Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -1.4 #177
Expected Predictive Rating +0.7 #150
Pace 75.3 #36
Improvement -1.9 #270

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #217 C- C+ C D+ C-
Defense #151 C- C- C+ C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #158 1.13 #205 +0.0 #176
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #84 0.65 #328 +0.4 #158
Three Pointers 35% #305 1.06 #116 -2.2 #258
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #230 -1.8 #231
Freethrows 0.28 #260 70% #251 0.19 #265
Second Chance 30.9% #168 1.09 #117 0.34 #136
Turnovers 16.1% #156
Total Offense -1.9 #217

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #90 1.20 #239 -2.9 #282
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #212 0.60 #9 +1.9 #50
Three Pointers 39% #254 1.12 #315 -0.8 #220
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #237 -1.8 #236
Freethrows 0.28 #112 71% #104 0.20 #101
Second Chance 33.4% #297 1.01 #133 0.34 #240
Turnovers 17.1% #134
Total Defense +0.5 #151

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.1% #262 0.8% #242
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.4% #209 2.6% #231
Possession Length 16.3 #80 17.5 #205
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 #56 0.18 #210
Improvement +0.2 #168 -2.1 #300

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.1% 19.4% 13.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.7
.500 or above 99.9% 100.0% 99.4%
.500 or above in Conference 99.7% 99.9% 98.9%
Conference Champion 20.3% 24.3% 6.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round18.0% 19.3% 13.7%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Home) - 76.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 33 - 44 - 7
Quad 417 - 421 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 19 @St. John's L 74 - 108 3% -21  0 - 1 -13 -1 C D+ F -7 F D+ B+
 Thu, Nov 6 293 Central Connecticut St. W 71 - 49 80% +12  1 - 1 +12 -7 D+ F A+ +19 A+ C- D
 Tue, Nov 11 71 Yale L 60 - 97 27% -18  1 - 2 -32 -15 F+ C F -16 F F B+
 Sun, Nov 16 336 @Maine W 70 - 64 74% -2  2 - 2 -2 -2 F B C -1 F+ A+ F+
 Sun, Nov 23 94 @Pittsburgh W 83 - 75 17% +5  3 - 2 +17 +15 A+ B+ F +2 D C- A+
 Tue, Nov 25 50 @Central Florida L 91 - 102 9% -2  3 - 3 +3 +14 A+ F B+ -10 C- C+ D
 Sun, Nov 30 337 Stonehill W 76 - 62 88% +8  4 - 3 -0 +2 A F D- -2 B F C+
 Fri, Dec 5 229 @Iona W 89 - 68 47% +7  5 - 3 1 - 0 +20 +14 B- A+ C +5 A+ F C
 Sun, Dec 7 352 Rider W 72 - 58 91% +15  6 - 3 2 - 0 -2 -6 F B C +4 C- B- B-
 Sat, Dec 13 321 Umass Lowell W 75 - 71 85% -1  7 - 3 -9 -8 F B C -1 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 17 199 @Monmouth W 85 - 75 42% +15  8 - 3 +11 +12 B B B -2 D+ A+ C+
 Sun, Dec 21 134 @Hofstra L 66 - 74 28% -2  8 - 4 -3 -3 F B B -0 A+ F B
 Mon, Dec 29 159 Marist W 64 - 58 56% +3  9 - 4 3 - 0 +3 -3 F+ A- F+ +6 A D+ A-
 Fri, Jan 2 326 @Manhattan L 79 - 80 71% +8  9 - 5 3 - 1 -8 -1 F A+ F -7 F B+ C-
 Sun, Jan 4 291 Mount St. Mary's W 80 - 69 80% +9  10 - 5 4 - 1 +1 +3 B+ D+ D- -3 B+ F C-
 Sun, Jan 11 277 @Sacred Heart W 70 - 60 59% +0  11 - 5 5 - 1 +6 -1 D F+ A- +8 B- C B+
 Wed, Jan 14 230 St. Peter's L 70 - 74 70% -4  11 - 6 5 - 2 -11 -4 C- C A -7 F A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 209 @Merrimack L 71 - 83 44% -12  11 - 7 5 - 3 -12 +3 D- C A -15 F F B-
 Mon, Jan 19 326 Manhattan W 98 - 92 OT 86% -1  12 - 7 6 - 3 -7 +4 C- A+ C -12 D F+ D+
 Thu, Jan 22 291 @Mount St. Mary's W 77 - 62 61% +12  13 - 7 7 - 3 +11 +4 B F+ C +6 D A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 24 159 @Marist L 64 - 71 33% -8  13 - 8 7 - 4 -4 +2 C D- A+ -6 F+ C+ C
 Fri, Jan 30 277 Sacred Heart W 84 - 76 77%
 Sun, Feb 1 272 @Fairfield W 78 - 76 58%
 Thu, Feb 5 343 Canisius W 76 - 63 89%
 Sat, Feb 7 349 Niagara W 77 - 63 90%
 Fri, Feb 13 172 @Siena L 71 - 74 37%
 Sun, Feb 15 209 Merrimack W 73 - 69 68%
 Sun, Feb 22 272 Fairfield W 81 - 73 77%
 Fri, Feb 27 349 @Niagara W 74 - 66 78%
 Sun, Mar 1 343 @Canisius W 73 - 66 76%
Totals 20 - 10 14 - 6 -1 -2 C- C+ C +0 C- C- C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 3.3 11.6 5.3 20.3 1st
2nd 0.1 2.9 11.9 6.8 0.4 22.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 9.2 10.5 1.0 21.8 3rd
4th 0.8 5.7 10.0 1.8 0.0 18.3 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 6.4 2.5 0.1 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.7 1.2 0.0 4.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.9 6.0 14.4 24.8 27.6 19.5 5.7 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 93.1% 5.3    3.7 1.4 0.1
15-5 59.6% 11.6    3.0 5.6 2.6 0.3 0.1
14-6 12.0% 3.3    0.3 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 20.3% 20.3 6.9 8.1 3.8 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 5.7% 30.6% 30.6% 13.1 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 3.9
15-5 19.5% 24.4% 24.4% 13.9 0.1 1.1 2.6 0.9 0.0 14.7
14-6 27.6% 19.4% 19.4% 14.4 0.0 0.2 2.5 2.5 0.1 22.2
13-7 24.8% 16.2% 16.2% 14.7 0.2 1.2 2.3 0.3 20.7
12-8 14.4% 12.7% 12.7% 15.2 0.2 1.2 0.5 12.6
11-9 6.0% 6.6% 6.6% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 5.6
10-10 1.9% 2.9% 2.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
9-11 0.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3
8-12 0.0% 0.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 18.1% 18.1% 0.0% 14.3 81.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.7% 100.0% 13.1 18.2 58.1 22.0 1.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.6%