Houston Baptist
Southland
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-17.1#354
Expected Predictive Rating-21.8#354
Pace68.0#197
Improvement+0.0#181

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#325
First Shot-6.3#330
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#148
Layup/Dunks+3.6#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#335
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#340
Freethrows-0.3#202
Improvement+0.6#144

Defense
Total Defense-11.2#356
First Shot-9.2#356
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#320
Layups/Dunks-3.4#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#67
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#348
Freethrows-0.9#260
Improvement-0.6#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 4.4% 9.7% 1.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 71.5% 48.8% 83.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Incarnate Word (Away) - 33.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 44 - 154 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 17   @ Texas L 48-92 1%     0 - 1 -27.2 -10.3 -22.7
  Nov 17, 2021 60   @ Texas A&M L 39-73 1%     0 - 2 -23.0 -25.9 +2.0
  Nov 21, 2021 317   @ Denver L 61-74 17%     0 - 3 -19.9 -10.9 -9.9
  Nov 24, 2021 30   @ Oklahoma L 40-57 1%     0 - 4 -2.5 -22.1 +18.3
  Dec 04, 2021 120   Oral Roberts L 67-85 6%     0 - 5 -17.3 -8.1 -9.1
  Dec 11, 2021 167   Rice L 73-88 9%     0 - 6 -17.6 -8.2 -8.5
  Jan 06, 2022 304   SE Louisiana L 81-90 20%     0 - 7 0 - 1 -17.3 +6.4 -24.1
  Jan 07, 2022 281   New Orleans L 65-81 17%     0 - 8 0 - 2 -22.9 -17.6 -3.7
  Jan 08, 2022 353   Incarnate Word L 50-60 44%     0 - 9 0 - 3 -25.6 -23.6 -3.6
  Jan 15, 2022 323   @ McNeese St. L 75-78 19%     0 - 10 0 - 4 -10.8 -0.5 -10.3
  Jan 20, 2022 353   @ Incarnate Word L 70-74 34%    
  Jan 22, 2022 251   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 65-80 7%    
  Jan 27, 2022 281   New Orleans L 72-80 25%    
  Jan 29, 2022 218   Nicholls St. L 70-82 14%    
  Feb 03, 2022 345   Northwestern St. L 77-78 46%    
  Feb 05, 2022 304   SE Louisiana L 71-77 29%    
  Feb 10, 2022 345   @ Northwestern St. L 74-81 26%    
  Feb 12, 2022 304   @ SE Louisiana L 69-80 14%    
  Feb 19, 2022 218   @ Nicholls St. L 68-85 5%    
  Feb 24, 2022 353   Incarnate Word W 72-71 55%    
  Feb 26, 2022 251   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-77 19%    
  Mar 02, 2022 281   @ New Orleans L 70-83 12%    
  Mar 05, 2022 323   McNeese St. L 73-77 36%    
Projected Record 3 - 20 3 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 4th
5th 0.3 1.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 3.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 4.5 4.0 1.2 0.2 11.8 6th
7th 1.2 6.6 10.1 6.6 1.4 0.1 26.0 7th
8th 4.4 12.8 19.1 14.9 5.7 0.9 0.0 57.9 8th
Total 4.4 12.8 20.3 21.7 17.5 12.3 6.5 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 9.1% 0.0    0.0
10-4 0.0%
9-5 0.0%
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
10-4 0.1% 0.1
9-5 0.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3
8-6 1.2% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1
7-7 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.8
6-8 6.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.5
5-9 12.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.3
4-10 17.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.5
3-11 21.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 21.7
2-12 20.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.3
1-13 12.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.8
0-14 4.4% 4.4
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.8%