Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.4#344
Expected Predictive Rating-8.7#297
Pace69.1#191
Improvement+2.3#35

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#336
First Shot-3.5#283
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#320
Layup/Dunks-0.7#194
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#34
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#315
Freethrows-1.7#280
Improvement+0.7#99

Defense
Total Defense-7.1#342
First Shot-8.9#356
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#78
Layups/Dunks-3.8#292
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#309
Freethrows-3.3#331
Improvement+1.5#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 2.4% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.5% 11.6% 2.4%
.500 or above in Conference 29.4% 46.2% 29.2%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.7% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 5.3% 2.0% 5.4%
First Four1.1% 2.2% 1.1%
First Round0.4% 1.0% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Florida (Away) - 1.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 48 - 128 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 208   @ South Florida L 54-75 10%     0 - 1 -20.1 -10.8 -10.2
  Nov 12, 2021 183   @ Middle Tennessee L 51-71 8%     0 - 2 -18.0 -12.8 -7.5
  Nov 15, 2021 56   @ Utah L 55-86 2%     0 - 3 -20.0 -10.2 -11.2
  Nov 20, 2021 237   Bryant W 81-75 18%     1 - 3 +2.2 -1.1 +2.8
  Nov 21, 2021 258   Air Force L 65-73 22%     1 - 4 -13.3 -1.3 -12.9
  Nov 23, 2021 171   @ Liberty L 51-59 8%     1 - 5 -5.4 -9.9 +3.0
  Nov 28, 2021 28   @ Seton Hall L 70-84 1%     1 - 6 +1.8 +5.3 -3.3
  Dec 05, 2021 65   @ Central Florida L 58-82 1%    
  Dec 09, 2021 64   @ North Carolina St. L 60-84 1%    
  Dec 19, 2021 224   @ Florida International L 61-75 10%    
  Dec 22, 2021 248   @ Marist L 61-73 14%    
  Jan 03, 2022 304   Florida A&M L 67-69 42%    
  Jan 08, 2022 322   Grambling St. L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 10, 2022 287   Southern L 71-74 38%    
  Jan 15, 2022 358   @ Mississippi Valley W 79-71 77%    
  Jan 17, 2022 357   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 72-69 62%    
  Jan 22, 2022 249   Jackson St. L 63-69 30%    
  Jan 24, 2022 316   Alcorn St. L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 29, 2022 339   Alabama St. L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 31, 2022 341   @ Alabama A&M L 67-70 38%    
  Feb 05, 2022 251   Prairie View L 72-78 31%    
  Feb 07, 2022 200   Texas Southern L 67-75 22%    
  Feb 12, 2022 316   @ Alcorn St. L 65-73 25%    
  Feb 14, 2022 249   @ Jackson St. L 60-72 15%    
  Feb 19, 2022 341   Alabama A&M W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 21, 2022 339   Alabama St. W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 26, 2022 287   @ Southern L 68-77 20%    
  Feb 28, 2022 322   @ Grambling St. L 67-74 27%    
  Mar 05, 2022 304   @ Florida A&M L 64-72 24%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.5 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 3.5 1.4 0.1 0.0 6.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 4.4 2.6 0.3 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.9 3.7 0.5 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.9 4.6 0.9 0.0 13.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.8 6.9 5.3 1.4 0.1 16.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 4.7 7.3 4.9 1.1 0.1 19.6 10th
11th 0.2 1.6 3.6 3.4 1.6 0.4 0.0 10.8 11th
12th 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.4 12th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.6 5.6 8.8 11.8 14.2 14.0 12.6 10.6 8.0 5.1 3.1 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 88.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 81.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 36.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 13.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 19.2% 19.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.6% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.1 1.5
12-6 3.1% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.2 2.9
11-7 5.1% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.2 4.9
10-8 8.0% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 7.8
9-9 10.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 10.4
8-10 12.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.5
7-11 14.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.9
6-12 14.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.2
5-13 11.8% 11.8
4-14 8.8% 8.8
3-15 5.6% 5.6
2-16 2.6% 2.6
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.1 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%