Barr-Reeve
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #52
Brown County Semi-State Rank #9
Pike Central Regional Rank #3
South Knox Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Blue Chip Conference South Knox Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 553 492 670 616 541 581 604 579 596 541
Team Adjusted Rating 492 618 616 505 563 582 538 584 531
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Blue Chip Conference South Knox Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
34  Justin Goodwin 12 16:11 16:04 16:22 15:53 16:01 16:18 16:14 16:24 16:26 16:14 16:10
295  Jordan Kaiser 12 17:08 16:59 17:37 17:15 16:34 17:24 17:14 17:17 17:15 16:56
305  Bryce Murphy 10 17:10 17:12 17:06 17:19 16:49 17:05 17:30 17:04 17:18 17:05
856  Connor Heller 10 18:05 17:27 18:21 18:12
958  Luke Lengacher 10 18:12 18:18 18:48 18:31 18:19 18:05 17:49 18:09 18:10
1,152  Mitchell Kavanaugh 10 18:26 19:28 18:51 18:51 18:32 18:04 18:22 18:36 18:15 18:13
Jaydon Craney 10 19:23 19:29 19:19 19:24 19:51 20:14 19:03 19:37 19:10 19:09
Kaden Boyd 10 19:27 19:10 19:34 19:18 19:12 19:01 19:28 19:32 19:41 19:52




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 10.1 303 0.3 2.6 16.6 23.3 21.5 14.9 10.8 4.5 3.2 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.1 110 0.6 18.7 61.3 13.8 4.3 1.0 0.5 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.1 56 11.3 73.0 14.0 1.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justin Goodwin 99.5% 38.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.5 1.0 0.9 1.5 1.2 1.8 1.6 2.4 2.1 1.7 99.5% 99.5%
Jordan Kaiser 0.8% 126.0 0.8% 0.8%
Bryce Murphy 0.4% 116.5 0.5% 0.5%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justin Goodwin 100% 9.4 0.1 0.8 0.9 2.4 4.5 7.4 10.6 9.7 9.9 9.2 8.1 6.6 5.9 5.2 5.1 4.2 2.7 1.7 1.7 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.5 100.0%
Jordan Kaiser 100% 57.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 99.1%
Bryce Murphy 100% 60.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 98.8%
Luke Lengacher 100% 132.7 0.4%
Mitchell Kavanaugh 100% 144.7 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justin Goodwin 100% 2.4 2.1 35.4 33.2 27.3 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jordan Kaiser 100% 14.7 0.7 1.2 1.8 3.4 3.1 4.1 4.8 5.9 8.1 10.0 10.6 10.5 10.0 9.6 5.8 4.1 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 100.0%
Bryce Murphy 100% 15.3 0.6 1.1 1.3 2.9 2.6 2.8 4.3 6.0 6.9 8.1 10.5 10.8 10.4 10.0 7.9 5.4 3.5 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.4 100.0%
Luke Lengacher 100% 40.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Mitchell Kavanaugh 100% 49.0 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justin Goodwin 1.0 98.0 1.7 0.4
Jordan Kaiser 4.9 2.5 6.6 11.1 33.5 29.1 10.0 4.6 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1
Bryce Murphy 5.1 1.4 4.4 9.9 29.3 33.9 11.3 6.0 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1
Luke Lengacher 19.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.1 2.6 4.2 5.7 9.0 10.9 11.1 11.9 10.4 8.5 7.9 5.8 3.9
Mitchell Kavanaugh 23.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.5 2.4 3.6 5.8 7.7 10.2 10.5 13.3 12.1