Marist
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -2.2 202
Results Rating -3.3 225
Consistency 0.18 301
Pace 65.8 253
Improvement -4.6 329

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 334 D+ D+ C- D D
Defense B 60 B- C+ B C- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 279 C- 55% 248 -2.8 286
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 98 C+ 40% 100 +3.5 39
Three Pointers 36% 276 D- 30% 322 -4.3 322
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.2 324 D+ -2.4 266
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 292
Second Chance D 26.0% 299 C- 1.00 230 D+ 0.26 291
Opponents' Steals C- 10.1% 252
Other Turnovers C- 7.5% 223
Turnovers C- 17.5% 241
Freethrows F+ 0.24 350 B+ 78% 14 D 0.18 319
Total Offense D -6.6 334

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 61% 23 D 13.3% 316
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 30% 105 B 2.6% 28
Three Pointers C 85% 179 C+ 0.8% 162
Total B- 59% 101 C 5.7% 209


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 197 C- 59% 214 +0.3 187
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 43 C+ 37% 114 +1.4 301
Three Pointers 37% 303 A- 29% 18 -4.7 16
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.6 76 B- -2.4 85
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 74
Second Chance C 30.0% 173 B- 0.96 66 C+ 0.29 106
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.0% 141
Other Turnovers B+ 8.7% 29
Turnovers B 18.7% 67
Freethrows D 0.35 309 A- 68% 15 C- 0.24 256
Total Defense B +4.5 60

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 154 D+ 8.2% 288
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 92 C- 4.4% 200
Three Pointers C+ 82% 131 B- 1.4% 74
Total B- 50% 76 C- 4.8% 240

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 198 17.7 251
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 282 0.12 39
Consistency 0.13 197 0.15 327
Improvement -0.9 233 -3.7 332

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 203 200 197
Results Rating Rank 223 220 218
Conference Record 12 - 8 12 - 8 12 - 8
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 30 - 80 - 9
Quad 418 - 318 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 88 @Xavier L 62 - 66 14% -4  37% 0 - 1 B- +5 F+ -9 B- D+ F A+ +14 A+ C A
 Sun, Nov 9 278 @Dartmouth W 75 - 56 56% +8  99% 1 - 1 A- +15 D -5 C- C F A+ +20 A+ C A+
 Sun, Nov 16 146 Harvard L 54 - 56 51% -1  33% 1 - 2 C- -4 F -15 D- F F A +10 A+ C A
