Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.2#342
Expected Predictive Rating-7.7#283
Pace61.7#352
Improvement+2.9#33

Offense
Total Offense-8.4#354
First Shot-8.2#359
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#187
Layup/Dunks-8.4#360
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#243
Freethrows-0.8#232
Improvement-1.1#268

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#269
First Shot-0.8#201
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#314
Layups/Dunks+1.7#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#317
Freethrows+0.5#144
Improvement+4.0#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.9% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 4.1% 13.1% 3.4%
.500 or above in Conference 9.4% 15.9% 8.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.0% 16.9% 26.7%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duquesne (Away) - 7.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 410 - 1010 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 61 @Dayton L 48-88 3%     0 - 1 -28.1 -12.9 -19.4
  Sat, Nov 8 112 @St. Bonaventure L 70-89 6%     0 - 2 -12.5 +7.4 -21.8
  Wed, Nov 12 328 Mercyhurst W 58-55 57%     1 - 2 -9.9 -12.1 +2.6
  Mon, Nov 17 106 @High Point L 50-93 6%     1 - 3 -35.9 -19.8 -18.6
  Fri, Nov 21 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 60-57 64%     2 - 3 -11.8 -6.7 -4.5
  Sun, Nov 23 361 Binghamton W 75-66 74%     3 - 3 -9.0 +3.0 -10.8
  Sat, Nov 29 210 Buffalo L 53-71 32%     3 - 4 -24.2 -20.9 -4.9
  Fri, Dec 5 291 @St. Peter's L 57-69 25%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -16.0 -11.0 -6.1
  Sun, Dec 7 172 @Siena L 52-74 11%     3 - 6 0 - 2 -19.9 -13.9 -8.0
  Sat, Dec 13 336 @Maine W 70-43 37%     4 - 6 +19.2 +4.1 +17.5
  Tue, Dec 16 114 @Rhode Island L 45-62 6%     4 - 7 -10.6 -18.4 +6.0
  Mon, Dec 22 141 @Duquesne L 63-78 7%    
  Fri, Jan 2 277 Fairfield L 66-68 43%    
  Sun, Jan 4 270 Sacred Heart L 69-71 41%    
  Fri, Jan 9 319 @Manhattan L 67-72 33%    
  Sun, Jan 11 171 @Iona L 63-76 11%    
  Wed, Jan 14 353 Niagara W 65-60 68%    
  Sat, Jan 17 302 Mount St. Mary's L 65-66 48%    
  Thu, Jan 22 270 @Sacred Heart L 66-74 22%    
  Sat, Jan 24 277 @Fairfield L 63-71 23%    
  Fri, Jan 30 163 Marist L 58-66 24%    
  Sun, Feb 1 172 Siena L 60-67 25%    
  Tue, Feb 3 353 @Niagara L 62-63 46%    
  Thu, Feb 5 158 @Quinnipiac L 62-76 10%    
  Fri, Feb 13 171 Iona L 66-73 26%    
  Sun, Feb 15 319 Manhattan W 70-69 54%    
  Fri, Feb 20 347 @Rider L 60-62 42%    
  Sun, Feb 22 302 @Mount St. Mary's L 62-69 27%    
  Fri, Feb 27 265 Merrimack L 61-64 41%    
  Sun, Mar 1 158 Quinnipiac L 65-73 23%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 2.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.5 2.9 0.5 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 4.1 4.1 1.0 0.1 10.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 5.2 5.7 1.8 0.1 14.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.2 6.5 6.7 2.4 0.3 0.0 18.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 3.4 6.7 6.2 2.0 0.2 19.2 12th
13th 0.4 1.7 3.9 5.1 3.7 1.3 0.1 16.3 13th
Total 0.4 1.8 4.6 8.7 12.7 15.2 15.3 13.6 10.8 7.5 4.7 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0%
15-5 29.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 3.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.2% 6.2% 6.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-7 0.6% 6.1% 6.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-8 1.3% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 1.3
11-9 2.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 2.5
10-10 4.7% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 4.7
9-11 7.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.4
8-12 10.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.7
7-13 13.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.6
6-14 15.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.2
5-15 15.2% 15.2
4-16 12.7% 12.7
3-17 8.7% 8.7
2-18 4.6% 4.6
1-19 1.8% 1.8
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%