Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#324
Expected Predictive Rating-8.9#297
Pace72.4#93
Improvement+1.6#61

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#342
First Shot-4.3#297
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#316
Layup/Dunks-3.4#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#96
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#262
Freethrows+0.5#144
Improvement+0.6#109

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#254
First Shot+3.1#80
After Offensive Rebounds-5.5#355
Layups/Dunks+0.6#173
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#209
Freethrows+1.4#100
Improvement+1.0#86
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.2% 17.0% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 14.8% 52.1% 14.6%
.500 or above in Conference 59.6% 86.9% 59.4%
Conference Champion 4.1% 17.7% 4.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.0% 0.9%
First Four4.7% 10.5% 4.7%
First Round2.4% 17.0% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Away) - 0.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 30 - 40 - 10
Quad 411 - 911 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 110   @ Grand Canyon L 53-74 8%     0 - 1 -14.3 -14.6 -0.5
  Nov 12, 2021 17   @ Texas Tech L 62-88 1%     0 - 2 -8.3 -2.3 -5.8
  Nov 15, 2021 201   @ New Mexico L 61-86 16%     0 - 3 -23.8 -20.1 -0.9
  Nov 21, 2021 59   @ Iowa St. L 47-82 4%     0 - 4 -24.2 -15.0 -11.9
  Nov 28, 2021 314   Morgan St. W 74-59 48%     1 - 4 +6.2 -5.5 +11.2
  Nov 30, 2021 250   Norfolk St. L 63-70 33%     1 - 5 -11.8 -11.8 +0.1
  Dec 04, 2021 26   @ Connecticut L 57-83 1%    
  Dec 11, 2021 350   @ Incarnate Word W 71-69 58%    
  Dec 14, 2021 51   @ UAB L 59-80 2%    
  Dec 18, 2021 168   @ Tulane L 61-73 13%    
  Dec 21, 2021 90   @ TCU L 59-77 4%    
  Jan 03, 2022 242   Prairie View L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 05, 2022 199   Texas Southern L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 08, 2022 345   @ Bethune-Cookman W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 10, 2022 305   @ Florida A&M L 65-69 35%    
  Jan 15, 2022 292   Southern W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 22, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 83-65 95%    
  Jan 24, 2022 357   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76-63 88%    
  Jan 29, 2022 258   @ Jackson St. L 62-69 27%    
  Jan 31, 2022 315   @ Alcorn St. L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 05, 2022 339   Alabama St. W 74-68 72%    
  Feb 07, 2022 342   Alabama A&M W 71-64 72%    
  Feb 12, 2022 199   @ Texas Southern L 65-76 18%    
  Feb 14, 2022 242   @ Prairie View L 71-79 25%    
  Feb 19, 2022 292   @ Southern L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 26, 2022 305   Florida A&M W 68-66 56%    
  Feb 28, 2022 345   Bethune-Cookman W 74-67 75%    
  Mar 03, 2022 342   @ Alabama A&M W 68-67 53%    
  Mar 05, 2022 339   @ Alabama St. W 71-70 51%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.3 3.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.3 4.0 2.2 0.2 0.0 8.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 5.5 2.6 0.3 10.5 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 5.3 3.4 0.2 10.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.8 4.9 0.6 0.0 13.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 5.3 5.0 0.9 0.0 12.8 7th
8th 0.2 1.1 4.5 4.8 1.2 0.0 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.9 3.8 1.1 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.9 2.0 0.8 0.0 7.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.8 11th
12th 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.6 5.1 7.4 10.6 13.1 14.1 13.3 12.0 8.2 6.4 3.2 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 95.2% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 82.2% 1.4    0.9 0.4 0.0
14-4 41.0% 1.3    0.6 0.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 11.3% 0.7    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 50.8% 50.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 37.4% 37.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.3
15-3 1.7% 21.5% 21.5% 16.0 0.4 1.3
14-4 3.2% 20.4% 20.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6 2.6
13-5 6.4% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7 5.7
12-6 8.2% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 0.8 7.4
11-7 12.0% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.8 11.2
10-8 13.3% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.7 12.6
9-9 14.1% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.6 13.5
8-10 13.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 12.9
7-11 10.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.6
6-12 7.4% 7.4
5-13 5.1% 5.1
4-14 2.6% 2.6
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 5.1 94.8 0.0%