 Fri, Nov 21 340 Army W 76 - 65 89% +4  69% 2 - 2 C- -4 D+ -3 D- B- B- C -1 D+ A+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 294 Lehigh W 78 - 55 79% +13  85% 3 - 2 B+ +12 C +0 B- D- B A+ +13 A+ D- F
 Fri, Dec 5 273 Mount St. Mary's W 64 - 56 75% +2  46% 4 - 2 1 - 0 C -1 F -14 D+ C+ F A+ +12 A C+ A+
 Sun, Dec 7 329 Manhattan W 80 - 68 86% +3  71% 5 - 2 2 - 0 C- -2 F+ -10 F D+ C- A- +7 C A+ B
 Sat, Dec 13 351 @Bryant W 82 - 74 81% +6  72% 6 - 2 C- -3 C+ +3 C+ D+ D- D -6 F A+ B-
 Tue, Dec 16 137 @Georgia Tech L 76 - 87 27% -8  19% 6 - 3 D+ -7 B +6 C+ A+ B- F -13 F D A-
 Sun, Dec 21 230 Stony Brook W 70 - 51 67% +13  90% 7 - 3 B+ +12 D+ -4 D- C+ A- A+ +17 A+ A B
 Mon, Dec 29 214 @Quinnipiac L 58 - 64 42% -3  11% 7 - 4 2 - 1 D+ -6 F -14 F C F A- +8 A F A+
 Fri, Jan 2 242 @St. Peter's L 59 - 69 48% -3  27% 7 - 5 2 - 2 D- -12 F -15 F F C+ B- +3 A+ F C-
 Sun, Jan 4 250 Iona W 83 - 38 72% +21  87% 8 - 5 3 - 2 A+ +37 B- +4 D- A+ A+ A+ +33 A+ A+ A+
 Fri, Jan 9 286 @Sacred Heart W 76 - 72 58% -2  34% 9 - 5 4 - 2 C -0 C+ +4 C A C- D+ -4 D+ F A-
 Sun, Jan 11 356 @Rider W 71 - 49 83% +12  93% 10 - 5 5 - 2 B +10 D -6 D+ F C+ A+ +17 A- B+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 258 Fairfield W 82 - 67 73% +13  99% 11 - 5 6 - 2 B- +7 B +7 B+ A+ F+ C+ +1 A+ F+ C-
 Mon, Jan 19 170 Merrimack L 55 - 68 55% -6  5% 11 - 6 6 - 3 F+ -17 F -16 F D- C- C -1 D A B+
 Thu, Jan 22 201 @Siena L 50 - 69 38% -4  25% 11 - 7 6 - 4 F -18 F -17 F F B+ D+ -4 B+ F D-
 Sat, Jan 24 214 Quinnipiac W 71 - 64 65% +8  92% 12 - 7 7 - 4 C +1 C- -1 B D- D+ B- +3 B- A F
 Fri, Jan 30 339 @Canisius W 88 - 86 OT 76% -1  49% 13 - 7 8 - 4 D+ -7 B +6 A F+ D- F -14 F F D+
 Sun, Feb 1 334 @Niagara W 58 - 46 74% +5  86% 14 - 7 9 - 4 C+ +3 F -13 F F B A+ +18 A+ C+ A
 Thu, Feb 5 356 Rider W 81 - 52 93% +18  91% 15 - 7 10 - 4 B +11 A +12 A+ C- C- B +4 B+ D+ B-
 Sat, Feb 7 258 @Fairfield L 60 - 63 51% -4  10% 15 - 8 10 - 5 D+ -5 D- -8 F C F+ B- +2 C- B+ D-
 Thu, Feb 12 170 @Merrimack L 56 - 81 33% -6  42% 15 - 9 10 - 6 F -23 F -14 F B- C F -10 F A+ D
 Sun, Feb 15 201 Siena L 63 - 67 61% -8  4% 15 - 10 10 - 7 D -9 F -10 F D- A+ C+ +1 F A+ B+
 Fri, Feb 20 329 @Manhattan W 84 - 70 71% +7  65% 16 - 10 11 - 7 B- +6 A- +10 B+ A B- C- -3 C+ F B-
 Sun, Feb 22 286 Sacred Heart W 65 - 63 78% -3  17% 17 - 10 12 - 7 D -8 F -16 F F A+ A- +8 B A D
 Sun, Mar 1 242 St. Peter's L 56 - 63 70% -1  42% 17 - 11 12 - 8 F+ -15 F -16 D- F C+ C+ +1 F+ B A+
 Sat, Mar 7 214 Quinnipiac W 77 - 75 54% +2  56% 18 - 11 C -1 C- -1 C- D B+ C -0 B- B- B-
