Duke
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +26.4 2
Results Rating +29.3 3
Consistency 0.17 276
Pace 64.9 274
Improvement +1.9 121

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A 5 A A+ B- B A
Defense A+ 3 A A+ B A B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 23 A- 67% 22 +8.3 6
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 360 A+ 50% 7 -4.1 349
Three Pointers 47% 58 B 37% 72 +4.9 36
Shot Selection/Accuracy A +2.1 5 A- +6.5 20
1st FG Attempt A 1.20 7
Second Chance A 40.6% 5 A 1.23 12 A+ 0.50 3
Opponents' Steals C 9.3% 169
Other Turnovers B 5.9% 42
Turnovers B- 15.2% 93
Freethrows B+ 0.35 40 C 73% 181 B 0.26 49
Total Offense A +12.9 5

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 58% 35 B+ 7.6% 29
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 178 B+ 2.4% 18
Three Pointers B 89% 62 B+ 0.1% 13
Total A- 66% 21 A- 3.7% 16


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 348 A 47% 10 -8.2 6
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 52 B+ 33% 21 +0.3 213
Three Pointers 45% 61 A 29% 9 -1.4 121
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -1.1 29 A+ -8.2 6
1st FG Attempt A 0.83 4
Second Chance A+ 21.4% 4 A+ 0.80 3 A+ 0.17 3
Turnovers from Steals A- 12.3% 21
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 193
Turnovers B 19.4% 38
Freethrows A 0.20 3 B 70% 57 A 0.14 3
Total Defense A+ +13.6 3

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 38% 16 B- 13.8% 69
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 126 C 5.2% 144
Three Pointers C+ 81% 108 A 2.3% 16
Total B- 50% 70 C+ 6.5% 106

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.0 47 19.7 365
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 75 0.12 34
Consistency 0.11 84 0.12 126
Improvement +1.7 109 +0.2 173

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 3 2 1
Results Rating Rank 3 3 1
Conference Record 17 - 1 17 - 1 17 - 1
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Finish 2nd Round Final 4 Champion

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 30% 33% 15%
#1 Seed 98% 99% 93%
Top 2 Seed 100% 100% 100%
Top 4 Seed 100% 100% 100%
Top 6 Seed 100% 100% 100%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% n/a 100%
Average Seed 1.0 1.0 1.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round100% 100% 100%
Sweet Sixteen89% 89% 88%
Elite Eight69% 69% 69%
Final Four51% 51% 50%
Championship Game32% 32% 32%
National Champion19% 19% 20%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a9 - 29 - 2
Quad 1b8 - 017 - 2
Quad 26 - 023 - 2
Quad 32 - 025 - 2
Quad 47 - 032 - 2


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 36 Texas W 75 - 60 88% +5  75% 1 - 0 A+ +29 B +6 B C C- A+ +23 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 8 225 Western Carolina W 95 - 54 99% +23  94% 2 - 0 A+ +34 B +6 C- A+ B A+ +24 A+ A+ B-
 Tue, Nov 11 340 @Army W 114 - 59 100% +23  97% 3 - 0 A+ +45 A+ +23 A+ A+ B- A+ +17 A A- A-
 Fri, Nov 14 197 Indiana St. W 100 - 62 99% +19  83% 4 - 0 A+ +33 A +15 A- A+ C- A+ +15 A A+ A
