Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.5#314
Expected Predictive Rating-9.3#301
Pace70.1#169
Improvement+0.7#134

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#189
First Shot+0.7#159
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#287
Layup/Dunks-2.3#258
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#126
Freethrows+2.7#48
Improvement-1.9#322

Defense
Total Defense-7.5#356
First Shot-4.9#330
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#321
Layups/Dunks-5.8#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#137
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#280
Freethrows+2.9#33
Improvement+2.5#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.2% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 17.0% 31.2% 12.9%
.500 or above in Conference 42.1% 50.9% 39.6%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.4% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 2.9% 5.0%
First Four0.9% 1.0% 0.8%
First Round1.0% 1.7% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 22.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 411 - 1013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 36 @USC L 83-114 2%     0 - 1 -15.2 +3.8 -14.4
  Wed, Nov 12 259 Utah Tech W 79-75 38%     1 - 1 -1.4 +10.8 -11.9
  Fri, Nov 14 106 @Hawaii L 56-86 8%     1 - 2 -23.0 -11.2 -10.8
  Sat, Nov 15 365 Mississippi Valley W 80-73 90%     2 - 2 -15.7 +5.3 -20.4
  Fri, Nov 21 44 @Texas A&M L 68-109 3%     2 - 3 -26.8 -2.8 -21.5
  Wed, Nov 26 299 Wagner L 101-103 OT 59%     2 - 4 -12.7 +14.1 -26.6
  Sat, Nov 29 340 @Army L 78-81 OT 49%     2 - 5 -11.3 -3.5 -7.6
  Fri, Dec 5 302 Fairfield W 70-66 59%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -6.8 -10.0 +3.1
  Sun, Dec 7 162 @Marist L 68-80 15%     3 - 6 1 - 1 -9.3 -1.7 -6.7
  Sat, Dec 13 218 @Fordham L 69-77 23%    
  Thu, Dec 18 148 Furman L 74-80 29%    
  Sun, Dec 21 261 Presbyterian W 71-70 50%    
  Mon, Dec 29 344 @Rider W 71-70 52%    
  Fri, Jan 2 157 Quinnipiac L 78-83 31%    
  Sun, Jan 4 268 @Merrimack L 70-76 30%    
  Fri, Jan 9 354 Canisius W 75-67 77%    
  Sun, Jan 11 350 Niagara W 75-68 75%    
  Wed, Jan 14 302 @Fairfield L 75-79 37%    
  Sat, Jan 17 156 Siena L 71-76 31%    
  Mon, Jan 19 157 @Quinnipiac L 75-86 15%    
  Sat, Jan 24 170 @Iona L 75-86 16%    
  Fri, Jan 30 344 Rider W 74-68 72%    
  Sun, Feb 1 306 @Mount St. Mary's L 75-78 38%    
  Thu, Feb 5 304 St. Peter's W 74-71 59%    
  Sat, Feb 7 281 Sacred Heart W 83-82 53%    
  Fri, Feb 13 350 @Niagara W 72-71 55%    
  Sun, Feb 15 354 @Canisius W 72-70 56%    
  Fri, Feb 20 162 Marist L 67-72 33%    
  Fri, Feb 27 304 @St. Peter's L 71-74 38%    
  Sun, Mar 1 170 Iona L 78-83 33%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 3.9 3.5 1.0 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 5.1 4.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 13.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.8 5.0 1.3 0.1 14.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 5.3 5.0 1.6 0.1 13.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 4.7 5.1 1.5 0.1 12.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.5 1.4 0.1 10.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.5 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.0 2.2 13th
Total 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.6 5.3 8.3 12.0 14.0 14.4 13.5 10.9 8.0 5.0 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 82.6% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 51.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 20.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.2% 8.7% 8.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.5% 13.8% 13.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-5 1.3% 7.9% 7.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2
14-6 2.8% 7.3% 7.3% 15.7 0.1 0.1 2.6
13-7 5.0% 6.2% 6.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.7
12-8 8.0% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.8
11-9 10.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.7
10-10 13.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.4
9-11 14.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.3
8-12 14.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.9
7-13 12.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.0
6-14 8.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.3
5-15 5.3% 5.3
4-16 2.6% 2.6
3-17 1.0% 1.0
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.3 98.5 0.0%