Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#294
Expected Predictive Rating-9.7#306
Pace76.7#38
Improvement-0.8#244

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#285
First Shot-4.4#300
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#160
Layup/Dunks-3.0#279
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#341
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#81
Freethrows-1.0#238
Improvement-1.1#289

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#277
First Shot-0.8#201
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#307
Layups/Dunks+0.7#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#145
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#210
Freethrows-1.4#266
Improvement+0.3#150
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.1% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 14.1% 22.3% 8.5%
.500 or above in Conference 21.8% 34.1% 13.5%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 26.4% 15.5% 33.7%
First Four1.0% 1.2% 0.8%
First Round1.1% 1.3% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Home) - 40.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 62 - 11
Quad 49 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 52   @ Maryland L 69-83 5%     0 - 1 -2.3 -0.4 -1.2
  Nov 15, 2021 343   Holy Cross W 76-68 80%     1 - 1 -8.2 -10.4 +1.6
  Nov 20, 2021 348   Central Connecticut St. W 76-65 83%     2 - 1 -6.2 -3.1 -2.6
  Nov 23, 2021 195   @ New Hampshire L 69-84 20%     2 - 2 -13.5 -1.6 -12.5
  Nov 28, 2021 216   Brown L 61-72 42%     2 - 3 -16.3 -15.4 -0.1
  Dec 03, 2021 202   St. Peter's L 69-71 40%    
  Dec 05, 2021 253   @ Manhattan L 67-72 31%    
  Dec 08, 2021 230   @ Dartmouth L 65-72 26%    
  Dec 11, 2021 352   Maine W 72-61 85%    
  Dec 22, 2021 67   @ Penn St. L 58-76 5%    
  Dec 31, 2021 180   Niagara L 68-71 36%    
  Jan 02, 2022 266   Rider W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 07, 2022 284   @ Canisius L 75-79 36%    
  Jan 09, 2022 180   @ Niagara L 65-74 20%    
  Jan 14, 2022 266   @ Rider L 69-73 35%    
  Jan 16, 2022 237   Fairfield L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 23, 2022 106   Iona L 68-77 23%    
  Jan 28, 2022 255   Marist W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 30, 2022 275   @ Siena L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 04, 2022 202   @ St. Peter's L 66-74 23%    
  Feb 06, 2022 135   Monmouth L 74-81 28%    
  Feb 09, 2022 237   @ Fairfield L 67-73 29%    
  Feb 13, 2022 253   Manhattan W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 20, 2022 255   @ Marist L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 24, 2022 275   Siena W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 27, 2022 284   Canisius W 78-76 58%    
  Mar 03, 2022 135   @ Monmouth L 71-84 13%    
  Mar 05, 2022 106   @ Iona L 65-80 10%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.1 3.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.1 5.6 4th
5th 0.2 1.3 3.5 2.3 0.6 7.9 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 3.7 2.6 0.5 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 4.8 3.4 0.6 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 4.9 4.1 0.9 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.4 2.4 6.3 5.4 0.9 0.0 15.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 5.9 4.3 1.2 0.1 15.6 10th
11th 0.5 1.2 2.9 5.1 4.8 2.9 0.7 0.0 18.1 11th
Total 0.5 1.2 3.0 6.0 8.4 11.4 12.9 13.4 11.9 9.6 7.6 6.1 3.9 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
17-3 97.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-4 75.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 31.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 15.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.1% 31.3% 31.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 0.1
16-4 0.3% 34.4% 34.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.7% 15.9% 15.9% 15.0 0.1 0.6
14-6 1.1% 13.1% 13.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.0
13-7 2.1% 6.4% 6.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.9
12-8 3.9% 4.4% 4.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.7
11-9 6.1% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.2 5.9
10-10 7.6% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.4
9-11 9.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 9.4
8-12 11.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.9
7-13 13.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.3
6-14 12.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.8
5-15 11.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.3
4-16 8.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.4
3-17 6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.0
2-18 3.0% 3.0
1-19 1.2% 1.2
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.2 1.3 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%