Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#151
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#139
Pace66.8#232
Improvement-0.5#340

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#266
First Shot-0.5#185
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#313
Layup/Dunks+6.0#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#282
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#349
Freethrows+2.3#52
Improvement-0.3#326

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#66
First Shot+4.4#58
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#206
Layups/Dunks+0.6#165
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#89
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#195
Freethrows+2.5#48
Improvement-0.2#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 2.5% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 14.0 12.8 14.2
.500 or above 16.0% 40.4% 14.6%
.500 or above in Conference 7.0% 22.7% 6.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 22.2% 7.0% 23.1%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
First Round0.8% 2.4% 0.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duke (Away) - 5.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 8
Quad 22 - 53 - 13
Quad 35 - 37 - 17
Quad 46 - 213 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 181   Cornell W 79-77 68%     1 - 0 -1.6 -10.4 +8.5
  Nov 11, 2022 197   Detroit Mercy W 70-66 71%     2 - 0 -0.6 -9.8 +9.2
  Nov 14, 2022 258   Maine L 64-69 81%     2 - 1 -13.0 -8.9 -4.3
  Nov 18, 2022 158   George Mason W 71-56 52%     3 - 1 +15.7 -0.9 +16.9
  Nov 20, 2022 135   Tarleton St. L 54-70 45%     3 - 2 -13.5 -11.3 -3.8
  Nov 21, 2022 146   Wyoming W 59-48 49%     4 - 2 +12.4 -5.3 +19.5
  Nov 27, 2022 180   Rhode Island W 53-49 68%     5 - 2 +0.5 -16.5 +17.2
  Nov 30, 2022 92   @ Nebraska L 67-88 24%     5 - 3 -12.4 +4.6 -19.4
  Dec 03, 2022 18   @ Duke L 56-73 5%    
  Dec 06, 2022 331   New Hampshire W 69-54 93%    
  Dec 10, 2022 80   Villanova L 61-66 31%    
  Dec 13, 2022 345   Stonehill W 78-61 94%    
  Dec 21, 2022 59   Virginia Tech L 61-65 34%    
  Dec 30, 2022 97   @ Syracuse L 61-68 26%    
  Jan 03, 2023 77   Notre Dame L 64-67 40%    
  Jan 07, 2023 18   Duke L 59-70 16%    
  Jan 11, 2023 36   @ Miami (FL) L 62-75 12%    
  Jan 14, 2023 66   Wake Forest L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 17, 2023 22   @ North Carolina L 61-77 8%    
  Jan 21, 2023 77   @ Notre Dame L 61-70 21%    
  Jan 25, 2023 210   Louisville W 66-59 72%    
  Jan 28, 2023 14   @ Virginia L 51-69 5%    
  Jan 31, 2023 76   Clemson L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 04, 2023 97   Syracuse L 64-65 47%    
  Feb 08, 2023 59   @ Virginia Tech L 58-68 17%    
  Feb 11, 2023 31   North Carolina St. L 67-75 23%    
  Feb 14, 2023 106   @ Pittsburgh L 62-68 29%    
  Feb 18, 2023 188   @ Florida St. L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 22, 2023 14   Virginia L 54-66 14%    
  Feb 28, 2023 66   @ Wake Forest L 65-75 19%    
  Mar 04, 2023 113   Georgia Tech W 64-63 51%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 6 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 3.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.3 0.5 0.0 5.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.6 1.0 0.1 7.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.9 5.0 2.0 0.2 10.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.6 6.7 3.4 0.5 0.0 14.8 12th
13th 0.0 1.1 4.9 7.9 4.3 0.7 0.0 18.9 13th
14th 0.2 1.9 5.9 7.4 3.7 0.6 0.0 19.8 14th
15th 0.5 2.4 4.3 3.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 13.0 15th
Total 0.5 2.6 6.3 10.8 14.6 16.1 15.0 12.2 8.9 6.0 3.7 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0
15-5 30.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.4% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 65.0% 10.0% 55.0% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 61.1%
14-6 0.1% 42.4% 3.4% 39.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 40.4%
13-7 0.4% 14.1% 2.0% 12.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 12.4%
12-8 0.8% 7.6% 4.3% 3.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.5%
11-9 1.9% 3.0% 2.4% 0.6% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 0.6%
10-10 3.7% 2.1% 2.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
9-11 6.0% 1.7% 1.7% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9
8-12 8.9% 1.5% 1.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.7
7-13 12.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.1
6-14 15.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.9
5-15 16.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 16.0
4-16 14.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.5
3-17 10.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.8
2-18 6.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.2
1-19 2.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.6
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 99.1 0.2%