Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#240
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#221
Pace77.5#24
Improvement+0.0#184

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#199
First Shot-2.3#254
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#73
Layup/Dunks-2.1#261
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#348
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#46
Freethrows+0.6#122
Improvement-2.2#293

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#279
First Shot-3.4#289
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#189
Layups/Dunks-3.5#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#133
Freethrows-1.5#272
Improvement+2.2#60
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 50.2% 31.6% 58.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Away) - 31.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 21 - 72 - 13
Quad 34 - 96 - 22
Quad 42 - 38 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 100   Bradley W 86-81 26%     1 - 0 +7.1 +6.8 -0.1
  Nov 10, 2019 170   @ Old Dominion L 69-82 25%     1 - 1 -10.3 -5.7 -3.3
  Nov 13, 2019 72   @ Connecticut W 96-87 9%     2 - 1 +19.2 +14.7 +3.0
  Nov 16, 2019 90   @ Loyola Chicago L 68-85 11%     2 - 2 -8.2 -4.0 -2.9
  Nov 21, 2019 18   Florida L 62-70 6%     2 - 3 +5.7 -4.6 +10.3
  Nov 22, 2019 144   Missouri St. L 69-71 29%     2 - 4 -0.7 -0.7 +0.0
  Nov 24, 2019 173   Towson L 64-76 35%     2 - 5 -12.5 -12.8 +0.8
  Nov 30, 2019 197   St. Francis (PA) L 63-79 54%     2 - 6 -21.5 -13.2 -8.8
  Dec 03, 2019 195   Lafayette L 71-94 53%     2 - 7 -28.4 -6.5 -22.0
  Dec 07, 2019 17   Villanova L 66-78 8%     2 - 8 -1.0 +1.7 -3.6
  Dec 10, 2019 87   @ Temple L 61-108 11%     2 - 9 -37.8 -11.7 -20.1
  Dec 19, 2019 161   William & Mary W 84-69 43%     3 - 9 +12.3 +5.6 +6.3
  Jan 02, 2020 73   @ Richmond L 52-84 9%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -21.8 -19.9 -0.2
  Jan 05, 2020 8   Dayton L 67-80 6%     3 - 11 0 - 2 +0.0 -2.8 +3.1
  Jan 08, 2020 99   Duquesne L 60-78 26%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -15.9 -7.9 -8.9
  Jan 11, 2020 93   @ Davidson L 83-89 OT 12%     3 - 13 0 - 4 +2.4 +1.2 +2.0
  Jan 15, 2020 62   Rhode Island L 61-71 18%     3 - 14 0 - 5 -4.6 -6.1 +1.3
  Jan 18, 2020 146   @ Penn W 87-81 21%     4 - 14 +10.0 +6.8 +2.6
  Jan 21, 2020 43   Virginia Commonwealth L 60-73 13%     4 - 15 0 - 6 -5.1 -8.8 +4.1
  Jan 25, 2020 193   @ George Washington L 71-76 31%    
  Jan 29, 2020 206   @ Massachusetts L 75-80 33%    
  Feb 01, 2020 95   Saint Louis L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 08, 2020 183   @ La Salle L 71-78 26%    
  Feb 11, 2020 119   St. Bonaventure L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 15, 2020 62   @ Rhode Island L 68-84 7%    
  Feb 18, 2020 93   Davidson L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 22, 2020 153   @ George Mason L 70-78 22%    
  Feb 26, 2020 95   @ Saint Louis L 65-78 12%    
  Feb 29, 2020 258   Fordham W 68-64 65%    
  Mar 04, 2020 119   @ St. Bonaventure L 65-76 16%    
  Mar 07, 2020 183   La Salle L 74-75 47%    
Projected Record 7 - 24 3 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.7 0.4 0.1 4.4 9th
10th 0.3 3.5 3.7 0.9 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.2 4.0 6.1 1.5 0.1 11.7 11th
12th 0.2 3.9 10.2 3.3 0.3 17.7 12th
13th 0.4 4.7 11.9 6.3 0.7 24.1 13th
14th 2.4 9.2 13.3 6.6 0.8 32.4 14th
Total 2.4 9.6 18.2 22.6 21.5 13.9 7.5 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.3% 0.3
8-10 1.0% 1.0
7-11 2.9% 2.9
6-12 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.5
5-13 13.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.9
4-14 21.5% 21.5
3-15 22.6% 22.6
2-16 18.2% 18.2
1-17 9.6% 9.6
0-18 2.4% 2.4
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.6%