Sacred Heart
Northeast
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#302
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#254
Pace77.2#27
Improvement-0.1#176

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#221
First Shot-3.0#275
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#105
Layup/Dunks+2.5#93
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#255
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#303
Freethrows+0.0#177
Improvement-0.2#260

Defense
Total Defense-5.9#317
First Shot-5.8#330
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#200
Layups/Dunks-1.9#259
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#289
Freethrows-0.3#192
Improvement+0.1#87
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.0% 18.8% 10.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 75.9% 89.4% 71.0%
.500 or above in Conference 80.1% 86.6% 77.7%
Conference Champion 18.3% 23.8% 16.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 2.0% 3.8%
First Four9.9% 12.8% 8.9%
First Round6.9% 11.0% 5.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Home) - 26.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 31 - 5
Quad 416 - 817 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 361   @ Hartford W 77-70 73%     1 - 0 -7.1 -5.4 -2.0
  Nov 10, 2022 39   @ Rutgers L 50-88 3%     1 - 1 -24.4 -15.6 -6.4
  Nov 13, 2022 348   Columbia W 88-85 79%     2 - 1 -13.2 -2.4 -11.1
  Nov 16, 2022 142   @ Umass Lowell L 81-90 12%     2 - 2 -4.2 +2.7 -6.0
  Nov 19, 2022 336   @ Binghamton W 75-60 55%     3 - 2 +6.0 -3.9 +10.2
  Nov 22, 2022 317   NJIT L 75-85 67%     3 - 3 -22.4 -4.3 -17.9
  Nov 30, 2022 331   @ New Hampshire W 66-61 52%     4 - 3 -3.2 -7.8 +4.8
  Dec 03, 2022 142   Umass Lowell L 74-81 27%    
  Dec 07, 2022 236   @ Fairfield L 68-75 26%    
  Dec 10, 2022 106   @ Pittsburgh L 68-83 8%    
  Dec 12, 2022 343   @ Stony Brook W 76-74 58%    
  Dec 19, 2022 193   @ Saint Joseph's L 72-82 19%    
  Dec 22, 2022 353   Holy Cross W 82-72 81%    
  Dec 29, 2022 345   Stonehill W 85-77 77%    
  Dec 31, 2022 350   @ LIU Brooklyn W 81-78 61%    
  Jan 05, 2023 341   @ Merrimack W 73-72 55%    
  Jan 07, 2023 361   Hartford W 81-69 87%    
  Jan 14, 2023 338   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 76-75 55%    
  Jan 16, 2023 324   St. Francis (PA) W 80-74 69%    
  Jan 20, 2023 321   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 84-85 46%    
  Jan 22, 2023 213   @ Wagner L 71-79 23%    
  Jan 26, 2023 350   LIU Brooklyn W 84-75 79%    
  Jan 28, 2023 345   @ Stonehill W 82-80 58%    
  Feb 02, 2023 213   Wagner L 74-76 42%    
  Feb 04, 2023 342   Central Connecticut St. W 77-69 75%    
  Feb 09, 2023 324   @ St. Francis (PA) L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 16, 2023 321   Fairleigh Dickinson W 87-82 67%    
  Feb 18, 2023 341   Merrimack W 76-69 75%    
  Feb 23, 2023 338   St. Francis Brooklyn W 79-72 74%    
  Feb 25, 2023 342   @ Central Connecticut St. W 74-72 55%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 10 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.9 5.2 3.4 1.3 0.3 18.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.9 6.9 9.2 5.9 2.0 0.3 26.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.7 6.9 6.6 2.2 0.3 0.0 17.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.6 5.0 1.2 0.1 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.7 4.3 0.8 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.2 0.8 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.2 0.8 0.0 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.6 0.0 2.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.7 9th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.3 5.5 8.7 12.5 14.7 15.3 14.1 11.0 7.2 3.7 1.3 0.3 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 100.0% 1.3    1.3 0.0
14-2 93.2% 3.4    3.0 0.5
13-3 71.9% 5.2    3.7 1.5 0.0
12-4 44.0% 4.9    2.5 2.0 0.4 0.0
11-5 18.7% 2.6    0.7 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.8% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 18.3% 18.3 11.4 5.5 1.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 61.0% 61.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
15-1 1.3% 55.2% 55.2% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6
14-2 3.7% 44.3% 44.3% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.1
13-3 7.2% 31.1% 31.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.1 5.0
12-4 11.0% 22.9% 22.9% 16.0 0.1 2.5 8.5
11-5 14.1% 16.1% 16.1% 16.0 0.0 2.2 11.9
10-6 15.3% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.0 1.7 13.6
9-7 14.7% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.9 13.7
8-8 12.5% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.5 12.0
7-9 8.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 8.5
6-10 5.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 5.5
5-11 3.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.3
4-12 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.5
3-13 0.6% 0.6
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16
Total 100% 13.0% 13.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 12.1 87.0 0.0%