Tell City
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #11
Brown County Semi-State Rank #2
Crawford County Regional Rank #1
Jasper Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 10th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 5.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 47.9%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Indiana-Kentucky Border Clash THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic Lincoln Trails Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/22 9/2 9/9 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 274 281 321 295 401 323 479 338 282 247
Team Adjusted Rating 281 321 295 373 323 479 338 282 247
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Indiana-Kentucky Border Clash THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic Lincoln Trails Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
26  Nate Kaiser 11 16:02 16:15 16:07 16:32 16:23 16:11 16:53 16:25 16:01 15:55
52  Leo Simpson 12 16:17 16:10 16:05 16:06 16:27 16:06 17:00 16:23 16:27 16:11
95  Thomas Simpson 12 16:33 16:09 16:19 16:17 16:58 16:38 17:00 16:25 16:32 16:36
187  Alex Ramsey 12 16:52 17:16 18:04 17:55 17:29 17:11 17:32 17:16 16:52 16:45
315  Kaden Chestnut 9 17:11 17:08 17:19 16:56 17:45 17:39 17:23 17:12 17:04
558  Chase Beckort 11 17:39 17:31 17:39 17:23 17:46 17:30 17:44 17:44 18:02 17:40
698  Elliot Reed 11 17:52 17:45 17:50 17:32 17:59 17:38 17:54 17:56 18:22
932  Nigel Kaiser 9 18:09 18:01 18:08 18:03 18:27
1,047  Will Simpson 11 18:18 18:07 17:38 18:23 18:59




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 11.3 319 0.2 0.6 2.0 2.5 5.8 7.5 9.0 9.6 10.9 8.6 8.5 7.2 5.8 5.7 4.0 4.2 2.7 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.1
Semi-State 100% 2.7 119 10.9 45.4 21.7 11.2 7.0 3.1 0.9
Regionals 100% 1.2 42 84.3 15.7
Sectionals 100% 1.0 26 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Kaiser 100% 26.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.6 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.7 3.8 3.4 3.6 99.8%
Leo Simpson 100% 51.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.1 94.9%
Thomas Simpson 100% 88.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 64.7%
Alex Ramsey 100% 128.8 15.4%
Kaden Chestnut 100% 160.9 0.3%
Chase Beckort 100% 188.4 0.0%
Elliot Reed 100% 196.8 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Kaiser 100% 6.5 0.6 1.8 3.3 7.0 14.4 17.2 12.7 11.2 7.3 6.4 4.9 3.9 2.7 1.7 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Leo Simpson 100% 12.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 3.5 4.7 6.8 6.9 7.1 8.4 8.6 7.3 7.8 7.3 6.8 5.2 4.7 3.2 2.7 1.3 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.8 100.0%
Thomas Simpson 100% 20.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.7 1.9 2.2 2.4 3.4 4.5 5.7 5.8 6.8 6.6 7.3 5.2 5.5 4.8 4.5 3.9 100.0%
Alex Ramsey 100% 37.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.9 2.5 2.9 2.7 100.0%
Kaden Chestnut 100% 61.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 98.8%
Chase Beckort 100% 97.8 60.8%
Elliot Reed 100% 113.3 22.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Kaiser 100% 2.7 3.8 9.5 50.5 15.6 17.5 2.8 0.4 100.0%
Leo Simpson 100% 5.2 0.1 0.6 3.6 22.2 17.8 38.7 14.8 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Thomas Simpson 100% 7.1 0.7 4.5 6.9 32.7 38.4 10.0 4.8 1.3 0.6 0.3 100.0%
Alex Ramsey 100% 9.7 0.3 0.9 6.6 25.1 23.4 15.9 11.3 6.5 4.8 2.9 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Kaden Chestnut 100% 14.7 0.1 0.9 3.0 5.4 8.7 10.6 12.3 13.0 11.0 9.9 7.8 4.9 4.0 2.9 2.2 1.2 1.1 0.6 100.0%
Chase Beckort 100% 25.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.3 1.7 2.6 4.1 4.1 4.6 6.9 8.4 8.2 7.9 100.0%
Elliot Reed 100% 32.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.0 2.0 3.0 2.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Kaiser 1.0 60.2 18.2 18.4 3.2 0.1
Leo Simpson 3.0 2.8 26.3 19.3 47.9 3.7 0.2
Thomas Simpson 4.5 0.3 5.8 8.2 74.8 9.8 1.2 0.2
Alex Ramsey 6.0 0.3 2.1 48.4 33.4 11.2 3.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1
Kaden Chestnut 8.4 0.1 0.8 11.1 28.0 24.2 14.8 8.7 5.6 3.9 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.3
Chase Beckort 14.9 0.2 1.0 3.3 4.4 7.7 9.9 11.8 13.6 15.7 12.9 10.5 6.0 2.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1
Elliot Reed 17.9 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.2 2.7 4.9 8.7 14.5 16.3 18.7 15.2 10.3 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.2