Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#253
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#138
Pace66.4#250
Improvement+0.2#155

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#297
First Shot-5.8#328
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#97
Layup/Dunks+0.1#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.8#352
Freethrows+1.3#96
Improvement+1.7#38

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#185
First Shot+2.6#98
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#328
Layups/Dunks-2.4#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#155
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#46
Freethrows+0.3#169
Improvement-1.5#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 4.8% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 50.5% 65.9% 39.1%
.500 or above in Conference 40.6% 55.5% 29.5%
Conference Champion 2.6% 4.2% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 14.1% 6.0% 20.1%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round3.0% 4.5% 1.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Away) - 42.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 53 - 8
Quad 412 - 715 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 246   Fordham W 66-60 60%     1 - 0 -1.6 -12.7 +10.6
  Nov 15, 2021 228   @ Old Dominion L 58-79 32%     1 - 1 -21.1 -6.5 -17.2
  Nov 19, 2021 308   North Alabama W 55-51 62%     2 - 1 -4.2 -18.7 +14.6
  Nov 20, 2021 171   Liberty W 76-60 32%     3 - 1 +15.7 +11.8 +5.5
  Nov 30, 2021 325   Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-73 77%     4 - 1 -7.8 +0.0 -7.5
  Dec 03, 2021 275   @ Siena L 63-65 43%    
  Dec 05, 2021 294   Quinnipiac W 72-67 69%    
  Dec 11, 2021 57   @ Utah L 59-75 7%    
  Dec 20, 2021 349   Charleston Southern W 78-68 81%    
  Dec 21, 2021 238   @ The Citadel L 70-74 36%    
  Dec 31, 2021 237   @ Fairfield L 62-66 35%    
  Jan 02, 2022 180   Niagara L 63-64 46%    
  Jan 07, 2022 266   @ Rider L 64-66 42%    
  Jan 09, 2022 202   St. Peter's L 63-64 49%    
  Jan 14, 2022 106   @ Iona L 60-72 14%    
  Jan 16, 2022 284   Canisius W 72-68 66%    
  Jan 21, 2022 275   Siena W 66-62 65%    
  Jan 23, 2022 135   @ Monmouth L 65-75 17%    
  Jan 28, 2022 202   @ St. Peter's L 61-67 29%    
  Jan 30, 2022 255   Marist W 65-62 61%    
  Feb 04, 2022 180   @ Niagara L 60-67 27%    
  Feb 06, 2022 284   @ Canisius L 69-71 45%    
  Feb 11, 2022 135   Monmouth L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 13, 2022 294   @ Quinnipiac L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 20, 2022 266   Rider W 67-63 63%    
  Feb 25, 2022 255   @ Marist L 62-65 39%    
  Feb 27, 2022 237   Fairfield W 65-63 56%    
  Mar 03, 2022 106   Iona L 63-69 29%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 2.6 2.7 1.2 0.2 7.8 3rd
4th 0.2 1.7 4.2 3.1 1.0 0.2 10.3 4th
5th 0.3 1.7 4.8 3.7 0.7 0.1 11.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.1 3.6 0.8 0.1 11.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.8 3.7 0.9 0.1 11.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 4.6 3.8 1.1 0.1 11.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 4.0 4.1 1.1 0.1 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.5 3.7 3.2 0.7 0.1 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.0 2.4 1.9 0.6 0.0 8.5 11th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.4 4.1 7.5 9.1 11.0 11.8 11.9 11.2 9.9 6.8 5.2 3.5 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 88.2% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 86.9% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 60.7% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.0
15-5 36.0% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1
14-6 12.3% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1
13-7 2.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.2% 48.2% 48.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 19.0% 19.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-4 1.2% 21.0% 21.0% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.0
15-5 2.1% 12.6% 12.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8
14-6 3.5% 14.0% 14.0% 14.6 0.2 0.3 0.0 3.0
13-7 5.2% 9.5% 9.5% 15.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 4.7
12-8 6.8% 5.4% 5.4% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 6.5
11-9 9.9% 4.7% 4.7% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 9.5
10-10 11.2% 2.9% 2.9% 15.7 0.1 0.2 10.9
9-11 11.9% 1.0% 1.0% 15.4 0.1 0.1 11.8
8-12 11.8% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 11.6
7-13 11.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.0
6-14 9.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.0
5-15 7.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.4
4-16 4.1% 4.1
3-17 2.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.4
2-18 1.2% 1.2
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.1 96.7 0.0%