Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.3 196
Expected Predictive Rating -0.1 163
Pace 75.3 30
Improvement -2.6 289

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 256 D+ C+ C D+ C-
Defense C 143 C- C- C C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 150 D+ 55% 262 -0.7 205
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 96 D 33% 335 +0.2 166
Three Pointers 36% 285 C+ 34% 158 -2.3 262
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 247 D+ -2.3 254
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 263
Second Chance C+ 31.4% 158 C 1.05 145 C+ 0.33 137
Turnovers C 17.1% 194
Freethrows D+ 0.28 250 D+ 70% 261 D+ 0.20 261
Total Offense D+ -3.2 256

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 96 C 58% 165 -1.8 243
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 207 A 30% 9 +1.9 46
Three Pointers 39% 255 D- 38% 335 -1.0 230
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 247 C -2.3 254
1st FG Attempt 1.04 208 C- -0.9 208
Second Chance D 33.6% 306 C+ 1.00 134 C- 0.33 241
Turnovers C 17.3% 164
Freethrows C+ 0.29 126 C+ 71% 116 C+ 0.20 109
Total Defense C +0.9 143

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 68 17.4 211
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 86 0.17 181
Improvement -1.5 #274 -1.1 #260

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15% 19% 13%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 3% 7% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 1%
First Round15% 19% 13%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Siena (Away) - 35.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 34 - 7
Quad 416 - 420 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 20 @St. John's L 74 - 108 3% -22  0% 0 - 1 D- -13 D+ -3 C D+ F D+ -5 F C+ B
 Thu, Nov 6 291 Central Connecticut St. W 71 - 49 78% +12  90% 1 - 1 B+ +11 F -10 D+ F A+ A+ +22 A+ C- F+
 Tue, Nov 11 81 Yale L 60 - 97 28% -18  17% 1 - 2 F -33 F -19 F C+ F F -13 F F B+
 Sun, Nov 16 342 @Maine W 70 - 64 75% -2  40% 2 - 2 C- -3 D -6 F B- C+ B- +2 D- A+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 98 @Pittsburgh W 83 - 75 16% +5  87% 3 - 2 A- +16 A +13 A+ A- F B- +3 D D+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 52 @Central Florida L 91 - 102 8% -2  39% 3 - 3 C+ +3 A- +10 A F B+ D -6 D+ C+ D
 Sun, Nov 30 337 Stonehill W 76 - 62 87% +8  76% 4 - 3 C -0 C -0 A F D- C -0 B F C
 Fri, Dec 5 248 @Iona W 89 - 68 48% +7  89% 5 - 3 1 - 0 A +19 A- +10 C+ A+ C A- +8 A+ F C-
 Sun, Dec 7 354 Rider W 72 - 58 91% +15  99% 6 - 3 2 - 0 C- -3 F -11 F B B- A- +8 C C+ C+
 Sat, Dec 13 316 Umass Lowell W 75 - 71 83% -1  30% 7 - 3 D -8 F -12 F B C B- +3 F A+ A
 Wed, Dec 17 189 @Monmouth W 85 - 75 37% +15  99% 8 - 3 B +11 A- +10 B B- A- C+ +1 D+ A C+
 Sun, Dec 21 113 @Hofstra L 66 - 74 21% -2  19% 8 - 4 C- -2 D+ -4 F A- B+ C+ +2 A+ F B
 Mon, Dec 29 178 Marist W 64 - 58 57% +3  79% 9 - 4 3 - 0 C+ +2 D- -7 F A D- A- +9 A D B+
