Christian Academy of IN
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #13
Brown County Semi-State Rank #3
Crawford County Regional Rank #2
Crawford County Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 11th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 26.2%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Christian Academy Warrior Invitational THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 304 479 273 408 493 416 331 279 281
Team Adjusted Rating 289 273 408 298 416 331 279 281
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Christian Academy Warrior Invitational THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Skylar Stidam 12 15:36 16:07 15:55 15:43 16:42 15:44 15:57 15:29
14  Caleb Futter 11 15:46 NEI 15:53 15:39 15:49 16:42 16:03 15:35 15:39
92  Bryce Dunn 10 16:31 NEI 16:15 16:12 17:04 16:30 16:42 16:42 16:25 16:25
298  Evan Heitz 11 17:08 NEI 17:28 17:17 17:11 17:00 17:16 17:01 17:05 17:02
668  Dylan Hancock 11 17:49 18:29 18:47 18:32 17:53 17:54 17:59 17:36 17:48
760  Jaden Hardesty 10 17:58 17:29 17:21 22:13 17:43 18:32 17:46 18:08
1,357  Nick Conrad 10 18:41 NEI 18:57 18:54 18:35 18:37 18:50 18:42 18:57 18:33
Noah Futter 10 19:11 19:40 19:11 18:57




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 12.4 338 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.6 4.2 7.7 10.7 13.7 12.5 13.4 11.5 8.2 5.7 3.6 3.1 1.7 0.4 0.3 0.1
Semi-State 100% 4.1 146 0.5 9.3 22.4 31.4 24.5 10.3 1.8 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.8 52 15.7 84.3
Sectionals 100% 1.0 26 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Skylar Stidam 100% 5.7 6.1 7.6 10.9 10.7 8.9 8.4 7.2 6.3 5.0 4.5 3.7 3.8 3.4 2.6 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Caleb Futter 100% 11.8 0.4 0.7 2.6 3.3 4.0 3.7 6.7 5.8 5.9 6.4 6.6 5.2 4.8 4.9 3.8 4.7 4.2 3.6 3.4 3.2 2.4 2.1 1.5 1.3 1.6 100.0%
Bryce Dunn 100% 84.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 69.7%
Evan Heitz 100% 157.7 0.8%
Dylan Hancock 100% 195.1 0.0%
Jaden Hardesty 100% 199.4 0.0%
Nick Conrad 100% 207.4 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Skylar Stidam 100% 1.4 38.0 28.2 19.2 9.3 2.9 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Caleb Futter 100% 3.3 4.2 15.3 23.4 25.3 15.7 7.3 4.5 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Bryce Dunn 100% 19.5 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.8 2.1 2.4 3.4 4.1 4.2 6.1 6.8 7.8 6.6 6.2 6.5 5.5 4.1 4.5 3.1 100.0%
Evan Heitz 100% 58.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 99.8%
Dylan Hancock 100% 109.6 29.9%
Jaden Hardesty 100% 119.7 10.7%
Nick Conrad 100% 156.1 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Skylar Stidam 100% 1.0 81.8 15.5 2.0 0.6 0.1 100.0%
Caleb Futter 100% 1.5 12.9 70.0 12.1 3.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Bryce Dunn 100% 6.9 0.7 3.0 5.0 14.5 31.5 29.2 10.3 3.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Evan Heitz 100% 13.9 0.1 0.5 2.1 4.6 8.2 11.3 12.2 13.1 12.6 10.8 8.1 4.5 4.0 3.4 1.8 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.2 100.0%
Dylan Hancock 100% 30.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.1 0.9 2.0 2.5 3.0 4.0 4.5 100.0%
Jaden Hardesty 100% 35.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.3 100.0%
Nick Conrad 100% 59.3 88.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Skylar Stidam 1.0 86.3 13.7
Caleb Futter 1.4 13.7 86.3
Bryce Dunn 2.6 89.1 9.6 1.3 0.1 0.1
Evan Heitz 5.9 8.5 18.4 25.1 27.1 13.9 5.3 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
Dylan Hancock 13.4 0.1 1.5 4.8 8.7 10.5 10.6 10.3 10.1 8.9 6.9 6.5 5.6 4.6 3.1 3.3 1.3 1.4 1.0 0.4
Jaden Hardesty 16.8 0.3 1.0 2.1 4.2 4.9 6.6 7.6 8.9 7.9 8.2 7.5 7.3 6.6 6.6 5.5 4.3 3.1 3.1
Nick Conrad 32.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7