Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#156
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#122
Pace64.8#302
Improvement-0.8#243

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#199
First Shot-2.1#233
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#124
Layup/Dunks+1.5#126
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.0#355
Freethrows+0.0#178
Improvement-1.1#278

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#134
First Shot+0.5#152
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#142
Layups/Dunks-4.1#311
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#260
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#37
Freethrows+1.0#119
Improvement+0.3#154
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.1% 24.8% 19.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.4
.500 or above 99.3% 99.9% 98.8%
.500 or above in Conference 97.5% 98.2% 97.0%
Conference Champion 31.0% 35.2% 27.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round22.0% 24.8% 19.6%
Second Round1.0% 1.2% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Away) - 45.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 34 - 6
Quad 420 - 423 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 289 Bryant W 82-66 83%     1 - 0 +5.9 +10.8 -4.1
  Fri, Nov 7 210 @Brown W 62-46 51%     2 - 0 +15.7 -4.0 +20.6
  Wed, Nov 12 105 @St. Bonaventure L 66-75 25%     2 - 1 -2.0 +2.8 -5.6
  Mon, Nov 17 178 Colgate L 69-72 66%     2 - 2 -7.3 -0.7 -6.8
  Fri, Nov 21 327 Albany W 73-63 88%     3 - 2 -2.7 +4.7 -5.9
  Mon, Nov 24 288 @Holy Cross W 73-69 65%     4 - 2 -0.1 +3.4 -3.1
  Fri, Nov 28 291 Longwood W 70-63 75%     5 - 2 -0.2 -4.1 +4.2
  Sat, Nov 29 242 @American W 59-55 56%     6 - 2 +2.3 -13.7 +16.1
  Sun, Nov 30 316 Maine W 64-60 79%     7 - 2 -4.7 +1.4 -5.5
  Fri, Dec 5 350 Niagara W 83-54 92%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +13.3 +10.2 +5.1
  Sun, Dec 7 354 Canisius W 74-52 93%     9 - 2 2 - 0 +5.7 +1.4 +6.3
  Wed, Dec 17 189 @Vermont L 69-70 45%    
  Mon, Dec 22 22 @Indiana L 62-80 4%    
  Fri, Jan 2 170 @Iona L 72-74 41%    
  Sun, Jan 4 344 @Rider W 69-60 79%    
  Fri, Jan 9 268 Merrimack W 70-61 79%    
  Sun, Jan 11 306 @Mount St. Mary's W 72-67 68%    
  Wed, Jan 14 281 Sacred Heart W 79-70 80%    
  Sat, Jan 17 314 @Manhattan W 76-71 69%    
  Mon, Jan 19 302 Fairfield W 75-64 84%    
  Thu, Jan 22 162 Marist W 64-61 62%    
  Fri, Jan 30 350 @Niagara W 70-60 81%    
  Sun, Feb 1 354 @Canisius W 70-60 83%    
  Thu, Feb 5 170 Iona W 75-71 63%    
  Sat, Feb 7 304 @St. Peter's W 68-63 68%    
  Fri, Feb 13 157 Quinnipiac W 74-71 61%    
  Sun, Feb 15 162 @Marist L 61-64 41%    
  Fri, Feb 20 268 @Merrimack W 67-64 59%    
  Sun, Feb 22 304 St. Peter's W 71-60 83%    
  Fri, Feb 27 302 @Fairfield W 72-67 67%    
  Sun, Mar 1 344 Rider W 72-57 91%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 3.3 7.3 9.1 6.9 3.1 0.6 31.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 4.5 8.0 6.5 2.7 0.3 0.0 23.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 4.3 6.8 4.4 1.1 0.1 17.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 3.7 5.1 2.9 0.6 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.0 1.3 0.2 7.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.8 0.8 0.0 4.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.9 5.5 8.5 11.7 15.0 16.3 14.9 11.8 7.3 3.1 0.6 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
19-1 99.5% 3.1    3.0 0.1
18-2 95.3% 6.9    5.8 1.1 0.0
17-3 76.8% 9.1    6.1 2.7 0.2 0.0
16-4 48.7% 7.3    3.4 3.1 0.7 0.1
15-5 20.5% 3.3    0.9 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0
14-6 4.4% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 31.0% 31.0 19.9 8.8 2.0 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.6% 53.0% 53.0% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
19-1 3.1% 43.2% 43.2% 13.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.8
18-2 7.3% 36.5% 36.5% 13.4 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.1 0.2 4.6
17-3 11.8% 32.7% 32.7% 13.8 0.1 1.2 1.9 0.7 0.0 7.9
16-4 14.9% 26.6% 26.6% 14.1 0.0 0.7 2.0 1.2 0.0 10.9
15-5 16.3% 24.0% 24.0% 14.4 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.6 0.1 12.4
14-6 15.0% 18.4% 18.4% 14.7 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.2 12.3
13-7 11.7% 15.0% 15.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.3 10.0
12-8 8.5% 10.8% 10.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 7.6
11-9 5.5% 7.5% 7.5% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 5.0
10-10 2.9% 4.2% 4.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 2.8
9-11 1.5% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 1.4
8-12 0.7% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6
7-13 0.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 22.1% 22.1% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.9 4.4 8.4 7.1 1.3 77.9 0.0%