IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Fairfield
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.1	#299
Expected Predictive Rating	-5.9	#314

Pace	65.4	#271
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.5	#278

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.6	#307

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.7%	5.2%	2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	15.2	15.6

.500 or above	37.7%	51.1%	26.6%
.500 or above in Conference	43.3%	51.8%	36.4%
Conference Champion	3.5%	5.1%	2.1%
Last Place in Conference	10.1%	7.0%	12.6%

First Four	1.3%	1.5%	1.2%
First Round	3.1%	4.5%	1.9%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Away) - 45.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 5	2 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 10	14 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	100	@ Penn St.	L	68-76	10%	0 - 1			-0.9	+0.4	-1.5
Nov 08, 2025	325	@ NJIT	L	67-68	45%
Nov 10, 2025	99	@ Seton Hall	L	59-73	9%
Nov 14, 2025	331	Stonehill	W	70-65	68%
Nov 16, 2025	302	Loyola Maryland	W	70-67	61%
Nov 22, 2025	345	@ Le Moyne	W	73-72	51%
Nov 26, 2025	250	Columbia	W	75-74	52%
Nov 30, 2025	356	New Hampshire	W	73-65	76%
Dec 05, 2025	237	@ Manhattan	L	69-75	30%
Dec 07, 2025	264	@ Merrimack	L	62-67	34%
Dec 14, 2025	201	Monmouth	L	69-71	45%
Dec 18, 2025	311	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	65-67	42%
Dec 29, 2025	307	St. Peter's	W	66-63	61%
Jan 02, 2026	353	@ Canisius	W	69-68	54%
Jan 04, 2026	341	@ Niagara	L	67-68	50%
Jan 09, 2026	324	Rider	W	69-64	65%
Jan 14, 2026	237	Manhattan	W	72-71	50%
Jan 17, 2026	184	@ Marist	L	59-67	24%
Jan 19, 2026	177	@ Siena	L	66-75	24%
Jan 22, 2026	341	Niagara	W	70-64	69%
Jan 24, 2026	353	Canisius	W	72-65	73%
Jan 30, 2026	207	@ Iona	L	68-75	27%
Feb 01, 2026	220	Quinnipiac	L	73-74	48%
Feb 05, 2026	232	@ Sacred Heart	L	71-77	30%
Feb 07, 2026	184	Marist	L	62-64	43%
Feb 15, 2026	307	@ St. Peter's	L	63-66	41%
Feb 20, 2026	232	Sacred Heart	L	73-74	50%
Feb 22, 2026	220	@ Quinnipiac	L	70-77	29%
Feb 27, 2026	177	Siena	L	69-72	42%
Mar 01, 2026	257	Mount St. Mary's	W	69-68	53%
Projected Record						13 - 17	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.0	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0		3.5	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.9	1.7	1.3	0.6	0.1	0.0				4.8	2nd
3rd												0.2	1.3	2.4	1.7	0.5	0.0						6.2	3rd
4th										0.0	0.2	1.4	3.0	2.0	0.5	0.0	0.0						7.0	4th
5th										0.1	1.2	3.4	2.4	0.6	0.0								7.7	5th
6th									0.1	1.0	3.7	3.2	0.7	0.0									8.7	6th
7th								0.0	0.8	3.5	3.7	1.1	0.1										9.2	7th
8th						0.0	0.0	0.7	3.0	4.3	1.5	0.1	0.0										9.7	8th
9th						0.0	0.6	3.0	4.3	1.9	0.1												10.0	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	0.7	2.7	4.1	2.1	0.2	0.0												9.9	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.8	2.7	3.5	1.8	0.3	0.0													9.2	11th
12th		0.0	0.2	1.0	2.4	2.7	1.5	0.2	0.0														8.0	12th
13th	0.1	0.6	1.3	1.7	1.6	0.7	0.1	0.0															6.1	13th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.5	2.8	4.8	6.9	8.4	10.0	10.5	11.0	10.4	9.5	7.7	5.9	4.3	2.8	1.6	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
18-2	97.9%	0.3		0.3	0.0
17-3	83.8%	0.7		0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0
16-4	60.6%	1.0		0.6	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.0
15-5	32.7%	0.9		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0
14-6	9.6%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.5%	3.5		2.0	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																	0.0						0.0
19-1	0.1%		38.9%	38.9%		12.8													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
18-2	0.3%		33.0%	33.0%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
17-3	0.8%		28.3%	28.3%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.6
16-4	1.6%		24.3%	24.3%		14.6														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	1.2
15-5	2.8%		15.6%	15.6%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.3
14-6	4.3%		12.9%	12.9%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	3.7
13-7	5.9%		9.9%	9.9%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	5.4
12-8	7.7%		6.4%	6.4%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.4	7.2
11-9	9.5%		4.3%	4.3%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.4	9.0
10-10	10.4%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																0.0	0.2	10.2
9-11	11.0%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	10.9
8-12	10.5%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	10.4
7-13	10.0%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.0
6-14	8.4%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	8.4
5-15	6.9%																							6.9
4-16	4.8%																							4.8
3-17	2.8%																							2.8
2-18	1.5%																							1.5
1-19	0.6%																							0.6
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		3.7%	3.7%	0.0%	15.3												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	1.0	2.1	96.3		0.0%