IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.2	#215
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.3	#15
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.1	#232

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.1	#203

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	13.5%	25.6%	13.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	13.4	14.6

.500 or above	63.7%	93.2%	63.4%
.500 or above in Conference	78.0%	93.6%	77.8%
Conference Champion	17.7%	43.5%	17.4%
Last Place in Conference	2.1%	0.4%	2.1%

First Four	1.9%	0.0%	1.9%
First Round	13.5%	26.0%	13.4%
Second Round	0.5%	2.6%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Away) - 0.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 4	2 - 8
Quad 4	15 - 7	17 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	8	@ St. John's	L	65-90	1%
Nov 06, 2025	305	Central Connecticut St.	W	74-66	77%
Nov 11, 2025	92	Yale	L	73-79	29%
Nov 16, 2025	290	@ Maine	W	71-70	54%
Nov 23, 2025	77	@ Pittsburgh	L	68-81	12%
Nov 25, 2025	74	@ Central Florida	L	74-88	11%
Nov 30, 2025	340	Stonehill	W	76-65	84%
Dec 05, 2025	199	@ Iona	L	74-78	37%
Dec 07, 2025	313	Rider	W	75-67	76%
Dec 13, 2025	295	Umass Lowell	W	81-74	73%
Dec 17, 2025	211	@ Monmouth	L	74-77	39%
Dec 21, 2025	178	@ Hofstra	L	65-70	34%
Dec 29, 2025	237	Marist	W	69-65	64%
Jan 02, 2026	260	@ Manhattan	L	77-78	47%
Jan 04, 2026	269	Mount St. Mary's	W	77-71	68%
Jan 11, 2026	254	@ Sacred Heart	L	80-81	46%
Jan 14, 2026	297	St. Peter's	W	71-64	73%
Jan 17, 2026	257	@ Merrimack	L	68-69	46%
Jan 19, 2026	260	Manhattan	W	80-75	66%
Jan 22, 2026	269	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	73-74	49%
Jan 24, 2026	237	@ Marist	L	66-68	44%
Jan 30, 2026	254	Sacred Heart	W	83-78	65%
Feb 01, 2026	319	@ Fairfield	W	74-71	59%
Feb 05, 2026	346	Canisius	W	79-67	83%
Feb 07, 2026	335	Niagara	W	76-66	80%
Feb 13, 2026	222	@ Siena	L	73-76	41%
Feb 15, 2026	257	Merrimack	W	71-66	65%
Feb 22, 2026	319	Fairfield	W	77-68	76%
Feb 27, 2026	335	@ Niagara	W	73-69	63%
Mar 01, 2026	346	@ Canisius	W	76-70	68%
Projected Record						16 - 14	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	1.1	2.8	4.4	4.4	2.9	1.4	0.3		17.7	1st
2nd													0.3	2.0	4.2	4.6	2.7	0.9	0.1	0.0			14.9	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	1.8	4.4	4.1	1.6	0.3	0.0					12.5	3rd
4th											0.1	1.6	4.1	3.5	1.2	0.1	0.0						10.7	4th
5th										0.1	1.1	3.8	3.4	0.9	0.1								9.3	5th
6th									0.0	0.7	3.2	3.4	1.0	0.1									8.3	6th
7th								0.0	0.4	2.1	2.9	1.0	0.1										6.5	7th
8th							0.0	0.2	1.6	2.6	1.1	0.1											5.6	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	1.1	2.1	1.2	0.2	0.0											4.8	9th
10th						0.1	0.9	1.6	1.0	0.2													3.7	10th
11th				0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0													2.8	11th
12th			0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0														2.1	12th
13th	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0															1.1	13th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.7	2.8	3.9	5.3	6.7	8.7	10.1	10.6	11.2	10.7	9.2	7.3	5.4	3.1	1.4	0.3			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
19-1	99.2%	1.4		1.4	0.0
18-2	95.5%	2.9		2.6	0.3	0.0
17-3	82.8%	4.4		3.5	0.9	0.0
16-4	59.8%	4.4		2.7	1.4	0.2	0.0
15-5	30.9%	2.8		1.2	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0
14-6	10.7%	1.1		0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-7	1.6%	0.2			0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0					0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	17.7%	17.7		11.9	4.4	1.1	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.3%		59.3%	59.3%		12.0											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.1
19-1	1.4%		51.3%	51.3%		12.7												0.1	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.0		0.7
18-2	3.1%		39.7%	39.7%		13.2												0.0	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	1.9
17-3	5.4%		36.7%	36.7%		13.8												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.3	0.1	3.4
16-4	7.3%		27.6%	27.6%		14.7													0.1	0.4	0.8	0.6	0.2	5.3
15-5	9.2%		22.5%	22.5%		15.9													0.0	0.1	0.7	1.0	0.5	7.1
14-6	10.7%		17.9%	17.9%		16.8														0.0	0.4	1.0	0.8	8.8
13-7	11.2%		12.3%	12.3%		17.5														0.0	0.1	0.6	0.8	9.8
12-8	10.6%		9.2%	9.2%		18.4															0.0	0.3	0.8	9.6
11-9	10.1%		6.0%	6.0%		18.7															0.0	0.1	0.6	9.5
10-10	8.7%		2.4%	2.4%		18.3																0.0	0.2	8.4
9-11	6.7%		1.5%	1.5%		17.2																0.0	0.1	6.6
8-12	5.3%		1.5%	1.5%		16.7																0.0	0.1	5.2
7-13	3.9%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	3.9
6-14	2.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.8
5-15	1.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.7
4-16	1.0%																							1.0
3-17	0.4%																							0.4
2-18	0.1%																							0.1
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		13.5%	13.5%	0.0%	15.6											0.0	0.1	0.9	1.9	3.3	4.2	4.0	86.5		0.0%