 Fri, Jan 2 322 @Manhattan L 79 - 80 68% +8  91% 9 - 5 3 - 1 D -8 D -5 F A+ F D+ -4 F A- C-
 Sun, Jan 4 289 Mount St. Mary's W 80 - 69 78% +6  87% 10 - 5 4 - 1 C +1 C +0 B+ D+ D+ C -0 A- F F+
 Sun, Jan 11 286 @Sacred Heart W 70 - 60 58% +0  49% 11 - 5 5 - 1 B- +6 D -4 D- F A- A +11 B- C- A-
 Wed, Jan 14 228 St. Peter's L 70 - 74 66% -4  22% 11 - 6 5 - 2 D -11 D- -7 D+ C A D+ -4 F A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 172 @Merrimack L 71 - 83 33% -12  2% 11 - 7 5 - 3 D -10 C +1 D- C A F -11 F F B-
 Mon, Jan 19 322 Manhattan W 98 - 92 OT 85% -1  49% 12 - 7 6 - 3 D+ -7 C +1 C A+ C- D- -9 D F+ D
 Thu, Jan 22 289 @Mount St. Mary's W 77 - 62 58% +12  92% 13 - 7 7 - 3 B +11 C +1 B- F+ C+ A- +9 D+ A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 24 178 @Marist L 64 - 71 35% -8  3% 13 - 8 7 - 4 D+ -5 C- -2 D+ D- A+ D+ -4 F C+ C
 Fri, Jan 30 286 Sacred Heart L 91 - 98 78% -1  39% 13 - 9 7 - 5 F+ -17 C +1 D B B+ F -18 F B- F
 Sun, Feb 1 262 @Fairfield W 72 - 65 52% -2  27% 14 - 9 8 - 5 C+ +4 D -5 C- B F+ A- +9 A C+ F+
 Thu, Feb 5 345 Canisius W 75 - 60 88% +13  97% 15 - 9 9 - 5 C -0 F+ -9 D- A F A- +8 B+ F+ C+
 Sat, Feb 7 336 Niagara W 56 - 55 87% +5  81% 16 - 9 10 - 5 D- -13 F -15 F F F C+ +2 C F+ A+
 Fri, Feb 13 179 @Siena L 71 - 75 36%
 Sun, Feb 15 172 Merrimack W 71 - 70 55%
 Sun, Feb 22 262 Fairfield W 79 - 73 73%
 Fri, Feb 27 336 @Niagara W 71 - 65 71%
 Sun, Mar 1 345 @Canisius W 73 - 66 74%
Totals 19 - 11 13 - 7 -2 F -3 A+ D+ C- C- +1 C+ D+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ D C+ D+ 39% 25% 36% C- D+ C+ C C+ C D+ D+ D+ C C A D- C 42% 20% 39% C- C- D C+ C- C C+ C+ C+
1.04 55% 33% 34% -2 0 0.96 31% 1.0 .33 17% .28 70% .20 1.07 58% 30% 38% 0 0 1.04 34% 1.0 .33 17% .29 71% .20
Nov
3		 St. John's D+ D- B- D+ C 42% 30% 28% D C B- F D+ F B- D+ C+ D+ D- A+ F F 64% 7% 29% F F D- A C+ B F A D+
0.89 46% 41% 31% -5 -1 0.89 33% 0.7 .23 26% .31 68% .21 1.29 65% 25% 47% +9 +4 1.28 43% 1.0 .43 17% .49 65% .32
Nov
6		 Central Connecticut St. F D- C B- D+ 47% 17% 37% C D+ D F F A+ F F F A+ A+ A A+ A+ 26% 34% 40% B- A+ C- C- C- F+ B- A+ A-
1.03 50% 40% 36% -2 +1 1.00 26% 0.6 .16 7% .11 71% .08 0.71 36% 28% 19% -18 -3 0.60 28% 1.0 .28 13% .23 64% .15
Nov
11		 Yale F B+ F F F 35% 23% 42% C- F B+ D C+ F F F F F D F F F 48% 19% 33% D+ F F D+ F B+ A C- A-
0.84 67% 25% 23% -7 -1 0.87 35% 0.9 .32 24% .20 64% .13 1.36 64% 60% 59% +19 +1 1.42 46% 1.3 .58 18% .24 79% .19
Nov
16		 Maine D F F F F 44% 26% 30% D+ F B+ C- B- C+ A+ D A+ B- B- F+ D D- 45% 19% 36% D D- D- A+ A+ F D D+ D
1.00 45% 23% 20% -16 0 0.70 44% 1.0 .44 17% .54 68% .36 0.92 52% 44% 35% -1 +1 1.02 24% 0.2 .05 16% .36 67% .24
Nov
23		 Pittsburgh A C A+ A+ A+ 37% 26% 37% D+ A+ B A A- F A+ F A+ B- F A+ C D 39% 9% 52% D- D F B+ D+ A F A- D
1.21 56% 55% 63% +20 -1 1.40 30% 1.1 .35 22% .45 67% .30 1.10 78% 0% 33% +4 +2 1.13 45% 0.9 .39 22% .37 60% .22
Nov
