Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#286
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#312
Pace69.1#148
Improvement-1.2#318

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#348
First Shot-8.2#353
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#112
Layup/Dunks-3.9#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#350
Freethrows-1.6#299
Improvement-2.2#359

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#148
First Shot+2.0#117
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#299
Layups/Dunks+3.8#48
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#159
Freethrows-2.7#337
Improvement+1.0#41
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.1% 10.8% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.0% 1.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 76.0% 81.0% 48.7%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four9.8% 10.4% 6.3%
First Round4.8% 5.2% 2.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bethune-Cookman (Home) - 84.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 01 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 8
Quad 410 - 1011 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2022 63   Washington St. W 70-59 13%     1 - 0 +16.8 +4.9 +12.6
  Nov 20, 2022 295   @ Tennessee Martin L 79-80 42%     1 - 1 -5.5 +1.3 -6.8
  Nov 22, 2022 311   @ Texas San Antonio L 75-82 45%     1 - 2 -12.5 -4.5 -7.8
  Nov 25, 2022 308   @ Arkansas St. W 67-59 45%     2 - 2 +2.6 -4.3 +7.3
  Nov 27, 2022 36   @ Oklahoma St. L 53-78 4%     2 - 3 -10.8 -3.3 -10.1
  Nov 30, 2022 170   @ Rice L 62-70 19%     2 - 4 -5.2 -9.5 +4.0
  Dec 11, 2022 45   @ Northwestern L 51-61 4%     2 - 5 +3.0 -10.8 +13.3
  Dec 13, 2022 264   @ Illinois-Chicago L 61-70 35%     2 - 6 -11.8 -8.0 -4.3
  Dec 17, 2022 190   Montana L 76-81 30%     2 - 7 -6.1 +0.2 -6.3
  Dec 20, 2022 50   @ New Mexico L 63-94 5%     2 - 8 -18.4 -14.4 +0.7
  Dec 30, 2022 40   @ Texas A&M L 66-86 4%     2 - 9 -6.4 -1.9 -4.2
  Jan 02, 2023 232   Grambling St. W 61-60 49%     3 - 9 1 - 0 -5.4 -12.2 +6.9
  Jan 04, 2023 236   Southern L 62-66 50%     3 - 10 1 - 1 -10.6 -15.1 +4.7
  Jan 07, 2023 361   @ Mississippi Valley W 67-60 77%     4 - 10 2 - 1 -7.5 -8.9 +1.6
  Jan 09, 2023 330   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 55-63 53%     4 - 11 2 - 2 -15.4 -18.8 +3.5
  Jan 14, 2023 326   Jackson St. W 59-50 70%     5 - 11 3 - 2 -3.1 -20.8 +17.4
  Jan 16, 2023 294   Alcorn St. L 68-77 OT 62%     5 - 12 3 - 3 -18.9 -13.2 -5.1
  Jan 21, 2023 352   @ Alabama St. L 55-56 OT 63%     5 - 13 3 - 4 -11.1 -19.2 +8.1
  Jan 23, 2023 342   @ Alabama A&M L 59-67 59%     5 - 14 3 - 5 -16.9 -15.8 -1.1
  Jan 28, 2023 312   @ Texas Southern W 89-74 2OT 46%     6 - 14 4 - 5 +9.5 +1.7 +5.4
  Feb 04, 2023 355   Bethune-Cookman W 74-63 84%    
  Feb 06, 2023 359   Florida A&M W 66-54 88%    
  Feb 11, 2023 236   @ Southern L 66-71 29%    
  Feb 13, 2023 232   @ Grambling St. L 62-68 29%    
  Feb 18, 2023 330   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 68-62 72%    
  Feb 20, 2023 361   Mississippi Valley W 71-58 90%    
  Feb 25, 2023 294   @ Alcorn St. L 65-67 41%    
  Feb 27, 2023 326   @ Jackson St. W 68-67 49%    
  Mar 04, 2023 312   Texas Southern W 67-63 67%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1st
2nd 0.4 1.6 0.5 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.5 4.2 3.1 0.2 8.1 3rd
4th 0.5 6.6 8.7 1.1 0.0 17.0 4th
5th 0.4 6.3 12.9 3.6 0.1 23.2 5th
6th 0.1 3.8 12.5 5.4 0.3 22.1 6th
7th 0.9 6.9 5.6 0.5 13.9 7th
8th 0.1 2.8 4.5 0.9 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 1.9 0.9 0.0 3.5 9th
10th 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 6.1 16.5 25.8 25.9 17.3 6.1 1.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 27.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 1.0% 30.2% 30.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7
12-6 6.1% 25.1% 25.1% 16.0 1.5 4.5
11-7 17.3% 15.1% 15.1% 16.0 2.6 14.7
10-8 25.9% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 3.1 22.8
9-9 25.8% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 1.7 24.1
8-10 16.5% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.7 15.7
7-11 6.1% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.2 5.9
6-12 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.1% 10.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 10.1 89.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.0% 30.2% 15.9 1.0 2.1 27.1