Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -10.3 323
Results Rating -9.1 309
Consistency 0.17 293
Pace 72.8 70
Improvement +0.8 155

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 296 C- D- D+ C+ D+
Defense D 320 D+ F+ C- F+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 218 C- 56% 210 -1.4 234
2 Pt. Jumpers 42% 130 C- 36% 248 +1.3 113
Three Pointers 37% 255 C 34% 190 -1.9 248
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.7 285 C- -1.4 225
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 239
Second Chance D 25.2% 318 D- 0.89 345 D- 0.22 346
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.6% 293
Other Turnovers C- 7.8% 253
Turnovers D+ 18.4% 291
Freethrows C 0.30 183 B- 75% 107 C+ 0.23 147
Total Offense D+ -4.9 296

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 206 C+ 10.2% 139
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 34% 62 B- 3.8% 94
Three Pointers C+ 85% 154 C+ 0.6% 123
Total C 56% 177 C+ 5.0% 117


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 124 D+ 61% 276 +2.8 273
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 300 D+ 40% 276 -1.1 108
Three Pointers 42% 131 C+ 33% 167 +0.4 202
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.7 293 C- +1.4 237
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.06 255
Second Chance F+ 35.7% 345 D 1.13 310 F+ 0.40 347
Turnovers from Steals C 9.4% 185
Other Turnovers D+ 6.4% 296
Turnovers C- 15.8% 231
Freethrows D- 0.37 340 D- 76% 337 F+ 0.28 352
Total Defense D -5.5 320

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 57% 339 C- 10.2% 195
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 227 C- 3.7% 247
Three Pointers D 88% 305 C 0.8% 170
Total D 62% 322 C- 5.2% 203

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 102 17.2 162
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 240 0.12 47
Consistency 0.13 251 0.15 323
Improvement +0.3 172 +0.4 168

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 328 323 314
Results Rating Rank 320 318 258
Conference Record 10 - 8 10 - 8 10 - 8
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Four

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7% 19% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four7% 19% 0%
First Round3% 8% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 21 - 11 - 7
Quad 30 - 31 - 10
Quad 411 - 912 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 50 @Washington L 50 - 94 2% -21  0% 0 - 1 F -30 F -21 F F F D- -7 D+ F A-
