Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.2#357
Expected Predictive Rating-13.6#345
Pace79.1#14
Improvement-2.4#317

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#317
First Shot-4.1#290
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#248
Layup/Dunks-3.6#295
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#328
Freethrows+1.5#97
Improvement-0.1#188

Defense
Total Defense-8.9#363
First Shot-6.2#349
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#336
Layups/Dunks-4.8#336
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#158
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#113
Freethrows-3.8#344
Improvement-2.4#342
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 7.5% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 1.9% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 27.2% 62.3% 27.2%
Conference Champion 0.7% 7.5% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 10.4% 1.9% 10.4%
First Four1.0% 5.7% 1.0%
First Round0.4% 5.7% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi St. (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 30 - 50 - 11
Quad 47 - 127 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 97   @ DePaul L 59-92 3%     0 - 1 -24.4 -17.0 -4.0
  Nov 12, 2024 314   @ Incarnate Word L 81-84 20%     0 - 2 -8.4 -0.5 -7.8
  Nov 18, 2024 62   @ SMU L 69-110 2%     0 - 3 -28.8 -10.1 -13.2
  Nov 20, 2024 255   @ Fresno St. L 83-94 13%     0 - 4 -13.2 +2.3 -14.2
  Nov 23, 2024 180   @ Northern Colorado L 98-114 7%     0 - 5 -14.0 +9.7 -21.4
  Nov 30, 2024 215   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 74-109 9%     0 - 6 -34.7 -2.3 -31.0
  Dec 06, 2024 124   @ UAB L 66-95 5%     0 - 7 -23.8 -9.6 -13.1
  Dec 08, 2024 15   @ Mississippi St. L 65-97 0.1%   
  Dec 14, 2024 181   @ Loyola Marymount L 69-85 7%    
  Dec 17, 2024 18   @ UCLA L 58-90 0.2%   
  Dec 22, 2024 168   @ Rice L 67-84 6%    
  Dec 29, 2024 41   @ Oklahoma L 65-94 0.5%   
  Jan 04, 2025 226   Grambling St. L 72-80 24%    
  Jan 06, 2025 234   Southern L 73-80 25%    
  Jan 11, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 13, 2025 362   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 87-86 51%    
  Jan 18, 2025 315   Jackson St. L 76-79 41%    
  Jan 20, 2025 352   Alcorn St. W 77-76 56%    
  Jan 25, 2025 285   @ Alabama St. L 75-86 17%    
  Jan 27, 2025 360   @ Alabama A&M L 80-83 41%    
  Feb 01, 2025 294   @ Texas Southern L 73-83 18%    
  Feb 08, 2025 288   Bethune-Cookman L 76-81 35%    
  Feb 10, 2025 353   Florida A&M W 78-76 56%    
  Feb 15, 2025 234   @ Southern L 70-83 12%    
  Feb 17, 2025 226   @ Grambling St. L 69-83 11%    
  Feb 22, 2025 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 90-84 70%    
  Feb 24, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 78-68 81%    
  Mar 01, 2025 352   @ Alcorn St. L 74-79 34%    
  Mar 03, 2025 315   @ Jackson St. L 73-82 22%    
  Mar 08, 2025 294   Texas Southern L 76-80 35%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.7 3rd
4th 0.2 1.4 2.2 0.6 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.2 1.7 3.2 1.1 0.1 6.3 5th
6th 0.2 2.0 4.8 2.3 0.2 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.7 3.4 0.4 0.0 12.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.6 4.2 0.5 0.0 14.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.4 7.0 4.3 0.8 0.0 16.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.1 3.9 0.9 0.0 14.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 2.9 4.4 2.5 0.5 0.0 11.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.9 0.9 0.1 5.6 12th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.5 5.3 9.1 12.5 14.8 14.7 12.9 10.7 7.4 4.7 2.5 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 77.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 51.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.6% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.1 0.5
13-5 1.1% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.1 1.0
12-6 2.5% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.1 2.4
11-7 4.7% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.2 4.5
10-8 7.4% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 7.2
9-9 10.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 10.5
8-10 12.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 12.8
7-11 14.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.6
6-12 14.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.8
5-13 12.5% 12.5
4-14 9.1% 9.1
3-15 5.3% 5.3
2-16 2.5% 2.5
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16.0 1.0 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%