Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.1#347
Expected Predictive Rating-13.2#344
Pace70.4#125
Improvement-2.4#291

Offense
Total Offense-8.2#346
First Shot-3.4#277
After Offensive Rebound-4.7#361
Layup/Dunks-1.8#250
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#107
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#86
Freethrows-5.4#362
Improvement+0.2#174

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#328
First Shot-5.1#336
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#163
Layups/Dunks-5.8#345
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#305
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#157
Freethrows+1.6#73
Improvement-2.7#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 80.6% 58.1% 99.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Away) - 45.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 32 - 72 - 9
Quad 43 - 145 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 181   @ Bryant W 61-59 9%     1 - 0 +3.6 -8.2 +11.7
  Nov 10, 2023 14   @ Kansas L 61-99 1%     1 - 1 -19.7 -8.0 -7.6
  Nov 19, 2023 275   @ Central Connecticut St. W 67-63 17%     2 - 1 +1.3 -3.6 +5.0
  Nov 24, 2023 3   @ Connecticut L 60-90 0.3%    2 - 2 -6.7 -1.2 -6.9
  Nov 27, 2023 188   @ Fordham L 61-93 10%     2 - 3 -30.8 -14.9 -13.2
  Dec 01, 2023 256   Mount St. Mary's W 75-74 OT 29%     3 - 3 1 - 0 -6.3 -5.3 -1.1
  Dec 03, 2023 222   @ Marist L 56-70 12%     3 - 4 1 - 1 -14.4 -9.7 -5.4
  Dec 08, 2023 327   Fairleigh Dickinson L 71-76 50%     3 - 5 -18.0 -12.1 -5.6
  Dec 21, 2023 200   @ Monmouth L 71-77 11%     3 - 6 -5.8 -5.5 +0.0
  Dec 30, 2023 313   Wagner L 56-68 43%     3 - 7 -23.3 -12.7 -12.3
  Jan 05, 2024 243   Niagara L 67-81 27%     3 - 8 1 - 2 -20.8 -9.4 -11.4
  Jan 07, 2024 198   @ Quinnipiac L 59-76 11%     3 - 9 1 - 3 -16.7 -20.5 +5.9
  Jan 12, 2024 245   @ Rider L 58-71 14%     3 - 10 1 - 4 -14.4 -16.9 +2.6
  Jan 14, 2024 215   St. Peter's L 68-81 24%     3 - 11 1 - 5 -18.8 -2.0 -17.0
  Jan 21, 2024 182   Fairfield L 75-82 20%     3 - 12 1 - 6 -11.1 -0.9 -10.3
  Jan 26, 2024 280   @ Canisius L 70-82 18%     3 - 13 1 - 7 -15.4 -7.7 -7.0
  Jan 28, 2024 243   @ Niagara W 84-78 OT 14%     4 - 13 2 - 7 +4.7 -1.1 +5.0
  Feb 02, 2024 198   Quinnipiac L 71-77 23%     4 - 14 2 - 8 -11.2 -5.0 -6.1
  Feb 04, 2024 182   @ Fairfield L 68-77 9%     4 - 15 2 - 9 -7.6 -1.9 -6.2
  Feb 08, 2024 256   @ Mount St. Mary's L 78-82 15%     4 - 16 2 - 10 -5.9 +1.2 -6.8
  Feb 10, 2024 355   Siena L 63-68 67%     4 - 17 2 - 11 -22.7 -15.9 -6.7
  Feb 16, 2024 191   @ Iona L 63-73 10%     4 - 18 2 - 12 -9.1 -4.7 -5.1
  Feb 18, 2024 245   Rider L 62-104 27%     4 - 19 2 - 13 -48.9 -11.3 -40.2
  Feb 23, 2024 222   Marist L 50-57 25%     4 - 20 2 - 14 -12.9 -14.2 +0.3
  Mar 01, 2024 355   @ Siena L 67-68 46%    
  Mar 03, 2024 215   @ St. Peter's L 57-70 11%    
  Mar 07, 2024 191   Iona L 67-76 22%    
  Mar 09, 2024 280   Canisius L 69-73 36%    
Projected Record 5 - 23 3 - 17





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 9th
10th 12.8 22.2 6.4 0.5 42.0 10th
11th 25.7 28.9 3.3 0.1 57.9 11th
Total 25.7 41.7 25.5 6.4 0.6 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 0.6% 0.6
5-15 6.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.4
4-16 25.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 25.4
3-17 41.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 41.7
2-18 25.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 25.7
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6%
Lose Out 25.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0