Rice
Conference USA
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#167
Expected Predictive Rating+1.9#143
Pace71.5#98
Improvement+0.8#141

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#100
First Shot+2.9#91
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#179
Layup/Dunks-2.4#272
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#229
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#21
Freethrows+0.3#150
Improvement-1.0#242

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#269
First Shot-2.9#274
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#178
Layups/Dunks-2.8#279
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#152
Freethrows+2.3#41
Improvement+1.8#75
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 2.9% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 14.1
.500 or above 84.1% 91.0% 71.9%
.500 or above in Conference 78.8% 87.2% 64.0%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.4% 2.9% 1.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Home) - 63.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 34 - 45 - 10
Quad 412 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 253   Pepperdine W 82-63 76%     1 - 0 +11.6 +1.8 +8.7
  Nov 12, 2021 9   @ Houston L 46-79 4%     1 - 1 -13.0 -14.5 -0.9
  Nov 16, 2021 240   Southern W 81-63 74%     2 - 1 +11.2 -1.7 +11.2
  Nov 19, 2021 281   @ New Orleans W 83-78 66%     3 - 1 +0.6 +7.3 -6.8
  Nov 22, 2021 270   Evansville W 109-104 3OT 72%     4 - 1 -1.0 +12.2 -14.3
  Nov 23, 2021 105   Oakland L 73-76 33%     4 - 2 +1.5 +3.2 -1.8
  Nov 24, 2021 215   Fordham L 74-84 59%     4 - 3 -12.4 +0.7 -12.7
  Nov 30, 2021 150   Texas St. L 69-80 56%     4 - 4 -12.7 -7.3 -5.1
  Dec 11, 2021 354   @ Houston Baptist W 88-73 91%     5 - 4 +0.4 +0.2 -0.7
  Dec 16, 2021 353   Incarnate Word W 85-55 94%     6 - 4 +11.9 -1.7 +12.1
  Jan 01, 2022 83   @ North Texas L 43-75 18%     6 - 5 0 - 1 -22.5 -13.8 -15.7
  Jan 06, 2022 159   Middle Tennessee W 65-61 59%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +1.7 -8.7 +10.3
  Jan 08, 2022 50   UAB W 85-80 25%     8 - 5 2 - 1 +12.0 +11.2 +0.5
  Jan 13, 2022 112   @ Western Kentucky L 66-80 26%     8 - 6 2 - 2 -7.3 -4.7 -2.5
  Jan 15, 2022 200   @ Marshall W 87-77 46%     9 - 6 3 - 2 +10.9 +11.9 -1.2
  Jan 20, 2022 184   Old Dominion W 72-69 64%    
  Jan 22, 2022 195   Charlotte W 76-72 66%    
  Jan 27, 2022 82   @ Louisiana Tech L 71-81 17%    
  Jan 29, 2022 309   @ Southern Miss W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 03, 2022 318   Texas San Antonio W 82-70 88%    
  Feb 05, 2022 168   UTEP W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 12, 2022 83   North Texas L 63-68 35%    
  Feb 17, 2022 50   @ UAB L 70-82 12%    
  Feb 19, 2022 252   @ Florida International W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 24, 2022 82   Louisiana Tech L 73-78 35%    
  Feb 26, 2022 309   Southern Miss W 77-66 85%    
  Mar 03, 2022 168   @ UTEP L 70-73 39%    
  Mar 05, 2022 318   @ Texas San Antonio W 79-72 72%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.3 1.4 0.1 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.9 5.1 3.1 0.3 10.6 3rd
4th 0.2 3.7 8.4 5.8 0.8 0.0 18.9 4th
5th 0.2 3.5 10.5 6.7 1.2 0.0 22.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 7.5 5.6 0.9 0.0 15.9 6th
7th 0.4 4.4 4.9 1.0 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 4.0 1.2 0.0 7.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.6 1.2 0.1 4.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 2.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.7 6.0 11.7 17.4 21.0 17.9 13.1 6.5 2.3 0.6 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 73.9% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 27.7% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 3.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.6% 13.9% 13.9% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
14-4 2.3% 8.5% 8.5% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.1
13-5 6.5% 7.1% 7.1% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.0
12-6 13.1% 4.6% 4.6% 13.8 0.2 0.3 0.1 12.5
11-7 17.9% 3.3% 3.3% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 17.3
10-8 21.0% 1.6% 1.6% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 20.7
9-9 17.4% 0.5% 0.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 17.3
8-10 11.7% 0.6% 0.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.6
7-11 6.0% 0.7% 0.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0
6-12 2.7% 2.7
5-13 0.7% 0.7
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.4 0.0 97.5 0.0%