 Tue, Nov 18 21 Kansas W 78 - 66 81% +3  65% 5 - 0 A+ +29 A+ +18 A A+ A- A+ +12 A C+ D+
 Fri, Nov 21 333 Niagara W 100 - 42 100% +30  99% 6 - 0 A+ +43 A+ +25 A+ A+ B- A+ +22 A+ C+ A+
 Sun, Nov 23 188 Howard W 93 - 56 99% +29  99% 7 - 0 A+ +32 A+ +17 A+ B+ A- A+ +15 A+ A+ D-
 Thu, Nov 27 13 Arkansas W 80 - 71 78% +1  42% 8 - 0 A+ +27 A- +10 C+ A+ C A+ +17 A+ A+ A
 Tue, Dec 2 4 Florida W 67 - 66 64% +5  87% 9 - 0 A+ +24 B+ +9 A+ B+ D+ A+ +15 A+ A A
 Sat, Dec 6 10 @Michigan St. W 66 - 60 65% +0  48% 10 - 0 A+ +29 B+ +8 B- B- A A+ +21 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Dec 16 219 Lipscomb W 97 - 73 99% +5  63% 11 - 0 A- +18 B- +4 C+ A+ F A +10 B A+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 18 Texas Tech L 81 - 82 78% +4  66% 11 - 1 A- +17 A +12 A+ B- C+ B +5 C- A C+
 Wed, Dec 31 138 Georgia Tech W 85 - 79 99% +0  41% 12 - 1 1 - 0 C+ +4 B+ +8 A- C+ C D+ -4 F A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 62 @Florida St. W 91 - 87 90% +0  43% 13 - 1 2 - 0 A- +16 A+ +20 A+ A+ D D+ -4 F F A
 Tue, Jan 6 19 @Louisville W 84 - 73 69% -2  33% 14 - 1 3 - 0 A+ +32 A +13 A+ F B- A+ +19 A+ A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 10 42 SMU W 82 - 75 93% +4  78% 15 - 1 4 - 0 A- +17 B+ +9 A+ C C- A- +8 D A A+
 Wed, Jan 14 74 @California W 71 - 56 92% +3  57% 16 - 1 5 - 0 A+ +26 B+ +8 C+ A B- A+ +20 A+ A+ B
 Sat, Jan 17 60 @Stanford W 80 - 50 90% +15  99% 17 - 1 6 - 0 A+ +43 A+ +19 A A+ B+ A+ +27 A+ B A+
 Sat, Jan 24 64 Wake Forest W 90 - 69 96% +9  65% 18 - 1 7 - 0 A+ +27 A+ +23 A A+ A B+ +6 B- A+ C-
 Mon, Jan 26 19 Louisville W 83 - 52 85% +12  96% 19 - 1 8 - 0 A+ +46 A+ +20 A+ A+ C- A+ +28 A+ A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 56 @Virginia Tech W 72 - 58 89% +9  96% 20 - 1 9 - 0 A+ +27 A+ +18 A+ A+ A A+ +12 C+ A+ B
 Tue, Feb 3 131 Boston College W 67 - 49 99% +14  98% 21 - 1 10 - 0 A- +17 B- +5 B+ C+ C+ A+ +15 B A+ A
 Sat, Feb 7 28 @North Carolina L 68 - 71 78% +6  94% 21 - 2 10 - 1 A- +15 B +7 C A+ B A- +8 B A+ D+
 Tue, Feb 10 91 @Pittsburgh W 70 - 54 94% +5  78% 22 - 2 11 - 1 A+ +25 B+ +8 A+ A+ F+ A+ +19 A- A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 14 40 Clemson W 67 - 54 92% +9  91% 23 - 2 12 - 1 A+ +24 B +7 A+ F B+ A+ +18 A+ A C+
 Mon, Feb 16 82 Syracuse W 101 - 64 97% +16  87% 24 - 2 13 - 1 A+ +41 A+ +36 A+ A+ A+ A- +8 A C B-
 Sat, Feb 21 1 Michigan W 68 - 63 49% +2  61% 25 - 2 A+ +32 A+ +15 A A+ C A+ +17 A+ A+ F+
 Tue, Feb 24 90 @Notre Dame W 100 - 56 94% +27  99% 26 - 2 14 - 1 A+ +53 A+ +26 A A B+ A+ +27 A+ A+ A
 Sat, Feb 28 17 Virginia W 77 - 51 85% +14  96% 27 - 2 15 - 1 A+ +41 A+ +21 A+ A+ A- A+ +24 A+ A+ C
 Mon, Mar 2 34 @North Carolina St. W 93 - 64 82% +15  85% 28 - 2 16 - 1 A+ +46 A+ +30 A+ A+ A+ A+ +18 A+ B D-
 Sat, Mar 7 28 North Carolina W 76 - 61 90% +10  94% 29 - 2 17 - 1 A+ +27 A- +11 A- A B A+ +17 B A+ A+
 Thu, Mar 12 62 Florida St. W 80 - 79 94% +1  55% 30 - 2 B +10 A- +11 D A+ D- C -0 F+ A+ C+
 Fri, Mar 13 40 Clemson W 73 - 61 88% +10  84% 31 - 2 A+ +26 A +14 A- A+ B- A+ +13 A+ C+ F+
 Sat, Mar 14 17 Virginia W 74 - 66 78%
