Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -10.2 321
Results Rating -9.5 314
Consistency 0.17 288
Pace 72.3 76
Improvement +1.3 138

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 281 C- D- D+ C+ D+
Defense D- 331 D+ F+ C- F+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 221 C- 57% 204 -1.3 231
2 Pt. Jumpers 42% 122 C- 36% 234 +1.4 102
Three Pointers 37% 261 C 34% 166 -1.7 239
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.7 283 C- -0.9 209
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 227
Second Chance D 25.3% 315 F+ 0.87 352 D- 0.22 348
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.4% 273
Other Turnovers C- 7.7% 252
Turnovers D+ 18.1% 274
Freethrows C 0.31 175 B- 75% 102 C+ 0.23 139
Total Offense D+ -4.1 281

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 198 C+ 10.0% 128
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 33% 77 B- 3.8% 100
Three Pointers C 85% 178 C+ 0.8% 155
Total C 55% 183 B- 5.0% 109


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 117 D+ 62% 275 +3.0 286
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 298 D+ 40% 262 -1.1 108
Three Pointers 42% 141 C 34% 207 +0.7 229
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.7 292 D+ +1.9 259
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 270
Second Chance D- 35.5% 341 D 1.12 305 F+ 0.40 346
Turnovers from Steals C 9.4% 189
Other Turnovers D+ 6.5% 296
Turnovers C- 15.8% 232
Freethrows D- 0.37 339 D- 76% 338 F+ 0.28 351
Total Defense D- -6.1 331

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 57% 338 C- 9.9% 213
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 229 D+ 3.5% 265
Three Pointers D 88% 303 C 0.8% 163
Total D 62% 323 C- 5.0% 213

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 99 17.2 161
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 230 0.12 46
Consistency 0.13 260 0.15 325
Improvement +1.8 105 -0.4 207

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 321 321 321
Results Rating Rank 314 313 313
Conference Record 10 - 8 10 - 8 10 - 8
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 21 - 11 - 7
Quad 30 - 31 - 10
Quad 410 - 911 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 50 @Washington L 50 - 94 2% -21  0% 0 - 1 F -30 F -21 F F F D- -7 D+ F A
 Thu, Nov 6 208 @Portland L 74 - 83 16% -10  4% 0 - 2 D -9 F -11 F C- F B +4 B- B- B+
 Sat, Nov 8 166 @Loyola Marymount L 72 - 94 11% -9  8% 0 - 3 F -19 C- -1 B- D+ D- F -18 F C F
