Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.7 #277
Expected Predictive Rating -8.1 #295
Pace 71.4 #112
Improvement +1.6 #113

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #194 C- D+ D- C- C
Defense #332 F+ C- D B- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% #346 1.13 #209 -5.2 #339
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #271 0.62 #340 -2.8 #310
Three Pointers 53% #11 1.03 #159 +6.8 #16
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #209 -1.1 #212
Freethrows 0.26 #306 76% #52 0.20 #251
Second Chance 27.6% #262 1.00 #238 0.28 #268
Turnovers 19.4% #337
Total Offense -1.1 #194

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #152 1.34 #353 -4.3 #318
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #351 0.74 #140 +2.6 #16
Three Pointers 46% #44 1.13 #327 -5.4 #350
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #356 -7.1 #357
Freethrows 0.27 #69 72% #177 0.19 #63
Second Chance 32.8% #281 1.05 #182 0.34 #248
Turnovers 14.2% #307
Total Defense -5.6 #332

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.0% #194 1.9% #333
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.1% #204 11.8% #353
Possession Length 17.1 #143 17.0 #122
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #175 0.23 #336
Improvement +1.1 #125 +0.4 #161

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.3% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 5.5% 13.3% 3.1%
.500 or above in Conference 39.4% 63.9% 32.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four1.7% 1.9% 1.7%
First Round1.6% 2.2% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 23.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 411 - 1013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 121 @Duquesne L 80 - 92 13% -7  0 - 1 -6 +5 D C- C+ -11 A F F
 Tue, Nov 11 36 @Villanova L 60 - 94 2% -21  0 - 2 -17 -1 C+ C+ F -18 F D+ A
 Sat, Nov 15 203 @Queens L 64 - 81 25% -13  0 - 3 -17 -13 F+ F D- -4 F C A+
 Fri, Nov 21 323 Holy Cross W 79 - 66 73% +9  1 - 3 +0 +3 B- F+ D+ -3 F+ C A+
 Mon, Nov 24 293 @Central Connecticut St. L 106 - 108 OT 41% -2  1 - 4 -6 +15 B+ C+ D+ -21 F F D
 Sat, Nov 29 116 @Penn St. L 59 - 90 12% -21  1 - 5 -25 -19 F+ F F -3 D- F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 291 @Mount St. Mary's W 87 - 80 41% +3  2 - 5 1 - 0 +3 +18 F+ A+ D -15 F F F
 Sun, Dec 7 229 Iona L 69 - 81 50% -4  2 - 6 1 - 1 -19 -6 B F+ F -13 D+ D- D-
 Sat, Dec 13 332 @NJIT W 65 - 49 54% +4  3 - 6 +8 -3 D- C+ D +13 A- B+ C-
 Tue, Dec 16 321 @Umass Lowell L 82 - 87 50% +0  3 - 7 -12 +3 B+ F+ F -14 F C F
 Fri, Dec 19 235 Dartmouth W 85 - 63 52% +8  4 - 7 +15 +4 F+ A+ D+ +10 A+ C- A+
 Mon, Dec 22 168 @Towson L 47 - 72 20% -9  4 - 8 -23 -19 F D+ F -6 F A+ C
 Mon, Dec 29 209 Merrimack L 72 - 80 47% -8  4 - 9 1 - 2 -14 +2 B- D D+ -16 F C- D+
 Fri, Jan 2 349 @Niagara L 61 - 64 60% -9  4 - 10 1 - 3 -12 -3 F C F -10 F B+ D
 Sun, Jan 4 343 @Canisius L 78 - 82 58% +4  4 - 11 1 - 4 -13 +6 C+ C- D- -18 F+ F D
 Fri, Jan 9 159 Marist L 72 - 76 36% +2  4 - 12 1 - 5 -7 +10 A B D- -18 F F D-
 Sun, Jan 11 177 Quinnipiac L 60 - 70 41% -0  4 - 13 1 - 6 -14 -9 D- D+ F -6 D+ A F
 Wed, Jan 14 172 @Siena W 86 - 80 21% +4  5 - 13 2 - 6 +8 +18 D- A+ A+ -9 C D+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 352 @Rider W 105 - 85 63% +12  6 - 13 3 - 6 +10 +19 A+ F C+ -11 F A F
 Thu, Jan 22 343 Canisius W 69 - 66 78% -2  7 - 13 4 - 6 -12 -7 C F D -4 F A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 24 349 Niagara W 71 - 70 79% -5  8 - 13 5 - 6 -14 -4 B- F B- -10 F F B+
 Fri, Jan 30 177 @Quinnipiac L 76 - 84 23%
 Sun, Feb 1 209 @Merrimack L 69 - 76 25%
 Thu, Feb 5 272 Fairfield W 80 - 77 60%
 Sat, Feb 7 326 @Manhattan W 81 - 80 52%
 Fri, Feb 13 230 St. Peter's W 73 - 72 50%
 Sun, Feb 15 352 Rider W 78 - 68 81%
 Fri, Feb 20 272 @Fairfield L 77 - 80 38%
 Sun, Feb 22 159 @Marist L 66 - 76 18%
 Fri, Feb 27 291 Mount St. Mary's W 78 - 74 63%
Totals 12 - 18 9 - 11 -7 -1 C- D+ D- -6 F+ C- D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.6 3rd
4th 0.3 1.2 0.5 2.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 2.2 0.1 4.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 4.0 5.4 0.9 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 1.0 6.8 13.1 3.5 0.2 24.5 7th
8th 0.3 6.4 13.6 4.5 0.2 25.0 8th
9th 0.3 3.7 9.6 4.0 0.1 17.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 5.8 3.4 0.2 11.2 10th
11th 0.2 1.5 0.9 0.2 2.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.4 3.7 10.7 20.6 25.1 21.9 11.4 4.7 1.3 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 40.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 4.6% 0.1    0.1
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.1% 30.0% 30.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1
13-7 1.3% 5.7% 5.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.2
12-8 4.7% 7.7% 7.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 4.3
11-9 11.4% 4.0% 4.0% 15.8 0.1 0.4 11.0
10-10 21.9% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.6 21.2
9-11 25.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.4 24.7
8-12 20.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 20.3
7-13 10.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.6
6-14 3.7% 3.7
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 15.9 97.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%