Ohio St.
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.6#13
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#34
Pace65.3#281
Improvement-8.1#353

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#30
First Shot+6.0#26
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#121
Layup/Dunks-0.1#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#222
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#37
Freethrows+2.3#34
Improvement-4.4#342

Defense
Total Defense+7.8#20
First Shot+6.4#26
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#60
Layups/Dunks+7.6#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#318
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#234
Freethrows+2.5#37
Improvement-3.8#335
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 3.4% 4.5% 0.6%
Top 4 Seed 21.6% 25.6% 11.1%
Top 6 Seed 51.2% 57.8% 34.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 88.3% 91.6% 79.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 87.4% 90.8% 78.7%
Average Seed 6.3 6.0 7.2
.500 or above 98.7% 99.7% 96.3%
.500 or above in Conference 48.8% 56.6% 28.2%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.2% 0.8%
First Four4.4% 3.2% 7.8%
First Round86.7% 90.4% 76.9%
Second Round62.6% 66.8% 51.6%
Sweet Sixteen33.0% 36.3% 24.4%
Elite Eight16.0% 18.1% 10.7%
Final Four8.0% 9.0% 5.2%
Championship Game3.4% 4.0% 1.9%
National Champion1.4% 1.7% 0.7%

Next Game: Indiana (Home) - 72.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 84 - 8
Quad 1b4 - 38 - 10
Quad 24 - 213 - 12
Quad 33 - 016 - 13
Quad 45 - 021 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 43   Cincinnati W 64-56 75%     1 - 0 +15.6 +1.0 +15.2
  Nov 10, 2019 289   Umass Lowell W 76-56 98%     2 - 0 +9.8 -7.0 +16.5
  Nov 13, 2019 16   Villanova W 76-51 64%     3 - 0 +36.1 +14.6 +23.8
  Nov 18, 2019 303   Stetson W 86-51 98%     4 - 0 +23.7 +11.0 +14.0
  Nov 22, 2019 270   Purdue Fort Wayne W 85-46 98%     5 - 0 +30.1 +13.1 +19.5
  Nov 25, 2019 113   Kent St. W 71-52 90%     6 - 0 +19.8 +1.5 +19.3
  Nov 29, 2019 320   Morgan St. W 90-57 99%     7 - 0 +20.3 +11.0 +9.1
  Dec 04, 2019 57   @ North Carolina W 74-49 60%     8 - 0 +37.1 +12.7 +26.3
  Dec 07, 2019 24   Penn St. W 106-74 67%     9 - 0 1 - 0 +42.0 +38.3 +3.7
  Dec 15, 2019 39   @ Minnesota L 71-84 53%     9 - 1 1 - 1 +1.0 +1.2 +0.3
  Dec 17, 2019 332   Southeast Missouri St. W 80-48 99%     10 - 1 +18.3 -1.2 +19.2
  Dec 21, 2019 12   Kentucky W 71-65 49%     11 - 1 +20.9 +10.4 +10.9
  Dec 29, 2019 6   West Virginia L 59-67 42%     11 - 2 +8.6 -5.5 +14.5
  Jan 03, 2020 31   Wisconsin L 57-61 69%     11 - 3 1 - 2 +5.4 -1.1 +6.0
  Jan 07, 2020 8   @ Maryland L 55-67 33%     11 - 4 1 - 3 +7.2 -5.5 +12.3
  Jan 11, 2020 37   @ Indiana L 54-66 51%     11 - 5 1 - 4 +2.4 -10.0 +12.0
  Jan 14, 2020 115   Nebraska W 80-68 90%     12 - 5 2 - 4 +12.5 +11.9 +1.4
  Jan 18, 2020 24   @ Penn St. L 76-90 45%     12 - 6 2 - 5 +1.9 +9.6 -7.4
  Jan 23, 2020 39   Minnesota L 59-62 73%     12 - 7 2 - 6 +5.1 -3.8 +8.6
  Jan 26, 2020 108   @ Northwestern W 71-59 76%     13 - 7 3 - 6 +19.3 +6.5 +13.5
  Feb 01, 2020 37   Indiana W 70-64 72%    
  Feb 04, 2020 30   @ Michigan L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 09, 2020 31   @ Wisconsin L 60-61 48%    
  Feb 12, 2020 33   Rutgers W 68-62 71%    
  Feb 15, 2020 19   Purdue W 63-59 65%    
  Feb 20, 2020 15   @ Iowa L 72-74 39%    
  Feb 23, 2020 8   Maryland W 66-65 55%    
  Feb 27, 2020 115   @ Nebraska W 75-67 78%    
  Mar 01, 2020 30   Michigan W 70-65 68%    
  Mar 05, 2020 25   Illinois W 70-65 67%    
  Mar 08, 2020 4   @ Michigan St. L 66-72 27%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.3 0.5 1st
2nd 0.6 1.2 0.2 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 1.2 0.1 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 3.4 0.2 5.5 4th
5th 0.3 5.3 1.7 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.1 2.8 5.4 0.2 8.5 6th
7th 0.7 8.0 2.6 11.3 7th
8th 0.1 3.9 7.7 0.4 12.2 8th
9th 0.0 1.4 8.5 2.4 0.0 12.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 5.7 6.3 0.3 13.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.5 6.4 1.4 11.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 3.1 4.8 2.2 0.1 11.1 12th
13th 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.8 9.1 15.7 21.0 21.7 15.7 8.0 2.9 0.5 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 53.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 7.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.5% 100.0% 18.4% 81.6% 1.8 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7 2.9% 100.0% 19.9% 80.1% 2.6 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.0 100.0%
12-8 8.0% 100.0% 15.9% 84.1% 3.5 0.1 1.1 2.8 2.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-9 15.7% 100.0% 10.7% 89.3% 4.5 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.9 5.7 2.4 0.3 0.1 100.0%
10-10 21.7% 99.9% 6.4% 93.5% 5.6 0.0 0.9 3.0 6.3 6.8 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
9-11 21.0% 97.9% 5.7% 92.2% 7.2 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.2 5.4 4.8 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.4 97.8%
8-12 15.7% 85.5% 3.7% 81.8% 9.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.4 2.7 3.6 2.2 0.1 2.3 84.9%
7-13 9.1% 54.7% 3.1% 51.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.2 2.2 0.5 4.1 53.3%
6-14 3.8% 14.1% 3.2% 10.9% 10.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 3.3 11.3%
5-15 1.3% 6.9% 3.9% 3.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2 3.2%
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 88.3% 7.3% 81.1% 6.3 0.5 2.9 7.8 10.3 15.4 14.2 11.1 8.6 5.9 5.8 4.9 0.7 11.7 87.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 1.2 75.5 24.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 100.0% 1.8 43.9 35.1 21.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 2.1 88.5 11.5