Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#106
Expected Predictive Rating+4.3#110
Pace66.1#252
Improvement+0.3#28

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#89
First Shot+3.8#71
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#226
Layup/Dunks-2.1#256
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#152
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#70
Freethrows+2.0#67
Improvement+0.5#2

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#138
First Shot-0.2#182
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#84
Layups/Dunks-3.1#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#164
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#154
Freethrows+1.6#97
Improvement-0.2#243
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 7.1% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.9% 5.2% 1.3%
Average Seed 11.5 10.4 12.0
.500 or above 50.4% 73.2% 46.5%
.500 or above in Conference 34.7% 58.5% 30.6%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 1.4% 5.2%
First Four1.1% 1.8% 0.9%
First Round2.8% 6.1% 2.3%
Second Round0.8% 2.0% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 14.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 8
Quad 23 - 44 - 12
Quad 33 - 37 - 15
Quad 48 - 116 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 328   Tennessee Martin W 80-58 95%     1 - 0 +8.0 -10.7 +16.3
  Nov 11, 2022 16   West Virginia L 56-81 20%     1 - 1 -11.7 -7.6 -5.1
  Nov 16, 2022 58   Michigan L 60-91 33%     1 - 2 -22.1 -7.1 -16.6
  Nov 17, 2022 85   Virginia Commonwealth L 67-71 42%     1 - 3 +2.3 +0.3 +2.2
  Nov 20, 2022 355   Alabama St. W 73-54 97%     2 - 3 +1.2 -4.8 +6.5
  Nov 22, 2022 321   Fairleigh Dickinson W 83-61 94%     3 - 3 +9.1 -0.6 +9.9
  Nov 25, 2022 287   William & Mary W 80-64 90%     4 - 3 +6.4 +6.2 +1.3
  Nov 28, 2022 90   @ Northwestern W 87-58 33%     5 - 3 +37.8 +30.8 +9.5
  Dec 02, 2022 31   @ North Carolina St. L 70-81 15%    
  Dec 07, 2022 88   @ Vanderbilt L 68-73 33%    
  Dec 10, 2022 302   Sacred Heart W 83-68 92%    
  Dec 17, 2022 245   North Florida W 78-66 85%    
  Dec 20, 2022 97   @ Syracuse L 66-70 36%    
  Dec 30, 2022 22   North Carolina L 69-76 26%    
  Jan 03, 2023 14   Virginia L 59-68 20%    
  Jan 07, 2023 76   Clemson W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 11, 2023 18   @ Duke L 62-76 10%    
  Jan 14, 2023 113   @ Georgia Tech L 66-68 41%    
  Jan 18, 2023 210   @ Louisville W 69-65 63%    
  Jan 21, 2023 188   Florida St. W 75-67 78%    
  Jan 25, 2023 66   Wake Forest L 73-74 49%    
  Jan 28, 2023 36   Miami (FL) L 71-74 38%    
  Feb 01, 2023 22   @ North Carolina L 66-79 13%    
  Feb 07, 2023 210   Louisville W 72-62 81%    
  Feb 11, 2023 188   @ Florida St. W 72-70 58%    
  Feb 14, 2023 151   Boston College W 68-62 71%    
  Feb 18, 2023 59   @ Virginia Tech L 63-70 26%    
  Feb 21, 2023 113   Georgia Tech W 69-65 62%    
  Feb 25, 2023 97   Syracuse W 69-67 58%    
  Mar 01, 2023 77   @ Notre Dame L 66-72 31%    
  Mar 04, 2023 36   @ Miami (FL) L 68-77 20%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.6 1.0 0.1 5.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 3.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 6.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.1 4.5 1.1 0.1 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.6 1.9 0.1 11.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.9 2.7 0.3 0.0 12.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.6 3.2 0.5 12.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.6 3.1 0.6 0.0 10.6 12th
13th 0.1 1.3 3.1 2.5 0.5 0.0 7.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.3 15th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.9 4.0 7.0 10.3 12.9 14.3 14.1 12.1 9.2 6.4 3.7 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 83.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 42.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
15-5 13.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 14.0% 86.0% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.3% 71.8% 7.4% 64.4% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 69.5%
15-5 0.8% 59.5% 4.0% 55.5% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 57.8%
14-6 2.1% 31.0% 5.1% 25.9% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 27.3%
13-7 3.7% 12.6% 3.5% 9.1% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.2 9.4%
12-8 6.4% 4.8% 2.8% 2.0% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.1 2.0%
11-9 9.2% 2.9% 2.4% 0.5% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.9 0.5%
10-10 12.1% 1.8% 1.7% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.9 0.0%
9-11 14.1% 1.2% 1.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.9
8-12 14.3% 1.3% 1.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.1
7-13 12.9% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.8
6-14 10.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.3
5-15 7.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.9
4-16 4.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.0
3-17 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.9
2-18 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.3% 1.5% 1.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 96.7 1.9%