Penn
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #17
New Haven Semi-State Rank #3
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #1
Riley Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 15th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 1.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 14.8%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating NIC Stomp Penn Invitational Manchester Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NIC/NLC Conference Northern Lakes Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 331 407 406 340 372 382 376 374 400 361 375 322
Team Adjusted Rating 407 406 340 352 382 376 374 400 361 375 322
State RankRunnerSeason Rating NIC Stomp Penn Invitational Manchester Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NIC/NLC Conference Northern Lakes Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
107  Matthew Long 12 16:37 17:21 17:19 16:52 16:49 16:57 16:55 16:39 16:57 16:52 17:18 16:30
123  Curtis Cornell 12 16:42 16:54 16:48 16:50 16:49 16:46 16:42 16:51 16:42 16:46 16:46 16:35
133  Colton Shail 12 16:44 16:32 16:42 16:36 16:37 16:41 16:42 16:39 17:05 16:50 16:44 16:52
143  Chandler Neal 12 16:46 17:17 17:24 16:53 16:54 17:00 17:10 17:04 16:51 16:54 16:54 16:39
273  Chad Piatt 12 17:06 17:09 16:45 16:58 17:18 17:08 17:20 17:23 17:04 16:54 17:11
511  Noah Cocquyt 11 17:35 18:27 18:33 18:07 17:56 17:45 17:49 17:52 17:45 17:27
538  Nick Sergeant 11 17:38 17:11 17:32 17:34 17:32 17:40 17:48 17:43 17:51 17:29 17:39
571  Dillon Pottschmidt 9 17:41 17:39 17:33 17:41 17:21 17:50 18:04
695  David Obert 11 17:52 18:01 17:51 17:51 17:59 17:49 17:50
846  Jacob Meek 9 18:05 18:06 18:10 18:01 17:59 18:09
861  Ben Boardley 9 18:06 18:19 17:55 18:09 17:59 17:58 18:18
962  Tommy Rzeszutko 11 18:13 18:19 18:23 18:21 18:04 18:06
989  Cohl Fox 10 18:15 18:27 18:16 18:05 18:30 18:24 18:01
1,065  Romeo Gonzalez 10 18:20 18:30 18:22 17:56 18:31
1,183  Jarrod Bell 11 18:28 18:52 18:21 18:27 18:26
1,403  Max Scheel 11 18:45 18:43 18:35 19:02 18:41 18:47
1,501  Cameron Stockbridge 11 18:52 18:39 18:38 18:47 19:19 18:56
Jaitin Soni 10 19:24 19:51 18:39 19:49 19:32 19:25 19:13
Chris Hamilton 12 19:34 18:27 19:10 19:38 20:40
Josiah Railton 10 19:36 20:05 18:45 19:51 19:43 19:31




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 15.8 393 0.2 0.4 0.7 2.1 2.0 2.9 3.2 3.4 4.8 6.2 6.4 6.8 7.4 7.1 7.1 7.3 6.8 6.6 5.3 5.8 4.4 3.6
Semi-State 100% 3.7 137 2.2 21.7 30.4 19.4 12.6 8.6 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.2
Regionals 100% 1.0 42 99.3 0.7
Sectionals 100% 1.0 24 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matthew Long 100% 93.5 0.1 0.1 33.6%
Curtis Cornell 100% 105.8 18.9%
Colton Shail 100% 111.1 0.1 15.2%
Chandler Neal 100% 114.8 9.5%
Chad Piatt 100% 152.5 0.1%
Noah Cocquyt 100% 184.4 0.0%
Nick Sergeant 100% 186.5 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matthew Long 100% 23.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.6 1.6 2.9 3.3 4.1 3.8 3.8 3.2 3.8 4.0 3.6 3.0 4.2 2.7 3.2 2.9 2.5 99.9%
Curtis Cornell 100% 30.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.8 1.8 1.5 2.5 1.8 2.7 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.9 2.5 2.9 99.7%
Colton Shail 100% 33.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.5 1.2 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.8 3.0 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.8 99.4%
Chandler Neal 100% 36.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.0 1.5 1.1 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.1 98.9%
Chad Piatt 100% 65.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 77.2%
Noah Cocquyt 100% 103.4 4.7%
Nick Sergeant 100% 108.2 2.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matthew Long 100% 3.7 4.7 17.9 17.9 14.5 10.6 8.9 6.7 4.7 4.3 3.3 1.8 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Curtis Cornell 100% 5.8 0.7 6.8 11.1 10.8 11.8 10.7 9.2 7.9 7.2 5.2 4.7 3.4 2.9 2.7 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Colton Shail 100% 7.1 0.5 3.4 6.1 8.9 10.3 9.1 10.9 9.9 9.0 6.8 5.4 4.8 4.2 3.2 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Chandler Neal 100% 7.7 0.3 2.4 4.7 7.4 9.7 10.4 8.7 8.8 8.8 9.0 6.6 5.3 4.3 4.1 2.6 1.8 1.4 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Chad Piatt 100% 17.4 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.5 2.4 3.7 3.6 4.8 5.9 6.0 8.7 8.5 7.3 7.5 7.1 6.4 5.2 5.3 3.1 3.2 100.0%
Noah Cocquyt 100% 32.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.7 2.2 2.8 100.0%
Nick Sergeant 100% 33.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.8 1.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matthew Long 2.0 5.1 45.7 25.3 13.2 6.9 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.1
Curtis Cornell 3.3 1.0 17.3 24.0 22.6 20.0 9.7 4.3 1.1 0.2 0.1
Colton Shail 3.8 0.8 9.3 19.1 24.7 23.3 13.9 6.7 1.6 0.7 0.1
Chandler Neal 4.2 0.7 8.5 13.7 21.9 26.8 15.9 8.4 3.3 0.7 0.3
Chad Piatt 7.6 0.1 0.2 0.9 11.6 19.0 30.7 19.5 10.1 5.0 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
Noah Cocquyt 12.9 0.1 0.4 2.3 7.0 12.2 13.9 15.8 16.1 13.9 9.4 4.8 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.4
Nick Sergeant 13.8 0.2 1.1 4.3 7.6 10.6 14.1 15.6 16.8 15.3 6.5 4.2 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2