IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.5	#341
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.3	#46
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.9	#333

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.5	#336

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.4%	5.3%	2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	17.7	15.4	15.8

.500 or above	12.2%	35.1%	10.7%
.500 or above in Conference	24.2%	41.4%	23.1%
Conference Champion	0.5%	1.5%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	2.6%	0.5%	2.8%

First Four	1.6%	2.6%	1.5%
First Round	1.8%	4.3%	1.7%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wichita St. (Away) - 5.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 9
Quad 4	8 - 7	9 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2025	122	@ Wichita St.	L	67-84	6%
Nov 12, 2025	73	@ Oklahoma St.	L	68-90	2%
Nov 17, 2025	37	@ Missouri	L	63-91	1%
Nov 22, 2025	323	Tennessee Martin	L	72-74	43%
Nov 30, 2025	89	@ North Texas	L	54-74	4%
Dec 13, 2025	294	@ South Dakota	L	82-89	27%
Dec 22, 2025	52	@ LSU	L	62-87	2%
Dec 29, 2025	35	@ Texas A&M	L	59-87	1%
Jan 03, 2026	283	@ Grambling St.	L	64-72	26%
Jan 05, 2026	186	@ Southern	L	66-79	14%
Jan 10, 2026	365	Mississippi Valley	W	77-60	92%
Jan 12, 2026	364	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	86-72	88%
Jan 17, 2026	238	@ Jackson St.	L	70-80	20%
Jan 19, 2026	326	@ Alcorn St.	L	67-72	35%
Jan 24, 2026	292	Alabama St.	L	73-74	46%
Jan 26, 2026	325	Alabama A&M	W	78-77	54%
Jan 31, 2026	285	Texas Southern	L	74-75	45%
Feb 07, 2026	246	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	70-80	21%
Feb 14, 2026	186	Southern	L	69-76	29%
Feb 19, 2026	365	Mississippi Valley	W	77-60	91%
Feb 21, 2026	364	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	83-75	75%
Feb 26, 2026	238	Jackson St.	L	73-77	37%
Feb 28, 2026	326	Alcorn St.	W	70-69	54%
Mar 05, 2026	285	@ Texas Southern	L	71-78	27%
Projected Record						8 - 16	7 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0					0.5	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0					1.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	1.3	1.0	0.2							2.9	3rd
4th									0.0	0.5	2.2	1.7	0.3	0.0							4.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.5	2.7	3.0	0.7	0.0								6.9	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	3.3	4.4	1.2	0.1									9.5	6th
7th						0.0	0.8	3.7	5.7	2.1	0.1	0.0									12.4	7th
8th				0.0	0.1	1.3	5.0	7.0	3.2	0.2											16.7	8th
9th			0.0	0.3	2.1	6.2	7.4	3.4	0.5	0.0											19.9	9th
10th			0.3	2.8	6.0	5.8	2.7	0.4	0.0												18.1	10th
11th		0.1	1.4	2.1	1.5	0.4	0.0														5.7	11th
12th	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0																1.2	12th

Total	0.1	0.5	2.2	5.5	9.7	13.8	15.9	15.0	13.1	9.9	6.9	4.0	2.2	0.9	0.2	0.0						Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	99.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-4	68.9%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	25.4%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.5%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	0.0%		50.0%	50.0%		14.6														0.0		0.0		0.0
14-4	0.2%		32.8%	32.8%		15.5													0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
13-5	0.9%		19.7%	19.7%		17.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.7
12-6	2.2%		14.5%	14.5%		17.3															0.0	0.1	0.2	1.9
11-7	4.0%		10.0%	10.0%		19.7															0.0	0.1	0.4	3.6
10-8	6.9%		7.3%	7.3%		18.6																0.0	0.5	6.4
9-9	9.9%		4.1%	4.1%		17.4																0.0	0.4	9.5
8-10	13.1%		2.2%	2.2%		16.4																0.0	0.3	12.8
7-11	15.0%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.2	14.9
6-12	15.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	15.8
5-13	13.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	13.8
4-14	9.7%																							9.7
3-15	5.5%																							5.5
2-16	2.2%																							2.2
1-17	0.5%																							0.5
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		2.4%	2.4%	0.0%	17.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	2.1	97.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%