Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -10.1 323
Expected Predictive Rating -9.4 312
Pace 69.4 161
Improvement +1.9 114

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- #232 D D+ C+ C+ C-
Defense D- #357 D- F D+ B C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 238 51% 327 -3.7 309
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 127 41% 86 +1.6 91
Three Pointers 41% 194 31% 286 -1.8 246
1st FG Attempt 0.94 303 -3.8 302
Second Chance 26.7% 291 1.01 190 0.27 269
Turnovers 16.0% 122
Freethrows 0.29 228 80% 3 0.23 133
Total Offense -2.3 232

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 145 61% 274 -2.2 258
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 218 41% 283 +0.0 191
Three Pointers 41% 180 39% 344 -2.9 305
1st FG Attempt 1.12 330 -5.1 330
Second Chance 37.7% 359 1.12 303 0.42 356
Turnovers 15.2% 291
Freethrows 0.24 25 74% 293 0.18 36
Total Defense -7.8 357

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.4 249 +0.3 224
Shot Type Accuracy -3.4 300 +4.7 334
Possession Length 17.7 224 16.4 39
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 300 0.19 242
Improvement -0.2 #199 +2.1 #76

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 6.2% 12.7% 1.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Niagara (Away) - 43.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 410 - 1111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 46 @USC L 83 - 114 2% -16  1% 0 - 1 F+ -17 B- +4 C+ D A- F -16 C+ F D
 Wed, Nov 12 204 Utah Tech W 79 - 75 24% +3  77% 1 - 1 C +1 B+ +8 B B+ D D -7 B+ F F+
 Fri, Nov 14 102 @Hawaii L 56 - 86 6% -15  1% 1 - 2 F -22 F -14 C- F C D- -7 C+ F F
 Sat, Nov 15 365 Mississippi Valley W 80 - 73 90% +5  85% 2 - 2 F+ -17 C+ +2 C+ A- F+ F -19 F F C-
 Fri, Nov 21 29 @Texas A&M L 68 - 109 1% -21  0% 2 - 3 F -23 D+ -4 B- F+ D+ F -17 F C- F+
 Wed, Nov 26 332 Wagner L 101 - 103 OT 65% +8  85% 2 - 4 F+ -16 B+ +7 C- B+ B F -23 F F C-
 Sat, Nov 29 339 @Army L 78 - 81 OT 43% -3  9% 2 - 5 D- -11 D- -6 F C+ C+ D+ -5 F C- B
 Fri, Dec 5 263 Fairfield W 70 - 66 45% +4  86% 3 - 5 1 - 0 C- -5 F -13 F+ F F A- +9 B B- A
 Sun, Dec 7 159 @Marist L 68 - 80 12% -3  15% 3 - 6 1 - 1 D -9 D -6 C F C C- -3 C F+ D
 Sat, Dec 13 167 @Fordham L 53 - 82 13% -11  0% 3 - 7 F -27 F -15 F D+ B F -14 F F C
 Thu, Dec 18 174 Furman L 68 - 75 27% -2  18% 3 - 8 D -11 F+ -8 D+ D+ D C- -3 D D- A-
 Sun, Dec 21 272 Presbyterian W 87 - 81 46% +3  63% 4 - 8 C- -3 B +6 A- D A- F+ -10 D F+ F+
 Mon, Dec 29 354 @Rider W 74 - 71 53% -2  10% 5 - 8 2 - 1 D+ -8 C- -2 F C+ D D -6 D+ F C
 Fri, Jan 2 194 Quinnipiac W 80 - 79 32% -8  5% 6 - 8 3 - 1 C- -4 C+ +2 B F B D -6 C+ F A-
 Sun, Jan 4 184 @Merrimack L 66 - 73 14% -4  13% 6 - 9 3 - 2 D+ -5 D -4 D+ F A C -1 F B+ D-
