Sacred Heart
Northeast
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#311
Expected Predictive Rating-9.3#315
Pace73.0#61
Improvement+0.0#189

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#285
First Shot-2.2#244
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#287
Layup/Dunks+2.6#82
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#214
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#286
Freethrows-0.8#237
Improvement+1.6#87

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#316
First Shot-2.0#244
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#338
Layups/Dunks+0.2#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#307
Freethrows-0.4#220
Improvement-1.6#275
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.7% 8.6% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four6.9% 7.4% 5.9%
First Round3.3% 3.9% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stonehill (Away) - 65.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 20 - 5
Quad 413 - 1113 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 191   @ Iona L 81-88 19%     0 - 1 -6.1 +8.0 -14.0
  Nov 14, 2023 346   @ Holy Cross W 84-77 57%     1 - 1 -3.3 +1.5 -5.1
  Nov 17, 2023 282   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 80-85 32%     1 - 2 -8.5 -9.8 +2.1
  Nov 18, 2023 341   Loyola Maryland W 66-51 65%     2 - 2 +2.8 -12.2 +14.7
  Nov 21, 2023 293   Binghamton W 89-75 55%     3 - 2 +4.3 +14.5 -9.7
  Nov 26, 2023 119   @ Saint Joseph's L 55-64 9%     3 - 3 -2.9 -18.2 +15.7
  Nov 30, 2023 257   New Hampshire L 84-90 47%     3 - 4 -13.5 -5.7 -6.8
  Dec 02, 2023 295   Boston University L 49-70 57%     3 - 5 -31.2 -23.7 -8.7
  Dec 06, 2023 39   @ St. John's L 50-85 3%     3 - 6 -21.4 -16.0 -6.0
  Dec 09, 2023 182   Fairfield L 57-67 34%     3 - 7 -14.1 -15.7 +1.0
  Dec 16, 2023 44   @ Providence L 64-78 3%     3 - 8 -0.6 -0.3 -0.2
  Dec 19, 2023 279   @ Albany L 79-93 31%     3 - 9 -17.3 -3.0 -13.2
  Dec 21, 2023 333   Dartmouth W 67-57 70%     4 - 9 -3.8 -3.8 +0.8
  Jan 04, 2024 354   St. Francis (PA) W 79-67 81%     5 - 9 1 - 0 -5.6 +2.1 -7.0
  Jan 06, 2024 238   @ Merrimack L 58-82 24%     5 - 10 1 - 1 -25.1 -10.1 -14.9
  Jan 13, 2024 349   LIU Brooklyn W 89-55 78%     6 - 10 2 - 1 +17.3 +10.7 +6.9
  Jan 15, 2024 325   @ Le Moyne W 80-73 45%     7 - 10 3 - 1 -0.2 +7.7 -7.5
  Jan 21, 2024 313   Wagner W 66-61 61%     8 - 10 4 - 1 -6.3 -1.2 -4.4
  Jan 25, 2024 354   @ St. Francis (PA) L 71-75 64%     8 - 11 4 - 2 -16.1 -4.4 -11.9
  Jan 27, 2024 327   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 91-93 46%     8 - 12 4 - 3 -9.5 +10.9 -20.3
  Feb 01, 2024 356   Stonehill W 77-72 82%     9 - 12 5 - 3 -13.3 -4.2 -9.1
  Feb 03, 2024 325   Le Moyne W 87-81 66%     10 - 12 6 - 3 -6.7 +6.0 -12.8
  Feb 08, 2024 275   @ Central Connecticut St. L 70-77 29%     10 - 13 6 - 4 -9.7 -7.0 -2.3
  Feb 10, 2024 349   @ LIU Brooklyn L 58-75 61%     10 - 14 6 - 5 -28.2 -20.0 -7.7
  Feb 17, 2024 313   @ Wagner W 63-53 40%     11 - 14 7 - 5 +4.1 -2.3 +7.7
  Feb 22, 2024 327   Fairleigh Dickinson W 99-91 67%     12 - 14 8 - 5 -5.0 +5.1 -11.2
  Feb 24, 2024 275   Central Connecticut St. L 67-68 49%     12 - 15 8 - 6 -9.2 -6.8 -2.4
  Feb 29, 2024 356   @ Stonehill W 75-71 65%    
  Mar 02, 2024 238   Merrimack L 68-70 44%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 2.6 44.2 29.3 76.1 3rd
4th 11.9 6.4 18.4 4th
5th 5.5 5.5 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 20.1 50.6 29.3 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 29.3% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.1 3.1 26.2
9-7 50.6% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.0 3.5 47.1
8-8 20.1% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 1.0 19.1
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 7.6 92.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 29.3% 10.8% 16.0 0.2 10.7
Lose Out 20.1% 5.0% 16.0 5.0