 Sun, Mar 8 170 Merrimack L 57 - 58 44% -3  8% 18 - 12 C -2 F -12 B- F F A +10 A- A- D+
Totals 18 - 12 12 - 8 -2 D -7 B+ D+ D B +4 D- B+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- C+ D- D+ 35% 45% 36% D D+ D C- D+ C- F+ B+ D B C- C+ A- B- 38% 25% 37% B- B- C B- C+ B D A- C-
0.99 55% 40% 30% -2 -1 0.95 26% 1.0 .26 18% .24 78% .18 1.02 59% 37% 29% -2 -1 0.96 30% 1.0 .29 19% .35 68% .16
Nov
3		 Xavier F+ A+ A- D- A- 31% 44% 26% F B- C- D+ D+ F A+ D+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 16% 29% 56% A A+ D B C A F B- F
0.92 75% 47% 30% +8 -4 1.10 24% 0.8 .20 27% .50 68% .34 0.98 71% 23% 24% -11 -3 0.76 31% 0.9 .28 16% .57 72% .41
Nov
9		 Dartmouth D B B+ D- C 33% 27% 40% F+ C- D+ B C F F A+ F A+ A- C+ A+ A+ 43% 14% 43% F+ A+ D+ B C A+ F A F
1.03 65% 44% 29% +1 -1 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 18% .08 80% .07 0.77 47% 33% 16% -17 +1 0.70 26% 1.0 .26 27% .53 68% .36
Nov
16		 Harvard F F B C- F+ 42% 19% 40% C D- D+ F F F B+ F+ B- A A+ A+ F+ A+ 49% 13% 38% F A+ C+ D+ C A F B- F
0.86 40% 44% 32% -8 0 0.88 26% 0.7 .17 24% .31 67% .21 0.89 37% 20% 40% -9 +2 0.87 25% 1.0 .25 24% .48 78% .37
Nov
21		 Army D+ C+ A- F D- 40% 24% 36% C- D- A- D B- B- F A+ F C F D- A- D- 30% 17% 53% B+ D+ F+ A+ A+ C F F F
1.14 64% 46% 25% -1 0 1.00 39% 1.1 .42 14% .21 92% .19 0.98 71% 38% 28% -1 0 1.00 34% 0.3 .11 18% .33 78% .26
Nov
25		 Lehigh C C+ A+ B- B+ 33% 25% 42% D- B- D D- D- B C- B- C A+ B+ C A+ A+ 38% 30% 32% B- A+ B- F D- F D+ A+ C+
1.15 59% 54% 36% +6 -1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 13% .29 76% .22 0.81 50% 38% 6% -17 -1 0.66 20% 1.4 .27 13% .31 61% .19
Dec
5		 Mount St. Mary's F C D D+ C- 34% 32% 34% D- D+ D- A+ C+ F F A+ D- A+ A+ A+ A A+ 47% 11% 42% D A D- A C+ A+ F A+ D-
0.89 56% 33% 31% -4 -2 0.91 23% 1.4 .32 27% .25 85% .21 0.78 43% 20% 26% -14 +2 0.78 34% 0.9 .29 29% .42 57% .24
Dec
7		 Manhattan F+ C+ B F F 35% 15% 50% C+ F C- C- D+ C- C- F D+ A- B- B- D+ C- 35% 33% 33% A- C A A+ A+ B F B+ F
1.06 62% 44% 27% -3 0 0.97 36% 1.1 .38 16% .24 67% .16 0.90 50% 35% 35% -3 -2 0.92 20% 0.5 .10 19% .39 75% .29
Dec
13		 Bryant C+ A- D C+ B- 52% 25% 23% D+ C+ D C D+ D- B+ A+ A+ D F F F F 33% 12% 55% C F A- A+ A+ B- D A C
1.19 68% 33% 36% +5 0 1.13 31% 1.0 .31 16% .36 95% .35 1.08 69% 50% 41% +11 +1 1.24 21% 0.3 .07 23% .30 69% .21
Dec
16		 Georgia Tech B F+ C A+ B 24% 35% 41% F C+ B- A+ A+ B- D- F F F F F F F 34% 44% 22% A+ F F B+ D A- C- D- D+
1.11 46% 37% 41% +1 -3 0.98 32% 1.5 .49 15% .24 50% .12 1.27 71% 45% 73% +20 -3 1.36 42% 1.0 .42 22% .32 76% .24