 Tue, Nov 11 33 @Oklahoma L 69 - 95 1% -9  6% 0 - 4 D -9 C- -2 D+ C F D- -8 C+ F C-
 Sat, Nov 15 12 @Vanderbilt L 75 - 104 1% -14  0% 0 - 5 D+ -7 C+ +3 B- D B- F+ -9 A- F F+
 Tue, Nov 18 42 @SMU L 60 - 106 2% -24  1% 0 - 6 F -30 F -18 D- F D- D -6 F+ A- C
 Thu, Nov 20 202 @Marshall L 70 - 98 15% -5  41% 0 - 7 F -27 F -14 F F+ F F -11 F A+ D-
 Sun, Nov 23 96 @Miami (OH) L 84 - 111 5% -16  9% 0 - 8 F -19 C- -1 F B+ A- F -13 F C F+
 Wed, Dec 3 107 @Illinois-Chicago W 63 - 62 6% +5  86% 1 - 8 B- +8 F+ -9 C C- C- A+ +17 A+ B A+
 Sat, Dec 6 94 @DePaul L 72 - 76 5% +1  51% 1 - 9 C+ +5 C +1 A F D- B +4 A+ D- F
 Wed, Dec 10 65 @Tulsa L 84 - 117 3% -16  6% 1 - 10 F -21 C+ +3 B+ C D- F -21 F F D+
 Sat, Jan 3 311 Alabama A&M W 95 - 83 58% +4  51% 2 - 10 1 - 0 C -0 A+ +22 A A+ C F -21 C F C-
 Mon, Jan 5 324 Alabama St. W 90 - 79 62% +6  86% 3 - 10 2 - 0 C- -2 B- +4 B D+ F+ D- -7 D+ C D-
 Sat, Jan 10 316 @Texas Southern W 74 - 66 36% +8  85% 4 - 10 3 - 0 C +1 D+ -3 B- F B- B +5 A C D+
 Mon, Jan 12 303 @Prairie View L 61 - 73 33% -6  10% 4 - 11 3 - 1 F+ -18 F -15 F F D C- -3 D- C- F
 Sat, Jan 17 312 Florida A&M L 67 - 71 58% -1  27% 4 - 12 3 - 2 F+ -16 D- -7 F+ B D+ F+ -10 F F A-
 Mon, Jan 19 248 Bethune-Cookman L 82 - 87 OT 42% +2  52% 4 - 13 3 - 3 D- -13 D -5 B- F+ F D- -7 B F B+
 Sat, Jan 24 276 @Southern W 75 - 74 26% -2  21% 5 - 13 4 - 3 C- -3 C- -2 D- C- C+ C -1 B+ F B
 Sat, Jan 31 365 @Mississippi Valley W 78 - 70 81% +7  91% 6 - 13 5 - 3 D- -12 D -6 F+ F B- D -6 D- D- C
 Wed, Feb 4 307 @Grambling St. W 67 - 64 34% +4  75% 7 - 13 6 - 3 C- -3 D+ -4 F B- C C+ +1 B+ D- D-
 Sat, Feb 7 351 Alcorn St. W 84 - 77 75% +10  99% 8 - 13 7 - 3 D -10 B +6 A C+ F F -16 F F+ F+
 Mon, Feb 9 346 Jackson St. W 84 - 63 72% +10  82% 9 - 13 8 - 3 C+ +5 B- +5 A- F+ A+ C+ +1 A F C
 Sat, Feb 14 324 @Alabama St. L 61 - 79 39% -7  9% 9 - 14 8 - 4 F -25 F -18 D F F D- -7 F+ B- D
 Mon, Feb 16 311 @Alabama A&M L 70 - 82 35% -4  11% 9 - 15 8 - 5 F -18 C- -2 D- D- A F -17 F F+ C-
 Thu, Feb 19 316 Texas Southern L 64 - 83 59% -2  34% 9 - 16 8 - 6 F -32 F -16 D F D F -17 F F F
 Sat, Feb 21 303 Prairie View W 84 - 82 56% +3  72% 10 - 16 9 - 6 D -10 B +7 A C- B+ F -17 D F A
 Sat, Feb 28 365 Mississippi Valley L 69 - 70 92% +2  55% 10 - 17 9 - 7 F -27 F -16 F F C- F -10 F F B+
 Tue, Mar 3 346 @Jackson St. L 78 - 81 50% -1  30% 10 - 18 9 - 8 D- -13 D+ -2 B- F F F -11 F+ F F
 Thu, Mar 5 351 @Alcorn St. W 83 - 48 55% +17  91% 11 - 18 10 - 8 A+ +24 C- -1 C F A+ A+ +23 A+ B- A-