 Thu, Nov 6 209 @Portland L 74 - 83 16% -10  4% 0 - 2 D -9 F -11 F C- F B +4 B- B- B+
 Sat, Nov 8 165 @Loyola Marymount L 72 - 94 11% -9  8% 0 - 3 F -19 C- -1 B- D+ D- F -18 F C F
 Tue, Nov 11 42 @Oklahoma L 69 - 95 2% -9  6% 0 - 4 D -10 C- -2 D+ C F F+ -8 C F C-
 Sat, Nov 15 18 @Vanderbilt L 75 - 104 1% -14  0% 0 - 5 D+ -8 B- +4 B- D B F+ -10 A- F F+
 Tue, Nov 18 45 @SMU L 60 - 106 2% -24  1% 0 - 6 F -30 F -19 D- F D- D -5 F+ A- C
 Thu, Nov 20 200 @Marshall L 70 - 98 15% -5  41% 0 - 7 F -27 F -14 F F+ F F -11 F A+ D-
 Sun, Nov 23 92 @Miami (OH) L 84 - 111 5% -16  9% 0 - 8 F -18 C- -1 F A- A- F -14 F C F+
 Wed, Dec 3 107 @Illinois-Chicago W 63 - 62 6% +5  86% 1 - 8 B- +8 F+ -9 C C- C- A+ +17 A+ B A+
 Sat, Dec 6 95 @DePaul L 72 - 76 5% +1  51% 1 - 9 C+ +5 C +1 A F D- B +4 A+ D F
 Wed, Dec 10 65 @Tulsa L 84 - 117 3% -16  6% 1 - 10 F -21 C+ +3 B+ C D- F -21 F F D+
 Sat, Jan 3 307 Alabama A&M W 95 - 83 56% +4  51% 2 - 10 1 - 0 C +0 A+ +22 A A+ C F -20 C F C-
 Mon, Jan 5 324 Alabama St. W 90 - 79 62% +6  86% 3 - 10 2 - 0 C- -2 B- +4 B- D+ F+ D- -7 D+ C D-
 Sat, Jan 10 310 @Texas Southern W 74 - 66 34% +8  85% 4 - 10 3 - 0 C+ +2 D+ -3 B- F B- B +5 A C D+
 Mon, Jan 12 318 @Prairie View L 61 - 73 36% -6  10% 4 - 11 3 - 1 F -19 F -15 F F D D+ -3 D- C- F
 Sat, Jan 17 315 Florida A&M L 67 - 71 58% -1  27% 4 - 12 3 - 2 F+ -16 D- -8 F+ B D F+ -9 F F A-
 Mon, Jan 19 239 Bethune-Cookman L 82 - 87 OT 40% +2  52% 4 - 13 3 - 3 D- -13 D -5 B- F+ F D- -7 B F B+
 Sat, Jan 24 275 @Southern W 75 - 74 25% -2  21% 5 - 13 4 - 3 C- -2 C- -1 D- C- C+ C -1 B F B
 Sat, Jan 31 365 @Mississippi Valley W 78 - 70 81% +7  91% 6 - 13 5 - 3 D- -12 D -6 F+ F B- D -6 D- D- C
 Wed, Feb 4 304 @Grambling St. W 67 - 64 33% +4  75% 7 - 13 6 - 3 C- -3 D+ -4 F B- C C+ +2 B+ D- D-
 Sat, Feb 7 352 Alcorn St. W 84 - 77 75% +10  99% 8 - 13 7 - 3 D -11 B +6 A B- F F -16 F F+ F+
 Mon, Feb 9 346 Jackson St. W 84 - 63 72% +10  82% 9 - 13 8 - 3 C+ +5 B- +5 A- F A C+ +1 A F C
 Sat, Feb 14 324 @Alabama St. L 61 - 79 39% -7  9% 9 - 14 8 - 4 F -25 F -18 D F F D- -7 F+ B- D
 Mon, Feb 16 307 @Alabama A&M L 70 - 82 33% -4  11% 9 - 15 8 - 5 F+ -18 C- -2 D- D- A F -17 F F+ C-
 Thu, Feb 19 310 Texas Southern L 64 - 83 57% -2  34% 9 - 16 8 - 6 F -31 F -15 D F D F -16 F F F
 Sat, Feb 21 318 Prairie View W 84 - 82 59% +3  72% 10 - 16 9 - 6 D -11 B +7 A- C- B+ F -17 D F A
 Sat, Feb 28 365 Mississippi Valley L 69 - 70 91% +2  55% 10 - 17 9 - 7 F -27 F -16 F F C- F -10 F F B+
 Tue, Mar 3 346 @Jackson St. L 78 - 81 50% -1  30% 10 - 18 9 - 8 D- -13 D+ -3 C+ F F F -10 D- F F+
