Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#278
Expected Predictive Rating-10.3#313
Pace74.5#67
Improvement+0.2#157

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#196
First Shot+0.3#167
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#266
Layup/Dunks-10.0#363
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#308
3 Pt Jumpshots+12.9#1
Freethrows+0.0#177
Improvement-0.4#213

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#338
First Shot-4.9#326
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#215
Layups/Dunks-1.9#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.2#357
Freethrows+1.7#83
Improvement+0.5#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 5.3% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.7
.500 or above 29.0% 40.9% 19.8%
.500 or above in Conference 58.5% 72.8% 47.4%
Conference Champion 3.4% 5.8% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 1.3% 5.9%
First Four1.8% 2.0% 1.6%
First Round3.2% 4.3% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Away) - 43.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 412 - 914 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 135 @Duquesne L 80-92 15%     0 - 1 -7.3 +5.1 -11.7
  Tue, Nov 11 41 @Villanova L 60-94 3%     0 - 2 -19.1 -2.6 -18.8
  Sat, Nov 15 219 @Queens L 64-81 29%     0 - 3 -17.6 -12.6 -5.0
  Fri, Nov 21 330 Holy Cross W 79-66 73%     1 - 3 +0.2 +2.9 -2.0
  Mon, Nov 24 251 @Central Connecticut St. L 106-108 OT 33%     1 - 4 -3.8 +19.5 -23.1
  Sat, Nov 29 97 @Penn St. L 59-90 9%     1 - 5 -22.9 -17.8 -2.2
  Wed, Dec 3 301 @Mount St. Mary's L 76-78 44%    
  Sun, Dec 7 149 Iona L 82-86 36%    
  Sat, Dec 13 351 @NJIT W 79-76 60%    
  Tue, Dec 16 313 @Umass Lowell L 80-81 46%    
  Fri, Dec 19 247 Dartmouth W 82-81 55%    
  Mon, Dec 22 132 @Towson L 67-78 15%    
  Mon, Dec 29 269 Merrimack W 75-73 60%    
  Fri, Jan 2 336 @Niagara W 73-72 54%    
  Sun, Jan 4 353 @Canisius W 74-71 61%    
  Fri, Jan 9 151 Marist L 68-72 38%    
  Sun, Jan 11 188 Quinnipiac L 81-83 44%    
  Wed, Jan 14 171 @Siena L 70-78 23%    
  Mon, Jan 19 342 @Rider W 77-75 57%    
  Thu, Jan 22 353 Canisius W 77-68 79%    
  Sat, Jan 24 336 Niagara W 76-69 74%    
  Fri, Jan 30 188 @Quinnipiac L 78-86 25%    
  Sun, Feb 1 269 @Merrimack L 72-76 37%    
  Thu, Feb 5 293 Fairfield W 81-77 64%    
  Sat, Feb 7 312 @Manhattan L 82-83 46%    
  Fri, Feb 13 332 St. Peter's W 77-70 72%    
  Sun, Feb 15 342 Rider W 80-72 76%    
  Fri, Feb 20 293 @Fairfield L 78-80 43%    
  Sun, Feb 22 151 @Marist L 65-75 20%    
  Fri, Feb 27 301 Mount St. Mary's W 79-75 65%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.2 1.7 4.2 3.6 1.1 0.1 10.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.1 4.3 1.3 0.1 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.0 4.2 1.1 0.1 12.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.5 4.1 1.2 0.1 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.7 4.2 1.2 0.1 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.9 3.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.1 1.1 0.1 4.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.9 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.4 5.4 7.8 10.0 11.9 12.7 12.4 11.1 8.7 6.0 4.0 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 96.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 94.4% 0.4    0.4 0.0 0.0
17-3 74.9% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.0
16-4 47.9% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 20.9% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 4.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 24.0% 24.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.4% 27.0% 27.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.0% 20.5% 20.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-4 2.1% 17.0% 17.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.8
15-5 4.0% 14.0% 14.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 3.4
14-6 6.0% 11.0% 11.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 5.3
13-7 8.7% 7.9% 7.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 8.0
12-8 11.1% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 10.6
11-9 12.4% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.0 0.4 12.0
10-10 12.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 12.5
9-11 11.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.8
8-12 10.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.9
7-13 7.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.7
6-14 5.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.4
5-15 3.4% 3.4
4-16 1.8% 1.8
3-17 0.8% 0.8
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.8 96.0 0.0%