Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#344
Expected Predictive Rating-12.3#329
Pace71.6#133
Improvement+2.0#46

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#341
First Shot-2.6#250
After Offensive Rebound-4.0#350
Layup/Dunks+2.9#84
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#179
Freethrows-4.3#349
Improvement+2.7#19

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#333
First Shot-5.2#334
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#165
Layups/Dunks-1.6#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#180
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#243
Freethrows-2.5#310
Improvement-0.7#259
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.9% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 3.6% 6.6% 1.5%
.500 or above in Conference 19.9% 25.9% 15.6%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.2% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 9.4% 6.7% 11.4%
First Four1.8% 2.4% 1.3%
First Round1.1% 1.6% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville (Home) - 41.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 47 - 117 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 86 @South Florida L 67-102 4%     0 - 1 -25.7 -10.7 -10.6
  Sat, Nov 8 162 Kennesaw St. L 72-92 22%     0 - 2 -23.4 -13.8 -7.0
  Tue, Nov 11 65 @Central Florida L 60-97 3%     0 - 3 -25.3 -13.2 -9.9
  Mon, Nov 17 21 @Georgia L 57-87 1%     0 - 4 -11.5 -12.6 +3.5
  Tue, Dec 2 274 @Jacksonville L 82-85 OT 22%     0 - 5 -6.2 +4.8 -10.8
  Wed, Dec 17 274 Jacksonville L 69-71 42%    
  Fri, Dec 19 199 @Tarleton St. L 68-80 13%    
  Sun, Dec 21 45 @TCU L 59-85 1%    
  Sun, Dec 28 125 @Georgia Tech L 64-81 6%    
  Sat, Jan 3 228 @Bethune-Cookman L 69-79 17%    
  Sat, Jan 10 198 Southern L 74-80 29%    
  Mon, Jan 12 280 Grambling St. L 69-71 43%    
  Sat, Jan 17 363 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-77 55%    
  Mon, Jan 19 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77-70 75%    
  Sat, Jan 24 333 Alcorn St. W 75-73 56%    
  Wed, Jan 28 314 Jackson St. L 71-72 50%    
  Sat, Jan 31 304 @Alabama A&M L 69-76 28%    
  Mon, Feb 2 268 @Alabama St. L 70-79 22%    
  Sat, Feb 7 303 Texas Southern L 75-76 47%    
  Sat, Feb 14 314 @Jackson St. L 69-75 30%    
  Mon, Feb 16 333 @Alcorn St. L 72-76 35%    
  Thu, Feb 19 304 Alabama A&M L 72-73 47%    
  Thu, Feb 19 268 Alabama St. L 73-76 41%    
  Thu, Feb 26 198 @Southern L 71-83 15%    
  Thu, Feb 26 280 @Grambling St. L 66-74 25%    
  Thu, Mar 5 228 Bethune-Cookman L 72-76 35%    
Projected Record 7 - 19 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.5 0.0 2.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.2 1.0 0.1 4.1 4th
5th 0.5 2.8 2.0 0.2 0.0 5.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.0 3.3 0.5 0.0 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.8 1.3 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.6 2.7 0.1 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.6 6.7 3.8 0.4 0.0 15.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.3 7.1 4.2 0.6 0.0 19.1 10th
11th 0.5 2.7 5.5 5.5 2.6 0.5 0.0 17.2 11th
12th 0.4 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.7 12th
Total 0.4 1.8 4.5 8.2 11.9 13.7 14.8 13.4 11.4 8.3 5.7 3.3 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 81.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 71.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1
13-5 46.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 14.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 31.8% 31.8% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.2% 12.1% 12.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.7% 14.0% 14.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6
12-6 1.6% 16.2% 16.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.3
11-7 3.3% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.3 3.0
10-8 5.7% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.4 5.3
9-9 8.3% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.4 7.9
8-10 11.4% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 11.1
7-11 13.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.3
6-12 14.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.7
5-13 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.7
4-14 11.9% 11.9
3-15 8.2% 8.2
2-16 4.5% 4.5
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.9 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%