25		 Central Florida A- C F A+ A 31% 24% 45% D+ A D- F F B+ A+ A+ A+ D F A+ D- D+ 50% 19% 31% D- D+ C B- C+ D F C+ F
1.16 56% 25% 52% +9 -1 1.18 17% 0.7 .11 14% .52 83% .43 1.30 72% 18% 39% +6 +1 1.16 38% 1.1 .43 13% .40 74% .29
Nov
30		 Stonehill C B+ F A+ A 51% 22% 27% C+ A D+ F F D- F A+ D+ C A+ C- B C+ 26% 26% 48% A B F F F C A A+ A+
1.10 64% 25% 53% +8 +1 1.20 23% 0.7 .17 14% .20 83% .17 0.90 38% 38% 29% -8 -2 0.82 39% 1.2 .47 22% .15 50% .07
Dec
5		 Iona A- A D D+ B- 41% 20% 39% C- C+ A+ B+ A+ C D C+ D+ A- A- B A+ A+ 43% 17% 40% D+ A+ F D- F C- F C F
1.22 71% 33% 30% +2 0 1.07 47% 1.1 .53 16% .23 71% .16 0.93 48% 33% 14% -17 +1 0.70 33% 1.1 .37 16% .36 68% .25
Dec
7		 Rider F F D- C- F 59% 11% 30% B+ F C A B B- F C- F A- A+ B- F D 26% 50% 24% A+ C B- C C+ C+ A+ A+ A+
1.05 45% 33% 35% -7 +3 0.93 33% 1.2 .41 12% .15 67% .10 0.85 36% 33% 46% -4 -5 0.85 30% 0.9 .27 19% .14 50% .07
Dec
13		 Umass Lowell F B- F F F 43% 29% 27% D- F C+ B B C A+ F A+ B- B B- F F 50% 15% 35% F+ F A+ A+ A+ A A A+ A
1.00 64% 27% 21% -6 -1 0.88 34% 1.2 .42 13% .45 66% .29 0.95 50% 38% 56% +7 +2 1.19 22% 0.5 .11 25% .23 54% .13
Dec
17		 Monmouth A- A+ F B- B+ 44% 22% 35% C- B B- B- B- A- C+ F+ C- C+ F A+ A+ C 57% 18% 24% F D+ D- A+ A C+ F+ F F
1.18 75% 25% 37% +6 0 1.15 35% 1.0 .35 15% .30 67% .20 1.04 68% 11% 25% -3 +2 1.00 36% 0.5 .19 18% .37 86% .32
Dec
21		 Hofstra D+ D- C F F 37% 21% 42% B- F D+ A+ A- B+ B- B- B C+ A+ B- A+ A+ 38% 12% 50% F A+ F F F B F B- F
0.98 47% 36% 14% -17 0 0.67 27% 1.6 .44 12% .34 75% .25 1.10 42% 33% 24% -14 +1 0.76 48% 1.3 .64 19% .42 74% .31
Dec
29		 Marist D- F D D F 31% 33% 35% D- F A B- A D- C+ D- C A- B- A+ A+ A+ 50% 23% 27% F A F+ B- D B+ A- C+ A-
0.94 40% 31% 29% -10 -2 0.77 40% 1.1 .43 22% .37 65% .24 0.85 54% 25% 14% -13 +1 0.77 32% 1.1 .34 22% .17 78% .13
Jan
2		 Manhattan D A F C+ F+ 26% 38% 36% F F C A+ A+ F F+ A+ C D+ C- F D+ F 40% 23% 38% C- F C A+ A- C- B- F C-
1.10 71% 20% 37% -2 -3 0.92 38% 1.7 .65 21% .18 100% .18 1.12 57% 58% 35% +5 0 1.11 26% 0.7 .18 15% .26 94% .25
Jan
4		 Mount St. Mary's C D A+ A A- 34% 30% 36% D- B+ A F D+ D+ A+ B A+ C B- A+ C+ A- 28% 20% 52% A A- F F F F+ A+ F A
1.13 50% 57% 41% +7 -1 1.13 41% 0.6 .26 16% .45 78% .35 0.97 53% 9% 32% -9 -1 0.83 39% 1.4 .53 18% .17 80% .14
Jan
11		 Sacred Heart D C+ D- A- D+ 37% 35% 28% F D- D F F A- D+ F D A F+ A+ D+ B- 26% 20% 54% B- B- D- B C- A- C- A+ B+
1.08 65% 32% 40% +3 -2 1.04 28% 0.8 .22 11% .24 64% .16 0.93 67% 0% 36% -3 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .28 23% .28 57% .16
Jan
14		 St. Peter's D- D D B+ C- 40% 27% 33% D- D+ F+ A+ C A C F D- D+ B- F+ F F 41% 25% 34% C F A A+ A+ C+ F F+ F
1.00 53% 31% 38% -2 -1 0.96 27% 1.3 .36 14% .40 63% .25 1.06 50% 45% 47% +5 0 1.11 28% 0.7 .20 19% .46 81% .37
Jan
17		 Merrimack C F+ D- F+ F+ 53% 24% 22% B- D- F A+ C A A+ B- A F A A+ F F 37% 9% 53% C- F D- F F B- F B- F
1.06 46% 33% 27% -10 +1 0.84 29% 1.4 .42 13% .45 73% .33 1.24 44% 25% 52% +8 +1 1.21 30% 1.4 .41 18% .49 74% .36
