Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
245 Bethune-Cookman 24.6%   16   8 - 11 6 - 1 -4.7      -2.8 248 -1.9 239 71.4 111 -4.8 239 -2.3 1
256 Southern 20.3%   5 - 12 4 - 3 -5.5      -4.7 301 -0.7 189 74.3 46 -8.2 301 -8.6 5
294 Grambling St. 11.9%   6 - 10 2 - 3 -7.3      -5.6 317 -1.7 232 68.5 190 -6.6 275 -11.1 8
298 Alabama A&M 10.8%   8 - 9 4 - 3 -7.8      -4.6 295 -3.2 273 65.7 265 -7.2 286 -9.7 6
307 Texas Southern 7.3%   4 - 13 4 - 4 -8.5      -3.7 271 -4.8 312 73.2 67 -12.9 344 -10.3 7
314 Florida A&M 7.7%   6 - 10 5 - 2 -9.3      -6.8 335 -2.5 257 68.4 195 -7.5 288 -5.2 3
318 Alabama St. 4.1%   5 - 14 3 - 4 -9.4      -4.5 288 -4.9 317 72.7 79 -11.0 330 -13.0 10
326 Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.3%   5 - 13 4 - 3 -10.3      -5.1 308 -5.2 322 76.3 27 -6.4 271 -7.0 4
335 Jackson St. 4.6%   6 - 14 5 - 2 -11.2      -5.7 320 -5.5 329 73.9 55 -6.8 279 -3.0 2
346 Prairie View 1.8%   4 - 13 3 - 5 -11.9      -7.1 342 -4.8 314 78.0 17 -13.2 345 -13.7 11
350 Alcorn St. 1.7%   3 - 16 2 - 5 -12.5      -7.1 341 -5.3 324 71.0 125 -11.4 331 -13.0 9
365 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   0 - 20 0 - 7 -23.8      -15.8 365 -8.1 358 67.9 210 -25.5 365 -24.7 12


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Jan 27 298 Alabama A&M 80 346 Prairie View 60   
Tue, Jan 27 318 Alabama St. 64 307 Texas Southern 96   
Wed, Jan 28 365 Mississippi Valley 69 256 Southern 80   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Jan 31 298 Alabama A&M 72 314 Florida A&M 67 67%   
Sat, Jan 31 318 Alabama St. 77 245 Bethune-Cookman 78 56%   
Sat, Jan 31 294 Grambling St. 75 335 Jackson St. 74 53%   
Sat, Jan 31 346 Prairie View 80 307 Texas Southern 81 52%   
Sat, Jan 31 350 Alcorn St. 73 256 Southern 77 65%   
Sat, Jan 31 326 Arkansas Pine Bluff 79 365 Mississippi Valley 68 84%   
Mon, Feb 2 298 Alabama A&M 71 245 Bethune-Cookman 72 50%   
Mon, Feb 2 318 Alabama St. 75 314 Florida A&M 73 61%   
Mon, Feb 2 335 Jackson St. 76 256 Southern 79 60%   
Mon, Feb 2 350 Alcorn St. 71 294 Grambling St. 73 58%   
Wed, Feb 4 326 Arkansas Pine Bluff 73 294 Grambling St. 79 72%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Bethune-Cookman 2.2 50.5 20.5 11.4 7.4 4.2 2.7 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0
Southern 3.6 23.2 19.9 15.3 11.8 8.9 6.9 5.3 3.7 2.5 1.6 0.9
Grambling St. 5.3 9.3 11.4 12.0 11.3 10.4 10.0 9.0 8.7 7.4 5.9 4.7
Alabama A&M 4.5 13.4 13.9 13.6 12.9 11.6 10.8 8.8 7.0 4.5 2.6 0.9
Texas Southern 6.2 2.7 6.2 8.8 11.1 12.4 13.3 12.5 12.1 9.6 7.2 4.2
Florida A&M 4.4 14.4 15.3 14.0 12.7 11.1 9.5 7.5 6.6 4.4 3.0 1.4
Alabama St. 7.5 1.1 2.8 4.5 6.1 8.0 10.2 11.6 14.6 15.3 15.6 10.2 0.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.3 4.8 10.5 12.9 13.7 13.3 12.7 10.9 9.1 6.5 3.9 1.8
Jackson St. 3.8 18.3 18.4 16.2 13.4 10.5 8.6 6.1 4.2 2.7 1.2 0.4
Prairie View 8.7 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.1 4.4 6.8 9.2 13.0 17.3 21.0 22.7 0.1
Alcorn St. 8.3 0.5 1.6 2.9 4.3 5.5 7.6 9.5 12.5 15.7 17.8 22.1 0.1
Mississippi Valley 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 99.1

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bethune-Cookman 12 - 5 15 - 15 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.8 10.7 18.2 22.5 20.7 13.9 5.9 1.5
Southern 11 - 7 12 - 16 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.9 7.0 12.7 18.6 20.9 18.6 11.6 5.4 1.1
