Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.5#355
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#342
Pace70.6#112
Improvement+0.0#193

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#336
First Shot-5.3#326
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#273
Layup/Dunks-5.3#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#310
Freethrows-0.9#252
Improvement+0.1#166

Defense
Total Defense-8.0#355
First Shot-7.7#358
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#223
Layups/Dunks-2.3#272
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#175
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#332
Freethrows-1.4#282
Improvement-0.1#206
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 7.6% 12.8% 2.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 2.0% 8.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Home) - 49.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 48 - 148 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 31   @ Iowa L 58-89 1%     0 - 1 -16.1 -15.0 +0.7
  Nov 10, 2022 16   @ Indiana L 49-101 1%     0 - 2 -35.1 -17.3 -16.8
  Nov 21, 2022 278   @ Charleston Southern L 63-78 15%     0 - 3 -18.3 -12.7 -6.7
  Nov 26, 2022 284   Idaho St. W 68-66 OT 22%     1 - 3 -4.6 -7.0 +2.5
  Nov 27, 2022 224   Northwestern St. L 66-69 14%     1 - 4 -6.0 -4.9 -1.4
  Dec 01, 2022 317   Chicago St. W 86-73 38%     2 - 4 +1.6 +6.8 -5.0
  Dec 10, 2022 285   @ North Florida L 48-88 16%     2 - 5 -43.9 -33.4 -8.3
  Dec 16, 2022 346   @ Incarnate Word L 65-77 30%     2 - 6 -21.2 -12.6 -8.3
  Dec 18, 2022 311   @ Texas San Antonio L 69-90 20%     2 - 7 -26.5 -8.4 -18.0
  Dec 22, 2022 285   North Florida L 85-87 31%     2 - 8 -11.3 -4.7 -6.4
  Dec 29, 2022 18   @ Illinois L 52-85 1%     2 - 9 -16.3 -16.3 +3.1
  Jan 02, 2023 359   @ Florida A&M W 67-59 46%     3 - 9 1 - 0 -5.6 -0.1 -4.5
  Jan 07, 2023 232   @ Grambling St. L 70-76 11%     3 - 10 1 - 1 -7.0 +1.1 -8.3
  Jan 09, 2023 236   @ Southern L 75-102 11%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -28.2 -5.9 -18.7
  Jan 14, 2023 361   Mississippi Valley W 77-71 70%     4 - 11 2 - 2 -13.9 -2.2 -11.5
  Jan 16, 2023 330   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 71-77 43%     4 - 12 2 - 3 -18.7 -2.6 -16.3
  Jan 21, 2023 326   @ Jackson St. L 66-70 23%     4 - 13 2 - 4 -10.7 -12.2 +1.7
  Jan 23, 2023 294   @ Alcorn St. L 68-76 17%     4 - 14 2 - 5 -12.5 -7.9 -4.4
  Jan 28, 2023 352   Alabama St. W 64-62 54%     5 - 14 3 - 5 -13.5 -7.3 -5.9
  Jan 30, 2023 342   Alabama A&M L 72-73 50%    
  Feb 04, 2023 286   @ Prairie View L 63-74 15%    
  Feb 06, 2023 312   @ Texas Southern L 67-76 19%    
  Feb 11, 2023 294   Alcorn St. L 69-74 35%    
  Feb 13, 2023 326   Jackson St. L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 18, 2023 342   @ Alabama A&M L 69-75 29%    
  Feb 20, 2023 352   @ Alabama St. L 68-72 32%    
  Feb 25, 2023 236   @ Southern L 68-81 10%    
  Feb 27, 2023 232   Grambling St. L 67-75 23%    
  Mar 04, 2023 359   Florida A&M W 67-63 67%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 2.5 0.3 4.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 4.8 1.5 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 6.6 4.3 0.2 12.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 7.8 9.0 1.3 0.0 19.1 9th
10th 0.4 5.8 16.7 15.7 3.7 0.1 42.6 10th
11th 1.2 4.1 2.9 0.6 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.4 12th
Total 2.3 10.6 20.7 25.4 21.0 12.4 5.4 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
10-8 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.8
9-9 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
8-10 12.4% 12.4
7-11 21.0% 21.0
6-12 25.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 25.4
5-13 20.7% 20.7
4-14 10.6% 10.6
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.3%