Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#315
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#253
Pace68.9#193
Improvement-0.1#184

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#338
First Shot-5.5#322
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#240
Layup/Dunks-2.2#246
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#66
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#330
Freethrows+0.0#179
Improvement-0.3#212

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#258
First Shot-2.8#271
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#150
Layups/Dunks-2.8#272
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#228
Freethrows-2.3#302
Improvement+0.1#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 10.3% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 10.6% 26.0% 8.4%
.500 or above in Conference 71.3% 82.0% 69.8%
Conference Champion 7.1% 10.8% 6.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.3% 0.8%
First Four5.5% 9.1% 5.0%
First Round3.0% 5.4% 2.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Away) - 12.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 20 - 8
Quad 31 - 51 - 13
Quad 411 - 812 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 60   @ Washington St. L 67-85 5%     0 - 1 -7.3 -1.0 -6.5
  Nov 10, 2021 173   @ Seattle L 66-69 15%     0 - 2 -0.5 -7.7 +7.3
  Nov 13, 2021 251   @ Portland L 58-62 26%     0 - 3 -5.9 -14.6 +8.7
  Nov 15, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 57-84 1%     0 - 4 -2.5 -7.8 +5.9
  Nov 26, 2021 154   @ Southern Illinois L 59-62 12%     0 - 5 +0.8 +0.2 +0.0
  Nov 28, 2021 264   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 61-57 28%     1 - 5 +1.4 -10.8 +12.3
  Dec 04, 2021 168   @ Tulane L 60-72 13%    
  Dec 06, 2021 7   @ Houston L 50-79 0.2%   
  Dec 14, 2021 53   @ Wichita St. L 55-75 3%    
  Dec 16, 2021 142   @ Tulsa L 60-74 10%    
  Dec 20, 2021 3   @ Baylor L 54-85 0.2%   
  Dec 22, 2021 35   @ Oklahoma L 55-78 2%    
  Dec 29, 2021 94   @ Minnesota L 57-75 6%    
  Jan 03, 2022 258   @ Jackson St. L 61-67 28%    
  Jan 08, 2022 342   @ Alabama A&M W 67-66 54%    
  Jan 10, 2022 339   @ Alabama St. W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 15, 2022 199   Texas Southern L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 17, 2022 242   Prairie View L 72-74 45%    
  Jan 22, 2022 305   @ Florida A&M L 64-68 37%    
  Jan 24, 2022 345   @ Bethune-Cookman W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 29, 2022 292   Southern W 70-69 55%    
  Jan 31, 2022 324   Grambling St. W 70-66 63%    
  Feb 05, 2022 357   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 72-64 76%    
  Feb 07, 2022 358   @ Mississippi Valley W 79-66 87%    
  Feb 12, 2022 345   Bethune-Cookman W 73-65 75%    
  Feb 14, 2022 305   Florida A&M W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 19, 2022 258   Jackson St. L 63-64 50%    
  Feb 26, 2022 242   @ Prairie View L 69-77 25%    
  Feb 28, 2022 199   @ Texas Southern L 64-74 20%    
  Mar 03, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 82-63 95%    
  Mar 05, 2022 357   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 75-61 88%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.0 7.1 1st
2nd 0.3 1.7 3.5 2.6 0.8 0.1 8.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.3 5.1 3.3 0.4 11.3 3rd
4th 0.2 2.4 6.3 3.5 0.3 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.2 1.9 5.7 4.5 0.8 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 5.9 4.8 0.7 0.0 12.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.3 4.9 0.9 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.2 1.1 4.0 3.7 1.1 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.4 2.8 0.9 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.0 4.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.9 4.9 8.5 10.3 14.1 14.0 14.1 11.2 7.8 5.1 3.2 1.3 0.5 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
16-2 92.1% 1.2    1.0 0.2
15-3 75.7% 2.4    1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0
14-4 39.5% 2.0    0.8 0.8 0.4 0.0
13-5 9.6% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 95.2% 95.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 31.5% 31.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3
16-2 1.3% 23.3% 23.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.0
15-3 3.2% 24.4% 24.4% 16.0 0.8 2.4
14-4 5.1% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 0.5 4.5
13-5 7.8% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 0.8 7.0
12-6 11.2% 10.6% 10.6% 16.0 1.2 10.0
11-7 14.1% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.9 13.2
10-8 14.0% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.7 13.3
9-9 14.1% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.4 13.7
8-10 10.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 10.1
7-11 8.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.5
6-12 4.9% 4.9
5-13 2.9% 2.9
4-14 1.3% 1.3
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 5.9 94.0 0.0%