Marist
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#255
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#271
Pace65.3#275
Improvement+0.7#121

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#281
First Shot-7.2#340
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#28
Layup/Dunks-4.2#313
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#213
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#147
Freethrows-2.8#330
Improvement-0.2#207

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#209
First Shot-1.2#218
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#171
Layups/Dunks+0.3#181
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#240
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#193
Freethrows-0.5#220
Improvement+1.0#87
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 4.8% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 31.5% 49.3% 24.9%
.500 or above in Conference 40.1% 60.1% 32.7%
Conference Champion 2.6% 6.4% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 13.7% 5.7% 16.6%
First Four1.0% 0.8% 1.0%
First Round2.9% 4.5% 2.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Home) - 27.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 411 - 813 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 320   @ American L 73-77 OT 53%     0 - 1 -9.9 -11.3 +1.8
  Nov 12, 2021 333   @ Columbia W 82-67 64%     1 - 1 +6.3 +11.7 -4.0
  Nov 17, 2021 151   @ Princeton L 61-80 20%     1 - 2 -15.0 -7.7 -8.8
  Nov 20, 2021 261   VMI W 78-74 OT 63%     2 - 2 -4.5 -5.3 +0.6
  Nov 27, 2021 249   @ Army L 61-65 37%     2 - 3 -5.7 -6.7 +0.7
  Dec 01, 2021 106   Iona L 63-69 27%    
  Dec 05, 2021 266   @ Rider L 64-66 42%    
  Dec 08, 2021 323   @ Binghamton W 66-65 55%    
  Dec 12, 2021 101   Navy L 60-67 28%    
  Dec 18, 2021 144   @ Boston University L 60-70 19%    
  Dec 22, 2021 345   Bethune-Cookman W 73-62 85%    
  Dec 31, 2021 135   @ Monmouth L 65-75 17%    
  Jan 02, 2022 202   St. Peter's L 63-64 49%    
  Jan 07, 2022 237   @ Fairfield L 62-66 35%    
  Jan 09, 2022 266   Rider W 67-63 64%    
  Jan 14, 2022 275   Siena W 66-62 65%    
  Jan 16, 2022 135   Monmouth L 68-72 34%    
  Jan 21, 2022 106   @ Iona L 60-72 15%    
  Jan 23, 2022 237   Fairfield W 65-63 56%    
  Jan 28, 2022 294   @ Quinnipiac L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 30, 2022 253   @ Manhattan L 62-65 39%    
  Feb 06, 2022 202   @ St. Peter's L 61-67 30%    
  Feb 12, 2022 284   Canisius W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 14, 2022 180   Niagara L 63-64 46%    
  Feb 18, 2022 275   @ Siena L 63-65 43%    
  Feb 20, 2022 294   Quinnipiac W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 25, 2022 253   Manhattan W 65-62 61%    
  Mar 03, 2022 284   @ Canisius L 69-71 44%    
  Mar 05, 2022 180   @ Niagara L 60-67 28%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 1.6 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.8 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.5 3rd
4th 0.2 1.4 4.2 2.7 1.3 0.1 9.9 4th
5th 0.2 1.5 4.7 3.9 0.8 0.1 11.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 4.8 4.0 0.9 0.1 11.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 4.7 4.7 0.7 0.1 11.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.4 4.6 3.9 1.1 0.0 11.2 8th
9th 0.3 1.4 4.4 3.5 0.9 0.1 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.8 3.8 3.5 0.8 0.1 10.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.9 2.7 2.0 0.5 0.0 8.5 11th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.4 4.7 7.4 9.9 10.5 11.2 12.3 10.9 10.0 6.7 5.6 3.0 2.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-3 89.3% 0.6    0.3 0.2
16-4 62.6% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
15-5 21.5% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 16.9% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.2% 25.6% 25.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.6% 36.6% 36.6% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-4 1.2% 20.4% 20.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9
15-5 2.0% 14.3% 14.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
14-6 3.0% 13.1% 13.1% 15.3 0.3 0.1 2.6
13-7 5.6% 6.6% 6.6% 15.5 0.2 0.2 5.2
12-8 6.7% 7.6% 7.6% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 6.1
11-9 10.0% 3.6% 3.6% 15.7 0.1 0.2 9.6
10-10 10.9% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.1 0.4 10.5
9-11 12.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 12.1
8-12 11.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.1
7-13 10.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.4
6-14 9.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.8
5-15 7.4% 7.4
4-16 4.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.7
3-17 2.4% 2.4
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 15.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.8 96.6 0.0%