Dec
21		 Stony Brook D+ D+ D+ D D- 35% 23% 42% D+ D- D A+ C+ A- F+ A- D A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 22% 31% 47% A+ A+ A- A+ A B F A+ D+
1.06 56% 33% 32% -3 -1 0.94 27% 1.2 .32 12% .24 79% .19 0.77 45% 27% 26% -12 -2 0.73 22% 0.7 .15 20% .34 61% .21
Dec
29		 Quinnipiac F D+ F F F 50% 23% 27% C+ F C- C+ C F F B+ F A- A+ B- B+ A 31% 33% 35% A A F D+ F A+ F B D
0.85 54% 25% 14% -13 +1 0.77 32% 1.1 .34 22% .17 78% .13 0.94 40% 31% 29% -10 -2 0.77 40% 1.1 .43 22% .37 65% .24
Jan
2		 St. Peter's F F B F F 42% 24% 34% D+ F F F F C+ C A+ A- B- B- A+ A+ A+ 36% 22% 42% C A+ C F F C- F D- F
0.85 33% 42% 18% -18 0 0.66 24% 0.8 .18 19% .41 87% .36 1.00 50% 20% 21% -15 0 0.71 35% 1.3 .45 17% .49 79% .39
Jan
4		 Iona B- D A+ F D- 39% 18% 43% C+ D- D A+ A+ A+ D A+ C+ A+ B- A- A+ A+ 43% 25% 33% B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ C-
1.18 54% 55% 23% -6 0 0.92 29% 1.7 .50 8% .23 87% .20 0.54 53% 30% 8% -17 0 0.68 14% 0.6 .08 34% .36 53% .19
Jan
9		 Sacred Heart C+ A A+ F C 40% 21% 38% D+ C C A+ A C- C C C+ D+ C- A+ D C- 37% 11% 52% F+ D+ F D+ F A- F F F
1.20 74% 50% 28% +5 0 1.13 33% 1.4 .48 14% .26 71% .18 1.13 59% 20% 38% +1 +1 1.07 34% 1.1 .38 22% .44 86% .38
Jan
11		 Rider D D+ D+ A+ C- 48% 20% 32% D+ D+ F F F C+ F A+ F A+ F A A+ B- 31% 58% 11% A+ A- A+ F B+ C+ F A+ D
1.07 56% 36% 44% +3 +1 1.11 23% 0.5 .11 14% .10 83% .09 0.74 64% 27% 0% -10 -5 0.71 9% 2.3 .20 18% .39 57% .22
Jan
17		 Fairfield B A+ B A+ A+ 27% 38% 36% F B+ B+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A A+ C+ C C+ A+ A+ 30% 32% 38% A A+ C+ F F+ C- F C- F
1.23 75% 41% 44% +11 -3 1.18 37% 1.4 .52 20% .39 81% .32 1.01 53% 38% 16% -12 -2 0.74 33% 1.2 .40 15% .48 70% .34
Jan
19		 Merrimack F D D- F F 41% 27% 32% D+ F F+ C- D- C- A A+ A+ C F F A+ F+ 39% 24% 37% A D A+ C A B+ F D+ F
0.85 50% 33% 14% -14 -1 0.73 32% 1.0 .32 20% .43 86% .37 1.05 69% 60% 20% +2 0 1.05 13% 1.0 .13 19% .51 81% .42
Jan
22		 Siena F F C+ D- F+ 31% 29% 39% D- F F F F B+ F A F D+ B+ B F C+ 26% 53% 21% A+ B+ C+ F F D- B- F D-
0.83 44% 40% 30% -6 -2 0.86 9% 0.7 .06 13% .10 80% .08 1.14 50% 36% 40% -1 -5 0.89 28% 2.0 .55 13% .27 100% .27
Jan
24		 Quinnipiac C- A- A D- B+ 45% 28% 28% D+ B F A+ D- D+ C B- C+ B- B B B+ B+ 51% 18% 31% F B- B- A+ A F C D C-
1.07 67% 46% 31% +5 0 1.11 15% 1.8 .27 18% .30 75% .22 0.97 50% 30% 29% -8 +1 0.89 29% 0.7 .20 11% .30 72% .22
Jan
30		 Canisius B A+ A C- A+ 44% 25% 31% C- A D+ F F+ D- A+ A+ A+ F F D- D F 38% 13% 48% F F F F+ F D+ F A+ F
