Kennesaw St.
Atlantic Sun
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.9#346
Expected Predictive Rating-17.7#343
Pace70.0#159
Improvement+0.9#144

Offense
Total Offense-9.6#348
First Shot-9.0#350
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#225
Layup/Dunks-3.3#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.5#347
Freethrows+1.2#95
Improvement-0.1#182

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#320
First Shot-5.4#326
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#167
Layups/Dunks-5.8#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#258
Freethrows+0.5#148
Improvement+0.9#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 92.6% 80.9% 94.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Away) - 11.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 50 - 12
Quad 43 - 143 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 31   @ Creighton L 55-81 1%     0 - 1 -11.2 -15.9 +6.5
  Nov 07, 2019 145   @ Drake L 55-86 5%     0 - 2 -26.6 -12.6 -15.7
  Nov 11, 2019 252   @ Mercer L 62-74 12%     0 - 3 -14.1 -19.4 +6.7
  Nov 22, 2019 214   Monmouth L 40-71 14%     0 - 4 -34.2 -31.9 -2.7
  Nov 23, 2019 248   Iona L 52-75 17%     0 - 5 -27.8 -20.7 -8.6
  Dec 02, 2019 314   @ Elon L 46-70 21%     0 - 6 -30.4 -25.9 -7.0
  Dec 04, 2019 84   @ UNC Greensboro L 54-72 2%     0 - 7 -8.6 -8.6 -1.0
  Dec 07, 2019 163   Florida International L 81-84 13%     0 - 8 -5.5 -4.5 -0.6
  Dec 13, 2019 231   Gardner-Webb W 85-61 22%     1 - 8 +17.1 +14.4 +4.4
  Dec 16, 2019 124   @ Murray St. L 38-74 4%     1 - 9 -30.4 -32.7 +2.5
  Dec 18, 2019 88   @ Belmont L 44-83 2%     1 - 10 -30.1 -26.7 -2.0
  Dec 22, 2019 138   Wofford L 70-83 10%     1 - 11 -14.1 -3.4 -11.2
  Dec 29, 2019 18   @ Iowa L 51-93 1%     1 - 12 -25.1 -17.4 -7.0
  Jan 02, 2020 168   North Florida L 57-76 14%     1 - 13 0 - 1 -22.0 -18.8 -4.2
  Jan 04, 2020 320   Stetson L 54-57 42%     1 - 14 0 - 2 -15.8 -20.3 +4.1
  Jan 09, 2020 265   @ Lipscomb L 73-85 13%     1 - 15 0 - 3 -15.0 -4.7 -9.9
  Jan 16, 2020 303   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 51-73 19%     1 - 16 0 - 4 -27.5 -25.0 -0.9
  Jan 18, 2020 259   @ NJIT L 61-73 12%    
  Jan 23, 2020 292   North Alabama L 63-68 33%    
  Jan 25, 2020 239   Jacksonville L 58-66 24%    
  Jan 30, 2020 59   @ Liberty L 47-73 1%    
  Feb 01, 2020 168   @ North Florida L 66-84 5%    
  Feb 08, 2020 265   Lipscomb L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 13, 2020 303   Florida Gulf Coast L 62-66 37%    
  Feb 15, 2020 320   @ Stetson L 59-67 23%    
  Feb 20, 2020 292   @ North Alabama L 61-71 17%    
  Feb 22, 2020 239   @ Jacksonville L 55-68 11%    
  Feb 27, 2020 59   Liberty L 50-71 3%    
  Feb 29, 2020 259   NJIT L 64-70 28%    
Projected Record 3 - 26 2 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.0 1.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 1.9 0.4 3.1 7th
8th 0.6 3.5 5.2 1.9 0.1 11.2 8th
9th 10.8 23.7 26.9 16.9 5.0 0.3 83.6 9th
Total 10.8 23.7 27.5 20.3 11.0 4.6 1.6 0.3 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.1% 0.1
7-9 0.3% 0.3
6-10 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
5-11 4.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.6
4-12 11.0% 11.0
3-13 20.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.3
2-14 27.5% 27.5
1-15 23.7% 23.7
0-16 10.8% 10.8
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 10.8%