Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#169
Expected Predictive Rating+7.0#87
Pace77.3#25
Improvement+1.4#83

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#219
First Shot-1.6#221
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#195
Layup/Dunks+0.6#149
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#118
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#216
Freethrows-2.1#305
Improvement+1.5#72

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#131
First Shot+3.2#76
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#307
Layups/Dunks-0.6#199
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#126
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#165
Freethrows+2.6#45
Improvement-0.1#190
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.2% 21.4% 17.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.9 14.3
.500 or above 97.5% 99.1% 95.9%
.500 or above in Conference 97.5% 98.2% 96.8%
Conference Champion 31.5% 35.5% 27.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round19.2% 21.4% 17.0%
Second Round0.7% 1.0% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Away) - 49.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 34 - 7
Quad 417 - 422 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 16 @St. John's L 74-108 4%     0 - 1 -13.7 -1.0 -7.1
  Thu, Nov 6 242 Central Connecticut St. W 71-49 74%     1 - 1 +14.4 -2.9 +17.6
  Tue, Nov 11 79 Yale L 60-97 31%     1 - 2 -32.6 -16.9 -15.0
  Sun, Nov 16 336 @Maine W 70-64 75%     2 - 2 -1.8 -1.9 +0.1
  Sun, Nov 23 107 @Pittsburgh W 83-75 23%     3 - 2 +14.9 +13.8 +1.3
  Tue, Nov 25 57 @Central Florida L 91-102 11%     3 - 3 +1.5 +12.5 -9.8
  Sun, Nov 30 341 Stonehill W 76-62 89%     4 - 3 -0.2 -0.7 +0.6
  Fri, Dec 5 171 @Iona W 89-68 39%     5 - 3 1 - 0 +23.1 +13.5 +8.7
  Sun, Dec 7 348 Rider W 72-58 90%     6 - 3 2 - 0 -1.0 -3.0 +2.2
  Sat, Dec 13 302 Umass Lowell W 75-71 83%     7 - 3 -6.8 -7.9 +0.8
  Wed, Dec 17 220 @Monmouth L 75-76 49%    
  Sun, Dec 21 114 @Hofstra L 70-77 25%    
  Mon, Dec 29 156 Marist W 71-69 57%    
  Fri, Jan 2 320 @Manhattan W 83-77 70%    
  Sun, Jan 4 298 Mount St. Mary's W 80-70 82%    
  Sun, Jan 11 257 @Sacred Heart W 80-78 56%    
  Wed, Jan 14 293 St. Peter's W 75-66 81%    
  Sat, Jan 17 271 @Merrimack W 72-70 57%    
  Mon, Jan 19 320 Manhattan W 86-74 85%    
  Thu, Jan 22 298 @Mount St. Mary's W 77-73 63%    
  Sat, Jan 24 156 @Marist L 68-72 36%    
  Fri, Jan 30 257 Sacred Heart W 83-75 75%    
  Sun, Feb 1 294 @Fairfield W 77-73 63%    
  Thu, Feb 5 340 Canisius W 76-63 89%    
  Sat, Feb 7 353 Niagara W 78-63 92%    
  Fri, Feb 13 165 @Siena L 70-73 38%    
  Sun, Feb 15 271 Merrimack W 75-67 77%    
  Sun, Feb 22 294 Fairfield W 80-70 81%    
  Fri, Feb 27 353 @Niagara W 75-66 80%    
  Sun, Mar 1 340 @Canisius W 73-66 75%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 3.6 7.7 9.1 6.6 2.8 0.7 31.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.3 5.3 8.4 6.8 2.2 0.3 24.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 4.7 6.9 4.0 0.9 0.0 17.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.5 4.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 6.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 1.7 0.7 0.1 3.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.5 3.3 5.2 8.3 11.8 15.4 16.4 15.5 11.3 7.0 2.8 0.7 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
19-1 100.0% 2.8    2.7 0.1
18-2 95.1% 6.6    5.8 0.8 0.0
17-3 80.0% 9.1    6.4 2.5 0.2 0.0
16-4 50.0% 7.7    3.7 3.2 0.8 0.0
15-5 22.1% 3.6    1.0 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 5.9% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 31.5% 31.5 20.3 8.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.7% 42.4% 42.4% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
19-1 2.8% 38.3% 38.3% 12.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.7
18-2 7.0% 33.8% 33.8% 13.3 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.6
17-3 11.3% 29.1% 29.1% 13.7 0.1 1.3 1.4 0.5 0.0 8.0
16-4 15.5% 24.3% 24.3% 14.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.0 0.0 11.7
15-5 16.4% 20.8% 20.8% 14.4 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.4 0.1 13.0
14-6 15.4% 15.7% 15.7% 14.6 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.1 13.0
13-7 11.8% 12.1% 12.1% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.2 10.4
12-8 8.3% 9.9% 9.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 7.5
11-9 5.2% 4.7% 4.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.9
10-10 3.3% 2.5% 2.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 3.2
9-11 1.5% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 1.5
8-12 0.6% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6
7-13 0.3% 0.3
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 19.2% 19.2% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.2 7.2 5.8 0.9 80.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 11.5 4.2 45.8 41.7 8.3