Grambling St. 9 - 9 13 - 16 0.1 0.5 1.8 5.0 9.5 14.6 18.3 18.6 15.4 9.9 4.8 1.3 0.2
Alabama A&M 10 - 8 14 - 14 0.0 0.3 1.7 5.7 12.2 19.1 21.4 18.9 12.6 5.9 1.9 0.2
Texas Southern 9 - 8 10 - 17 0.2 1.5 5.4 12.6 20.7 23.8 19.9 11.4 4.0 0.6
Florida A&M 10 - 8 11 - 16 0.3 1.7 5.6 11.6 17.4 20.6 18.7 13.3 6.9 2.9 0.8 0.1
Alabama St. 8 - 9 10 - 20 0.1 1.2 5.6 12.8 20.4 23.2 19.3 11.3 4.7 1.4 0.1
Arkansas Pine Bluff 9 - 8 11 - 18 0.0 0.5 2.3 7.8 16.5 22.8 22.8 16.6 8.0 2.4 0.3
Jackson St. 11 - 7 12 - 19 0.0 0.5 2.8 7.9 15.5 21.4 21.5 16.1 9.3 3.8 1.1 0.1
Prairie View 7 - 10 8 - 19 0.3 3.0 10.3 20.8 25.3 21.4 12.4 5.2 1.2 0.2
Alcorn St. 7 - 11 8 - 22 0.1 0.9 3.7 9.8 17.6 22.3 20.3 14.4 7.5 2.8 0.7 0.1
Mississippi Valley 1 - 16 1 - 30 37.5 36.3 18.0 6.5 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bethune-Cookman 50.5% 32.5 12.6 3.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Southern 23.2% 11.7 7.5 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Grambling St. 9.3% 3.8 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Alabama A&M 13.4% 6.0 4.6 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Texas Southern 2.7% 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Florida A&M 14.4% 6.6 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Alabama St. 1.1% 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 4.8% 1.3 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jackson St. 18.3% 8.7 6.1 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Prairie View 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Alcorn St. 0.5% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bethune-Cookman 24.6% 24.6% 0.0% 16   0.1 0.6 3.2 20.7 75.4 0.0%
Southern 20.3% 20.3% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 1.4 18.5 79.7 0.0%
Grambling St. 11.9% 11.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.7 11.1 88.1 0.0%
Alabama A&M 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 10.4 89.2 0.0%
Texas Southern 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 0.1 7.2 92.7 0.0%
Florida A&M 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 7.6 92.3 0.0%
Alabama St. 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 0.0 4.1 95.9 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 0.1 5.2 94.7 0.0%
Jackson St. 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0 4.5 95.4 0.0%
Prairie View 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 1.8 98.2 0.0%
Alcorn St. 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0 1.7 98.3 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 62.8% 0.6 37.2 62.8
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bethune-Cookman 24.6% 13.8% 18.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 20.3% 15.0% 13.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 11.9% 8.4% 7.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 10.8% 8.3% 6.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Southern 7.3% 6.9% 4.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 7.7% 6.5% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 4.1% 4.0% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.3% 4.8% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 4.6% 4.4% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 1.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%