Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.8#323
Expected Predictive Rating-14.7#345
Pace73.2#75
Improvement+0.4#151

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#326
First Shot-5.1#319
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#228
Layup/Dunks+1.9#107
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#104
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#342
Freethrows-1.6#285
Improvement-0.9#251

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#308
First Shot-3.2#285
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#252
Layups/Dunks+0.9#145
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#298
Freethrows-3.2#344
Improvement+1.3#91
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 7.5% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 7.7% 18.1% 5.0%
.500 or above in Conference 47.0% 68.5% 41.5%
Conference Champion 4.6% 12.5% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 0.4% 2.2%
First Four4.2% 6.5% 3.6%
First Round2.5% 4.2% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern (Away) - 20.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 49 - 1110 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 5 @Gonzaga L 43-98 0.4%    0 - 1 -30.0 -20.6 -7.4
  Thu, Nov 6 43 @Texas A&M L 70-104 2%     0 - 2 -19.1 -3.2 -12.8
  Wed, Nov 12 231 Samford L 90-93 OT 39%     0 - 3 -10.0 +4.1 -13.9
  Sat, Nov 15 254 @Texas St. L 67-77 23%     0 - 4 -12.3 -6.3 -5.8
  Thu, Nov 20 8 @Vanderbilt L 74-109 1%     0 - 5 -11.8 +6.8 -16.5
  Sat, Dec 6 124 Sam Houston St. L 70-82 19%     0 - 6 -12.6 -12.4 +1.1
  Sun, Dec 14 94 @Minnesota L 53-89 5%     0 - 7 -27.2 -14.2 -13.3
  Wed, Dec 17 27 @North Carolina St. L 72-108 1%     0 - 8 -18.2 +5.3 -22.9
  Mon, Dec 22 201 Abilene Christian L 68-75 35%     0 - 9 -12.7 -4.8 -8.0
  Sat, Jan 3 235 @Southern L 73-82 21%    
  Mon, Jan 5 247 @Grambling St. L 68-76 23%    
  Sat, Jan 10 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82-76 71%    
  Mon, Jan 12 365 Mississippi Valley W 80-64 93%    
  Sat, Jan 17 339 @Alcorn St. L 75-77 45%    
  Mon, Jan 19 335 @Jackson St. L 75-77 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 294 Alabama A&M W 72-71 51%    
  Mon, Jan 26 295 Alabama St. W 77-76 51%    
  Sat, Jan 31 320 @Prairie View L 78-81 38%    
  Sat, Feb 7 343 @Florida A&M L 74-75 46%    
  Mon, Feb 9 275 @Bethune-Cookman L 73-80 27%    
  Sat, Feb 14 247 Grambling St. L 71-73 42%    
  Mon, Feb 16 235 Southern L 76-79 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 351 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 78-79 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77-67 82%    
  Thu, Feb 26 339 Alcorn St. W 78-74 66%    
  Sat, Feb 28 335 Jackson St. W 78-74 64%    
  Thu, Mar 5 320 Prairie View W 81-78 60%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.6 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 2.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 3.9 1.9 0.3 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.6 2.8 0.2 8.7 4th
5th 0.3 4.1 4.3 0.6 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.7 6.0 1.3 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 6.3 2.9 0.1 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 5.0 4.4 0.3 10.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 4.3 4.7 0.9 0.0 11.0 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 3.4 4.3 1.5 0.0 10.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.9 2.7 1.1 0.1 8.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.3 7.2 10.8 13.1 14.7 14.5 12.0 9.1 5.8 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 97.0% 0.5    0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 81.1% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.0
13-5 48.3% 1.6    0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 15.3% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 32.5% 32.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.6% 21.1% 21.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4
14-4 1.6% 19.8% 19.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3
13-5 3.3% 16.1% 16.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5 2.8
12-6 5.8% 12.0% 12.0% 16.0 0.7 5.1
11-7 9.1% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.9 8.2
10-8 12.0% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.9 11.1
9-9 14.5% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.8 13.7
8-10 14.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 14.4
7-11 13.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 13.0
6-12 10.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.8
5-13 7.2% 7.2
4-14 4.3% 4.3
3-15 2.0% 2.0
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.5 95.4 0.0%