Castle
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #30
Brown County Semi-State Rank #7
Pike Central Regional Rank #1
Mater Dei Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Indiana-Kentucky Border Clash Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational THSB State Preview Mater Dei Invitational South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Evansville City Meet Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/22 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 415 347 425 404 572 394 409 431 431 479 432
Team Adjusted Rating 347 356 404 496 394 409 431 431 479 432
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Indiana-Kentucky Border Clash Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational THSB State Preview Mater Dei Invitational South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Evansville City Meet Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
184  Ethan Jones 12 16:52 16:51 16:39 16:38 16:32 16:58 16:45 17:29 17:08
185  Jackson Sawyer 11 16:52 16:36 16:55 16:51 17:06 16:31 16:31 16:54 16:59 17:11 16:57
211  Chris Brake 12 16:56 16:33 16:24 16:51 17:42 16:54 17:16 16:59 16:59 16:49 16:57
217  Logan Brown 12 16:58 16:30 16:29 17:01 16:44 16:56 17:05 16:59 17:10 17:07 17:07
487  George Economou 11 17:32 17:34 17:31 17:37 17:47 17:46 17:34 17:50 17:30 17:46 17:19
527  Corde Outlaw 11 17:37 17:32 17:46 18:07 17:57 17:48 18:14 17:37 17:38 17:27 17:24
612  Matt Gerst 12 17:45 18:22 17:55 17:51 18:34 17:36 17:41 17:34 17:28 17:42
1,198  Owen Fehr 10 18:29 18:08 18:05 18:01 18:56 18:35 19:05 18:32
1,407  Dominic Pitts 11 18:45 18:34 18:26 18:41 19:45 18:48 18:45
1,510  Colton Worstell 10 18:52 18:49 18:46 18:36 19:05 19:02 18:54 18:55
Cooper White 9 19:19 19:18 19:13 18:56 19:27 19:31 19:25
Tyler Spurling 9 19:37 20:01 20:23 19:07 19:00 19:03 20:57 19:39




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 6.4 203 0.9 3.1 5.0 11.6 21.4 47.3 8.7 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.2
Regionals 100% 1.0 59 96.3 3.6 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.0 41 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Jones 11.3% 107.9 11.3% 11.3%
Jackson Sawyer 11.4% 110.8 11.4% 11.4%
Chris Brake 4.9% 120.3 4.9% 4.9%
Logan Brown 3.2% 118.5 3.2% 3.2%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Jones 100% 36.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.8 2.2 1.8 2.0 2.7 100.0%
Jackson Sawyer 100% 36.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.6 1.5 2.1 2.3 2.2 100.0%
Chris Brake 100% 41.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.2 2.0 1.7 100.0%
Logan Brown 100% 43.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.4 100.0%
George Economou 100% 88.1 71.2%
Corde Outlaw 100% 94.3 59.1%
Matt Gerst 100% 104.3 32.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Jones 100% 8.3 0.2 1.2 9.9 11.6 12.8 11.3 11.2 10.5 8.2 7.2 4.8 4.1 2.5 2.1 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jackson Sawyer 100% 8.3 0.1 0.7 9.6 11.0 13.0 12.9 11.2 10.6 8.0 6.4 5.3 3.7 2.9 1.8 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 100.0%
Chris Brake 100% 9.9 0.1 3.5 7.9 8.8 10.2 10.3 10.5 11.1 8.0 8.7 6.0 5.1 4.2 2.4 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Logan Brown 100% 10.7 0.1 0.2 2.2 4.3 6.7 9.1 10.9 9.9 9.8 10.2 9.2 8.7 5.5 4.8 4.1 2.2 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.2 100.0%
George Economou 100% 22.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.6 3.0 4.3 7.1 8.7 10.9 11.1 10.7 8.5 7.8 100.0%
Corde Outlaw 100% 24.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 2.5 3.9 5.5 7.2 8.2 10.1 10.7 9.7 100.0%
Matt Gerst 100% 27.8 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.4 5.6 6.2 7.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Jones 5.2 1.2 23.4 21.1 18.0 13.2 10.0 5.7 3.1 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
Jackson Sawyer 5.4 0.1 0.7 21.3 19.8 18.8 15.1 10.0 6.7 3.5 2.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
Chris Brake 6.6 0.3 8.9 14.3 17.3 15.7 15.5 11.1 8.3 5.2 2.7 0.9 0.1
Logan Brown 7.1 0.2 5.9 10.6 13.4 18.0 14.7 15.1 10.3 6.9 3.7 1.4 0.2 0.1
George Economou 13.9 0.5 1.4 2.7 6.5 15.7 27.4 23.2 13.0 6.3 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1
Corde Outlaw 14.8 0.1 0.2 1.4 3.0 8.3 18.2 24.2 21.9 13.3 6.1 2.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1
Matt Gerst 16.5 0.1 0.2 1.9 4.6 10.5 21.7 24.5 21.5 8.1 3.9 1.6 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.1