Chesterton
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #12
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #3
New Prairie Regional Rank #2
New Prairie Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 11th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 1.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 29.3%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating NIC Stomp Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invite New Prairie Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27
Team Rating 255 334 374 313 341 377 362 251 321 259
Team Adjusted Rating 307 323 313 341 377 317 251 321 259
State RankRunnerSeason Rating NIC Stomp Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invite New Prairie Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
20  Shelby Bullock 12 18:48 19:04 18:27 18:40 18:17 19:01 18:53 18:59 18:50 19:12
21  Bailey Ranta 9 18:49 20:18 19:43 19:42 19:29 19:46 19:21 19:11 19:15 18:41
128  Kara Krol 12 19:55 20:02 20:22 20:04 20:15 20:10 20:16 20:01 20:33 19:47
168  Nalani Malackowski 10 20:10 19:47 20:42 19:58 20:39 20:57 20:45 20:00 20:14 20:02
302  Ashley Craycraft 11 20:46 22:05 21:57 21:46 20:24 21:09 20:51
564  Bri Gentry 9 21:36 22:26 22:46 21:53 21:25 21:18 21:30 21:37 21:32 21:28
658  Rebecca White 12 21:49 21:13 21:37 21:18 22:19 21:46 21:36 22:48 21:46 22:11
712  Ada Brandstetter 9 21:56 22:06 22:00 21:50
720  Taylor Edwards 10 21:57 22:01 22:27 22:13 22:01 21:32 21:53
750  Frances Clancy 10 22:02 22:17 22:08 21:48
827  Peyton Westphal 11 22:12 22:07 22:06 22:18 22:39 21:59
839  Libby Boster 11 22:14 22:08 22:10 22:11 22:29 22:12
893  Kayla Kirchner 11 22:22 22:21 22:10 22:23 22:15 22:40
963  Kaitlyn Van Kley 10 22:30 21:45 22:30 22:50 22:45 22:24
1,010  Kaitlynn Leady 11 22:37 22:48 22:14 22:16 22:14 24:25
1,177  Jocelyn Mercier 9 22:56 23:35 23:00 22:57 22:42
1,298  Olivia Pilarski 12 23:13 23:42 22:49
1,363  Madeline Moss 12 23:21 23:47 23:06
1,410  Hattie Hoham 10 23:27 23:28 23:31 23:40 23:18
Morgan Hull 11 23:37 23:46 23:24 25:00 23:09
Coryn Rodriguez 9 23:41 24:37 23:34 23:41 23:31
Makayla Barbour 12 23:46 23:22 25:46 23:25
Catherine White 9 23:50 25:03 23:41 23:43 23:43
Sophia Raffin 23:55 23:30 24:20
Abrianna Rodriguez 9 24:00 24:15 23:49
Liz Hibshman 9 24:13 24:57 23:49
Madeline Rearick 9 24:14 24:16 23:28 24:55
Mckenna Handley 9 24:22 25:38 24:43 24:15 23:49
Addison Leady 9 24:45 25:46 26:32 22:01




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 12.6 342 0.2 0.1 0.8 2.3 4.2 4.9 7.5 9.5 11.4 10.3 9.3 10.4 7.9 6.4 6.2 3.7 2.5 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.1
Semi-State 100% 2.7 118 3.2 43.1 39.3 12.0 1.9 0.7
Regionals 100% 1.6 45 39.9 60.2
Sectionals 100% 1.6 42 37.9 62.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Bullock 100% 24.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.6 2.3 3.1 3.4 3.1 2.4 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.1 3.1 2.8 2.3 100.0%
Bailey Ranta 100% 25.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.8 2.4 2.2 2.7 2.8 3.1 2.7 3.6 3.0 2.9 3.3 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.9 100.0%
Kara Krol 100% 115.3 0.1 29.8%
Nalani Malackowski 100% 132.8 8.3%
Ashley Craycraft 100% 170.3 0.0%
Bri Gentry 100% 199.0 0.0%
Rebecca White 100% 203.3 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Bullock 100% 5.8 6.6 8.7 9.2 8.6 10.0 9.1 8.5 7.3 6.9 6.7 4.8 4.4 2.7 2.1 2.2 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Bailey Ranta 100% 5.9 6.5 9.5 8.0 9.6 8.1 9.5 8.2 7.8 7.7 6.1 5.8 4.7 2.0 2.2 1.8 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Kara Krol 100% 27.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.9 2.0 1.9 3.1 3.3 5.6 5.8 6.4 100.0%
Nalani Malackowski 100% 34.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 2.3 2.0 100.0%
Ashley Craycraft 100% 60.7 97.7%
Bri Gentry 100% 115.2 23.0%
Rebecca White 100% 127.2 7.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Bullock 100% 1.4 36.8 37.2 19.8 4.4 1.7 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Bailey Ranta 100% 1.4 33.9 36.7 21.5 5.2 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Kara Krol 100% 8.9 0.1 0.7 3.7 6.4 9.5 14.7 17.7 16.7 12.1 5.9 5.4 3.3 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Nalani Malackowski 100% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.9 4.1 8.8 11.4 13.8 13.6 12.1 9.1 7.4 5.2 3.7 2.5 1.8 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Ashley Craycraft 100% 21.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.2 2.8 5.1 4.7 6.6 7.4 8.6 7.5 8.4 8.7 7.2 6.8 100.0%
Bri Gentry 100% 36.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 100.0%
Rebecca White 100% 40.7 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Bullock 1.4 37.3 35.6 20.3 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
Bailey Ranta 1.5 33.2 37.0 23.0 5.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
Kara Krol 7.7 1.0 4.1 8.9 17.9 27.0 16.9 9.5 6.1 4.0 2.3 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.2
Nalani Malackowski 10.0 0.1 0.2 1.5 3.4 10.2 18.5 17.0 13.7 9.7 6.9 6.0 4.1 3.4 2.4 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.2
Ashley Craycraft 18.3 0.1 0.8 1.6 2.2 3.2 4.1 7.2 7.7 9.1 11.0 10.9 9.2 10.3 9.0 6.3 4.1 2.2
Bri Gentry 27.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.6 2.0 4.6 8.3
Rebecca White 30.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.1 2.2