Totals 32 - 2 17 - 1 +26 A +13 A- A- A A+ +14 B C B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A A- A+ B A- 45% 14% 47% A A A A A+ B- B+ C B A+ A B+ A A+ 30% 25% 45% B+ A A+ A+ A+ B A B A
1.27 67% 50% 37% +7 +2 1.20 41% 1.2 .50 15% .35 73% .26 0.89 47% 33% 29% -8 -1 0.83 21% 0.8 .17 19% .20 70% .25
Nov
4		 Texas B C+ F A+ C+ 46% 13% 41% A B A F C C- A+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ 40% 29% 31% A- A+ D A+ A+ A+ D- B- D
1.13 57% 0% 42% 0 +2 1.04 32% 0.7 .24 15% .53 73% .39 0.90 33% 23% 36% -13 -1 0.73 41% 0.8 .32 24% .45 74% .34
Nov
8		 Western Carolina B B- A+ F D 42% 6% 53% A C- B A+ A+ B A+ B- A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 34% 31% 36% A A+ A- A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+
1.24 64% 67% 29% 0 +2 1.06 33% 1.5 .48 13% .50 76% .38 0.71 45% 28% 19% -16 -2 0.68 28% 0.5 .15 18% .18 55% .10
Nov
11		 Army A+ A+ F A- A+ 36% 5% 59% A- A+ A+ B+ A+ B- A- A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A 17% 10% 73% A- A A- B+ A- A- A+ C A+
1.48 90% 0% 40% +15 +2 1.36 43% 1.3 .57 13% .43 83% .36 0.77 70% 17% 23% -12 0 0.78 22% 0.8 .18 22% .12 71% .08
Nov
14		 Indiana St. A A- A- C B 53% 4% 44% A+ A- A+ A+ A+ C- A- D- B A+ A- A+ B A+ 43% 6% 51% D+ A B- A+ A+ A C- A C+
1.31 66% 50% 33% +4 +3 1.16 48% 1.4 .70 16% .33 67% .22 0.81 52% 0% 30% -8 +2 0.91 24% 0.5 .12 24% .26 60% .15
Nov
18		 Kansas A+ A+ A+ F A 43% 8% 49% A+ A A+ A+ A+ A- A+ D A+ A+ F A- A+ A+ 34% 26% 40% B- A A+ F C+ D+ A- A- A
1.18 68% 50% 24% -2 +2 1.02 37% 1.2 .43 12% .45 65% .29 1.00 78% 29% 19% -5 -1 0.91 22% 1.6 .36 12% .24 71% .17
Nov
21		 Niagara A+ B A+ A+ A+ 31% 6% 63% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 29% 15% 56% B A+ B- C+ C+ A+ F A+ D+
1.54 67% 67% 53% +23 +1 1.50 46% 1.5 .67 14% .43 79% .34 0.65 42% 17% 22% -18 0 0.66 19% 0.9 .17 26% .31 60% .19
Nov
23		 Howard A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 52% 2% 46% A A+ C+ A+ B+ A- B F C+ A+ A+ A- B+ A+ 39% 20% 41% B A+ A+ B A+ D- C- B- C-
1.32 85% 100% 30% +13 +3 1.34 33% 1.3 .44 16% .37 64% .23 0.79 26% 30% 30% -16 0 0.69 19% 1.0 .19 17% .36 71% .26
Nov
27		 Arkansas A- D A+ F+ C+ 42% 19% 40% B- C+ A A+ A+ C A+ D+ A A+ B- B B- A+ 28% 22% 50% A A+ A- A+ A+ A A+ F A+
1.14 50% 56% 26% -5 0 0.94 39% 2.1 .81 17% .36 67% .24 1.01 60% 33% 33% -1 -1 0.98 29% 1.0 .29 17% .19 82% .15
Dec
2		 Florida B+ A- A+ D A 46% 8% 46% A+ A+ A C+ B+ D+ B F C A+ A+ F+ B A+ 43% 12% 45% C+ A+ D A+ A A A+ D+ A+
1.03 61% 50% 30% 0 +2 1.06 31% 0.7 .23 18% .30 63% .19 1.01 41% 50% 30% -8 +1 0.88 48% 0.8 .36 20% .23 75% .17
Dec
6		 Michigan St. B+ A+ F D B- 23% 19% 57% C B- B C+ B- A A+ F+ A+ A+ A A+ B+ A+ 36% 29% 35% B A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ B+ A+
1.03 73% 22% 30% -3 -1 0.94 25% 0.8 .20 12% .41 65% .27 0.93 50% 6% 32% -13 -1 0.73 28% 0.8 .21 8% .24 71% .17
Dec
16		 Lipscomb B- C+ A+ F+ C- 50% 6% 44% A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ F A A- A+ A B+ A C+ B+ 50% 14% 36% D+ B A+ A+ A+ B+ F F F
1.18 63% 67% 29% +1 +3 1.09 53% 1.3 .68 27% .36 77% .28 0.89 52% 25% 33% -5 +2 0.95 8% 0.0 .00 19% .30 90% .27
Dec
