McNeese St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.3#323
Expected Predictive Rating-10.0#311
Pace73.5#71
Improvement-0.2#189

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#306
First Shot-3.9#292
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#251
Layup/Dunks+0.0#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#150
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#274
Freethrows-1.3#282
Improvement+2.5#49

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#324
First Shot-2.9#273
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#340
Layups/Dunks-1.8#247
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#27
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#165
Freethrows-3.9#347
Improvement-2.7#321
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 6.9% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.3% 6.3% 1.2%
.500 or above in Conference 75.9% 91.3% 71.8%
Conference Champion 2.4% 6.8% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 0.5% 3.6%
First Four4.1% 6.6% 3.4%
First Round1.7% 3.2% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TX A&M Corpus Christi (Away) - 21.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 50 - 10
Quad 410 - 910 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 63   @ SMU L 62-86 4%     0 - 1 -13.3 -16.2 +6.3
  Nov 11, 2021 57   @ TCU L 61-77 3%     0 - 2 -4.9 -10.8 +7.7
  Nov 18, 2021 13   @ LSU L 46-85 1%     0 - 3 -19.9 -16.7 +0.4
  Nov 26, 2021 328   St. Francis Brooklyn W 71-59 53%     1 - 3 +0.9 -7.3 +8.3
  Nov 27, 2021 237   Samford L 75-83 28%     1 - 4 -12.1 -14.2 +3.5
  Dec 01, 2021 160   @ Seattle L 62-78 12%     1 - 5 -13.3 -13.1 +1.0
  Dec 04, 2021 66   @ Wyoming L 58-79 4%     1 - 6 -10.4 -8.9 -2.2
  Dec 08, 2021 165   @ Louisiana L 68-83 12%     1 - 7 -12.5 -6.0 -5.8
  Dec 16, 2021 168   @ UTEP L 72-82 12%     1 - 8 -7.6 +1.7 -9.1
  Dec 21, 2021 55   @ Kansas St. L 59-74 3%     1 - 9 -3.6 -2.8 -1.4
  Jan 06, 2022 281   New Orleans W 92-82 2OT 37%     2 - 9 1 - 0 +3.1 -4.2 +5.0
  Jan 07, 2022 304   SE Louisiana L 78-83 42%     2 - 10 1 - 1 -13.3 -1.0 -12.2
  Jan 08, 2022 251   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 54-67 30%     2 - 11 1 - 2 -17.7 -13.9 -5.2
  Jan 15, 2022 354   Houston Baptist W 78-75 81%     3 - 11 2 - 2 -16.6 -5.7 -10.9
  Jan 20, 2022 251   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-77 21%    
  Jan 22, 2022 353   @ Incarnate Word W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 27, 2022 218   Nicholls St. L 74-79 33%    
  Jan 29, 2022 281   New Orleans L 76-77 49%    
  Feb 03, 2022 304   SE Louisiana W 76-75 54%    
  Feb 05, 2022 345   Northwestern St. W 81-76 71%    
  Feb 10, 2022 304   @ SE Louisiana L 73-78 32%    
  Feb 12, 2022 345   @ Northwestern St. W 79-78 49%    
  Feb 17, 2022 218   @ Nicholls St. L 72-82 16%    
  Feb 19, 2022 281   @ New Orleans L 74-80 28%    
  Feb 24, 2022 251   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 26, 2022 353   Incarnate Word W 76-68 78%    
  Mar 05, 2022 354   @ Houston Baptist W 77-73 64%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.2 2.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.7 1.5 0.2 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 4.7 3.1 0.3 10.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.9 8.6 5.5 0.6 0.0 19.3 4th
5th 0.6 4.5 11.3 13.4 6.8 0.8 0.0 37.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.7 6.9 5.1 1.4 0.1 0.0 17.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.7 1.4 0.3 6.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.1 8th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.1 7.2 12.8 17.3 18.9 17.2 11.8 6.7 2.8 0.9 0.2 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-1 82.3% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.1
12-2 36.1% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0
11-3 5.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-4 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-5 0.0%
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.2% 32.7% 32.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.1
13-1 0.9% 27.4% 27.4% 16.0 0.3 0.7
12-2 2.8% 17.4% 17.4% 16.0 0.5 2.3
11-3 6.7% 13.3% 13.3% 16.0 0.9 5.8
10-4 11.8% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.7 11.1
9-5 17.2% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.7 16.5
8-6 18.9% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.5 18.4
7-7 17.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 17.0
6-8 12.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 12.7
5-9 7.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.2
4-10 3.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-11 0.9% 0.9
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.2 95.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%