 Thu, Mar 12 276 Southern L 81 - 84 36% -3  9% 11 - 19 D -10 B+ +8 A- F A+ F -18 F C+ C+
Totals 11 - 19 10 - 8 -10 D+ -4 C+ C- D+ D- -6 C B- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- C- C C- 37% 42% 37% D+ C- D F+ D- D+ C B- C+ D- D+ D+ C D+ 41% 17% 42% D+ D+ D- D F+ C- D- D- F+
1.03 57% 36% 34% -1 -1 0.99 25% 0.9 .22 18% .31 75% .23 1.17 62% 40% 34% +2 +1 1.07 35% 1.1 .40 16% .37 76% .23
Nov
3		 Washington F F F F+ F 20% 33% 46% D- F B F F F D D+ D D- F+ A+ F D+ 29% 21% 50% C- D+ F B- F A F B- F
0.68 45% 17% 28% -14 -3 0.69 31% 0.4 .12 22% .21 67% .14 1.28 71% 20% 42% +6 -1 1.13 52% 1.1 .55 19% .56 73% .41
Nov
6		 Portland F D- F D F 36% 18% 46% C F F+ A+ C- F A+ A+ A+ B D- C- A+ B 42% 9% 49% F B- A- D- B- B+ F D F
0.90 50% 11% 30% -10 0 0.82 24% 1.3 .32 23% .43 89% .38 1.01 68% 40% 23% -4 +2 0.98 23% 1.3 .29 23% .50 78% .39
Nov
8		 Loyola Marymount C- B+ C D+ B 40% 30% 30% C- B- C+ F D+ D- F A+ D+ F F A+ F F 23% 11% 66% D- F D B+ C F F A+ F
1.02 62% 38% 31% 0 -1 1.00 33% 0.8 .28 18% .19 100% .19 1.33 83% 0% 49% +16 0 1.34 31% 0.9 .28 8% .43 57% .25
Nov
11		 Oklahoma C- C- D- C- C- 31% 30% 39% D D+ B D- C F C A B- D- C C+ D+ B- 38% 10% 52% F+ C+ F D+ F C- F+ C F+
0.99 53% 31% 33% -4 -2 0.91 36% 0.9 .31 22% .27 80% .22 1.36 60% 40% 37% +3 +1 1.12 53% 1.3 .69 13% .39 75% .30
Nov
15		 Vanderbilt C+ F C+ A+ B- 31% 25% 43% C- B- D- D+ D B- A C- A F+ C- B- A- A 34% 14% 52% C- A- F F F F+ F B F
1.01 38% 38% 41% -2 -1 0.96 21% 0.9 .18 17% .42 73% .31 1.40 65% 38% 30% -1 +1 1.02 49% 1.5 .72 9% .49 76% .37
Nov
18		 SMU F A+ F F F+ 39% 23% 39% B- D- D+ F F D- B- F D D F D+ F F 36% 19% 46% D+ F+ A C+ A- C F D+ F
0.75 73% 15% 18% -9 0 0.84 26% 0.2 .04 21% .28 56% .16 1.32 76% 45% 44% +15 0 1.32 30% 1.0 .30 15% .38 77% .29
Nov
20		 Marshall F B+ C- F F+ 17% 50% 33% F F F D+ F+ F A B+ A F F B F F 32% 26% 42% C F B- A+ A+ D- F+ F F
0.91 67% 35% 24% -5 -5 0.81 26% 0.9 .23 21% .43 77% .33 1.28 78% 33% 54% +18 -1 1.35 28% 0.6 .16 14% .32 81% .26
Nov
23		 Miami (OH) C- F C F+ F 44% 21% 34% B- F D- A+ B+ A- A A+ A+ F D+ C- F F 56% 9% 35% F F C C C F+ F F F
1.03 41% 38% 29% -10 0 0.82 24% 1.6 .38 13% .35 84% .30 1.36 66% 40% 50% +13 +3 1.33 24% 1.1 .28 11% .44 88% .39
Dec
3		 Illinois-Chicago F+ B- F C C- 46% 18% 36% B C D- B+ C- C- F F F A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 61% 12% 27% F A+ D A+ B A+ F C F+
0.87 61% 11% 33% -4 +1 0.96 28% 1.1 .31 21% .21 50% .11 0.86 43% 33% 15% -17 +3 0.73 40% 0.8 .33 24% .40 73% .29
Dec
