Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#120
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#131
Pace75.5#44
Improvement+4.4#23

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#71
First Shot+4.6#49
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#220
Layup/Dunks-3.1#295
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+11.9#2
Freethrows-2.5#334
Improvement+1.4#87

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#195
First Shot-0.8#197
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#172
Layups/Dunks-2.7#276
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#290
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#68
Freethrows+0.5#157
Improvement+3.0#26
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.0% 31.2% 26.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 14.5
.500 or above 99.8% 99.8% 97.9%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 99.8%
Conference Champion 39.0% 39.6% 19.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round31.0% 31.1% 25.8%
Second Round3.2% 3.2% 2.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota (Home) - 97.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 14 - 7
Quad 415 - 220 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 47   @ Colorado St. L 80-109 19%     0 - 1 -16.5 +4.0 -18.2
  Nov 20, 2021 329   @ Central Arkansas L 67-70 86%     0 - 2 -11.6 -15.8 +4.3
  Nov 26, 2021 46   Oklahoma St. L 77-78 OT 34%     0 - 3 +6.5 +4.9 +1.7
  Nov 29, 2021 121   Tulsa W 87-80 61%     1 - 3 +7.4 +15.9 -8.4
  Dec 02, 2021 57   @ TCU L 63-71 23%     1 - 4 +3.1 +2.6 -0.1
  Dec 04, 2021 354   @ Houston Baptist W 85-67 94%     2 - 4 +3.4 +1.9 +1.4
  Dec 11, 2021 77   @ Missouri St. L 60-69 27%     2 - 5 +0.8 -11.8 +12.8
  Dec 16, 2021 220   Texas Arlington W 71-62 79%     3 - 5 +3.7 +0.7 +3.3
  Dec 20, 2021 234   @ South Dakota W 82-73 68%     4 - 5 1 - 0 +7.5 +7.6 -0.1
  Dec 22, 2021 98   @ South Dakota St. L 76-82 31%     4 - 6 1 - 1 +2.3 +0.3 +2.1
  Dec 30, 2021 317   Denver W 83-66 91%     5 - 6 2 - 1 +5.1 +0.2 +4.1
  Jan 01, 2022 338   Nebraska Omaha W 107-62 94%     6 - 6 3 - 1 +30.5 +5.0 +17.2
  Jan 06, 2022 288   @ St. Thomas W 81-66 78%     7 - 6 4 - 1 +10.0 -0.3 +10.3
  Jan 08, 2022 213   @ Western Illinois W 87-86 62%     8 - 6 5 - 1 +1.2 +4.7 -3.7
  Jan 15, 2022 265   @ UMKC W 84-72 73%     9 - 6 6 - 1 +9.0 +11.7 -2.9
  Jan 20, 2022 347   North Dakota W 88-68 97%    
  Jan 22, 2022 188   North Dakota St. W 78-71 76%    
  Jan 27, 2022 338   @ Nebraska Omaha W 88-75 88%    
  Jan 29, 2022 317   @ Denver W 81-71 81%    
  Feb 03, 2022 213   Western Illinois W 85-77 79%    
  Feb 05, 2022 288   St. Thomas W 86-73 90%    
  Feb 12, 2022 265   UMKC W 76-65 86%    
  Feb 17, 2022 188   @ North Dakota St. W 75-73 55%    
  Feb 19, 2022 347   @ North Dakota W 86-71 90%    
  Feb 24, 2022 98   South Dakota St. L 85-86 51%    
  Feb 26, 2022 234   South Dakota W 82-72 83%    
Projected Record 18 - 8 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.6 9.9 16.7 9.4 39.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.5 10.7 18.5 18.0 7.1 58.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.5 4.5 11.4 21.1 27.9 23.8 9.4 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 9.4    7.6 1.8
16-2 70.3% 16.7    9.6 7.1
15-3 35.5% 9.9    4.1 5.8 0.0
14-4 12.1% 2.6    0.7 1.7 0.1
13-5 3.4% 0.4    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 39.0% 39.0 22.1 16.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 9.4% 44.8% 44.8% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.6 0.8 0.0 5.2
16-2 23.8% 37.4% 37.4% 13.7 0.2 3.1 4.7 1.0 0.0 14.9
15-3 27.9% 32.1% 32.1% 14.2 0.0 1.3 4.9 2.6 0.1 18.9
14-4 21.1% 26.3% 26.3% 14.5 0.3 2.4 2.7 0.2 15.5
13-5 11.4% 21.0% 21.0% 14.9 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.3 9.0
12-6 4.5% 16.9% 16.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 3.7
11-7 1.5% 14.4% 14.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.3
10-8 0.3% 11.0% 11.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
9-9 0.1% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
8-10 0.0% 0.0 0.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 31.0% 31.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 7.3 13.5 8.2 1.1 69.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.2% 100.0% 13.0 0.1 1.4 18.9 61.1 18.1 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.8%