Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#304
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#217
Pace70.5#158
Improvement-1.2#273

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#333
First Shot-2.3#239
After Offensive Rebound-3.8#349
Layup/Dunks-3.4#295
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#32
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#182
Freethrows-2.6#314
Improvement-0.8#255

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#215
First Shot-2.6#259
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#128
Layups/Dunks-5.1#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#116
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#17
Freethrows-4.9#359
Improvement-0.5#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 10.1% 6.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 43.7% 58.0% 33.6%
.500 or above in Conference 69.4% 76.0% 64.7%
Conference Champion 10.6% 13.7% 8.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.6% 1.2%
First Four4.9% 5.8% 4.4%
First Round5.3% 7.1% 4.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Home) - 41.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 413 - 914 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 20 @Indiana L 51-98 2%     0 - 1 -28.2 -12.8 -15.2
  Thu, Nov 13 289 Charleston Southern W 68-64 59%     1 - 1 -6.1 -8.4 +2.3
  Sun, Nov 16 252 Lindenwood W 74-65 50%     2 - 1 +1.2 +1.5 -0.1
  Fri, Nov 28 34 @Clemson L 56-92 2%     2 - 2 -20.2 -9.9 -10.0
  Sun, Nov 30 258 @Coastal Carolina L 60-67 30%     2 - 3 -9.3 -10.0 +0.6
  Wed, Dec 3 197 Tennessee St. L 72-74 41%    
  Sun, Dec 7 152 @Lipscomb L 66-77 16%    
  Mon, Dec 15 221 North Alabama L 70-71 46%    
  Wed, Dec 17 58 Mississippi L 62-79 6%    
  Sun, Dec 21 206 Chattanooga L 70-72 43%    
  Sat, Jan 3 363 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-73 68%    
  Mon, Jan 5 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77-66 85%    
  Sat, Jan 10 333 Alcorn St. W 74-69 69%    
  Mon, Jan 12 314 Jackson St. W 72-68 64%    
  Sat, Jan 17 268 @Alabama St. L 70-75 33%    
  Sat, Jan 24 303 @Texas Southern L 72-75 40%    
  Mon, Jan 26 324 @Prairie View L 73-74 45%    
  Sat, Jan 31 344 Florida A&M W 76-69 72%    
  Mon, Feb 2 228 Bethune-Cookman L 72-73 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 198 @Southern L 71-79 23%    
  Mon, Feb 9 280 @Grambling St. L 66-70 36%    
  Sat, Feb 14 365 Mississippi Valley W 80-63 94%    
  Mon, Feb 16 363 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-70 83%    
  Thu, Feb 19 344 @Florida A&M W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Feb 21 228 @Bethune-Cookman L 69-76 28%    
  Sat, Feb 28 268 Alabama St. W 73-72 54%    
  Tue, Mar 3 280 Grambling St. W 69-67 56%    
  Thu, Mar 5 198 Southern L 74-76 42%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 2.4 3.1 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 10.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 4.7 4.4 2.0 0.5 0.0 13.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 5.4 4.4 1.3 0.1 0.0 13.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 5.3 4.7 1.1 0.1 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.3 5.3 1.3 0.1 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.3 1.5 0.1 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.8 1.9 0.1 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.6 2.3 0.2 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.2 5.5 8.3 11.3 12.9 14.0 13.3 11.3 8.1 5.3 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 96.5% 1.2    1.1 0.1
15-3 81.9% 2.4    1.8 0.5 0.0
14-4 59.6% 3.1    1.8 1.1 0.2 0.0
13-5 29.6% 2.4    0.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 9.2% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 6.0 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 39.8% 39.8% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.2% 32.2% 32.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.8
15-3 2.9% 26.8% 26.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 2.1
14-4 5.3% 20.3% 20.3% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.8 4.2
13-5 8.1% 16.4% 16.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.8
12-6 11.3% 12.7% 12.7% 15.9 0.1 1.3 9.9
11-7 13.3% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.0 1.0 12.2
10-8 14.0% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.0 0.8 13.2
9-9 12.9% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6 12.3
8-10 11.3% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 11.0
7-11 8.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 8.3
6-12 5.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.5
5-13 3.2% 3.2
4-14 1.5% 1.5
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.7 92.1 0.0%