Bradley
Missouri Valley
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#120
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#157
Pace65.2#269
Improvement+0.1#83

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#160
First Shot-1.5#217
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#79
Layup/Dunks+1.7#122
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#311
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#142
Freethrows-1.8#281
Improvement+0.0#162

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#87
First Shot-0.5#190
After Offensive Rebounds+3.5#27
Layups/Dunks+1.2#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#283
Freethrows-1.2#247
Improvement+0.1#93
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.2% 14.6% 9.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.3 12.9 13.6
.500 or above 83.8% 92.7% 78.4%
.500 or above in Conference 73.1% 86.6% 65.0%
Conference Champion 10.3% 18.3% 5.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.2% 1.0%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 0.7%
First Round10.9% 14.4% 8.9%
Second Round1.6% 2.4% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Away) - 37.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 32 - 7
Quad 35 - 47 - 11
Quad 411 - 118 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 48   @ Utah St. L 62-84 19%     0 - 1 -9.2 -8.8 +0.2
  Nov 15, 2022 269   Eastern Michigan W 89-61 86%     1 - 1 +19.7 +6.8 +11.9
  Nov 19, 2022 237   Southeast Missouri St. W 73-60 83%     2 - 1 +6.2 +3.3 +3.8
  Nov 22, 2022 29   Auburn L 64-85 19%     2 - 2 -8.1 +2.7 -11.0
  Nov 23, 2022 128   Liberty L 44-55 52%     2 - 3 -8.2 -17.6 +6.9
  Nov 26, 2022 340   Merrimack W 83-41 95%     3 - 3 +26.8 +6.3 +20.7
  Nov 30, 2022 173   Northern Iowa W 68-53 74%     4 - 3 +11.8 +0.7 +12.8
  Dec 03, 2022 114   @ Missouri St. L 62-65 38%    
  Dec 06, 2022 233   @ SIU Edwardsville W 70-66 65%    
  Dec 17, 2022 15   @ Arkansas L 60-76 7%    
  Dec 19, 2022 345   Stonehill W 81-62 96%    
  Dec 22, 2022 137   Akron W 63-59 64%    
  Dec 28, 2022 139   @ Belmont L 69-71 44%    
  Dec 31, 2022 254   Illinois-Chicago W 73-62 84%    
  Jan 04, 2023 112   @ Murray St. L 66-69 38%    
  Jan 07, 2023 278   Valparaiso W 70-58 87%    
  Jan 11, 2023 313   Evansville W 70-55 92%    
  Jan 14, 2023 73   @ Drake L 63-70 26%    
  Jan 18, 2023 131   @ Indiana St. L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 21, 2023 139   Belmont W 72-68 65%    
  Jan 25, 2023 256   Illinois St. W 68-57 84%    
  Jan 29, 2023 254   @ Illinois-Chicago W 70-65 67%    
  Feb 01, 2023 117   Southern Illinois W 61-58 60%    
  Feb 04, 2023 173   @ Northern Iowa W 68-67 52%    
  Feb 08, 2023 256   @ Illinois St. W 65-60 68%    
  Feb 11, 2023 112   Murray St. W 69-66 59%    
  Feb 15, 2023 114   Missouri St. W 65-62 58%    
  Feb 19, 2023 117   @ Southern Illinois L 58-61 38%    
  Feb 22, 2023 278   @ Valparaiso W 67-61 72%    
  Feb 26, 2023 73   Drake L 66-67 45%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.2 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 10.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 3.2 5.2 2.6 0.6 0.0 12.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.9 5.8 2.3 0.3 13.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.0 6.0 2.2 0.2 13.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.5 6.1 2.6 0.2 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.3 2.9 5.5 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.7 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.2 2.0 0.3 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.8 4.6 7.3 10.2 12.7 14.2 13.4 11.9 9.7 6.0 3.4 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
17-3 98.2% 1.4    1.3 0.1
16-4 81.5% 2.8    2.0 0.7 0.0
15-5 52.6% 3.2    1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0
14-6 21.0% 2.0    0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.3% 10.3 5.8 3.1 1.2 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.5% 49.5% 38.7% 10.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 17.5%
17-3 1.4% 44.6% 37.5% 7.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 11.4%
16-4 3.4% 27.1% 25.3% 1.8% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 2.5 2.4%
15-5 6.0% 21.7% 21.4% 0.3% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.7 0.4%
14-6 9.7% 16.8% 16.6% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.3 8.1 0.2%
13-7 11.9% 14.4% 14.4% 13.2 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.0 10.1
12-8 13.4% 11.1% 11.1% 13.6 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 11.9
11-9 14.2% 9.8% 9.8% 14.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 12.8
10-10 12.7% 6.6% 6.6% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 11.8
9-11 10.2% 5.4% 5.4% 15.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 9.7
8-12 7.3% 3.3% 3.3% 15.8 0.0 0.2 7.0
7-13 4.6% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.5
6-14 2.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 2.7
5-15 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.2% 10.9% 0.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 2.1 3.5 2.6 1.3 0.8 88.8 0.3%