Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#318
Expected Predictive Rating-13.4#338
Pace74.2#59
Improvement+0.0#184

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#330
First Shot-4.7#304
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#269
Layup/Dunks-0.4#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#329
Freethrows-0.9#241
Improvement-1.8#311

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#282
First Shot-2.6#259
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#241
Layups/Dunks+0.4#159
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#28
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#259
Freethrows-3.2#338
Improvement+1.9#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 8.8% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 11.6% 37.6% 11.5%
.500 or above in Conference 47.3% 70.2% 47.2%
Conference Champion 3.6% 9.4% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 1.1% 1.8%
First Four3.9% 6.6% 3.9%
First Round2.6% 6.1% 2.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 0.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 410 - 1010 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 5 @Gonzaga L 43-98 0.5%    0 - 1 -30.3 -19.9 -8.5
  Thu, Nov 6 45 @Texas A&M L 70-104 2%     0 - 2 -19.7 -3.3 -13.2
  Wed, Nov 12 237 Samford L 90-93 OT 42%     0 - 3 -10.1 +3.6 -13.5
  Sat, Nov 15 240 @Texas St. L 67-77 23%     0 - 4 -11.4 -5.7 -5.6
  Thu, Nov 20 11 @Vanderbilt L 74-109 1%     0 - 5 -13.8 +4.4 -16.0
  Sat, Dec 6 125 Sam Houston St. L 70-82 21%     0 - 6 -12.7 -12.5 +1.3
  Sun, Dec 14 96 @Minnesota L 53-89 6%     0 - 7 -27.7 -15.1 -12.9
  Wed, Dec 17 29 @North Carolina St. L 66-92 1%    
  Mon, Dec 22 219 Abilene Christian L 68-71 40%    
  Sat, Jan 3 203 @Southern L 74-84 19%    
  Mon, Jan 5 284 @Grambling St. L 67-73 30%    
  Sat, Jan 10 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82-76 72%    
  Mon, Jan 12 365 Mississippi Valley W 81-65 93%    
  Sat, Jan 17 330 @Alcorn St. L 75-77 43%    
  Mon, Jan 19 315 @Jackson St. L 71-74 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 290 Alabama A&M W 72-71 53%    
  Mon, Jan 26 265 Alabama St. L 76-77 47%    
  Sat, Jan 31 326 @Prairie View L 76-79 41%    
  Sat, Feb 7 343 @Florida A&M L 74-75 47%    
  Mon, Feb 9 227 @Bethune-Cookman L 70-78 22%    
  Sat, Feb 14 284 Grambling St. W 71-70 52%    
  Mon, Feb 16 203 Southern L 77-81 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 351 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-78 51%    
  Sat, Feb 21 365 @Mississippi Valley W 78-68 82%    
  Thu, Feb 26 330 Alcorn St. W 78-74 64%    
  Sat, Feb 28 315 Jackson St. W 74-71 60%    
  Thu, Mar 5 326 Prairie View W 79-76 62%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 8 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 2.4 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 3.6 2.7 0.5 0.0 7.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.9 3.4 0.7 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.7 4.6 1.0 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.8 5.9 1.8 0.1 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 5.9 3.1 0.2 0.0 11.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.2 4.0 0.4 0.0 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.6 4.3 0.9 0.0 11.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.6 3.9 1.2 0.0 10.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 1.7 2.8 2.2 0.9 0.1 8.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.4 7.3 10.8 12.9 14.1 14.0 11.5 9.2 6.3 3.6 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 92.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 86.3% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 66.4% 1.2    0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 30.7% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 29.6% 29.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.8% 22.0% 22.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.6
14-4 1.8% 18.6% 18.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.4
13-5 3.6% 15.2% 15.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 3.1
12-6 6.3% 12.3% 12.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8 5.5
11-7 9.2% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8 8.4
10-8 11.5% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.8 10.7
9-9 14.0% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.7 13.3
8-10 14.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 13.8
7-11 12.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.9
6-12 10.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.8
5-13 7.3% 7.3
4-14 4.4% 4.4
3-15 2.2% 2.2
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.4 95.4 0.0%