Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#60
Expected Predictive Rating+12.6#38
Pace67.3#222
Improvement+1.7#96

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#101
First Shot+2.0#114
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#114
Layup/Dunks+5.6#23
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#272
Freethrows+0.0#179
Improvement-0.3#194

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#45
First Shot+6.0#28
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#201
Layups/Dunks+3.5#58
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#21
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#201
Freethrows+0.5#154
Improvement+1.9#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 2.4% 5.3% 1.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.3% 45.7% 23.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 28.5% 44.8% 22.4%
Average Seed 9.5 9.1 9.9
.500 or above 99.7% 100.0% 99.6%
.500 or above in Conference 75.1% 90.5% 69.3%
Conference Champion 0.8% 2.0% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.1% 9.3% 7.7%
First Round24.9% 40.5% 19.1%
Second Round11.1% 18.7% 8.2%
Sweet Sixteen3.1% 5.2% 2.3%
Elite Eight0.8% 1.5% 0.6%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas (Away) - 27.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 8
Quad 25 - 27 - 11
Quad 36 - 113 - 11
Quad 48 - 020 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 313   North Florida W 64-46 96%     1 - 0 +6.8 -14.8 +21.5
  Nov 12, 2021 141   Abilene Christian W 81-80 2OT 82%     2 - 0 -0.1 +1.1 -1.3
  Nov 14, 2021 251   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 86-65 92%     3 - 0 +13.7 +17.1 -1.9
  Nov 17, 2021 354   Houston Baptist W 73-39 99%     4 - 0 +14.4 -10.3 +25.6
  Nov 22, 2021 25   Wisconsin L 58-69 34%     4 - 1 +1.8 -5.6 +6.8
  Nov 23, 2021 118   Butler W 57-50 69%     5 - 1 +10.5 -4.1 +15.5
  Nov 24, 2021 65   Notre Dame W 73-67 51%     6 - 1 +14.2 -0.1 +14.1
  Nov 30, 2021 281   New Orleans W 85-65 94%     7 - 1 +10.5 +4.1 +5.5
  Dec 11, 2021 57   TCU L 64-68 50%     7 - 2 +4.6 -0.2 +4.7
  Dec 18, 2021 124   @ Oregon St. W 83-73 62%     8 - 2 +15.4 +13.3 +2.3
  Dec 21, 2021 345   Northwestern St. W 80-61 98%     9 - 2 +3.3 -7.7 +9.9
  Dec 29, 2021 329   Central Arkansas W 85-59 97%     10 - 2 +12.4 +4.0 +8.8
  Jan 04, 2022 201   @ Georgia W 81-79 77%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +2.9 +7.7 -4.8
  Jan 08, 2022 31   Arkansas W 86-81 46%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +14.4 +9.9 +4.1
  Jan 11, 2022 109   Mississippi W 67-51 74%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +17.8 +5.6 +14.2
  Jan 15, 2022 126   @ Missouri W 67-64 63%     14 - 2 4 - 0 +8.1 -4.1 +12.1
  Jan 19, 2022 3   Kentucky L 58-64 22%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +10.7 -9.1 +19.9
  Jan 22, 2022 31   @ Arkansas L 70-76 27%    
  Jan 26, 2022 13   @ LSU L 60-71 15%    
  Jan 29, 2022 113   South Carolina W 71-64 76%    
  Feb 01, 2022 15   @ Tennessee L 62-71 20%    
  Feb 05, 2022 126   Missouri W 71-63 80%    
  Feb 08, 2022 13   LSU L 63-69 31%    
  Feb 12, 2022 8   @ Auburn L 65-77 13%    
  Feb 15, 2022 35   Florida L 68-69 50%    
  Feb 19, 2022 85   @ Vanderbilt L 66-67 46%    
  Feb 22, 2022 201   Georgia W 78-65 89%    
  Feb 26, 2022 109   @ Mississippi W 65-63 55%    
  Mar 02, 2022 16   @ Alabama L 70-79 20%    
  Mar 05, 2022 48   Mississippi St. W 68-67 56%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.8 0.9 0.2 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 5.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.7 7.1 3.7 0.2 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.7 6.5 6.1 0.5 13.8 5th
6th 0.3 4.7 8.4 1.5 0.0 14.9 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 8.4 3.5 0.1 14.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 6.3 5.3 0.5 12.9 8th
9th 0.2 3.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 9.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 2.7 0.9 0.0 4.5 10th
11th 0.2 1.0 0.6 0.0 1.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.0 0.5 2.4 7.2 14.7 20.1 20.9 17.1 10.2 4.8 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 47.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 22.7% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 25.9% 74.1% 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.5% 100.0% 4.8% 95.2% 5.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.6% 99.4% 4.4% 94.9% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
13-5 4.8% 93.3% 3.8% 89.5% 7.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 93.0%
12-6 10.2% 75.6% 2.3% 73.4% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.9 1.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 2.5 75.1%
11-7 17.1% 50.8% 2.0% 48.9% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.9 3.0 1.5 0.1 8.4 49.9%
10-8 20.9% 22.3% 0.8% 21.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.7 1.6 0.1 16.2 21.6%
9-9 20.1% 7.7% 0.4% 7.4% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 18.6 7.4%
8-10 14.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.9% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.6 0.9%
7-11 7.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 7.2 0.1%
6-12 2.4% 2.4
5-13 0.5% 0.5
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 29.3% 1.1% 28.2% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.3 3.4 4.7 5.0 7.1 4.1 0.3 70.7 28.5%