1.19 81% 50% 33% +13 0 1.27 29% 0.8 .21 18% .46 82% .38 1.16 65% 43% 36% +5 +1 1.13 33% 1.1 .36 18% .43 62% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Niagara F D+ C F F 31% 44% 24% F F F A+ F B C- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ 44% 24% 31% B+ A+ F A+ C+ A C A B-
0.95 57% 40% 18% -5 -4 0.84 13% 1.8 .23 13% .28 87% .24 0.75 30% 9% 43% -15 0 0.71 30% 0.5 .16 25% .24 64% .15
Feb
5		 Rider A B B A+ A+ 48% 19% 33% D+ A+ B- F+ C- C- F A+ D- B A- D A+ B+ 35% 37% 28% B- B+ F B+ D+ B- A A+ A+
1.37 65% 44% 63% +19 +1 1.42 36% 0.9 .32 15% .16 100% .16 0.88 44% 41% 15% -12 -2 0.74 41% 0.8 .32 19% .19 44% .08
Feb
7		 Fairfield D- F A+ F+ F 48% 17% 35% C F B F+ C F+ D+ A+ B B- F C- A+ C- 27% 21% 52% B- C- A C+ B+ D- C F C-
0.98 43% 50% 29% -7 +1 0.90 35% 0.9 .32 20% .26 92% .24 1.03 77% 40% 24% -2 -1 0.96 26% 0.9 .23 13% .24 77% .19
Feb
12		 Merrimack F F F F F 47% 23% 30% C+ F F+ A+ B- C F C- F+ F F F F F 40% 14% 46% C+ F A+ A+ A+ D F A+ C-
0.85 36% 27% 21% -18 0 0.66 33% 1.4 .45 20% .26 71% .19 1.22 75% 57% 39% +13 +1 1.30 14% 0.5 .07 14% .44 64% .28
Feb
15		 Siena F D F F F 34% 28% 38% D F C- F D- A+ A+ C+ A C+ F+ F A+ F 42% 36% 22% B- F A+ A A+ B+ D+ A+ C+
0.97 53% 29% 21% -12 -1 0.76 30% 0.8 .23 11% .38 73% .27 1.03 68% 63% 20% +8 -2 1.16 19% 0.8 .15 20% .33 65% .21
Feb
20		 Manhattan A- B- A+ A+ A 36% 30% 34% F+ B+ C+ A+ A B- B A A- C- C- F A+ C 35% 26% 39% B- C+ F F F B- F B- F
1.31 65% 57% 44% +13 -1 1.26 38% 1.4 .54 14% .29 81% .24 1.09 56% 50% 22% -4 -1 0.91 35% 1.5 .55 17% .41 77% .32
Feb
22		 Sacred Heart F F F+ C F 23% 21% 56% F+ F F F F A+ F D F A- A+ F C+ B 33% 20% 47% C B D+ A+ A D D A+ B-
0.96 43% 31% 34% -5 -1 0.90 16% 0.7 .11 6% .09 67% .06 0.93 35% 60% 33% -4 0 0.94 28% 0.5 .15 16% .32 61% .19
Mar
1		 St. Peter's F F A+ F D+ 32% 36% 32% F D- C+ F F C+ F F F C+ F B B+ F+ 42% 27% 31% C F+ C- A- B A+ C A+ B+
0.88 44% 50% 25% -5 -2 0.88 38% 0.3 .12 19% .23 67% .15 0.99 68% 33% 29% +1 -1 1.02 36% 0.8 .29 27% .32 60% .19
Mar
7		 Quinnipiac C- F D A+ C 35% 31% 33% F C- C+ F D B+ B F+ C+ C B A+ F B- 35% 27% 38% B- B- D- A+ B- B- F B F
1.05 39% 31% 53% +1 -2 1.00 35% 0.8 .28 14% .33 67% .22 1.03 50% 14% 40% -6 -1 0.88 37% 0.8 .28 18% .53 66% .35
Mar
8		 Merrimack F A F A B+ 37% 40% 23% F B- B- F F F F D+ F A C+ A+ A+ A 51% 15% 34% D+ A- D+ A+ A- D+ B- B- B
0.89 69% 29% 40% +3 -3 1.02 43% 0.5 .20 31% .23 70% .16 0.91 54% 14% 25% -10 +2 0.85 26% 0.6 .15 14% .31 76% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%