Wawasee
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #49
New Haven Semi-State Rank #14
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #3
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating NorthWood Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC/NLC Conference Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/26 9/9 9/23 9/30 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 547 308 543 620 564 584 610 631
Team Adjusted Rating 308 543 582 541 541 610 631
State RankRunnerSeason Rating NorthWood Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC/NLC Conference Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
96  Luke Griner 11 16:34 16:36 16:50 17:28 16:58 16:34 16:53 16:22 16:49
166  Spencer Hare 11 16:49 16:23 16:42 16:30 16:41 16:54 17:06 19:19
480  Michael Hammer 10 17:31 17:31 17:35 17:24 17:26 17:27 17:44 17:34
651  Braxton Alexander 11 17:48 17:55 17:38 18:00 17:35
830  Thomas Conley 10 18:03 17:40 18:22 18:03 18:05 18:21 18:03 18:05
921  Jace Alexander 9 18:09 18:10 17:59 18:38 17:52 18:41 17:58 18:13
953  Ben Hoffert 11 18:12 18:07 18:12 18:17 18:20 18:00 18:08 18:34
1,283  Ricardo Romo 12 18:36 18:37 18:30 18:48 18:30
1,464  Karlson Hand 9 18:49 18:43 18:41 19:10




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 10.7 295 0.2 0.9 2.7 9.8 15.3 20.0 19.5 12.0 8.8 5.5 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.7 114 0.3 31.1 25.7 17.2 10.3 7.4 4.4 2.7 1.2
Sectionals 100% 2.7 84 28.1 24.5 19.3 14.5 9.8 3.9



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Griner 44.7% 74.3 0.1 0.1 44.7% 44.7%
Spencer Hare 6.8% 94.6 6.8% 6.8%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Griner 100% 20.6 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.6 4.6 4.0 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.5 3.2 3.3 4.3 3.5 3.7 2.9 3.3 2.9 3.1 3.3 100.0%
Spencer Hare 100% 41.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.1 0.6 1.5 0.7 1.6 1.0 1.6 1.3 1.7 2.0 98.0%
Michael Hammer 100% 98.6 10.0%
Braxton Alexander 100% 122.7 0.3%
Thomas Conley 100% 139.3 0.0%
Jace Alexander 100% 145.1 0.0%
Ben Hoffert 100% 147.7 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Griner 100% 3.0 7.1 26.8 15.9 11.7 7.0 7.5 6.1 4.1 5.0 2.7 2.1 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Spencer Hare 100% 9.4 0.2 1.3 4.7 6.2 6.0 6.7 7.4 7.7 7.0 7.3 7.0 5.6 6.1 5.9 4.7 3.9 3.8 2.0 2.3 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Michael Hammer 100% 30.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.8 1.0 1.7 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.8 4.2 99.8%
Braxton Alexander 100% 41.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 94.5%
Thomas Conley 100% 51.9 65.5%
Jace Alexander 100% 56.4 49.8%
Ben Hoffert 100% 57.8 42.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Griner 1.1 48.8 22.1 12.3 7.1 4.3 2.1 1.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Spencer Hare 4.7 1.9 11.8 12.9 14.3 13.0 10.4 8.6 8.1 6.8 5.0 2.9 1.5 1.7 0.7 0.5 0.3
Michael Hammer 18.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 2.5 2.8 5.3 6.7 6.9 11.6 9.8 10.6 9.8 8.2 5.6 5.4 3.3 2.8
Braxton Alexander 25.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.8 2.3 4.0 5.0 6.2 6.7 7.3 7.2 8.0
Thomas Conley 32.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.7 2.4 2.7
Jace Alexander 36.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.0
Ben Hoffert 37.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5