Goshen
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #71
New Haven Semi-State Rank #23
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #10
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Penn Invitational Harrison Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic NIC/NLC Conference Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 643 655 669 599 639 629 628 610 717
Team Adjusted Rating 655 669 599 598 629 628 610 717
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Penn Invitational Harrison Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic NIC/NLC Conference Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
130  Felix Perez-Diener 11 16:44 16:55 16:52 16:42 16:41 16:49 16:35 16:45 16:37 16:51
282  Jason Barahona 12 17:07 16:58 17:13 17:33 17:00 16:45 17:02 17:17 17:02 17:27
665  Jonathon Snyder 11 17:49 18:03 18:07 17:29 17:42 17:38 17:57 17:42 18:04
836  Angel Arrelo 11 18:03 17:32 17:29 18:15 18:28 17:59 18:00 18:28
1,044  Sam Miller 11 18:19 18:34 18:47 18:36 18:34 18:07 17:55 18:16 18:09
1,207  Bryan Olvera 12 18:30 18:42 18:29 18:04 18:07 18:34 18:30 18:38 18:47
1,540  Shawn Gulec 10 18:54 18:47 18:54 19:08 18:52 18:53
1,551  Jocsan Barahona 9 18:55 18:47 18:44 18:50 19:14 18:49 19:11
1,570  Griffin Hetler 10 18:56 18:49 18:48 18:41 18:56 19:31
Gabriel Hartzler 12 19:02 19:30 19:12 19:06 18:54 18:47
Chris Sanchez 12 19:18 19:00 19:24 20:01 19:26 18:51 19:20
Josh Bargerhuff 12 19:34 19:15 19:09 19:52 19:57




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 14.3 367 0.2 1.4 3.8 5.4 9.9 13.0 14.8 17.3 20.3 11.6 2.1 0.5 0.1
Regionals 100% 6.9 151 2.0 4.4 6.7 11.5 11.1 16.2 20.0 28.1
Sectionals 100% 5.1 115 1.9 3.6 6.6 11.4 24.9 51.1 0.6 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Felix Perez-Diener 16.9% 85.5 16.9% 16.9%
Jason Barahona 0.1% 106.5 0.2% 0.2%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Felix Perez-Diener 100% 32.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.1 1.8 2.2 2.1 1.9 2.1 2.6 2.5 2.1 3.1 2.5 2.8 98.9%
Jason Barahona 100% 67.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 70.9%
Jonathon Snyder 100% 124.2 0.3%
Angel Arrelo 100% 139.4 0.0%
Sam Miller 100% 152.9 0.0%
Bryan Olvera 100% 159.9 0.0%
Shawn Gulec 100% 169.6 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Felix Perez-Diener 100% 6.7 1.2 9.3 8.7 9.3 7.9 8.4 7.6 7.8 6.7 6.1 5.3 5.7 3.4 3.6 2.8 1.9 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jason Barahona 100% 18.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.5 1.4 1.9 3.4 2.5 4.3 5.0 5.8 6.2 6.9 6.8 6.9 6.7 6.7 6.0 5.8 4.7 3.7 100.0%
Jonathon Snyder 100% 41.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 91.7%
Angel Arrelo 100% 52.1 67.2%
Sam Miller 100% 62.1 24.4%
Bryan Olvera 100% 67.3 6.1%
Shawn Gulec 100% 76.3 0.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Felix Perez-Diener 3.0 16.3 16.5 17.0 13.8 10.5 8.3 5.4 4.9 2.9 1.7 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
Jason Barahona 10.5 0.4 1.2 1.5 3.5 4.1 6.4 8.0 9.2 11.0 10.8 10.1 8.6 7.5 6.3 4.5 3.5 1.7 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1
Jonathon Snyder 25.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.2 3.9 4.5 5.3 6.9 6.8 7.5 7.0
Angel Arrelo 32.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.9 1.8 2.0 2.2
Sam Miller 40.3 0.1 0.2
Bryan Olvera 44.5
Shawn Gulec 53.2