Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#330
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#286
Pace72.9#84
Improvement+1.5#77

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#328
First Shot-1.0#200
After Offensive Rebound-4.9#359
Layup/Dunks-0.4#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#202
Freethrows-3.1#330
Improvement+0.6#125

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#323
First Shot+0.2#162
After Offensive Rebounds-4.8#361
Layups/Dunks-1.7#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#52
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#139
Freethrows-1.3#263
Improvement+0.9#114
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 7.7% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 3.7% 14.9% 3.6%
.500 or above in Conference 55.7% 70.8% 55.7%
Conference Champion 5.9% 11.3% 5.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.6% 1.8%
First Four3.1% 5.4% 3.1%
First Round1.6% 4.8% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Baylor (Away) - 0.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 31 - 31 - 11
Quad 410 - 1010 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 104 @Florida St. L 76-108 6%     0 - 1 -24.9 +0.8 -23.2
  Thu, Nov 6 179 @South Alabama L 70-76 13%     0 - 2 -4.3 -3.3 -0.8
  Sat, Nov 8 96 @Minnesota L 50-95 5%     0 - 3 -36.7 -18.3 -18.5
  Tue, Nov 11 94 @Maryland L 64-84 5%     0 - 4 -11.5 -6.4 -4.5
  Thu, Nov 13 299 @Howard L 64-72 29%     0 - 5 -12.6 -6.2 -6.8
  Tue, Nov 18 34 @LSU L 81-107 2%     0 - 6 -10.2 +12.0 -21.1
  Sun, Nov 23 44 @Oklahoma L 53-72 2%     0 - 7 -4.7 -14.4 +9.3
  Fri, Nov 28 181 Indiana St. W 81-74 20%     1 - 7 +5.6 -0.4 +5.1
  Sat, Nov 29 178 @Louisiana Tech L 58-83 13%     1 - 8 -23.2 -4.5 -21.5
  Wed, Dec 3 4 @Iowa St. L 68-132 0.4%    1 - 9 -39.1 -0.8 -30.1
  Fri, Dec 19 32 @Baylor L 67-94 1%    
  Mon, Dec 29 60 @Mississippi L 61-84 2%    
  Wed, Dec 31 203 Southern L 77-82 34%    
  Sat, Jan 3 315 @Jackson St. L 71-75 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 290 @Alabama A&M L 69-75 28%    
  Mon, Jan 12 265 @Alabama St. L 72-80 23%    
  Sat, Jan 17 318 Texas Southern W 77-75 57%    
  Mon, Jan 19 326 Prairie View W 78-76 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 343 @Florida A&M L 74-76 43%    
  Mon, Jan 26 227 @Bethune-Cookman L 69-79 19%    
  Sat, Jan 31 203 Southern L 77-82 33%    
  Mon, Feb 2 284 Grambling St. L 70-71 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 351 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 78-79 47%    
  Mon, Feb 9 365 @Mississippi Valley W 78-69 80%    
  Sat, Feb 14 227 Bethune-Cookman L 72-76 38%    
  Mon, Feb 16 343 Florida A&M W 77-73 64%    
  Sat, Feb 21 315 Jackson St. W 74-72 56%    
  Thu, Feb 26 318 @Texas Southern L 74-78 36%    
  Sat, Feb 28 326 @Prairie View L 75-79 37%    
  Tue, Mar 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 81-66 91%    
  Thu, Mar 5 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-76 68%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 9 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 5.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 3.1 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 8.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 3.9 3.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.3 4.3 1.0 0.0 10.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.7 5.0 1.3 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.9 2.1 0.1 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 5.8 3.0 0.3 10.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 4.6 4.0 0.5 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.5 3.9 0.8 0.0 9.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 7.5 10th
11th 0.2 1.1 2.1 1.9 0.7 0.1 6.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.2 5.5 8.5 11.5 13.5 13.8 12.8 10.8 8.0 5.3 3.0 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 97.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 82.6% 1.3    0.9 0.3 0.0
14-4 60.1% 1.8    0.9 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-5 30.6% 1.6    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.6% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.9% 5.9 3.0 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 24.5% 24.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 18.8% 18.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4
15-3 1.5% 15.0% 15.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.3
14-4 3.0% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 2.7
13-5 5.3% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.5 4.8
12-6 8.0% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.5 7.5
11-7 10.8% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.5 10.2
10-8 12.8% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.5 12.3
9-9 13.8% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 13.4
8-10 13.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 13.3
7-11 11.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.5
6-12 8.5% 8.5
5-13 5.5% 5.5
4-14 3.2% 3.2
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.3 96.7 0.0%