Iona
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
28  Gilbert Kirui SO 31:22
65  Chartt Miller SO 31:37
74  Kieran Clements JR 31:41
109  Mike O'Dowd SR 31:52
201  Liam Dee FR 32:15
261  Brandon Allen SO 32:26
288  Johannes Motschmann SO 32:31
375  Xavier King JR 32:44
522  Andrew Tario SO 33:02
663  Otis Ubriaco SR 33:16
668  Brandon Clark SO 33:17
1,008  Alex Carter FR 33:47
1,034  Thomas McClellan JR 33:50
1,635  Kalen Sullivan SO 34:44
1,783  Ross Wightman JR 34:58
National Rank #9 of 308
Northeast Region Rank #2 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.9%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Nationals


National Champion 0.2%
Top 5 at Nationals 15.6%
Top 10 at Nationals 56.8%
Top 20 at Nationals 93.7%


Regional Champion 4.2%
Top 5 in Regional 99.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Gilbert Kirui Chartt Miller Kieran Clements Mike O'Dowd Liam Dee Brandon Allen Johannes Motschmann Xavier King Andrew Tario Otis Ubriaco Brandon Clark
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/03 484 32:04 31:31 31:40 32:05 32:54 31:57 32:29 32:47 33:18 33:12
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 490 32:16 31:22 31:34 31:45 32:23 32:53
Leopard Invitational 10/17 33:18
MAAC Championships 10/31 842 32:30 32:29 32:29 32:29 32:31 32:29 32:29 32:50 33:20 33:15 33:20
Northeast Region Championships 11/13 475 31:42 31:55 31:40 31:50 32:21 32:03 32:38
NCAA Championship 11/21 285 31:02 31:21 31:31 31:33 31:54 32:21 33:06





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.9% 10.6 341 0.2 0.7 2.5 4.8 7.4 9.0 9.4 8.6 7.3 6.9 6.9 5.8 5.2 3.8 3.9 3.3 2.7 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 2.0 60 4.2 88.8 5.8 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gilbert Kirui 99.9% 33.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.0 1.6 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.2 1.8 2.2 2.1 1.8 1.8 2.0 1.8
Chartt Miller 99.9% 61.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.7 1.1
Kieran Clements 99.9% 70.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.7 0.6
Mike O'Dowd 99.9% 93.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
Liam Dee 99.9% 148.1
Brandon Allen 99.9% 172.9
Johannes Motschmann 99.9% 183.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gilbert Kirui 3.9 5.7 11.6 17.0 17.3 10.0 7.4 6.1 4.9 4.0 3.0 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2
Chartt Miller 7.3 0.3 1.8 4.9 9.6 11.2 10.0 9.4 8.0 5.7 5.7 5.3 3.8 3.6 3.1 2.7 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.1 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.5
Kieran Clements 8.4 0.2 1.0 3.3 6.9 8.5 10.0 9.2 7.7 7.8 6.0 5.1 4.9 4.2 3.6 3.2 2.2 1.8 2.0 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.7
Mike O'Dowd 11.8 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.7 4.4 6.6 6.1 7.7 8.0 7.3 6.6 6.0 5.3 4.3 3.7 3.5 3.1 3.0 2.4 2.0 1.4 1.7 1.4 1.2
Liam Dee 21.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.2 1.9 2.3 2.9 4.3 4.2 4.9 5.8 5.5 4.8 4.9 4.4 4.4 3.5 3.2 3.4
Brandon Allen 27.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.5 1.9 3.1 3.0 3.4 4.3 4.4 4.1 4.3 4.5 3.9
Johannes Motschmann 30.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.5 2.2 2.6 2.7 3.3 3.9 4.1 4.1 4.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 4.2% 100.0% 4.2 4.2 1
2 88.8% 100.0% 88.8 88.8 2
3 5.8% 100.0% 4.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8 3
4 1.0% 100.0% 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4
5 0.1% 83.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5
6 0.1% 20.0% 0.0 0.1 0.0 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 99.9% 4.2 88.8 4.1 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 93.0 6.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan 99.7% 1.0 1.0
Mississippi 91.7% 2.0 1.8
Florida State 91.5% 1.0 0.9
Michigan State 90.9% 1.0 0.9
Louisville 88.3% 1.0 0.9
Furman 88.3% 1.0 0.9
North Carolina St. 87.9% 1.0 0.9
Washington 77.6% 1.0 0.8
Columbia 70.8% 1.0 0.7
Eastern Kentucky 65.9% 2.0 1.3
Tulsa 64.7% 1.0 0.6
UCLA 64.4% 1.0 0.6
Indiana 61.1% 1.0 0.6
Oklahoma 60.8% 1.0 0.6
Boise State 57.0% 1.0 0.6
Illinois 47.5% 2.0 1.0
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Providence 14.1% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Notre Dame 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 7.0% 2.0 0.1
Penn State 3.3% 2.0 0.1
Portland 2.2% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Iowa State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
New Mexico 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 14.9
Minimum 5.0
Maximum 23.0