Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-22.7#365
Expected Predictive Rating-18.5#358
Pace70.6#157
Improvement-1.1#267

Offense
Total Offense-13.6#365
First Shot-7.7#354
After Offensive Rebound-5.9#365
Layup/Dunks-8.8#361
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.1#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#336
Freethrows+0.1#174
Improvement-1.8#320

Defense
Total Defense-9.1#364
First Shot-7.5#361
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#288
Layups/Dunks+0.0#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.3#360
Freethrows-1.7#288
Improvement+0.7#127
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 89.2% 84.0% 89.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tarleton St. (Home) - 5.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 42 - 192 - 29


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 109 @UAB L 55-106 1%     0 - 1 -44.2 -23.9 -11.4
  Fri, Nov 7 112 @Murray St. L 60-108 1%     0 - 2 -41.5 -17.0 -19.9
  Wed, Nov 12 106 @Hawaii L 56-88 1%     0 - 3 -25.1 -6.3 -20.5
  Fri, Nov 14 259 Utah Tech L 75-81 2OT 6%     0 - 4 -11.4 -3.8 -7.3
  Sat, Nov 15 312 Manhattan L 73-80 10%     0 - 5 -15.4 -0.8 -15.2
  Sat, Nov 22 303 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 70-86 6%     0 - 6 -21.0 -9.7 -10.2
  Tue, Nov 25 44 @Texas A&M L 84-120 0.3%    0 - 7 -21.8 +1.4 -16.4
  Wed, Dec 3 357 @Louisiana Monroe L 52-66 15%     0 - 8 -25.4 -22.2 -4.3
  Mon, Dec 8 79 @Kansas St. L 49-108 1%     0 - 9 -48.6 -23.6 -20.4
  Tue, Dec 16 199 Tarleton St. L 64-81 5%    
  Fri, Dec 19 100 @Florida St. L 62-92 0.2%   
  Mon, Dec 22 67 @West Virginia L 50-84 0.1%   
  Mon, Dec 29 52 @Oklahoma L 57-93 0.1%   
  Sat, Jan 3 262 Alabama St. L 67-81 10%    
  Mon, Jan 5 292 Alabama A&M L 63-75 13%    
  Sat, Jan 10 322 @Prairie View L 65-81 7%    
  Mon, Jan 12 305 @Texas Southern L 64-82 5%    
  Sat, Jan 17 224 Bethune-Cookman L 63-79 7%    
  Mon, Jan 19 341 Florida A&M L 68-76 23%    
  Sat, Jan 24 284 @Grambling St. L 58-77 4%    
  Mon, Jan 26 204 @Southern L 64-87 2%    
  Sat, Jan 31 352 Arkansas Pine Bluff L 72-79 27%    
  Sat, Feb 7 313 Jackson St. L 64-75 16%    
  Mon, Feb 9 333 Alcorn St. L 68-77 21%    
  Sat, Feb 14 292 @Alabama A&M L 60-78 5%    
  Mon, Feb 16 262 @Alabama St. L 64-84 4%    
  Thu, Feb 19 322 @Prairie View L 65-81 7%    
  Sat, Feb 21 305 Texas Southern L 67-79 15%    
  Sat, Feb 28 352 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 69-82 13%    
  Tue, Mar 3 333 @Alcorn St. L 65-80 9%    
  Thu, Mar 5 313 @Jackson St. L 61-78 6%    
Projected Record 2 - 29 2 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.8 10th
11th 0.8 3.1 5.1 3.8 1.2 0.1 14.0 11th
12th 20.4 28.4 20.0 9.0 2.1 0.3 0.0 80.1 12th
Total 20.4 29.1 23.2 14.7 7.3 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.0% 0.0
8-10 0.2% 0.2
7-11 0.5% 0.5
6-12 1.4% 1.4
5-13 3.3% 3.3
4-14 7.3% 7.3
3-15 14.7% 14.7
2-16 23.2% 23.2
1-17 29.1% 29.1
0-18 20.4% 20.4
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 17.4%