Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#284
Expected Predictive Rating-10.1#310
Pace74.1#72
Improvement-0.2#195

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#251
First Shot-2.5#249
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#184
Layup/Dunks-3.7#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#171
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#129
Freethrows-0.1#192
Improvement+2.7#13

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#295
First Shot-1.1#214
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#324
Layups/Dunks-7.8#352
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#86
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#55
Freethrows+1.6#92
Improvement-2.9#349
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.4% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 15.4
.500 or above 7.8% 11.8% 3.6%
.500 or above in Conference 27.2% 37.8% 16.0%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.7% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 21.3% 13.5% 29.5%
First Four0.8% 0.9% 0.7%
First Round1.2% 1.7% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Home) - 51.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 82 - 13
Quad 48 - 811 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 120   @ Miami (FL) L 67-77 12%     0 - 1 -4.0 -8.5 +5.0
  Nov 12, 2021 178   @ East Carolina L 71-83 21%     0 - 2 -9.9 -8.0 -0.9
  Nov 14, 2021 39   @ St. Bonaventure L 60-69 4%     0 - 3 +4.7 -7.5 +12.4
  Nov 20, 2021 166   @ Cleveland St. L 70-80 19%     0 - 4 -7.1 -0.8 -6.3
  Nov 24, 2021 307   Coppin St. W 76-75 67%     1 - 4 -10.1 -2.6 -7.6
  Nov 29, 2021 185   Cornell L 75-89 41%     1 - 5 -18.2 -2.5 -15.5
  Dec 03, 2021 237   Fairfield W 71-70 52%    
  Dec 05, 2021 135   Monmouth L 74-80 29%    
  Dec 08, 2021 197   @ Northern Kentucky L 67-75 22%    
  Dec 11, 2021 279   @ Youngstown St. L 73-76 39%    
  Dec 18, 2021 72   Buffalo L 77-87 17%    
  Dec 22, 2021 192   Florida Gulf Coast L 78-80 43%    
  Dec 31, 2021 202   @ St. Peter's L 66-74 23%    
  Jan 02, 2022 275   @ Siena L 69-72 37%    
  Jan 07, 2022 294   Quinnipiac W 79-75 65%    
  Jan 14, 2022 180   @ Niagara L 65-74 21%    
  Jan 16, 2022 253   @ Manhattan L 68-72 34%    
  Jan 21, 2022 266   Rider W 72-70 59%    
  Jan 23, 2022 202   St. Peter's L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 28, 2022 135   @ Monmouth L 71-83 14%    
  Jan 30, 2022 266   @ Rider L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 04, 2022 106   Iona L 69-77 24%    
  Feb 06, 2022 253   Manhattan W 71-69 55%    
  Feb 12, 2022 255   @ Marist L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 14, 2022 237   @ Fairfield L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 19, 2022 180   Niagara L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 25, 2022 106   @ Iona L 66-80 11%    
  Feb 27, 2022 294   @ Quinnipiac L 76-78 42%    
  Mar 03, 2022 255   Marist W 71-69 56%    
  Mar 05, 2022 275   Siena W 72-69 61%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 4.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 2.9 2.5 0.4 0.1 7.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 3.5 2.7 0.6 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.2 1.4 4.3 3.5 0.6 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 4.6 4.3 0.8 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 5.5 4.9 1.0 0.0 13.3 8th
9th 0.4 2.1 4.9 4.3 1.1 0.1 13.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.7 5.6 4.1 1.2 0.1 14.4 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 2.1 3.5 3.9 2.4 0.7 0.1 13.7 11th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.2 7.0 10.3 11.5 13.1 12.3 11.3 9.0 7.2 5.0 2.8 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 88.6% 0.2    0.2
16-4 69.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1
15-5 31.5% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
14-6 11.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1
13-7 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 47.7% 47.7% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.3% 18.6% 18.6% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-5 0.9% 22.3% 22.3% 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.7
14-6 1.8% 8.7% 8.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.7
13-7 2.8% 10.3% 10.3% 15.6 0.1 0.2 2.5
12-8 5.0% 4.8% 4.8% 15.7 0.1 0.2 4.7
11-9 7.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.0
10-10 9.0% 1.8% 1.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 8.8
9-11 11.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 11.1
8-12 12.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.2
7-13 13.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.0
6-14 11.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.4
5-15 10.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.3
4-16 7.0% 7.0
3-17 4.2% 4.2
2-18 2.1% 2.1
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 98.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%