 Fri, Jan 9 346 Canisius L 64 - 70 69% +1  49% 6 - 10 3 - 3 F -21 F -14 F+ F C- D- -8 D+ D F
 Sun, Jan 11 337 Niagara W 79 - 70 66% -1  43% 7 - 10 4 - 3 D+ -5 A- +11 F A+ A+ F -15 F B D
 Wed, Jan 14 263 @Fairfield L 62 - 98 24% -20  0% 7 - 11 4 - 4 F -39 F -18 F D- D- F -20 F D- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 181 Siena L 59 - 74 29% -12  0% 7 - 12 4 - 5 F -19 F -12 F D- A D- -9 F B B
 Mon, Jan 19 194 @Quinnipiac L 92 - 98 OT 16% +1  44% 7 - 13 4 - 6 D+ -5 B+ +7 C- C+ A- F -12 F+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 24 245 @Iona L 57 - 66 21% -8  0% 7 - 14 4 - 7 D -11 F -14 F D C- B- +2 C C C+
 Fri, Jan 30 354 Rider W 95 - 90 74% +2  72% 8 - 14 5 - 7 D- -12 A+ +14 A D+ B- F -26 F F F
 Sun, Feb 1 290 @Mount St. Mary's L 65 - 72 29% -4  1% 8 - 15 5 - 8 D- -12 D- -6 F B+ B- D -6 A- F D
 Thu, Feb 5 230 St. Peter's L 75 - 80 37% -7  0% 8 - 16 5 - 9 D- -12 B +7 D A+ C F -19 C F F
 Sat, Feb 7 287 Sacred Heart W 80 - 68 51% -2  28% 9 - 16 6 - 9 C+ +2 D -4 D- F B+ B +6 B+ C- D-
 Fri, Feb 13 337 @Niagara L 69 - 71 43%
 Sun, Feb 15 346 @Canisius L 71 - 72 46%
 Fri, Feb 20 159 Marist L 67 - 74 26%
 Fri, Feb 27 230 @St. Peter's L 68 - 77 19%
 Sun, Mar 1 245 Iona L 77 - 79 41%
Totals 11 - 19 8 - 12 -10 C- -2 D D+ C+ D- -8 D- F D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D- B- D+ D 36% 23% 41% C- D D+ C D+ C+ C- A C+ D- D+ D+ F+ D- 40% 19% 41% C- D- F D F D+ B+ D+ B
1.05 51% 41% 31% -3 0 0.94 27% 1.0 .27 16% .29 80% .23 1.20 61% 41% 39% +5 0 1.12 38% 1.1 .42 15% .24 74% .22
Nov
9		 USC B- F+ A+ D+ C+ 42% 19% 38% B- C+ D+ F+ D A- A+ A- A+ F D+ A+ F+ B- 48% 23% 30% D+ C+ F F F D D+ D+ D
1.01 45% 60% 30% -3 0 0.96 24% 0.7 .17 15% .51 81% .41 1.39 66% 21% 39% +2 0 1.07 52% 1.3 .65 15% .46 75% .34
Nov
12		 Utah Tech B+ C- C A+ B 52% 17% 30% C+ B B+ B- B+ D A A+ A+ D A- C C+ B+ 38% 15% 46% C- B+ F D- F F+ D+ A+ C+
1.22 58% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.13 38% 1.1 .41 19% .38 85% .32 1.16 50% 38% 33% -4 +1 0.96 43% 1.0 .43 12% .26 60% .16
Nov
14		 Hawaii F D+ F A+ D+ 57% 25% 19% B- C- F F F C B- F D D- B+ A+ F C+ 55% 13% 32% D- C+ F D- F F F+ C F+
0.77 50% 15% 40% -8 +1 0.87 15% 0.2 .03 17% .33 50% .17 1.19 52% 0% 47% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.2 .47 14% .42 73% .30
Nov
15		 Mississippi Valley C+ A- A+ C C+ 27% 12% 61% C C+ A C- A- F+ A+ A- A+ F C F A- F 27% 43% 31% B- F F F F C- B+ F D+
1.25 73% 60% 36% +9 0 1.20 48% 1.2 .56 20% .62 81% .51 1.14 54% 62% 27% +6 -4 1.06 35% 1.8 .61 20% .21 100% .21
Nov
21		 Texas A&M D+ C D A+ B 37% 24% 39% C- B- F F+ F+ D+ B F D+ F F A- F F 44% 5% 52% D+ F A+ F C- F+ A- C A-
0.91 56% 33% 42% +3 -1 1.06 19% 0.7 .14 21% .32 58% .19 1.46 74% 33% 47% +17 +2 1.40 25% 1.4 .36 11% .26 76% .20
