Marist
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#316
Expected Predictive Rating-8.7#311
Pace64.6#279
Improvement-0.3#216

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#335
First Shot-4.5#314
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#307
Layup/Dunks-4.8#341
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#185
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#53
Freethrows-3.1#355
Improvement+0.3#127

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#239
First Shot-1.4#225
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#243
Layups/Dunks+2.6#76
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#304
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#298
Freethrows+0.6#135
Improvement-0.6#272
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 51.1% 35.2% 70.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Home) - 54.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 49 - 1110 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 236   American W 73-69 43%     1 - 0 -2.5 -1.2 -1.2
  Nov 12, 2022 324   Binghamton L 75-78 64%     1 - 1 -15.0 -2.7 -12.3
  Nov 16, 2022 258   @ Lehigh L 54-64 28%     1 - 2 -12.4 -23.7 +12.3
  Nov 19, 2022 115   Princeton L 55-62 21%     1 - 3 -6.8 -14.5 +7.2
  Nov 22, 2022 292   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 59-70 35%     1 - 4 -15.2 -8.6 -7.3
  Nov 26, 2022 295   @ Bucknell W 60-54 OT 36%     2 - 4 +1.5 -15.7 +17.1
  Nov 28, 2022 346   Columbia W 52-39 73%     3 - 4 -1.8 -23.4 +22.3
  Dec 04, 2022 288   Maine W 62-61 44%     4 - 4 -5.8 -6.5 +0.9
  Dec 10, 2022 276   Boston University L 70-72 51%     4 - 5 -10.6 -3.3 -7.4
  Dec 19, 2022 294   Manhattan L 69-80 56%     4 - 6 0 - 1 -20.7 +3.2 -25.8
  Dec 22, 2022 196   @ Rider L 71-77 18%     4 - 7 0 - 2 -4.7 +0.6 -5.6
  Dec 30, 2022 232   @ Fairfield L 54-73 24%     4 - 8 0 - 3 -19.9 -17.7 -2.2
  Jan 06, 2023 85   Iona L 57-84 14%     4 - 9 0 - 4 -23.9 -11.1 -14.1
  Jan 08, 2023 290   Mount St. Mary's W 63-56 55%     5 - 9 1 - 4 -2.6 -3.3 +1.7
  Jan 13, 2023 281   @ Canisius W 76-58 33%     6 - 9 2 - 4 +14.3 +6.5 +9.0
  Jan 15, 2023 239   @ Niagara W 66-64 25%     7 - 9 3 - 4 +0.7 +6.7 -5.5
  Jan 20, 2023 263   St. Peter's L 57-61 50%     7 - 10 3 - 5 -12.2 -11.6 -1.0
  Jan 22, 2023 290   @ Mount St. Mary's L 55-59 34%     7 - 11 3 - 6 -8.1 -10.9 +2.3
  Jan 27, 2023 196   Rider L 52-68 34%     7 - 12 3 - 7 -20.1 -16.8 -5.7
  Jan 29, 2023 151   Siena L 55-70 27%     7 - 13 3 - 8 -16.9 -13.4 -4.9
  Jan 31, 2023 133   @ Quinnipiac L 66-72 12%     7 - 14 3 - 9 -1.4 -2.0 +0.5
  Feb 05, 2023 281   Canisius W 67-66 55%    
  Feb 10, 2023 263   @ St. Peter's L 57-63 30%    
  Feb 12, 2023 151   @ Siena L 59-71 13%    
  Feb 17, 2023 232   Fairfield L 61-63 44%    
  Feb 19, 2023 239   Niagara L 60-62 45%    
  Feb 24, 2023 294   @ Manhattan L 64-68 35%    
  Mar 02, 2023 85   @ Iona L 59-76 5%    
  Mar 04, 2023 133   Quinnipiac L 64-71 26%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.7 2.9 0.4 0.0 6.2 7th
8th 0.1 3.7 7.2 1.6 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.2 4.2 12.1 4.4 0.2 21.1 9th
10th 0.2 4.7 14.6 8.9 0.7 0.0 29.1 10th
11th 4.8 13.3 9.4 1.3 0.0 28.8 11th
Total 5.1 18.1 28.3 26.3 15.0 5.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0% 0.0
10-10 0.2% 0.2
9-11 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
8-12 5.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.7
7-13 15.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.0
6-14 26.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 26.3
5-15 28.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 28.3
4-16 18.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.1
3-17 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.1
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0