Jan
19		 Manhattan C D C+ A C 40% 22% 38% C- C B+ A A+ C- A+ F A+ D- B+ A- F D+ 47% 22% 32% D D F+ D+ F+ D D F F
1.22 55% 42% 43% +5 0 1.11 44% 1.3 .59 16% .48 66% .31 1.15 46% 31% 47% -1 0 1.02 33% 1.1 .36 14% .33 91% .30
Jan
22		 Mount St. Mary's C C F A+ B- 45% 22% 33% B- B- F C- F+ C+ C- F F A- D- A+ D+ D+ 43% 13% 43% D+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F+ D F
1.10 56% 17% 50% +2 0 1.07 19% 1.0 .19 13% .31 58% .18 0.89 65% 0% 35% -1 +1 1.02 17% 0.4 .07 23% .39 71% .28
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Marist C- D- D- D D- 51% 18% 31% A D+ C F D- A+ D- B- D+ D+ F+ D- C+ F 45% 28% 28% D+ F A+ F C+ C D- B+ D+
0.97 50% 30% 29% -8 +1 0.89 29% 0.7 .20 11% .30 72% .22 1.07 67% 46% 31% +5 0 1.11 15% 1.8 .27 18% .30 75% .22
Jan
30		 Sacred Heart C C- A+ D D 32% 12% 56% C- D B- B+ B B+ A D+ A- F C F F F 29% 11% 60% D F A- D- B- F F D F
1.20 61% 57% 31% +1 +1 1.05 35% 1.2 .43 12% .36 71% .26 1.30 56% 50% 42% +8 +1 1.20 20% 1.2 .23 9% .45 81% .36
Feb
1		 Fairfield D B- B+ F D+ 62% 17% 21% B- C- C- A+ B F+ F F F A- A+ B F A+ 52% 21% 27% D- A F+ A- C+ F+ B- A+ A-
1.05 63% 44% 18% -1 +2 1.04 29% 1.3 .39 19% .16 67% .11 0.95 31% 33% 40% -13 +1 0.79 39% 0.8 .30 12% .21 54% .12
Feb
5		 Canisius F+ F B- B- D- 30% 20% 50% D+ D- C A+ A F A+ C A+ A- A+ A+ F A- 41% 24% 35% C- B+ C+ F F+ C+ F B- F
1.02 46% 44% 36% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 22% .51 72% .37 0.82 35% 8% 41% -13 0 0.76 26% 1.3 .34 20% .39 65% .26
Feb
7		 Niagara F F F A- F 36% 18% 45% C F A- F F F B- D+ C+ C+ D- B- B- D+ 32% 22% 46% A C F B- F+ A+ C- C C
0.95 38% 13% 40% -8 0 0.86 42% 0.4 .18 20% .34 75% .25 0.93 62% 33% 32% -2 -1 0.98 35% 0.8 .29 25% .23 70% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.6 2.2 2.8 1st
2nd 0.0 2.2 14.3 5.9 22.4 2nd
3rd 1.0 14.9 11.9 0.8 28.7 3rd
4th 0.4 9.2 15.4 1.2 26.2 4th
5th 0.1 4.2 10.5 1.9 16.6 5th
6th 0.5 2.1 0.3 2.9 6th
7th 0.2 0.1 0.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.9 6.9 21.0 34.4 28.1 8.9 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 24.9% 2.2    0.4 1.2 0.6 0.1
14-6 2.1% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 0.4 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 8.9% 22.6% 22.6% 14.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.5 0.0 6.9
14-6 28.1% 20.6% 20.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 1.8 3.3 0.5 22.3
13-7 34.4% 13.3% 13.3% 15.1 0.0 0.7 2.8 1.1 29.8
12-8 21.0% 9.7% 9.7% 15.4 0.1 0.9 1.0 18.9
11-9 6.9% 8.0% 8.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 6.3
10-10 0.9% 4.6% 4.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.8
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 15.0% 15.0% 0.0% 14.9 85.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.0% 100.0% 14.0 0.5 18.2 58.4 22.4 0.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.6%
Lose Out 0.2%