Northrop
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #36
New Haven Semi-State Rank #9
West Noble Regional Rank #7
Northrop Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Classic Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 453 550 556 392 481 587 553 469 491 451
Team Adjusted Rating 436 413 392 481 554 553 469 491 451
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Classic Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
119  Jack Brokaw 11 16:41 16:02 16:17 16:21 16:49 17:06 17:35 16:46 17:10 16:50 16:29 18:38
121  Conner Bayne 11 16:41 17:02 17:01 16:34 17:10 17:18 17:00 16:56 16:42 16:51 16:29 17:01
378  Nick Derickson 12 17:20 17:13 17:09 16:50 17:41 17:21 17:49 17:12 17:25
420  Jalen Royal 12 17:25 17:58 17:46 17:33 17:16 17:16 17:15
453  Landon Cisco 11 17:28 17:35 17:15 17:16 17:26 17:50 17:39 17:20 17:48 17:16
491  Husam Saleh 11 17:33 17:10 17:23 17:53 17:30 17:30 17:35 17:38
1,008  Shaton Vaughn 12 18:16 18:19 18:38 18:34 18:19 18:26 17:58
Danny Stephen 11 19:13 19:34 19:12 19:04 19:09 18:39 19:51
Jonah Lemmon 9 19:15 18:50 19:10 19:10 19:20 20:51 18:57
Aidan Dohm 11 19:18 19:11 19:16 18:59 18:54 19:31 19:53 18:58 19:48
Andrew Costa 11 19:33 19:05 19:07 19:25 19:59 19:50
Aaron Salisbury 9 37:01 42:31 43:03 18:57 36:48 39:57 33:51




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 6.0 142 0.7 4.5 7.9 16.7 25.4 44.8 0.1
Sectionals 100% 4.5 103 0.6 4.8 12.3 27.4 39.2 15.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Brokaw 22.2% 84.9 0.1 22.2% 22.2%
Conner Bayne 21.0% 84.1 21.0% 21.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Brokaw 99.4% 28.9 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.1 1.4 2.0 1.7 2.4 2.0 2.0 3.1 3.3 3.0 3.0 2.4 3.3 2.9 2.9 2.3 99.4% 99.4%
Conner Bayne 99.2% 29.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.4 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.6 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.7 3.0 2.4 2.9 2.9 2.2 99.2% 99.2%
Nick Derickson 16.5% 71.8 16.5% 16.5%
Jalen Royal 7.3% 76.5 7.3% 7.3%
Landon Cisco 3.7% 78.6 3.7% 3.7%
Husam Saleh 1.3% 72.3 1.3% 1.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Brokaw 100% 13.9 0.1 0.7 3.0 4.4 4.5 5.4 5.9 5.7 6.8 7.2 7.7 6.9 6.8 4.9 5.8 4.5 4.7 3.2 2.7 1.8 1.7 1.3 100.0%
Conner Bayne 100% 13.9 0.1 0.6 2.4 4.6 5.0 4.8 5.9 6.9 6.0 7.5 7.4 6.6 4.9 5.9 5.6 4.6 4.4 3.2 2.5 2.6 2.1 1.9 100.0%
Nick Derickson 100% 41.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.8 99.3%
Jalen Royal 100% 46.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 96.6%
Landon Cisco 100% 49.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 94.5%
Husam Saleh 100% 52.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 90.0%
Shaton Vaughn 100% 72.2 3.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Brokaw 7.8 0.1 1.7 5.8 9.2 11.8 11.1 12.4 10.9 9.0 7.8 5.4 4.2 3.8 2.4 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
Conner Bayne 8.1 1.4 5.3 10.0 11.4 10.1 10.7 11.3 9.1 8.5 6.6 4.7 3.5 2.3 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.2
Nick Derickson 25.6 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.7 1.3 1.8 2.4 3.2 3.9 4.6 5.4 5.4 5.7 4.9 5.3
Jalen Royal 29.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.1 3.2 3.0 3.2 4.4 5.4
Landon Cisco 31.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.5 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.4 1.9 2.7 3.5 3.9
Husam Saleh 33.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.4 2.3 2.1
Shaton Vaughn 48.0