Nov
26		 Wagner B+ F A+ A+ C 37% 23% 40% D C- B B+ B+ B A+ B A+ F F F F F 60% 12% 29% F F F A- F C- F D F
1.30 33% 54% 48% +3 0 1.07 36% 1.2 .43 12% .51 77% .39 1.33 65% 50% 60% +17 +3 1.40 48% 0.9 .45 18% .42 74% .31
Nov
29		 Army D- C F F F 34% 22% 44% D+ F F A+ C+ C+ F+ A+ C- D+ B A+ F F 45% 9% 47% D F C D C- B A+ F A
1.05 60% 23% 27% -7 -1 0.86 23% 1.8 .40 14% .27 88% .23 1.10 50% 0% 48% +3 +2 1.12 29% 1.0 .29 20% .10 100% .10
Dec
5		 Fairfield F D- A F F 52% 12% 36% B- F+ D- F F F A- A- A+ A- B- D A B- 25% 28% 47% A B F A+ B- A A+ F A
0.97 50% 50% 28% -6 +2 0.94 24% 0.8 .18 21% .37 81% .30 0.91 50% 44% 26% -6 -2 0.86 43% 0.7 .28 21% .12 86% .10
Dec
7		 Marist D D- C B C+ 35% 33% 33% D C F F F C B B+ B+ C- D+ D A- C+ 35% 15% 50% F C F B- F+ D C+ A+ B
0.90 50% 35% 35% -3 -2 0.92 20% 0.5 .10 19% .39 75% .29 1.06 62% 44% 27% -3 0 0.97 36% 1.1 .38 16% .24 67% .16
Dec
13		 Fordham F F C- F F 32% 32% 36% D+ F F A+ D+ B F A+ C- F C+ F F+ F 36% 29% 35% B+ F F C+ F C A+ D A+
0.81 41% 35% 21% -13 -2 0.72 16% 1.5 .24 14% .16 100% .16 1.26 55% 75% 37% +11 -1 1.22 50% 0.9 .43 18% .08 75% .06
Dec
18		 Furman F+ A- C- F C- 28% 30% 43% D- D+ B- F+ D+ D B- D+ C+ C- C D- D D+ 42% 8% 50% D- D F C+ D- A- C+ A+ A+
0.98 67% 38% 26% -3 -2 0.93 33% 0.9 .29 17% .28 69% .19 1.08 62% 50% 36% +4 +2 1.14 39% 0.9 .36 24% .27 36% .10
Dec
21		 Presbyterian B A A B A 42% 15% 44% C+ A- D+ D D A- C+ C+ C+ F+ C+ B F D 46% 20% 34% D- D D- D F+ F+ A+ F A
1.23 70% 50% 38% +9 +1 1.22 27% 0.9 .24 11% .32 70% .22 1.14 56% 33% 40% +1 +1 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 16% .18 82% .15
Dec
29		 Rider C- F A+ C- F 40% 17% 43% D F A- D- C+ D A+ A+ A+ D B- C B- C- 44% 22% 34% F D+ F D F C B- A B
1.13 32% 75% 35% -4 +1 0.96 41% 0.9 .36 15% .49 78% .38 1.08 50% 36% 29% -6 0 0.90 45% 1.0 .45 18% .24 62% .15
Jan
2		 Quinnipiac C+ C A+ C B 40% 23% 38% D+ B D- F F B D+ A+ B+ D F A+ D C- 26% 38% 36% A+ C+ F F F A- A+ F B-
1.12 57% 58% 35% +5 0 1.11 26% 0.7 .18 15% .26 94% .25 1.10 71% 20% 37% -2 -3 0.92 38% 1.7 .65 21% .18 100% .18
Jan
4		 Merrimack D F A+ F D 51% 28% 21% C D+ F F+ F A F A+ F C F F B+ F 41% 8% 51% D F A C B+ D- C A+ B
0.98 41% 56% 25% -6 0 0.89 31% 0.8 .26 13% .14 88% .12 1.09 75% 50% 28% +3 +2 1.12 17% 1.0 .17 13% .34 65% .22
Jan
9		 Canisius F C+ F B- F+ 36% 28% 36% D- F+ F+ F F C- F A+ F+ D- D+ D+ A D 42% 29% 29% C+ D+ F B- D F D+ F F
0.96 63% 20% 37% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.4 .11 17% .18 90% .16 1.05 55% 40% 27% -4 -1 0.92 35% 0.9 .30 14% .31 83% .26
Jan
11		 Niagara A- C F F F 44% 29% 27% D+ F B- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ F C+ F F F 49% 9% 43% F+ F D- A+ B D A- F B