 Thu, Mar 5 352 @Alcorn St. W 83 - 48 55% +17  91% 11 - 18 10 - 8 A+ +23 C- -1 C F A+ A+ +23 A+ B- A-
 Thu, Mar 12 275 Southern L 78 - 82 35%
Totals 11 - 19 10 - 8 -10 D+ -5 F C- D+ D -5 C B- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- C- C C- 37% 42% 37% D+ C- D D- D- D+ C B- C+ D D+ D+ C+ C- 41% 17% 42% D+ D+ F+ D F+ C- D- D- F+
1.02 56% 36% 34% -1 -1 0.98 25% 0.9 .22 18% .30 75% .23 1.16 61% 40% 33% +1 +1 1.06 36% 1.1 .40 16% .37 76% .23
Nov
3		 Washington F F F F+ F 20% 33% 46% D- F B F F F D D+ D D- F+ A+ F C- 29% 21% 50% C- D+ F B F A- F B- F
0.68 45% 17% 28% -14 -3 0.69 31% 0.4 .12 22% .21 67% .14 1.28 71% 20% 42% +6 -1 1.13 52% 1.1 .55 19% .56 73% .41
Nov
6		 Portland F D- F D F 36% 18% 46% C F F+ A+ C- F A+ A+ A+ B D- C- A+ B 42% 9% 49% F B- A- D- B- B+ F D F
0.90 50% 11% 30% -10 0 0.82 24% 1.3 .32 23% .43 89% .38 1.01 68% 40% 23% -4 +2 0.98 23% 1.3 .29 23% .50 78% .39
Nov
8		 Loyola Marymount C- B+ C D+ B 40% 30% 30% C- B- C+ F D+ D- F A+ D+ F F A+ F F 23% 11% 66% D- F D B+ C F F A+ F
1.02 62% 38% 31% 0 -1 1.00 33% 0.8 .28 18% .19 100% .19 1.33 83% 0% 49% +16 0 1.34 31% 0.9 .28 8% .43 57% .25
Nov
11		 Oklahoma C- D+ D- C C- 31% 30% 39% D+ D+ B F+ C F C A- C+ F+ C C+ D+ C+ 38% 10% 52% F+ C F C- F C- F+ C F+
0.99 53% 31% 33% -4 -2 0.91 36% 0.9 .31 22% .27 80% .22 1.36 60% 40% 37% +3 +1 1.12 53% 1.3 .69 13% .39 75% .30
Nov
15		 Vanderbilt B- F C+ A+ B- 31% 25% 43% C- B- D D+ D B A C- A- F+ C- B- A- A 34% 14% 52% C- A- F F F F+ F B F
1.01 38% 38% 41% -2 -1 0.96 21% 0.9 .18 17% .42 73% .31 1.40 65% 38% 30% -1 +1 1.02 49% 1.5 .72 9% .49 76% .37
Nov
18		 SMU F A+ F F F+ 39% 23% 39% B- D- D+ F F D- C+ F D D F D+ F F+ 36% 19% 46% D+ F+ A C+ A- C F D+ F
0.75 73% 15% 18% -9 0 0.84 26% 0.2 .04 21% .28 56% .16 1.32 76% 45% 44% +15 0 1.32 30% 1.0 .30 15% .38 77% .29
Nov
20		 Marshall F B+ C- F F+ 17% 50% 33% F F F D+ F+ F A B+ A F F B F F 32% 26% 42% C F B- A+ A+ D- F+ F F
0.91 67% 35% 24% -5 -5 0.81 26% 0.9 .23 21% .43 77% .33 1.28 78% 33% 54% +18 -1 1.35 28% 0.6 .16 14% .32 81% .26
Nov
23		 Miami (OH) C- F C F+ F 44% 21% 34% B- F D A+ A- A- A A+ A+ F D+ C F F 56% 9% 35% F F C- C C F+ F F F
1.03 41% 38% 29% -10 0 0.82 24% 1.6 .38 13% .35 84% .30 1.36 66% 40% 50% +13 +3 1.33 24% 1.1 .28 11% .44 88% .39
Dec
3		 Illinois-Chicago F+ B- F C C- 46% 18% 36% B C D- B+ C- C- F F F A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 61% 12% 27% F A+ D A+ B A+ F C F+
