Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#344
Expected Predictive Rating-12.9#334
Pace71.6#129
Improvement+1.0#110

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#338
First Shot-1.8#225
After Offensive Rebound-4.9#360
Layup/Dunks+3.4#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#248
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#173
Freethrows-4.1#354
Improvement+1.5#73

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#327
First Shot-4.3#320
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#224
Layups/Dunks-1.2#228
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#172
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#245
Freethrows-2.0#302
Improvement-0.4#223
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.9% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 4.5% 7.3% 2.0%
.500 or above in Conference 25.6% 31.3% 20.2%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.2% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.5% 4.5% 8.4%
First Four2.0% 2.5% 1.5%
First Round1.2% 1.6% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville (Home) - 48.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 47 - 118 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 86 @South Florida L 67-102 4%     0 - 1 -25.5 -10.0 -11.0
  Sat, Nov 8 159 Kennesaw St. L 72-92 21%     0 - 2 -22.9 -13.0 -7.3
  Tue, Nov 11 57 @Central Florida L 60-97 2%     0 - 3 -24.5 -12.6 -9.7
  Mon, Nov 17 19 @Georgia L 57-87 1%     0 - 4 -11.1 -12.0 +3.3
  Tue, Dec 2 305 @Jacksonville L 82-85 OT 26%     0 - 5 -8.0 +3.2 -11.0
  Wed, Dec 17 305 Jacksonville L 71-72 48%    
  Fri, Dec 19 195 @Tarleton St. L 69-81 12%    
  Sun, Dec 21 53 @TCU L 59-84 1%    
  Sun, Dec 28 128 @Georgia Tech L 65-82 6%    
  Sat, Jan 3 227 @Bethune-Cookman L 67-78 16%    
  Sat, Jan 10 203 Southern L 74-80 30%    
  Mon, Jan 12 282 Grambling St. L 69-71 43%    
  Sat, Jan 17 351 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 77-79 43%    
  Mon, Jan 19 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77-68 78%    
  Sat, Jan 24 331 Alcorn St. W 76-74 57%    
  Wed, Jan 28 315 Jackson St. W 72-71 52%    
  Sat, Jan 31 279 @Alabama A&M L 66-74 24%    
  Mon, Feb 2 266 @Alabama St. L 71-80 22%    
  Sat, Feb 7 318 Texas Southern W 75-74 53%    
  Mon, Feb 9 325 Prairie View W 77-76 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 315 @Jackson St. L 69-74 31%    
  Mon, Feb 16 331 @Alcorn St. L 73-77 35%    
  Thu, Feb 19 279 Alabama A&M L 69-71 43%    
  Thu, Feb 19 266 Alabama St. L 74-77 40%    
  Thu, Feb 26 203 @Southern L 71-83 15%    
  Thu, Feb 26 282 @Grambling St. L 66-74 25%    
  Thu, Mar 5 227 Bethune-Cookman L 70-75 34%    
Projected Record 8 - 19 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 4.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.6 2.8 0.3 0.0 6.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.2 4.0 1.0 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 5.2 2.0 0.1 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.2 3.6 0.3 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.6 5.1 0.9 0.0 13.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 3.1 6.1 5.2 1.5 0.1 16.8 10th
11th 0.5 2.4 5.2 6.7 4.2 1.1 0.1 20.1 11th
12th 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 3.2 12th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.4 6.6 10.3 12.3 13.7 13.9 12.3 9.4 7.1 4.5 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 87.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-4 73.4% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 46.2% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 12.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 20.0% 20.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.5% 14.3% 14.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
13-5 1.3% 16.2% 16.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1
12-6 2.5% 11.6% 11.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 2.2
11-7 4.5% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.3 4.2
10-8 7.1% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.5 6.7
9-9 9.4% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.4 8.9
8-10 12.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 12.1
7-11 13.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.8
6-12 13.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.7
5-13 12.3% 12.3
4-14 10.3% 10.3
3-15 6.6% 6.6
2-16 3.4% 3.4
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.2 97.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%