Chesterton
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #27
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #6
New Prairie Regional Rank #2
New Prairie Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating NIC Stomp Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invite New Prairie Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27
Team Rating 410 415 512 399 436 404 437 374 429
Team Adjusted Rating 415 512 399 436 404 437 374 429
State RankRunnerSeason Rating NIC Stomp Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invite New Prairie Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
118  Nathan O'Connor 12 16:42 16:52 16:51 16:40 16:47 16:44 16:51 16:33 16:29 17:07
214  Mathew VanKley 12 17:00 17:01 17:22 17:04 17:10 17:03 16:58 16:54 16:57
233  Will Shook 11 17:02 17:01 17:04 16:57 16:55 16:53 17:15 16:55 17:24
272  Dylan Draves 11 17:09 17:33 18:03 17:15 17:17 17:14 17:03 16:58 17:03
321  Kenny Erow 12 17:16 17:18 17:48 17:02 17:18 17:09 17:23 17:16 17:25
516  Matthew Streeter 10 17:40 17:01 17:21 17:25 17:35 17:41 17:53 17:58
581  Kyler Haynes 11 17:46 18:00 17:58 18:06 17:40 18:12 17:40 17:31 17:37
833  Adam Juestel 11 18:07 18:00 18:10 17:39 17:45 18:09 19:57
1,281  Ethan Mohoi 10 18:39 18:24 19:05 18:39 18:47 18:40
1,327  Cole Dolson 9 18:44 18:59 18:44 18:49 18:56 18:17
1,456  Brendan Hoch 10 18:52 19:09 19:36 18:34 18:57 18:56
1,498  Josh Dennington 10 18:56 18:45 19:18 18:52 19:05 18:56
1,566  Travis Kanarski 11 19:00 20:15 20:44 18:58 18:49 18:53
Ian Woodard 11 19:04 19:41 19:46 19:16 19:01 18:42




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 6.1 176 2.6 4.3 7.0 9.8 13.9 17.9 19.3 11.8 6.7 3.6 2.1 1.0 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.3 71 11.7 62.0 16.7 6.5 3.0 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.3 72 11.1 61.7 16.7 7.3 3.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan O'Connor 54.7% 88.4 0.0 54.7% 54.7%
Mathew VanKley 4.7% 108.2 4.7% 4.7%
Will Shook 3.5% 110.8 3.5% 3.5%
Dylan Draves 0.8% 115.0 0.8% 0.8%
Kenny Erow 0.0% 119.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan O'Connor 100% 20.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.9 3.4 4.4 4.4 5.6 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.7 5.4 5.0 4.3 4.4 3.9 100.0%
Mathew VanKley 100% 37.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.9 2.0 98.0%
Will Shook 100% 39.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.6 1.7 97.5%
Dylan Draves 100% 48.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 91.2%
Kenny Erow 100% 58.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 78.0%
Matthew Streeter 100% 92.5 13.5%
Kyler Haynes 100% 101.6 5.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan O'Connor 100% 7.5 0.2 1.9 4.3 6.3 9.6 11.0 10.9 12.1 9.6 9.6 7.1 5.1 4.2 2.6 2.2 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Mathew VanKley 100% 15.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.6 5.0 5.6 6.6 7.3 7.6 8.0 7.7 7.4 6.9 5.8 4.9 4.1 3.5 2.9 1.9 1.5 100.0%
Will Shook 100% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.2 3.7 4.9 6.0 6.5 8.4 7.7 9.0 7.3 6.5 6.0 5.5 5.2 4.1 3.2 2.7 2.4 100.0%
Dylan Draves 100% 19.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.3 3.0 4.1 5.0 5.2 7.0 6.9 6.9 8.0 7.0 6.8 5.9 5.3 4.5 100.0%
Kenny Erow 100% 23.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.3 2.2 2.7 3.8 5.7 5.8 6.0 6.5 6.8 7.1 6.1 99.9%
Matthew Streeter 100% 38.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 96.9%
Kyler Haynes 100% 42.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 92.7%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan O'Connor 6.1 0.3 2.9 6.6 10.8 13.6 14.8 13.4 11.7 8.3 6.0 4.0 3.2 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mathew VanKley 12.6 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.7 2.8 5.1 6.4 8.1 8.8 10.3 9.9 9.5 9.0 7.0 6.0 4.3 3.1 2.2 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3
Will Shook 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.6 3.7 5.2 6.5 7.7 8.7 10.0 9.8 9.1 8.4 7.2 5.6 3.8 3.2 2.5 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.4
Dylan Draves 16.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.7 3.6 4.3 5.8 7.2 8.9 9.3 10.4 9.0 7.8 6.7 5.7 4.2 3.2 2.5 1.7
Kenny Erow 19.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.7 2.0 3.0 5.0 5.5 6.9 8.2 9.4 8.7 9.2 8.3 7.0 5.5 5.0
Matthew Streeter 30.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.7 2.6 3.3 4.0
Kyler Haynes 33.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.4 1.8