Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#305
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#286
Pace69.3#180
Improvement-1.2#270

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#341
First Shot-7.5#345
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#126
Layup/Dunks-3.6#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+8.4#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.7#356
Freethrows-2.6#320
Improvement-1.2#298

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#218
First Shot+3.2#77
After Offensive Rebounds-4.5#350
Layups/Dunks+4.0#48
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#43
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#324
Freethrows+1.2#114
Improvement+0.0#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.8% 11.1% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 20.8% 34.3% 13.5%
.500 or above in Conference 73.5% 81.3% 69.2%
Conference Champion 10.7% 15.5% 8.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.2% 0.9%
First Four7.7% 8.8% 7.1%
First Round4.7% 6.9% 3.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Home) - 35.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 30 - 41 - 10
Quad 411 - 812 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 91   @ Kansas St. L 57-67 7%     0 - 1 -1.1 -7.4 +6.0
  Nov 21, 2021 120   @ Miami (FL) L 59-86 10%     0 - 2 -21.0 -12.1 -9.3
  Nov 24, 2021 162   @ UTEP L 53-67 14%     0 - 3 -10.7 -13.9 +2.8
  Nov 26, 2021 139   @ UC Riverside L 49-60 12%     0 - 4 -6.0 -15.3 +8.7
  Dec 07, 2021 192   Florida Gulf Coast L 71-75 35%    
  Dec 12, 2021 165   @ Akron L 59-70 15%    
  Dec 14, 2021 55   @ Cincinnati L 56-75 4%    
  Dec 17, 2021 82   @ Santa Clara L 62-80 5%    
  Dec 19, 2021 118   @ UC Santa Barbara L 59-73 10%    
  Dec 21, 2021 96   @ Arizona St. L 62-78 7%    
  Dec 29, 2021 30   @ Illinois L 59-82 2%    
  Jan 03, 2022 345   @ Bethune-Cookman W 69-67 58%    
  Jan 08, 2022 292   Southern W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 10, 2022 324   Grambling St. W 69-65 65%    
  Jan 15, 2022 357   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 72-63 78%    
  Jan 17, 2022 358   @ Mississippi Valley W 79-65 89%    
  Jan 22, 2022 315   Alcorn St. W 68-64 63%    
  Jan 24, 2022 258   Jackson St. W 64-63 52%    
  Jan 29, 2022 342   @ Alabama A&M W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 31, 2022 339   @ Alabama St. W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 05, 2022 199   Texas Southern L 67-70 38%    
  Feb 07, 2022 242   Prairie View L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 12, 2022 258   @ Jackson St. L 60-66 32%    
  Feb 14, 2022 315   @ Alcorn St. L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 19, 2022 339   Alabama St. W 73-65 75%    
  Feb 21, 2022 342   Alabama A&M W 70-62 75%    
  Feb 26, 2022 324   @ Grambling St. L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 28, 2022 292   @ Southern L 67-71 37%    
  Mar 05, 2022 345   Bethune-Cookman W 72-64 77%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.8 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.2 10.7 1st
2nd 0.4 1.9 4.5 3.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.6 4.9 3.8 0.8 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 6.0 3.1 0.4 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 5.4 3.9 0.5 11.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.6 4.1 0.8 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.7 3.9 0.8 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.6 0.7 0.1 7.8 8th
9th 0.2 0.8 2.1 2.5 0.7 0.1 6.4 9th
10th 0.3 0.7 1.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 4.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.2 4.3 6.8 9.5 10.9 12.6 13.6 10.5 9.6 7.5 5.0 2.5 1.1 0.2 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 98.2% 1.1    1.0 0.1
16-2 90.4% 2.3    1.7 0.5
15-3 64.9% 3.3    1.8 1.2 0.2 0.0
14-4 37.9% 2.8    1.1 1.3 0.5 0.0
13-5 10.2% 1.0    0.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1
12-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.7% 10.7 5.9 3.6 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 34.0% 34.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.1% 28.0% 28.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8
16-2 2.5% 31.3% 31.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8 1.7
15-3 5.0% 21.3% 21.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.0
14-4 7.5% 21.9% 21.9% 16.0 1.6 5.8
13-5 9.6% 13.1% 13.1% 16.0 0.0 1.2 8.3
12-6 10.5% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8 9.7
11-7 13.6% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 1.3 12.4
10-8 12.6% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.8 11.7
9-9 10.9% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.5 10.4
8-10 9.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 9.4
7-11 6.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.7
6-12 4.3% 4.3
5-13 3.2% 3.2
4-14 1.7% 1.7
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 8.8% 8.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.6 91.2 0.0%