Utah
Pac-12
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.9#70
Expected Predictive Rating+4.8#106
Pace66.6#236
Improvement+0.2#51

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#84
First Shot+1.2#136
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#60
Layup/Dunks+0.6#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#192
Freethrows+1.4#90
Improvement+0.1#73

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#55
First Shot+4.1#62
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#165
Layups/Dunks-1.2#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#46
Freethrows+0.7#149
Improvement+0.1#105
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.8% 2.5% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.1% 27.7% 11.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.8% 23.7% 8.1%
Average Seed 10.0 9.3 10.5
.500 or above 74.1% 88.7% 69.6%
.500 or above in Conference 53.6% 74.6% 47.0%
Conference Champion 1.6% 5.0% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.2% 1.6%
First Four3.7% 5.2% 3.2%
First Round13.4% 25.0% 9.7%
Second Round5.7% 11.6% 3.8%
Sweet Sixteen1.6% 3.3% 1.0%
Elite Eight0.6% 1.3% 0.3%
Final Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona (Home) - 23.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 8
Quad 24 - 46 - 12
Quad 34 - 19 - 13
Quad 48 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 350   LIU Brooklyn W 89-48 98%     1 - 0 +24.2 +3.8 +17.7
  Nov 11, 2022 264   Cal St. Bakersfield W 72-44 93%     2 - 0 +19.7 +7.7 +15.2
  Nov 14, 2022 300   Idaho St. W 70-58 95%     3 - 0 +1.3 -4.5 +6.3
  Nov 17, 2022 63   Sam Houston St. L 55-65 60%     3 - 1 -4.7 -6.8 +1.4
  Nov 21, 2022 113   Georgia Tech W 68-64 65%     4 - 1 +7.9 +3.3 +4.9
  Nov 23, 2022 28   Mississippi St. L 49-52 31%     4 - 2 +9.9 -5.8 +15.4
  Nov 26, 2022 290   St. Thomas W 95-66 94%     5 - 2 +19.2 +18.7 +2.0
  Dec 01, 2022 6   Arizona L 77-84 24%    
  Dec 04, 2022 51   @ Washington St. L 65-70 34%    
  Dec 08, 2022 221   Jacksonville St. W 74-60 91%    
  Dec 13, 2022 307   Texas San Antonio W 78-59 96%    
  Dec 17, 2022 87   @ BYU L 71-72 45%    
  Dec 21, 2022 53   TCU L 67-68 44%    
  Dec 29, 2022 231   @ California W 66-57 78%    
  Dec 31, 2022 79   @ Stanford L 64-66 42%    
  Jan 05, 2023 217   Oregon St. W 73-59 90%    
  Jan 07, 2023 50   Oregon W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 12, 2023 9   @ UCLA L 64-77 13%    
  Jan 14, 2023 73   @ USC L 66-69 41%    
  Jan 19, 2023 51   Washington St. W 68-67 55%    
  Jan 21, 2023 91   Washington W 71-66 68%    
  Jan 26, 2023 217   @ Oregon St. W 70-62 76%    
  Jan 28, 2023 50   @ Oregon L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 02, 2023 79   Stanford W 67-63 63%    
  Feb 05, 2023 231   California W 69-54 91%    
  Feb 11, 2023 44   Colorado W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 16, 2023 6   @ Arizona L 74-87 12%    
  Feb 18, 2023 40   @ Arizona St. L 62-68 31%    
  Feb 24, 2023 9   UCLA L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 25, 2023 73   USC W 69-66 61%    
  Mar 04, 2023 44   @ Colorado L 69-74 32%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.5 0.5 0.1 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.3 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.7 2.9 0.6 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.7 3.2 0.4 0.0 12.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 6.2 3.6 0.5 0.0 13.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.8 3.8 0.5 0.0 13.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.3 5.2 4.1 0.6 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.4 3.1 0.8 0.0 11.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 3.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.2 6.1 9.1 11.8 13.8 13.9 12.8 10.5 7.4 4.9 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 78.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 46.2% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
15-5 15.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 3.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 21.3% 78.7% 4.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 98.6% 13.0% 85.6% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.4%
16-4 1.1% 95.3% 13.3% 82.0% 7.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 94.5%
15-5 2.5% 84.3% 8.8% 75.5% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 82.8%
14-6 4.9% 65.9% 10.1% 55.9% 9.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.1 1.7 62.1%
13-7 7.4% 44.3% 7.2% 37.1% 10.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.1 40.0%
12-8 10.5% 22.2% 5.8% 16.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 8.1 17.4%
11-9 12.8% 8.9% 3.3% 5.6% 11.5 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.7 5.8%
10-10 13.9% 3.9% 3.2% 0.7% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.3 0.8%
9-11 13.8% 3.1% 3.0% 0.1% 13.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.4 0.1%
8-12 11.8% 1.6% 1.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.6
7-13 9.1% 1.5% 1.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.9
6-14 6.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.0
5-15 3.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.2
4-16 1.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.6
3-17 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-18 0.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.1% 3.8% 11.3% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.1 2.9 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 84.9 11.8%