Denver
Summit League
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.4#317
Expected Predictive Rating-9.2#305
Pace68.4#183
Improvement+0.5#158

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#300
First Shot-2.3#254
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#323
Layup/Dunks-0.9#208
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#227
Freethrows+0.2#164
Improvement+0.3#159

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#316
First Shot-4.7#320
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#186
Layups/Dunks-3.3#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#195
Freethrows-1.9#297
Improvement+0.2#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 11.1% 14.6% 2.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 1.6% 9.8%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska Omaha (Home) - 69.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 81 - 12
Quad 49 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2021 355   IUPUI W 63-47 78%     1 - 0 -1.5 -11.4 +11.2
  Nov 16, 2021 318   @ Texas San Antonio L 64-78 41%     1 - 1 -21.1 -12.6 -8.3
  Nov 17, 2021 251   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-69 33%     1 - 2 -6.7 -4.5 -2.3
  Nov 21, 2021 354   Houston Baptist W 74-61 83%     2 - 2 -6.6 -5.8 +0.1
  Nov 24, 2021 244   @ Air Force L 65-66 24%     2 - 3 -3.0 +0.2 -3.3
  Nov 27, 2021 128   @ Utah Valley L 68-77 OT 10%     2 - 4 -4.0 -6.0 +2.5
  Dec 02, 2021 66   @ Wyoming L 64-77 4%     2 - 5 -2.4 +1.0 -4.5
  Dec 05, 2021 150   @ Texas St. L 58-71 12%     2 - 6 -9.7 -11.2 +0.9
  Dec 09, 2021 193   @ New Mexico L 67-87 16%     2 - 7 -18.9 -7.8 -10.8
  Dec 11, 2021 297   @ Dixie St. L 62-82 35%     2 - 8 -25.4 -12.6 -13.3
  Dec 15, 2021 247   UC San Diego W 64-56 41%     3 - 8 +0.9 -11.5 +12.5
  Dec 20, 2021 213   Western Illinois L 80-84 OT 33%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -8.8 -6.8 -1.5
  Dec 22, 2021 288   St. Thomas W 75-74 52%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -9.0 -2.6 -6.3
  Dec 30, 2021 120   @ Oral Roberts L 66-83 9%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -11.3 -9.5 -1.0
  Jan 08, 2022 347   North Dakota W 93-74 75%     5 - 10 2 - 2 +2.6 +5.3 -3.4
  Jan 10, 2022 188   North Dakota St. L 69-87 29%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -21.6 -5.6 -16.2
  Jan 13, 2022 234   @ South Dakota L 71-80 23%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -10.5 +1.5 -12.7
  Jan 15, 2022 98   @ South Dakota St. L 62-80 6%     5 - 13 2 - 5 -9.7 -13.5 +4.0
  Jan 17, 2022 265   @ UMKC W 63-55 27%     6 - 13 3 - 5 +5.0 -6.6 +11.8
  Jan 22, 2022 338   Nebraska Omaha W 78-73 70%    
  Jan 27, 2022 265   UMKC L 65-66 47%    
  Jan 29, 2022 120   Oral Roberts L 71-81 19%    
  Feb 03, 2022 347   @ North Dakota W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 05, 2022 188   @ North Dakota St. L 63-74 14%    
  Feb 10, 2022 98   South Dakota St. L 73-86 13%    
  Feb 12, 2022 234   South Dakota L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 19, 2022 338   @ Nebraska Omaha W 76-75 48%    
  Feb 24, 2022 288   @ St. Thomas L 71-75 32%    
  Feb 26, 2022 213   @ Western Illinois L 70-80 17%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 3.3 1.3 0.1 5.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 5.7 3.2 0.3 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 8.2 7.3 0.7 0.0 17.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.7 11.1 11.0 1.8 0.0 25.7 7th
8th 1.9 10.7 11.5 2.3 0.1 26.5 8th
9th 0.8 4.8 4.2 0.7 10.5 9th
10th 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.2 10th
Total 1.4 7.3 16.6 24.9 22.7 16.0 7.6 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7
10-8 2.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 2.6
9-9 7.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.5
8-10 16.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 15.9
7-11 22.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 22.6
6-12 24.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 24.8
5-13 16.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.6
4-14 7.3% 7.3
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.4%