Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#171
Expected Predictive Rating+8.4#65
Pace86.6#5
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#133
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#232
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 3.0% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 1.0% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.9 11.6 12.2
.500 or above 28.4% 44.3% 21.1%
.500 or above in Conference 33.2% 41.8% 29.2%
Conference Champion 1.4% 2.0% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.3% 8.7% 15.4%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
First Round1.8% 2.6% 1.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Away) - 31.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 63 - 9
Quad 35 - 78 - 16
Quad 45 - 213 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 111   Bradley W 86-81 47%     1 - 0 +4.9 +6.3 -1.8
  Nov 10, 2019 126   @ Old Dominion L 69-82 29%     1 - 1 -7.9 -2.3 -4.2
  Nov 13, 2019 95   @ Connecticut W 96-87 20%     2 - 1 +17.3 +10.5 +5.3
  Nov 16, 2019 139   @ Loyola Chicago L 74-79 31%    
  Nov 21, 2019 14   Florida L 66-82 7%    
  Nov 30, 2019 214   St. Francis (PA) W 86-81 69%    
  Dec 03, 2019 228   Lafayette W 86-80 71%    
  Dec 07, 2019 15   Villanova L 72-85 13%    
  Dec 10, 2019 93   @ Temple L 76-85 20%    
  Dec 19, 2019 172   William & Mary W 86-83 62%    
  Jan 02, 2020 110   @ Richmond L 79-86 28%    
  Jan 05, 2020 64   Dayton L 76-82 31%    
  Jan 08, 2020 105   Duquesne L 83-85 45%    
  Jan 11, 2020 85   @ Davidson L 72-82 20%    
  Jan 15, 2020 92   Rhode Island L 78-81 39%    
  Jan 18, 2020 107   @ Penn L 79-86 27%    
  Jan 21, 2020 42   Virginia Commonwealth L 76-85 23%    
  Jan 25, 2020 223   @ George Washington L 78-79 49%    
  Jan 29, 2020 189   @ Massachusetts L 80-82 43%    
  Feb 01, 2020 118   Saint Louis L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 08, 2020 201   @ La Salle L 79-80 45%    
  Feb 11, 2020 160   St. Bonaventure W 75-73 59%    
  Feb 15, 2020 92   @ Rhode Island L 75-84 21%    
  Feb 18, 2020 85   Davidson L 75-79 37%    
  Feb 22, 2020 148   @ George Mason L 77-82 35%    
  Feb 26, 2020 118   @ Saint Louis L 75-81 30%    
  Feb 29, 2020 229   Fordham W 76-70 69%    
  Mar 04, 2020 160   @ St. Bonaventure L 72-76 38%    
  Mar 07, 2020 201   La Salle W 82-77 64%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.0 0.1 4.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.4 1.3 0.2 5.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.7 1.9 0.3 5.6 5th
6th 0.5 2.8 3.0 0.5 0.0 6.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 4.3 1.1 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.1 2.2 0.1 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.6 3.3 0.4 0.0 9.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.1 4.4 1.1 0.0 10.3 10th
11th 0.5 3.1 5.1 1.5 0.1 10.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.6 2.1 0.2 10.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 2.7 4.0 2.1 0.2 9.8 13th
14th 0.3 1.2 2.4 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.9 14th
Total 0.3 1.2 3.1 5.8 8.5 10.8 12.5 12.4 12.2 10.5 8.0 5.9 4.2 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 89.5% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 64.9% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 40.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 8.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.6% 47.4% 17.5% 29.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 36.2%
14-4 1.3% 18.1% 8.7% 9.4% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0 10.3%
13-5 2.6% 14.5% 10.6% 3.9% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.2 4.4%
12-6 4.2% 6.2% 5.8% 0.5% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.9 0.5%
11-7 5.9% 5.5% 4.9% 0.5% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.6 0.5%
10-8 8.0% 2.0% 2.0% 13.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.8
9-9 10.5% 1.0% 1.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.4
8-10 12.2% 0.5% 0.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1
7-11 12.4% 0.5% 0.5% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
6-12 12.5% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 12.5
5-13 10.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.8
4-14 8.5% 8.5
3-15 5.8% 5.8
2-16 3.1% 3.1
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.0% 1.5% 0.5% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.0 0.5%