Lowell
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #12
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #2
Crown Point Regional Rank #1
Crown Point Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 11th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 4.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 38.2%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Dave Walker Invitational Mike Kuharic Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Hobart Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conference Crown Point Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/13 8/19 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/26 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 244 383 259 297 291 331 489 NEI 277 274 271 240 231
Team Adjusted Rating 246 259 274 291 331 310 NEI 277 274 271 240 231
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Dave Walker Invitational Mike Kuharic Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Hobart Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conference Crown Point Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Jordyn Boyer 11 18:31 18:13 18:18 18:48 18:37 18:39 18:42 18:30 18:51 18:17 18:41
93  Brooke Hayden 10 19:38 19:50 20:09 19:59 20:50 20:11 19:53 19:50 19:34 19:40 19:29
103  Annalise James 11 19:40 19:27 19:50 19:37 19:47 19:34 19:40 19:33 19:51 19:37 19:47
168  Jessie Mescal 12 20:05 20:06 20:18 20:10 20:18 20:06 20:10 19:57 20:03 20:03 19:56
199  Olivia McCauley 10 20:18 20:41 20:47 21:06 20:51 21:06 NEI 20:43 20:59 20:42 20:28 20:10
407  Alexia Bibakis 10 21:04 21:08 20:28 20:45 20:49 21:25 21:07 NEI 21:30 21:13 21:57 20:55
452  Claire Mitsch 11 21:12 21:23 21:07 20:53 21:29 21:12 NEI 21:10 21:15 21:51 21:07
534  Megan Kaczur 9 21:24 21:21 21:17 21:22 21:29 21:27 NEI 21:16 21:38
616  Sydney Kramer 9 21:40 21:17 21:34 21:57 21:41 21:35 NEI 21:37 21:43
678  Jazmin Grund 10 21:49 21:54 22:01 22:00 21:57 21:33 21:40 NEI 21:43
732  Hayley Jenkins 11 21:57 22:05 22:01 22:11 22:13 21:43 21:37 NEI 21:58
1,134  Chloe Otis 12 22:56 21:52 21:53 23:20 23:51 22:37 NEI 23:08
Emily Smith 11 23:34 23:51 24:28 23:18 23:09 23:33
Morgan Blank 10 24:09 23:32 24:26 24:17 23:20 24:05 25:05




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 11.5 313 0.3 0.4 1.2 2.6 2.7 4.8 7.7 8.6 10.0 12.4 11.8 10.3 8.3 6.2 4.6 3.2 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
Semi-State 100% 2.8 118 16.1 32.4 26.8 13.9 6.6 4.2
Regionals 100% 1.2 40 83.7 16.4
Sectionals 100% 1.2 32 76.9 23.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jordyn Boyer 100% 9.3 0.6 2.5 5.0 6.5 7.5 6.8 7.3 6.7 5.9 5.4 4.9 4.4 4.1 3.6 3.3 2.9 2.7 2.7 1.8 2.0 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.0 1.6 100.0%
Brooke Hayden 100% 84.8 0.1 0.1 63.5%
Annalise James 100% 89.4 59.6%
Jessie Mescal 100% 125.4 10.6%
Olivia McCauley 100% 143.4 2.1%
Alexia Bibakis 100% 188.1 0.0%
Claire Mitsch 100% 193.2 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jordyn Boyer 100% 1.3 43.5 20.6 13.4 8.7 5.4 3.5 2.2 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Brooke Hayden 100% 20.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.3 2.5 3.1 4.6 4.9 4.6 5.5 4.6 5.0 5.2 3.5 4.4 4.7 4.2 3.3 3.9 100.0%
Annalise James 100% 21.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.3 3.7 4.8 5.4 4.4 4.1 3.6 4.8 5.4 5.1 4.8 4.0 4.3 4.1 100.0%
Jessie Mescal 100% 38.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.0 1.4 1.6 2.1 100.0%
Olivia McCauley 100% 48.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Alexia Bibakis 100% 91.7 93.2%
Claire Mitsch 100% 100.6 86.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jordyn Boyer 100% 1.0 90.5 7.1 2.5 0.1 100.0%
Brooke Hayden 100% 4.8 2.0 5.9 23.7 21.9 16.5 9.8 7.3 4.5 3.6 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Annalise James 100% 5.3 1.4 2.8 18.4 22.8 17.3 12.4 8.5 6.8 3.4 2.5 1.6 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jessie Mescal 100% 10.7 0.2 2.0 4.1 6.9 9.7 10.0 11.1 9.1 10.5 8.4 7.8 4.8 3.5 3.5 2.7 2.2 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Olivia McCauley 100% 14.9 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.2 2.4 3.8 4.7 6.3 6.7 7.9 8.9 8.3 8.5 8.4 7.4 6.6 4.1 4.1 2.6 2.4 1.8 1.3 100.0%
Alexia Bibakis 100% 29.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.4 2.0 2.7 3.5 4.6 5.4 100.0%
Claire Mitsch 100% 31.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 1.5 1.7 2.5 2.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jordyn Boyer 1.0 90.5 6.6 3.0
Brooke Hayden 4.6 2.4 5.2 25.5 27.1 19.1 12.2 5.7 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.2
Annalise James 5.1 1.4 4.6 18.5 24.1 21.2 15.1 9.3 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.2
Jessie Mescal 8.6 0.1 0.7 1.8 5.6 10.8 18.5 22.8 17.8 11.0 5.7 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
Olivia McCauley 10.5 0.2 0.4 2.7 6.1 11.5 19.3 18.7 16.1 11.5 8.6 3.9 0.8 0.4 0.1
Alexia Bibakis 16.7 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 5.5 10.7 19.4 17.0 13.7 11.6 8.4 5.7 3.0 1.3 0.6 0.2
Claire Mitsch 18.0 0.4 0.6 1.9 4.4 12.0 15.0 16.3 14.7 12.5 9.3 7.2 4.3 1.5 0.2