0.1 2.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.2 3.9 6.3 8.8 11.2 12.8 14.1 13.0 11.1 7.6 4.4 2.0 0.4 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
19-1 99.8% 2.0    1.9 0.0
18-2 96.0% 4.2    3.8 0.4 0.0
17-3 85.6% 6.5    5.0 1.4 0.1
16-4 59.8% 6.7    3.8 2.4 0.5 0.0
15-5 31.3% 4.1    1.6 1.7 0.7 0.1
14-6 9.9% 1.4    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 25.3% 25.3 16.8 6.4 1.7 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.4% 55.4% 55.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
19-1 2.0% 41.6% 41.6% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1
18-2 4.4% 38.2% 38.2% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 2.7
17-3 7.6% 34.2% 34.2% 14.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.6 0.0 5.0
16-4 11.1% 28.1% 28.1% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.2 0.1 8.0
15-5 13.0% 22.7% 22.7% 14.6 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.5 0.3 10.1
14-6 14.1% 18.7% 18.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.5 11.5
13-7 12.8% 13.9% 13.9% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.6 11.0
12-8 11.2% 10.3% 10.3% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 10.1
11-9 8.8% 6.8% 6.8% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 8.2
10-10 6.3% 4.6% 4.6% 15.8 0.1 0.2 6.0
9-11 3.9% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.8
8-12 2.2% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 2.2
7-13 1.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.2
6-14 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 18.0% 18.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.3 5.8 6.5 2.9 82.0 0.0%