20		 Texas Tech A A- A+ A+ A+ 40% 7% 53% A+ A+ D A+ B- C+ A+ F A+ B D- F C- D+ 39% 24% 37% C C- A+ D A C+ D+ A C+
1.15 67% 67% 42% +11 +2 1.29 21% 1.3 .28 16% .49 59% .29 1.16 70% 58% 37% +11 0 1.24 23% 1.1 .27 16% .29 65% .19
Dec
31		 Georgia Tech B+ C+ A+ C A- 30% 17% 52% C+ A- A+ F C+ C A+ D A+ D+ F C- F F 29% 35% 35% A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A- F B-
1.18 57% 63% 33% +3 0 1.09 48% 0.7 .34 17% .58 69% .40 1.10 80% 39% 56% +18 -3 1.33 19% 0.0 .00 24% .24 85% .20
Jan
3		 Florida St. A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 7% 57% A A+ A A A+ D A+ A+ A+ D+ B- F F F 32% 16% 52% B+ F B- F F A B- B B
1.30 59% 67% 42% +9 +2 1.24 40% 1.1 .44 22% .46 92% .42 1.25 56% 50% 46% +11 0 1.24 30% 1.8 .53 19% .28 69% .19
Jan
6		 Louisville A A+ A+ B- A+ 41% 20% 39% A- A+ C- F F B- A+ D A+ A+ A+ D- B- A+ 25% 15% 60% A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ B- A+
1.13 71% 60% 35% +10 0 1.24 23% 0.5 .11 16% .45 68% .30 0.98 43% 50% 33% -3 0 0.96 24% 0.9 .22 19% .20 75% .15
Jan
10		 SMU B+ B+ F A+ A+ 32% 14% 55% B+ A+ C- C+ C C- A+ A- A+ A- C+ F F F 31% 40% 29% A+ D B- A+ A A+ A+ F B+
1.18 64% 17% 46% +9 0 1.20 27% 1.0 .27 19% .48 78% .37 1.08 60% 58% 50% +15 -3 1.27 35% 0.8 .26 30% .19 89% .16
Jan
14		 California B+ B+ A+ F C- 39% 4% 57% A C+ A+ B- A B- C F F+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 24% 33% 43% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B C+ C+ C+
1.10 63% 100% 21% -6 +2 0.94 40% 1.1 .43 15% .31 47% .15 0.87 33% 56% 24% -7 -3 0.84 18% 0.3 .06 17% .32 76% .24
Jan
17		 Stanford A+ B F+ A A- 60% 16% 23% A+ A A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 40% 11% 49% B- A+ C A- B A+ A+ A+ A+
1.27 62% 29% 40% +3 +2 1.12 41% 1.5 .63 16% .53 71% .38 0.79 44% 40% 23% -13 +1 0.78 35% 0.8 .30 29% .22 60% .13
Jan
24		 Wake Forest A+ A F B- A- 50% 7% 43% A+ A A+ B+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ B+ C+ A+ F C+ 24% 14% 62% B- B- A+ C A+ C- A F A-
1.39 70% 0% 35% +4 +3 1.15 50% 1.1 .56 14% .43 88% .38 1.07 58% 0% 42% +2 0 1.06 18% 1.2 .21 14% .23 85% .20
Jan
26		 Louisville A+ B- A+ C+ A 54% 4% 42% A+ A+ A+ B- A+ C- A- C+ A- A+ A+ A+ B A+ 28% 6% 66% B A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A- A A
1.28 59% 100% 33% +3 +3 1.14 47% 1.1 .50 19% .34 72% .25 0.80 38% 0% 32% -10 +1 0.85 22% 0.6 .12 19% .25 69% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Virginia Tech A+ A+ A+ F A+ 46% 17% 37% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A F C- F A+ F A+ B- C 25% 27% 48% A C+ C- A+ A+ B A+ F A+
1.25 76% 63% 24% +7 +1 1.17 44% 1.3 .59 14% .14 71% .10 1.01 91% 25% 33% +4 -2 1.07 34% 0.5 .19 17% .13 83% .11
Feb
3		 Boston College B- A+ F F B- 55% 9% 36% A+ B+ D A+ C+ C+ A B A A+ B- D- A+ B 33% 24% 43% C B A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+
1.09 71% 0% 25% -1 +3 1.05 23% 1.1 .26 15% .38 70% .27 0.80 53% 45% 25% -6 -1 0.89 20% 0.6 .11 20% .18 44% .08
Feb
7		 North Carolina B D+ F D+ D+ 49% 21% 30% A C B+ A+ A+ B F A+ D- A- B- F+ D- C- 23% 43% 34% A+ B A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ F B+