1.31 60% 31% 25% -5 -1 0.91 37% 1.7 .63 8% .38 90% .34 1.16 52% 75% 50% +11 +2 1.28 28% 0.5 .14 17% .14 86% .12
Jan
14		 Fairfield F F C F F 40% 26% 34% F+ F F+ C- D- D- A+ B+ A+ F F F F F 34% 25% 41% B F C- F+ D- D+ F A- F+
0.86 40% 38% 18% -15 -1 0.70 23% 1.0 .23 18% .41 79% .32 1.36 68% 57% 48% +17 -1 1.34 34% 1.1 .38 14% .36 64% .23
Jan
17		 Siena F F A+ F F 31% 19% 50% C F D- D+ D- A D- D- F+ D- C D+ F F 35% 22% 43% D F C- A B B A+ A+ A+
0.94 44% 60% 23% -8 0 0.85 24% 0.9 .22 13% .22 67% .15 1.18 59% 45% 57% +17 -1 1.35 32% 0.8 .25 19% .06 33% .02
Jan
19		 Quinnipiac B+ F D+ A+ C- 47% 22% 32% C C- C B- C+ A- B A+ A+ F C+ D- F F 40% 22% 38% C- F+ F F F C- F B F
1.15 46% 31% 47% -1 0 1.02 33% 1.1 .36 14% .33 91% .30 1.22 55% 42% 43% +5 0 1.11 44% 1.3 .59 16% .48 66% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Iona F F A+ F F 34% 19% 47% D+ F D D+ D C- C A+ B B- F+ C- B- C- 26% 21% 53% A- C F A+ C C+ D- F+ F+
0.88 39% 50% 16% -17 0 0.68 30% 0.9 .28 17% .28 80% .22 1.02 67% 40% 32% +1 -1 1.02 35% 0.7 .24 19% .30 75% .23
Jan
30		 Rider A+ B+ F A+ A 37% 10% 53% C- A D+ C- D+ B- A A+ A+ F F B- F F 48% 23% 29% F F F F F F F B- F
1.41 67% 20% 50% +14 +1 1.33 31% 1.0 .31 12% .37 95% .35 1.34 68% 33% 40% +6 0 1.15 39% 1.2 .45 9% .49 67% .33
Feb
1		 Mount St. Mary's D- F+ A+ F F 25% 17% 58% C- F D+ A+ B+ B- F A+ F+ D A- B A- A- 40% 21% 38% B A- F F F D B F D
0.99 46% 56% 23% -9 -1 0.83 26% 1.5 .39 12% .23 85% .19 1.10 47% 30% 28% -10 0 0.83 39% 1.6 .64 20% .27 93% .25
Feb
5		 St. Peter's B D+ A- F+ D+ 27% 22% 51% D- D A A A+ C A+ A- A+ F B F A C 38% 22% 40% C- C F D- F F C+ F C-
1.20 55% 44% 29% -4 -1 0.93 46% 1.3 .57 19% .52 81% .42 1.28 47% 55% 25% -6 0 0.90 44% 1.1 .49 6% .31 83% .26
Feb
7		 Sacred Heart D D- B- C D- 39% 21% 40% D D- F D F B+ B A+ A+ B D A- A+ A- 30% 20% 50% B- B+ A- F C- D- B F C+
1.13 55% 42% 35% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.0 .19 11% .32 90% .29 0.96 63% 27% 26% -7 -1 0.87 21% 1.4 .28 15% .23 86% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.2 5th
6th 0.3 1.8 0.4 2.5 6th
7th 0.3 4.3 2.8 0.1 7.5 7th
8th 0.2 4.9 8.6 0.8 14.5 8th
9th 0.3 6.2 17.2 4.6 0.1 28.4 9th
10th 7.7 22.6 9.8 0.4 40.5 10th
11th 4.2 1.6 0.0 5.9 11th
12th 0.5 0.0 0.5 12th
13th 13th
Total 12.6 30.6 32.2 18.3 5.5 0.6 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6
10-10 5.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 5.5
9-11 18.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 18.2
8-12 32.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.2 32.1
7-13 30.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 30.5
6-14 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.6
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 10.4%