Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#264
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#274
Pace68.1#219
Improvement+2.5#29

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#283
First Shot-5.1#315
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#104
Layup/Dunks-3.1#286
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#342
Freethrows+0.1#180
Improvement+0.7#100

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#228
First Shot-0.7#203
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#235
Layups/Dunks+2.2#104
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#12
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#340
Freethrows-0.8#229
Improvement+1.8#41
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 4.1% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.7
.500 or above 15.9% 35.3% 14.3%
.500 or above in Conference 37.3% 51.1% 36.2%
Conference Champion 1.7% 3.6% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 13.0% 7.1% 13.5%
First Four1.3% 1.3% 1.3%
First Round2.1% 3.8% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Away) - 7.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 12
Quad 411 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 192   @ Duquesne L 61-73 25%     0 - 1 -10.5 -5.5 -6.0
  Nov 12, 2021 302   Coppin St. W 81-69 70%     1 - 1 +1.1 +6.1 -4.9
  Nov 14, 2021 356   Delaware St. W 63-53 93%     2 - 1 -12.0 -27.7 +14.8
  Nov 17, 2021 292   @ Bucknell L 74-81 45%     2 - 2 -11.1 -7.5 -3.0
  Nov 20, 2021 70   @ Buffalo L 65-87 8%     2 - 3 -12.0 -12.9 +3.3
  Nov 23, 2021 183   Middle Tennessee L 54-60 33%     2 - 4 -7.0 -17.0 +10.1
  Nov 24, 2021 292   Bucknell W 85-79 56%     3 - 4 -1.1 +1.3 -2.9
  Nov 28, 2021 101   @ South Carolina L 58-65 11%     3 - 5 +1.0 -4.8 +5.4
  Nov 30, 2021 76   @ Mississippi L 56-71 8%    
  Dec 03, 2021 107   @ Iona L 61-74 12%    
  Dec 05, 2021 248   Marist W 66-64 58%    
  Dec 18, 2021 99   @ Rutgers L 57-71 10%    
  Jan 02, 2022 296   @ Quinnipiac L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 07, 2022 250   Manhattan W 66-64 58%    
  Jan 09, 2022 248   @ Marist L 63-67 37%    
  Jan 14, 2022 296   Quinnipiac W 74-69 67%    
  Jan 16, 2022 198   St. Peter's L 65-66 48%    
  Jan 21, 2022 262   @ Canisius L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 23, 2022 227   @ Niagara L 63-68 32%    
  Jan 28, 2022 239   Fairfield W 66-65 54%    
  Jan 30, 2022 262   Canisius W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 04, 2022 306   @ Siena L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 11, 2022 198   @ St. Peter's L 62-69 28%    
  Feb 13, 2022 306   Siena W 68-62 69%    
  Feb 18, 2022 134   @ Monmouth L 66-77 17%    
  Feb 20, 2022 250   @ Manhattan L 63-67 37%    
  Feb 25, 2022 227   Niagara W 66-65 52%    
  Feb 27, 2022 107   Iona L 64-71 27%    
  Mar 03, 2022 239   @ Fairfield L 63-68 34%    
  Mar 05, 2022 134   Monmouth L 69-74 34%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 2.6 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.8 3.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 4.6 3.5 0.9 0.0 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.2 3.9 0.9 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 5.3 4.6 1.0 0.1 12.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 4.6 4.7 1.1 0.1 0.0 12.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.3 4.0 1.2 0.1 11.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.7 3.3 1.1 0.1 10.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.0 2.3 1.6 0.6 0.1 7.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.5 4.3 7.2 9.7 11.6 13.0 12.9 11.3 9.4 7.0 4.5 2.8 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 91.4% 0.1    0.1
17-3 78.9% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-4 62.5% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 32.0% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 15.7% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 37.1% 37.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 23.9% 23.9% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.7% 16.1% 16.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-5 1.3% 14.3% 14.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1
14-6 2.8% 9.5% 9.5% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.6
13-7 4.5% 9.0% 9.0% 15.7 0.1 0.3 4.1
12-8 7.0% 6.9% 6.9% 15.9 0.1 0.4 6.5
11-9 9.4% 5.1% 5.1% 15.9 0.1 0.4 8.9
10-10 11.3% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.0
9-11 12.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 12.7
8-12 13.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.9
7-13 11.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.5
6-14 9.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.6
5-15 7.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.2
4-16 4.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-17 2.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.5
2-18 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 97.3 0.0%