Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
198 Southern 27.2%   16   1 - 4 0 - 0 15 - 14 13 - 6 -2.5      -2.8 241 +0.3 159 78.8 19 -3.1 215 0.0 1
228 Bethune-Cookman 19.1%   1 - 6 0 - 0 14 - 16 11 - 6 -4.0      -1.6 211 -2.4 246 69.5 184 -7.6 278 0.0 1
268 Alabama St. 12.3%   2 - 5 0 - 0 14 - 16 11 - 6 -5.9      -1.9 225 -4.0 312 68.9 203 -5.4 249 0.0 1
280 Grambling St. 9.1%   2 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 15 9 - 7 -6.6      -4.9 305 -1.7 219 65.7 280 -5.9 254 0.0 1
303 Texas Southern 7.7%   0 - 5 0 - 0 11 - 16 9 - 8 -7.7      -4.2 288 -3.5 288 73.2 93 -13.0 343 0.0 1
304 Alabama A&M 7.9%   2 - 3 0 - 0 13 - 15 10 - 8 -7.7      -6.2 333 -1.6 215 70.5 158 -3.2 217 0.0 1
314 Jackson St. 5.9%   1 - 7 0 - 0 12 - 19 10 - 8 -8.4      -6.5 339 -1.9 230 70.3 164 -6.5 263 0.0 1
324 Prairie View 4.4%   1 - 5 0 - 0 10 - 15 8 - 7 -9.2      -5.9 327 -3.4 286 74.5 68 -9.4 300 0.0 1
333 Alcorn St. 3.5%   1 - 8 0 - 0 10 - 21 9 - 10 -10.2      -5.8 326 -4.3 322 70.7 155 -8.0 283 0.0 1
344 Florida A&M 2.0%   0 - 5 0 - 0 7 - 19 6 - 10 -11.5      -6.6 341 -4.9 333 71.6 133 -12.3 329 0.0 1
363 Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.3%   0 - 8 0 - 0 5 - 24 5 - 12 -15.8      -8.2 357 -7.5 356 78.1 25 -9.9 308 0.0 1
365 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   0 - 7 0 - 0 3 - 28 2 - 15 -21.9      -12.4 365 -9.4 364 72.4 109 -15.9 352 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Nov 29 286 Northwestern St. 73 198 Southern 75   
Sat, Nov 29 228 Bethune-Cookman 56 20 Indiana 100   
Sat, Nov 29 333 Alcorn St. 58 175 Louisiana Tech 83   
Sun, Nov 30 304 Alabama A&M 60 258 Coastal Carolina 67   
Sun, Nov 30 148 North Texas 72 324 Prairie View 69   
Tue, Dec 2 280 Grambling St. 63 169 Tulane 65   
Tue, Dec 2 314 Jackson St. 73 162 Kennesaw St. 88   
Tue, Dec 2 344 Florida A&M 82 274 Jacksonville 85   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Dec 3 304 Alabama A&M 72 197 Tennessee St. 75 59%   
Wed, Dec 3 363 Arkansas Pine Bluff 71 174 Illinois-Chicago 88 94%   
Wed, Dec 3 333 Alcorn St. 58 5 Iowa St. 91 99%   
Wed, Dec 3 365 Mississippi Valley 71 360 Louisiana Monroe 82 83%   
Fri, Dec 5 228 Bethune-Cookman 80 349 South Carolina St. 69 85%   
Sat, Dec 6 138 Sam Houston St. 81 303 Texas Southern 75 73%   
Sat, Dec 6 363 Arkansas Pine Bluff 66 118 DePaul 87 97%   
Sun, Dec 7 268 Alabama St. 69 242 Tennessee Martin 73 66%   
Sun, Dec 7 304 Alabama A&M 66 152 Lipscomb 77 84%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Southern 2.4 50.1 16.8 10.1 6.9 4.9 3.8 2.7 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0
Bethune-Cookman 3.7 19.5 20.4 15.8 12.5 9.8 7.5 5.6 4.0 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.1
Alabama St. 4.1 14.4 17.9 15.8 13.8 11.2 8.9 6.8 4.8 3.2 2.1 0.9 0.1
Grambling St. 6.0 4.0 7.7 9.8 10.5 11.4 12.3 12.5 11.9 9.5 7.0 3.2 0.3
Texas Southern 5.5 7.0 10.8 11.3 11.7 11.2 10.7 10.2 9.4 8.1 5.8 3.2 0.5
Alabama A&M 4.9 10.6 13.4 13.0 12.3 11.6 10.4 9.1 7.5 5.9 3.8 2.0 0.4
Jackson St. 4.9 9.0 13.2 13.6 12.7 12.1 10.6 9.1 7.6 5.8 4.0 2.0 0.3
Prairie View 7.1 1.2 3.4 5.6 7.5 9.3 11.6 13.6 14.9 15.1 11.4 5.3 1.0
Alcorn St. 5.7 6.6 9.1 10.5 11.3 10.8 11.7 11.0 9.6 8.3 6.4 3.9 0.8
Florida A&M 8.4 0.8 1.9 2.9 4.1 5.5 7.2 9.4 11.9 15.3 19.1 17.2 4.7
Arkansas Pine Bluff 9.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.3 4.1 6.0 9.0 14.0 21.4 29.3 10.9
Mississippi Valley 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 2.9 7.6 20.3 67.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Southern 13 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.1 4.9 7.0 9.4 11.4 13.1 13.6 12.9 10.3 7.0 3.3
Bethune-Cookman 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.4 4.1 6.9 10.2 12.8 14.9 14.7 13.3 9.7 6.0 2.6 0.5
