Austin
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #63
Brown County Semi-State Rank #12
Brown County Regional Rank #3
Southwestern (Hanover Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 11th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Columbus North Invitational Scottsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Big Blue Invitational Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Duke Meyer Classic Mid-Southern Conference Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional Brown County Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 9/2 9/5 9/9 9/12 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 626 583 623 551 600 669 636 662 765
Team Adjusted Rating 583 623 551 600 669 636 662 765
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Columbus North Invitational Scottsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Big Blue Invitational Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Duke Meyer Classic Mid-Southern Conference Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional Brown County Regional Brown County Semi-State
250  Ethan Fugate 11 17:04 16:56 17:01 16:59 16:53 16:58 NEI 17:03 17:19 17:55
346  Peyton Hollan 11 17:16 17:09 17:07 17:02 17:36 17:36 NEI 17:08 17:01 17:54
394  Brandon Riley 12 17:22 17:06 17:12 17:08 17:18 17:05 NEI 17:25 17:54 17:39
592  Chase Rusch 11 17:43 17:57 18:14 17:28 17:24 17:46 NEI 17:52 17:41 17:36
1,176  Luke Watts 10 18:28 18:13 18:17 18:20 18:22 19:01 18:34 18:25 18:35
1,542  Xavier Rahe 9 18:54 18:22 18:18 18:36 18:44 18:55 19:17 19:55 18:48 19:18
Ethan Bequeret 11 19:40 20:33 20:10 20:15 19:50 19:32 20:06 19:46 19:20 20:32




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 11.9 330 0.1 0.8 5.3 10.6 14.9 17.3 14.9 12.1 7.9 6.9 3.5 2.7 2.6 1.0
Regionals 100% 3.3 110 0.1 0.4 77.0 16.4 5.7 0.4 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.0 53 0.4 99.6



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Fugate 2.2% 118.3 2.2% 2.2%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Fugate 100% 50.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 100.0%
Peyton Hollan 100% 66.7 100.0%
Brandon Riley 100% 75.3 99.7%
Chase Rusch 100% 102.3 87.0%
Luke Watts 100% 145.7 1.3%
Xavier Rahe 100% 162.0 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Fugate 100% 11.2 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.1 2.9 3.6 5.4 6.1 8.1 8.1 9.7 10.6 9.2 8.6 6.8 5.1 4.3 3.0 1.9 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Peyton Hollan 100% 16.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 2.0 3.2 4.0 5.3 8.2 6.8 7.7 10.6 8.9 10.2 7.8 7.0 5.5 3.8 3.0 1.7 0.9 100.0%
Brandon Riley 100% 18.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.1 2.2 3.3 4.4 5.9 7.4 8.4 8.7 8.7 9.7 10.3 9.4 6.0 5.4 3.4 100.0%
Chase Rusch 100% 25.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 2.5 3.9 5.3 6.9 8.0 11.8 100.0%
Luke Watts 100% 45.4 100.0%
Xavier Rahe 100% 56.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Fugate 5.0 1.1 4.7 7.8 12.8 24.2 28.0 13.7 5.3 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.1
Peyton Hollan 7.0 0.4 0.8 2.7 6.0 14.6 25.7 23.6 15.1 8.1 2.7 0.4 0.3
Brandon Riley 8.3 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.6 5.3 12.9 22.3 23.3 18.0 10.3 4.2 1.2 0.1 0.1
Chase Rusch 11.7 0.1 0.8 3.4 10.0 18.7 23.8 22.0 14.6 4.6 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
Luke Watts 19.0 0.2 0.7 3.3 4.9 9.5 12.8 18.2 26.6 15.1 6.5 2.1 0.3 0.1
Xavier Rahe 22.8 0.2 0.8 2.4 9.3 18.9 24.3 23.7 12.1