1.07 50% 27% 31% -7 +1 0.89 31% 1.7 .53 13% .11 83% .09 1.11 58% 48% 39% +7 -4 1.08 13% 1.0 .13 11% .25 79% .19
Feb
10		 Pittsburgh B+ A+ B B- A+ 34% 16% 50% C A+ A- A+ A+ F+ F F F A+ F A+ A A- 24% 16% 59% B+ A- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+
1.14 87% 43% 36% +12 0 1.27 33% 1.3 .42 21% .17 63% .10 0.88 75% 25% 28% -4 0 0.94 19% 0.7 .14 20% .16 38% .06
Feb
14		 Clemson B A+ F A A+ 30% 17% 53% B- A+ B+ F F B+ C+ C- C+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 35% 25% 40% A A+ B+ A+ A C+ A+ F A+
1.08 71% 25% 40% +7 0 1.15 28% 0.3 .09 16% .29 73% .21 0.87 41% 42% 26% -10 -1 0.81 24% 0.8 .19 15% .19 80% .15
Feb
16		 Syracuse A+ B F A+ A+ 60% 4% 36% A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ B+ F C+ A- A A+ D+ A+ 39% 18% 43% C A C C- C B- A+ A+ A+
1.57 60% 0% 56% +11 +4 1.32 41% 2.0 .81 6% .33 65% .22 1.00 50% 22% 36% -4 0 0.94 32% 1.1 .34 17% .15 25% .04
Feb
21		 Michigan A+ C+ A F+ A- 42% 24% 33% A- A A+ A+ A+ C A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 34% 20% 46% A+ A+ A+ C A+ F+ B B- B+
1.10 53% 45% 27% -4 0 0.93 39% 1.4 .55 18% .33 71% .24 1.02 47% 50% 22% -10 0 0.82 22% 1.4 .31 11% .33 72% .24
Feb
24		 Notre Dame A+ B A+ B+ A 33% 12% 55% B+ A A+ C A B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ 17% 30% 53% A+ A+ A+ F A+ A C- A+ B
1.40 63% 50% 37% +5 +1 1.14 39% 1.0 .39 13% .61 89% .54 0.78 88% 21% 24% -8 -3 0.81 13% 1.4 .18 21% .34 58% .19
Feb
28		 Virginia A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 50% 8% 42% A+ A+ C A+ A+ A- C A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 19% 11% 70% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C B+ F C-
1.26 50% 50% 45% +4 +2 1.15 26% 1.6 .41 13% .26 93% .25 0.84 44% 20% 21% -18 0 0.66 23% 0.9 .21 15% .25 92% .23
Mar
2		 North Carolina St. A+ A+ B- A+ 49% 0% 51% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 37% 15% 48% C+ A+ D+ A+ B D- B A+ A
1.44 75% 36% +10 +3 1.29 43% 1.4 .60 11% .47 67% .31 0.99 50% 25% 27% -10 +1 0.83 33% 1.0 .33 9% .29 65% .19
Mar
7		 North Carolina A- C D+ B- B 46% 6% 48% A+ A- A+ D+ A B A- F C A+ D A+ D- B- 33% 20% 47% B+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+
1.17 54% 33% 36% -1 +2 1.06 43% 0.8 .33 12% .26 53% .14 0.94 69% 20% 39% +3 0 1.08 17% 0.8 .14 22% .08 100% .08
Mar
12		 Florida St. A- A+ F F D- 31% 12% 57% B+ D A+ A A+ D- A+ F A C D+ F F+ F 26% 21% 53% A+ F+ A+ C A+ C+ C A- C+
1.19 73% 17% 25% -6 +1 0.92 54% 1.1 .59 22% .44 61% .27 1.17 64% 64% 39% +11 -1 1.23 20% 1.2 .23 15% .31 67% .21
Mar
13		 Clemson A F A+ A A- 28% 19% 53% C+ A- A A+ A+ B- A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 29% 22% 49% A A+ A+ F C+ F+ D- D- F+
1.16 42% 50% 39% +2 0 1.05 32% 1.3 .43 17% .42 82% .34 0.97 43% 9% 29% -14 -1 0.71 20% 1.4 .28 9% .40 78% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0% 79.4% 20.7% 1.0 97.6 2.4 100.0%
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 79.4% 20.7% 1.0 100.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 79.4% 100.0% 1.0 98.7 1.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 20.7% 100.0% 1.1 93.1 6.9