0.87 61% 11% 33% -4 +1 0.96 28% 1.1 .31 21% .21 50% .11 0.86 43% 33% 15% -17 +3 0.73 40% 0.8 .33 24% .40 73% .29
Dec
6		 DePaul C C- A+ A+ A+ 31% 33% 35% D- A F D- F D- F A+ F B A- A A+ A+ 49% 16% 36% F+ A+ A F D F F C- F
0.97 53% 56% 42% +8 -2 1.15 17% 0.8 .14 23% .12 86% .11 1.03 50% 29% 13% -17 +1 0.71 24% 1.7 .41 9% .61 71% .43
Dec
10		 Tulsa C+ A+ C- F+ B+ 39% 17% 44% B- B+ C- B C D- A- A+ A+ F D B F F 49% 5% 45% D- F D- F F D+ F D- F
1.09 81% 33% 29% +5 +1 1.13 24% 1.3 .31 19% .34 86% .29 1.51 63% 33% 48% +12 +3 1.31 37% 1.8 .67 13% .55 84% .46
Jan
3		 Alabama A&M A+ B- C+ A+ A+ 40% 27% 33% D- A A+ A- A+ C A+ A A+ F D+ B- A+ B- 44% 20% 36% F+ C F D F C- F F F
1.49 63% 38% 56% +13 -1 1.27 54% 1.2 .65 16% .48 81% .39 1.30 60% 33% 25% -5 +1 0.93 56% 1.1 .63 16% .52 82% .43
Jan
5		 Alabama St. B- F A+ A+ B- 48% 16% 36% B- B- B F D+ F+ A+ A A+ D- C- B- C D 41% 27% 32% C D+ A- F C D- F D F
1.20 33% 71% 56% +6 +1 1.16 38% 0.8 .31 21% .70 83% .58 1.05 57% 33% 33% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.1 .26 15% .41 73% .30
Jan
10		 Texas Southern D+ A F B B- 44% 18% 38% C B- F F F B- F D+ F B B C+ A+ A+ 52% 21% 27% F A C- C C D+ F C+ F
1.07 73% 22% 37% +5 +1 1.14 23% 0.9 .19 14% .27 69% .19 0.95 52% 36% 14% -12 +1 0.81 27% 1.0 .27 16% .39 70% .27
Jan
12		 Prairie View F F F F+ F 35% 23% 42% D F D- F F D B F D+ D+ A F+ F F 33% 38% 29% B- D- F A+ C- F F A+ F+
0.88 41% 18% 30% -13 -1 0.75 30% 0.8 .25 20% .42 61% .25 1.05 44% 44% 43% +1 -3 1.00 31% 0.8 .26 10% .50 61% .30
Jan
17		 Florida A&M D- B D- F D- 33% 28% 40% F F+ F A+ B D B- A B+ F+ F A+ C- F 38% 19% 43% D F F+ F F A- F C+ F
1.02 64% 33% 29% -2 -1 0.95 18% 2.0 .36 20% .36 84% .30 1.08 81% 13% 33% +4 0 1.10 34% 1.1 .38 24% .48 67% .32
Jan
19		 Bethune-Cookman D C A+ C B 46% 24% 30% D B- F C- F+ F A+ D+ A+ D- B A+ A+ A 61% 13% 26% F B F F F B+ F D- F
1.04 57% 50% 33% +2 0 1.06 24% 1.1 .26 22% .48 70% .34 1.10 54% 17% 25% -9 +3 0.89 42% 1.3 .53 22% .66 73% .48
Jan
24		 Southern C- F+ C C D- 31% 18% 51% C- D- F A+ C- C+ A+ D- A C F D+ A+ B 30% 28% 41% B- B F F F B F F F
1.08 50% 38% 35% -2 0 0.98 19% 1.8 .34 17% .49 71% .35 1.07 71% 38% 16% -7 -2 0.85 42% 1.4 .58 19% .46 77% .36
Jan
31		 Mississippi Valley D C- F A D- 37% 37% 26% F F+ F F+ F B- A+ D A+ D D+ F A+ F+ 38% 42% 20% C- D- A- F D- C F F F
1.10 59% 29% 42% 0 -2 0.98 26% 1.1 .29 15% .56 71% .40 0.98 59% 47% 22% +1 -3 0.98 17% 1.6 .28 21% .50 79% .39
Feb
4		 Grambling St. D+ D+ F F+ F 39% 24% 37% D F D- A+ B- C B+ C- B C+ D F A+ A- 40% 19% 40% D+ B+ F B- D- D- B C- B-