6		 DePaul C C- A+ A+ A+ 31% 33% 35% D- A F D- F D- F A+ F B A- A A+ A+ 49% 16% 36% F+ A+ A- F D- F F C- F
0.97 53% 56% 42% +8 -2 1.15 17% 0.8 .14 23% .12 86% .11 1.03 50% 29% 13% -17 +1 0.71 24% 1.7 .41 9% .61 71% .43
Dec
10		 Tulsa C+ A+ C- F+ A- 39% 17% 44% B- B+ C- B+ C D- A- A+ A+ F D B- F F 49% 5% 45% D- F D- F F D+ F D- F
1.09 81% 33% 29% +5 +1 1.13 24% 1.3 .31 19% .34 86% .29 1.51 63% 33% 48% +12 +3 1.31 37% 1.8 .67 13% .55 84% .46
Jan
3		 Alabama A&M A+ B- C+ A+ A+ 40% 27% 33% D- A A+ A- A+ C A+ A A+ F D B- A+ C+ 44% 20% 36% F+ C F D F C- F F F
1.49 63% 38% 56% +13 -1 1.27 54% 1.2 .65 16% .48 81% .39 1.30 60% 33% 25% -5 +1 0.93 56% 1.1 .63 16% .52 82% .43
Jan
5		 Alabama St. B- F A+ A+ B- 48% 16% 36% B- B B F D+ F+ A+ A A+ D- C- B- C D 41% 27% 32% C D+ A- F C D- F D F
1.20 33% 71% 56% +6 +1 1.16 38% 0.8 .31 21% .70 83% .58 1.05 57% 33% 33% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.1 .26 15% .41 73% .30
Jan
10		 Texas Southern D+ A F B B- 44% 18% 38% C B- F F F B- F D+ F B B C+ A+ A+ 52% 21% 27% F A C C+ C D+ F C+ F
1.07 73% 22% 37% +5 +1 1.14 23% 0.9 .19 14% .27 69% .19 0.95 52% 36% 14% -12 +1 0.81 27% 1.0 .27 16% .39 70% .27
Jan
12		 Prairie View F F F F+ F 35% 23% 42% D F D- F F D B+ F C- C- A F+ F F+ 33% 38% 29% B- D- F A C- F F A+ F+
0.88 41% 18% 30% -13 0 0.75 30% 0.8 .25 20% .42 61% .25 1.05 44% 44% 43% +1 -3 1.00 31% 0.8 .26 10% .50 61% .30
Jan
17		 Florida A&M D- B D- F+ D- 33% 28% 40% F+ F+ F A+ B D+ B- A A- F+ F A+ C- F 38% 19% 43% D+ F F+ F F A- F B- F
1.02 64% 33% 29% -2 -1 0.95 18% 2.0 .36 20% .36 84% .30 1.08 81% 13% 33% +4 0 1.10 34% 1.1 .38 24% .48 67% .32
Jan
19		 Bethune-Cookman D C A+ C- B 46% 24% 30% D B- F C F+ F A+ C- A+ D- B A+ A+ A 61% 13% 26% F B F F F B+ F D- F
1.04 57% 50% 33% +2 0 1.06 24% 1.1 .26 22% .48 70% .34 1.10 54% 17% 25% -9 +3 0.89 42% 1.3 .53 22% .66 73% .48
Jan
24		 Southern C- F+ C C F+ 31% 18% 51% C- D- F A+ C- C+ A+ D- A C F D+ A+ B+ 30% 28% 41% B- B+ F F F B F F F
1.08 50% 38% 35% -2 0 0.98 19% 1.8 .34 17% .49 71% .35 1.07 71% 38% 16% -7 -2 0.85 42% 1.4 .58 19% .46 77% .36
Jan
31		 Mississippi Valley D C- F A D- 37% 37% 26% F F+ F F+ F B- A+ D A+ D D+ F A+ F+ 38% 42% 20% C- D- A- F D- C F F F
1.10 59% 29% 42% 0 -2 0.98 26% 1.1 .29 15% .56 71% .40 0.98 59% 47% 22% +1 -3 0.98 17% 1.6 .28 21% .50 79% .39
Feb
4		 Grambling St. D+ D+ F D- F 39% 24% 37% D F F+ A+ B- C B+ C- B C+ D- F A+ A- 40% 19% 40% D+ B+ F B- D- D- B C- B-
