Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.8#351
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#259
Pace79.7#10
Improvement+2.1#63

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#346
First Shot-5.3#327
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#328
Layup/Dunks+0.0#190
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#306
Freethrows-1.7#288
Improvement+0.3#153

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#330
First Shot-4.4#322
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#242
Layups/Dunks+0.0#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#31
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#292
Freethrows-3.6#351
Improvement+1.9#59
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.8% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.3% 2.6% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 23.8% 36.8% 15.0%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.6% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 2.2% 7.7%
First Four1.2% 1.7% 0.9%
First Round0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Home) - 40.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 31 - 41 - 11
Quad 48 - 108 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 48 @Washington L 50-94 2%     0 - 1 -30.2 -18.2 -10.1
  Thu, Nov 6 256 @Portland L 74-83 16%     0 - 2 -11.3 -10.3 +0.4
  Sat, Nov 8 123 @Loyola Marymount L 72-94 6%     0 - 3 -16.6 +4.7 -21.1
  Tue, Nov 11 45 @Oklahoma L 69-95 1%     0 - 4 -11.7 +0.6 -12.3
  Sat, Nov 15 9 @Vanderbilt L 75-104 0.4%    0 - 5 -5.9 +7.7 -11.9
  Tue, Nov 18 42 @SMU L 60-106 1%     0 - 6 -30.9 -15.1 -9.8
  Thu, Nov 20 161 @Marshall L 70-98 8%     0 - 7 -25.1 -7.4 -15.4
  Sun, Nov 23 106 @Miami (OH) L 84-111 4%     0 - 8 -19.7 +0.8 -16.7
  Wed, Dec 3 200 @Illinois-Chicago W 63-62 11%     1 - 8 +1.6 -11.7 +13.2
  Sat, Dec 6 115 @DePaul L 72-76 5%     1 - 9 +2.3 +0.6 +1.9
  Wed, Dec 10 92 @Tulsa L 84-117 3%     1 - 10 -23.9 +4.7 -25.5
  Sat, Jan 3 293 Alabama A&M L 72-75 40%    
  Mon, Jan 5 281 Alabama St. L 78-81 38%    
  Sat, Jan 10 327 @Texas Southern L 76-82 29%    
  Mon, Jan 12 320 @Prairie View L 78-84 28%    
  Sat, Jan 17 341 Florida A&M W 78-76 56%    
  Mon, Jan 19 269 Bethune-Cookman L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 222 @Southern L 75-87 14%    
  Mon, Jan 26 245 @Grambling St. L 69-80 16%    
  Sat, Jan 31 365 @Mississippi Valley W 79-72 75%    
  Sat, Feb 7 337 Alcorn St. W 80-79 54%    
  Mon, Feb 9 324 Jackson St. W 78-77 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 281 @Alabama St. L 75-84 20%    
  Mon, Feb 16 293 @Alabama A&M L 69-78 22%    
  Sat, Feb 21 327 Texas Southern W 79-78 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 320 Prairie View L 81-82 49%    
  Sat, Feb 28 365 Mississippi Valley W 82-69 88%    
  Tue, Mar 3 324 @Jackson St. L 75-81 30%    
  Thu, Mar 5 337 @Alcorn St. L 77-82 34%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.6 0.1 3.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.4 1.3 0.1 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.3 2.7 2.6 0.3 0.0 5.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 4.3 0.9 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 5.6 2.3 0.1 9.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 5.7 4.3 0.4 0.0 11.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.6 5.7 6.4 1.2 0.0 15.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.4 6.1 6.9 2.1 0.1 17.9 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 4.2 6.4 5.3 2.0 0.1 0.0 19.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.6 12th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.1 5.3 9.2 13.1 16.0 16.0 13.7 10.2 6.7 3.9 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 90.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 67.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 45.4% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
12-6 10.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.7% 8.8% 8.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7
12-6 2.0% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.8
11-7 3.9% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.2 3.7
10-8 6.7% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.3 6.5
9-9 10.2% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.3 9.9
8-10 13.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 13.5
7-11 16.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 16.0
6-12 16.0% 16.0
5-13 13.1% 13.1
4-14 9.2% 9.2
3-15 5.3% 5.3
2-16 2.1% 2.1
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.2 98.8 0.0%