0.99 56% 27% 29% -6 0 0.89 26% 1.4 .38 19% .38 71% .27 0.95 62% 50% 10% -11 0 0.81 37% 0.9 .34 18% .27 73% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Alcorn St. B D+ A A+ A 45% 14% 40% C A C- B+ B- F A+ A- A+ F C C+ F F 40% 24% 36% C- F B- F F+ F+ B- F D+
1.27 58% 50% 53% +13 +1 1.31 36% 1.3 .48 23% .47 79% .37 1.16 55% 33% 50% +6 0 1.14 21% 1.5 .32 15% .23 85% .20
Feb
9		 Jackson St. B- D A+ A+ A 37% 27% 37% D- A- D- F+ F A C+ A- B C+ A+ D A+ A- 18% 37% 45% A+ A F F F C C A+ B-
1.28 56% 54% 50% +12 -1 1.24 30% 0.9 .27 11% .36 81% .29 0.96 33% 42% 22% -11 -4 0.73 37% 1.3 .49 18% .28 67% .19
Feb
14		 Alabama St. F B F C- D+ 29% 20% 51% D- D F F F F A+ D+ A+ D- D- D B F+ 49% 19% 32% F F+ F A+ B- D F+ F F
0.84 67% 25% 33% -1 -1 1.00 23% 0.3 .07 30% .50 72% .36 1.09 62% 40% 29% 0 +1 1.04 41% 0.6 .23 15% .34 86% .29
Feb
16		 Alabama A&M C- D F A D- 44% 18% 38% C D- B- F D- A D- B- D+ F D- B- F F 39% 22% 39% D F F+ D- F+ C- F F F
1.10 55% 11% 42% -2 +1 1.00 36% 0.7 .24 11% .28 75% .21 1.29 63% 33% 50% +10 0 1.22 30% 1.1 .35 16% .60 88% .52
Feb
19		 Texas Southern F F+ C B- D+ 26% 21% 53% F+ D D- F F D A- F C+ F D+ F D F 33% 22% 45% C- F B F F F A+ F A
0.94 50% 40% 36% 0 -1 1.00 27% 0.4 .10 18% .43 63% .27 1.21 61% 58% 36% +7 -1 1.15 23% 1.7 .39 12% .15 89% .13
Feb
21		 Prairie View B A+ A+ F+ A 39% 20% 41% C- A- F A+ C- B+ D+ C+ C- F C- F A+ D 36% 30% 34% D D F F F A F F F
1.24 79% 60% 30% +10 0 1.22 24% 1.5 .36 15% .35 75% .26 1.21 56% 62% 20% -1 -1 0.98 37% 1.4 .52 21% .52 89% .46
Feb
28		 Mississippi Valley F B+ D+ F F 28% 30% 41% F F D- F F C- A+ D- A- F C- F C+ F 33% 41% 27% C- F F D+ F B+ C- D+ C-
0.99 69% 36% 21% -6 -2 0.87 32% 1.0 .32 17% .52 70% .36 1.00 56% 55% 31% +5 -3 1.06 35% 0.9 .32 24% .28 73% .21
Mar
3		 Jackson St. D+ C- B A+ B- 46% 21% 33% C C+ C+ F F F A+ A+ A+ F F A- C+ D- 30% 20% 50% D D- F B- F F+ F D F
1.13 59% 40% 44% +6 +1 1.15 38% 0.6 .24 23% .45 88% .39 1.17 67% 30% 32% -1 -1 1.00 41% 0.9 .38 14% .51 80% .40
Mar
5		 Alcorn St. C- B+ F F C- 59% 16% 25% B- C F F F A+ F B+ F A+ A+ C A+ A+ 35% 35% 31% A A+ B+ D+ B- A- D A+ C
1.12 69% 30% 27% +3 +2 1.11 16% 0.8 .13 12% .21 79% .17 0.65 41% 35% 13% -16 -2 0.65 20% 1.0 .20 23% .30 59% .17



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 6.5 93.5
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 16.0 93.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.5% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 11.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 17.0%
Lose Out 65.5%