Ohio St.
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.1#9
Expected Predictive Rating+22.0#6
Pace64.9#302
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+7.0#25
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+10.1#4
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 3.7% 3.7% 0.0%
#1 Seed 16.3% 16.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 34.1% 34.1% 11.1%
Top 4 Seed 62.5% 62.5% 38.9%
Top 6 Seed 80.1% 80.2% 50.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 94.7% 94.8% 72.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 93.6% 93.7% 70.6%
Average Seed 3.9 3.9 5.2
.500 or above 98.8% 98.9% 77.8%
.500 or above in Conference 93.4% 93.4% 66.7%
Conference Champion 21.3% 21.3% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 5.6%
First Four1.2% 1.2% 0.0%
First Round94.2% 94.2% 72.2%
Second Round78.5% 78.5% 50.0%
Sweet Sixteen49.6% 49.7% 27.8%
Elite Eight27.8% 27.8% 22.2%
Final Four14.8% 14.8% 11.1%
Championship Game7.5% 7.5% 5.6%
National Champion3.5% 3.5% 0.0%

Next Game: Stetson (Home) - 99.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 54 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 28 - 7
Quad 27 - 115 - 8
Quad 34 - 019 - 8
Quad 46 - 025 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 25   Cincinnati W 64-56 76%     1 - 0 +17.8 +2.3 +16.1
  Nov 10, 2019 242   Umass Lowell W 76-56 98%     2 - 0 +12.6 -4.2 +16.4
  Nov 13, 2019 15   Villanova W 76-51 70%     3 - 0 +36.8 +15.2 +24.0
  Nov 18, 2019 329   Stetson W 86-55 99.8%   
  Nov 22, 2019 264   Purdue Fort Wayne W 86-61 99%    
  Nov 25, 2019 121   Kent St. W 77-59 95%    
  Nov 29, 2019 326   Morgan St. W 86-55 99.9%   
  Dec 04, 2019 6   @ North Carolina L 73-77 35%    
  Dec 07, 2019 40   Penn St. W 72-63 80%    
  Dec 15, 2019 71   @ Minnesota W 69-62 72%    
  Dec 17, 2019 301   Southeast Missouri St. W 83-55 99%    
  Dec 21, 2019 5   Kentucky L 65-66 45%    
  Dec 29, 2019 47   West Virginia W 78-71 73%    
  Jan 03, 2020 38   Wisconsin W 65-56 78%    
  Jan 07, 2020 10   @ Maryland L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 11, 2020 45   @ Indiana W 69-65 63%    
  Jan 14, 2020 150   Nebraska W 74-55 95%    
  Jan 18, 2020 40   @ Penn St. W 69-66 61%    
  Jan 23, 2020 71   Minnesota W 72-59 86%    
  Jan 26, 2020 142   @ Northwestern W 69-56 86%    
  Feb 01, 2020 45   Indiana W 72-62 80%    
  Feb 04, 2020 28   @ Michigan W 64-62 56%    
  Feb 09, 2020 38   @ Wisconsin W 62-59 60%    
  Feb 12, 2020 69   Rutgers W 71-59 85%    
  Feb 15, 2020 13   Purdue W 69-64 66%    
  Feb 20, 2020 61   @ Iowa W 76-70 69%    
  Feb 23, 2020 10   Maryland W 70-67 61%    
  Feb 27, 2020 150   @ Nebraska W 71-58 87%    
  Mar 01, 2020 28   Michigan W 67-59 74%    
  Mar 05, 2020 52   Illinois W 76-65 82%    
  Mar 08, 2020 1   @ Michigan St. L 65-72 29%    
Projected Record 24 - 7 14 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.8 6.1 5.7 3.4 0.7 21.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.8 6.1 7.0 4.1 1.1 0.1 21.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.3 6.0 5.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 17.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.1 3.4 0.6 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.3 2.0 3.9 2.5 0.5 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.1 2.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 2.2 1.7 0.3 5.0 7th
8th 0.4 1.2 1.0 0.2 2.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
12th 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.1 4.9 7.2 9.2 11.8 13.0 13.5 12.4 10.4 6.8 3.4 0.7 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
19-1 97.7% 3.4    3.0 0.3 0.0
18-2 84.3% 5.7    4.0 1.7 0.1
17-3 58.8% 6.1    3.5 2.3 0.2 0.0
16-4 30.5% 3.8    1.5 1.7 0.6 0.1
15-5 9.8% 1.3    0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
14-6 2.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 21.3% 21.3 13.1 6.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.7% 100.0% 56.3% 43.7% 1.1 0.6 0.1 100.0%
19-1 3.4% 100.0% 47.8% 52.2% 1.2 2.7 0.7 0.0 100.0%
18-2 6.8% 100.0% 36.1% 63.9% 1.4 4.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 100.0%
17-3 10.4% 100.0% 30.6% 69.4% 1.7 4.6 4.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 12.4% 100.0% 24.2% 75.8% 2.3 2.7 4.9 3.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 100.0%
15-5 13.5% 100.0% 16.3% 83.7% 3.0 1.3 3.6 4.6 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.1 100.0%
14-6 13.0% 100.0% 15.8% 84.2% 3.9 0.3 1.5 3.7 3.8 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 100.0%
13-7 11.8% 99.7% 9.7% 89.9% 4.8 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.0 3.0 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-8 9.2% 98.7% 6.4% 92.3% 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 2.0 2.3 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.6%
11-9 7.2% 95.7% 3.5% 92.2% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 95.5%
10-10 4.9% 85.9% 3.1% 82.8% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.7 85.4%
9-11 3.1% 59.5% 1.6% 57.9% 9.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.3 58.8%
8-12 1.9% 28.0% 1.1% 27.0% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.4 27.3%
7-13 0.9% 18.2% 2.3% 15.9% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 16.3%
6-14 0.4% 0.4
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 94.7% 17.2% 77.6% 3.9 16.3 17.7 16.0 12.4 9.8 7.8 4.6 3.7 2.5 2.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.3 93.6%