Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#333
Expected Predictive Rating-8.0#283
Pace70.7#155
Improvement+1.8#58

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#326
First Shot-0.9#205
After Offensive Rebound-5.0#359
Layup/Dunks-0.6#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#30
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#218
Freethrows-3.0#325
Improvement+0.7#119

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#322
First Shot+0.8#143
After Offensive Rebounds-5.2#359
Layups/Dunks-2.2#260
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#49
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#92
Freethrows-1.6#280
Improvement+1.1#85
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 8.0% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.2% 28.0% 4.2%
.500 or above in Conference 57.9% 76.0% 57.9%
Conference Champion 6.6% 20.0% 6.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.0% 1.8%
First Four3.2% 4.0% 3.2%
First Round1.8% 4.0% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 31 - 31 - 12
Quad 410 - 1011 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 99 @Florida St. L 76-108 6%     0 - 1 -24.0 +2.3 -23.8
  Thu, Nov 6 150 @South Alabama L 70-76 11%     0 - 2 -2.6 -3.1 +0.7
  Sat, Nov 8 108 @Minnesota L 50-95 6%     0 - 3 -38.0 -19.5 -18.6
  Tue, Nov 11 89 @Maryland L 64-84 5%     0 - 4 -11.0 -5.5 -5.0
  Thu, Nov 13 311 @Howard L 64-72 32%     0 - 5 -13.3 -7.6 -6.1
  Tue, Nov 18 27 @LSU L 81-107 1%     0 - 6 -9.1 +12.5 -20.6
  Sun, Nov 23 42 @Oklahoma L 53-72 2%     0 - 7 -4.3 -14.8 +10.1
  Fri, Nov 28 193 Indiana St. W 81-74 22%     1 - 7 +4.8 -0.7 +4.7
  Sat, Nov 29 175 @Louisiana Tech L 58-83 13%     1 - 8 -23.3 -4.6 -21.4
  Wed, Dec 3 5 @Iowa St. L 58-91 0.1%   
  Fri, Dec 19 28 @Baylor L 65-92 1%    
  Mon, Dec 29 58 @Mississippi L 61-84 2%    
  Wed, Dec 31 198 Southern L 74-79 33%    
  Sat, Jan 3 314 @Jackson St. L 69-74 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 304 @Alabama A&M L 69-74 31%    
  Mon, Jan 12 268 @Alabama St. L 71-78 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 303 Texas Southern W 75-74 52%    
  Mon, Jan 19 324 Prairie View W 76-74 58%    
  Sat, Jan 24 344 @Florida A&M L 73-75 44%    
  Mon, Jan 26 228 @Bethune-Cookman L 69-78 20%    
  Sat, Jan 31 198 Southern L 74-79 34%    
  Mon, Feb 2 280 Grambling St. L 69-70 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 363 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-76 59%    
  Mon, Feb 9 365 @Mississippi Valley W 78-69 78%    
  Sat, Feb 14 228 Bethune-Cookman L 72-75 39%    
  Mon, Feb 16 344 Florida A&M W 76-72 65%    
  Sat, Feb 21 314 Jackson St. W 72-71 54%    
  Thu, Feb 26 303 @Texas Southern L 72-77 32%    
  Sat, Feb 28 324 @Prairie View L 73-77 37%    
  Tue, Mar 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 81-66 90%    
  Thu, Mar 5 363 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82-73 78%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 9 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 6.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 3.2 2.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 9.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 4.4 3.6 0.9 0.1 10.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 5.0 4.3 0.8 0.1 11.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.3 4.7 1.1 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.6 5.9 1.7 0.1 11.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.8 2.2 0.2 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.6 2.8 0.2 9.6 8th
9th 0.2 1.4 3.5 2.8 0.3 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 2.6 2.1 0.4 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.9 5.2 8.1 10.7 13.3 13.9 13.1 11.4 8.3 5.3 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 96.4% 0.7    0.6 0.1
15-3 84.6% 1.4    1.1 0.3 0.0
14-4 57.6% 1.9    1.1 0.7 0.1
13-5 29.1% 1.5    0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-6 8.1% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.6% 6.6 3.7 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 29.2% 29.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.2% 18.5% 18.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.7% 15.5% 15.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6
15-3 1.7% 14.8% 14.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.4
14-4 3.3% 12.2% 12.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 2.9
13-5 5.3% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 4.9
12-6 8.3% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.5 7.7
11-7 11.4% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.6 10.8
10-8 13.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.4 12.6
9-9 13.9% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 13.5
8-10 13.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 13.0
7-11 10.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.6
6-12 8.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.1
5-13 5.2% 5.2
4-14 2.9% 2.9
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 3.5 96.5 0.0%