Alabama St. 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.0 5.4 8.6 11.8 14.5 15.0 14.4 11.5 7.7 4.0 1.5 0.4
Grambling St. 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.1 5.7 9.0 12.6 14.7 15.0 13.5 10.8 7.4 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.1
Texas Southern 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.6 4.4 7.6 10.4 12.5 13.4 13.6 11.9 9.6 6.4 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.1
Alabama A&M 10 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.2 5.5 8.3 11.3 12.9 14.0 13.3 11.3 8.1 5.3 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
Jackson St. 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 3.1 5.5 8.6 11.2 13.6 14.2 13.5 11.2 7.9 5.0 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.0
Prairie View 8 - 10 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.4 5.3 9.5 13.7 15.8 16.4 14.0 10.1 6.5 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
Alcorn St. 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.9 5.2 8.1 10.7 13.3 13.9 13.1 11.4 8.3 5.3 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
Florida A&M 6 - 12 0.4 1.8 4.5 8.2 11.9 13.7 14.8 13.4 11.4 8.3 5.7 3.3 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 5 - 13 0.7 3.8 8.6 13.7 16.9 17.0 14.4 10.5 7.1 3.9 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Mississippi Valley 2 - 16 14.5 25.0 23.9 16.9 10.1 5.4 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Southern 50.1% 38.7 8.8 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Bethune-Cookman 19.5% 11.8 5.7 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Alabama St. 14.4% 8.0 4.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
Grambling St. 4.0% 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Texas Southern 7.0% 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
Alabama A&M 10.6% 6.0 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
Jackson St. 9.0% 4.9 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
Prairie View 1.2% 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alcorn St. 6.6% 3.7 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Florida A&M 0.8% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Mississippi Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Southern 27.7% 27.7% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.2 1.2 3.9 8.5 14.0 72.3 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 19.1% 19.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 4.1 13.8 80.9 0.0%
Alabama St. 12.3% 12.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 9.8 87.7 0.0%
Grambling St. 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.2 7.6 90.9 0.0%
Texas Southern 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 7.0 92.3 0.0%
Alabama A&M 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.7 92.1 0.0%
Jackson St. 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.5 94.1 0.0%
Prairie View 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.1 95.6 0.0%
Alcorn St. 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 0.1 3.5 96.5 0.0%
Florida A&M 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.9 98.0 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Southern 27.7% 7.6% 24.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 19.1% 9.4% 15.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 12.3% 7.1% 8.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 9.1% 5.4% 6.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Southern 7.7% 5.7% 4.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 7.9% 4.9% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 5.9% 4.7% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 4.4% 3.4% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 3.5% 3.2% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 73.9% 0.7 26.1 73.9
2nd Round 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0