0.99 56% 27% 29% -6 0 0.89 26% 1.4 .38 19% .38 71% .27 0.95 62% 50% 10% -11 0 0.81 37% 0.9 .34 18% .27 73% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Alcorn St. B D+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 14% 40% C A C- B+ C+ F A+ A- A+ F C C+ F F 40% 24% 36% C- F B F F+ F+ B- F C-
1.27 58% 50% 53% +13 +1 1.31 36% 1.3 .48 23% .47 79% .37 1.16 55% 33% 50% +6 0 1.14 21% 1.5 .32 15% .23 85% .20
Feb
9		 Jackson St. B- D A+ A+ A 37% 27% 37% F+ A- D- F+ F+ A+ C+ A- B C+ A+ D A+ A- 18% 37% 45% A+ A F F F C C A B
1.28 56% 54% 50% +12 -1 1.24 30% 0.9 .27 11% .36 81% .29 0.96 33% 42% 22% -11 -4 0.73 37% 1.3 .49 18% .28 67% .19
Feb
14		 Alabama St. F B F C- D+ 29% 20% 51% D- D F F F F A+ D+ A+ D- D- D B F+ 49% 19% 32% F F+ F A+ B- D F+ F F
0.84 67% 25% 33% -1 -1 1.00 23% 0.3 .07 30% .50 72% .36 1.09 62% 40% 29% 0 +1 1.04 41% 0.6 .23 15% .34 86% .29
Feb
16		 Alabama A&M C- D F A D- 44% 18% 38% C D- B- F D- A D- B- D F D- B- F F 39% 22% 39% D F F+ D- F+ C- F F F
1.10 55% 11% 42% -2 +1 1.00 36% 0.7 .24 11% .28 75% .21 1.29 63% 33% 50% +10 0 1.22 30% 1.1 .35 16% .60 88% .52
Feb
19		 Texas Southern F F+ C B- D+ 26% 21% 53% F+ D D- F F D A- F C+ F D+ F D F 33% 22% 45% C- F B F F F A+ F A
0.94 50% 40% 36% 0 -1 1.00 27% 0.4 .10 18% .43 63% .27 1.21 61% 58% 36% +7 -1 1.15 23% 1.7 .39 12% .15 89% .13
Feb
21		 Prairie View B A+ A+ F+ A 39% 20% 41% C- A F A+ C- B+ C- B- C F C F A+ D 36% 30% 34% D+ D F F F A F F F
1.24 79% 60% 30% +10 0 1.22 24% 1.5 .36 15% .35 75% .26 1.21 56% 62% 20% -1 -1 0.98 37% 1.4 .52 21% .52 89% .46
Feb
28		 Mississippi Valley F A- D+ F F 28% 30% 41% F F D F F C- A+ D- A- F C- F C+ F 33% 41% 27% C- F F D+ F B+ C- D+ C-
0.99 69% 36% 21% -6 -2 0.87 32% 1.0 .32 17% .52 70% .36 1.00 56% 55% 31% +5 -3 1.06 35% 0.9 .32 24% .28 73% .21
Mar
3		 Jackson St. D+ C- B A+ B- 46% 21% 33% C- B- C+ F F F A+ A+ A+ F F A- C F+ 30% 20% 50% D F+ F C+ F F F D- F
1.13 59% 40% 44% +6 +1 1.15 38% 0.6 .24 23% .45 88% .39 1.17 67% 30% 32% -1 -1 1.00 41% 0.9 .38 14% .51 80% .40
Mar
5		 Alcorn St. C- B+ F F C- 59% 16% 25% B- C F F F A+ F B+ F A+ A+ C A+ A+ 35% 35% 31% A A+ B+ D+ B- A- D A+ C
1.12 69% 30% 27% +3 +2 1.11 16% 0.8 .13 12% .21 79% .17 0.65 41% 35% 13% -16 -2 0.65 20% 1.0 .20 23% .30 59% .17
Mar
12		 Southern B+ B- B+ A+ A+ 34% 36% 30% F A- C F F A+ A C A- F D- B+ F F 49% 22% 29% F F D- A C+ C+ F C- F
1.24 65% 44% 53% +13 -2 1.24 32% 0.5 .16 12% .44 76% .33 1.28 64% 30% 69% +16 +1 1.36 33% 0.9 .29 17% .42 70% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%